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BTC: $77,000 → $81,748 +5.3% 🚀 ETH: $2,500 break +4.8% YE PUMP FAKE NAHI HAI 💯 ### **5 Wajah Kyun Bara:** 1. **FED DOVISH** Fed's Waller: "No change" Rate hike probability: 63.2% → 50.4% Sept 15-16 FOMC mein hike ka chance kam 2. **WEAK JOBS DATA** Initial jobless claims > expected Labor market cool ho raha = Rate hike pressure kam 3. **$USD + BONDS DOWN** DXY: -0.5% < 99 10Y Yield: 4.82% → 4.75% Kam rate + Kam dollar = BTC, GOLD +3.6%, NASDAQ +1.4% sab upar 4. **SHORT SQUEEZE** $510M $CP is currently trading at $0.03275 (down -11.12% in 24h), holding support near its 24-hour low of $0.03069 after pulling back from a high of $0.04080;
with strong liquidity reflected by a 24-hour volume of 1.75B $CP ($65.00M USDT), traders should closely watch the key $0.0307 baseline for potential bounce setups or further consolidation before entering new positions.
#DailyOrbit @OKX中文 $JUP USDT (Unitas)
Technical Analysis: Steady decline with lower highs. Volume is elevated on red candles. Looking for a temporary relief bounce only.
EP: 0.472 – 0.482
TP1: 0.510 | TP2: 0.535
SL: 0.448Tonight at 20:30, the non-farm payroll data may determine whether $BTC's rise above $80,000 this time is a real breakthrough or just another fake move
Last night, Bitcoin surged early to 82,200 before pulling back, hitting a low of 80,500 without breaking lower, currently maintaining consolidation above 80,000. Structurally, the 80,000 round number support is effective; as long as this level is not decisively broken, the overall trend remains bullish.
However, tonight's non-farm payroll news will have a significant impact, causing noticeable market volatility, requiring two scenarios to be considered:
- If the data is bearish, Bitcoin may continue to pull back and enter a range-bound consolidation, with the lower support zone around 79,000-78,000;
- If the data is positive, bulls are expected to push again, targeting the upper resistance near 83,000. $BTC $ETH #沃勒：8月通胀决定9月是否加息 $XAU still looks interesting to me heading into year-end and 2027.
I see strong structural demand supporting Gold, and personally, I think $6,000 could be possible over the longer term.
on the short-term chart, two solid support zones are only ~1.7% apart. That gives price an interesting area to watch for a reaction.
patience and confirmation as always.The highly anticipated annual nonfarm payroll report is about to be released! Combined with August CPI data, it will determine the direction of interest rate hikes and market trends.
The US August nonfarm payroll data is coming soon, and this might be the most important nonfarm payroll report of the year. Along with the upcoming August CPI data next week, these two figures will decide whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in September. This September's Federal Open Market Committee meeting will almost certainly determine the trajectory of global stock markets, gold, Bitcoin, and other assets for the rest of the year.
Why is this so significant? Since July, the global capital markets have experienced a series of black swan events. First, the Japanese yen sharply dropped to the critical 116 level, prompting joint intervention by the US and Japan. This exposed the US Treasury market as the biggest hidden financial risk in the US market, leading global funds to aggressively short US Treasuries. The 10-year US Treasury yield has reached a 20-year high, accompanied by the US debt total just surpassing the 40 trillion mark. This acts like a heavy lid pressing down on the global tech sector stocks that had just rebounded since August.
Moreover, the market faces an even more difficult situation as US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has repeatedly spoken out and increased buybacks to support the market. Instead of yields falling, they continue to rise because this intervention touches the government's red line of not interfering in financial markets. As a former financial industry leader now serving in government, she is trying to save US Treasuries through low-cost measures. However, the government should adhere to the golden rule of keeping hands off, and the Treasury does not want to tighten fiscal discipline but instead attempts small regulatory tricks to rescue US debt. This has only increased selling pressure in the market.
Therefore, from late August to September, we see that the once highly influential trio—Trump, Yellen, and Powell—are now completely ineffective. Trump's softening stance on Middle East conflicts is not seen as positive by the market. Federal Reserve Chair Powell's strong hawkish signals at the Jackson Hole meeting did not convince the market of the Fed's independence. Yellen's recent rescue efforts have failed repeatedly. With this trio collectively losing influence, the market chooses to trust hard data.
Thus, tonight's US nonfarm payroll data is extremely critical. If the data falls short of expectations, the market can breathe a little easier. But if it exceeds expectations with a significant employment increase, the expectation of rate hikes may return.
The market expects US nonfarm payrolls to increase by 55,000 this month, reversing last month's decrease of 23,000. From previously released Challenger layoff plans, weekly initial jobless claims, and the employment component of the US PMI index, it appears US employment remains relatively resilient. Last night, Federal Reserve Governor Waller also said that the US is currently adding about 60,000 jobs, which aligns closely with the expected 55,000. Tonight's data will most likely meet expectations without a large surprise on either side.
However, will it really be so? Will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics director surprise us again by turning this number negative? We shall wait and see.
The above is personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Please be aware of risks. $BTC : $83K IS THE KEY BATTLE!
BTC is back near $80K, but the market remains divided. A break and hold above $83K–$86K with strong volume could open the path toward $100K, while failure may send BTC toward $70K–$72K. Institutional ETF demand remains strong, but short-term profit-taking is still a risk. Bulls or bears?
#OKX #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #CryptoTrading #BitcoinNews #OKXCommunity$BTC #BTCGoldRatioHigh #OKXOrbitTopics #BTCGoldRatioHigh $SOXL USDT (SOXS)
Technical Analysis: Equity perpetual under pressure. Lower highs dominating. Short-term oversold conditions may trigger a bounce.
EP: 48.20 – 49.20
TP1: 51.50 | TP2: 53.80
SL: 45.80I’m expecting volatility to increase before the bullish trend becomes clearer. BTC just pushed above $81K, but this rally is coming alongside heavy short covering and rapidly changing Fed expectations. September rate-hike odds have moved back toward roughly 50/50, while next week’s CPI could decide the next major direction. My current downside line in the sand: ₿ $BTC → $76K Ξ $ETH → $2,200 ◎ $SOL → $88 🔥 $HYPE → $68 ⚡ $ZEC → $700 If those areas hold during a major flush, I’d view the correctioBitcoin and Ethereum aren’t competing for the same role—they’re building different parts of the crypto ecosystem.
₿ Bitcoin is evolving as digital gold and a long-term store of value.
⚡ Ethereum is the programmable layer powering on-chain finance, applications, and tokenized assets.
Both are increasingly becoming part of the broader financial infrastructure, highlighting crypto’s transition from pure speculation toward real-world utility.
#WallerEyesAugCPI #BTCGoldRatioHigh The coin that was "sentenced to death" has today reached the peak of eight years
$1000. $ZEC has hit a new high since 2018, rising more than 20 times in one year.
But two years ago, it was only $16. The forums were full of "zeroing out" and "scam" accusations. During the vulnerability crisis in June 2026, it was halved from over 600 to just over 300, and was trampled into the mud again.
Those who held on endured ridicule, endured liquidation, endured nearly going to zero. Today, the market is finally looking up to it again.
Some persistence, time will speak for you.🚨 Don’t mistake this BTC & ETH consolidation for the top! The real move may be just getting started.
Last night, $BTC ripped from $76K to $81K, while $ETH jumped from $2,300 to $2,500. Now both are cooling off and consolidating—but I’m not convinced this is the top yet.
Looking at the order book and liquidity, $82K is the key resistance for BTC. If BTC clears that level, we could see another leg higher.
#DailyOrbit $SHEIN USDT
Technical Analysis: Newly listed equity perpetual under heavy selling pressure. Clear lower highs and lower lows. Momentum is strongly bearish; any bounce is likely to face supply.
EP: 4.80 – 4.90
TP1: 5.15 | TP2: 5.40
SL: 4.55I’m expecting a sharp flush sometime in September.
But I don’t think it starts from here.
I believe the market pushes much higher first before the shakeout comes.
These are the levels I don’t expect us to lose:
$BTC → $74K
$ZEC → $750
$ETH → $2,350
$SOL → $95
$HYPE → $73
Those are my key levels.
Quote me on it.
Let’s see what September brings.#WallerEyesAugCPI #BTCGoldRatioHigh #OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC Non-farm payroll data will be released in 40 minutes ⚠️ Whether BTC can restart the bull market depends on this moment 📈
40 minutes to go. The non-farm payroll data for August this year is about to be announced. ⚠️
This set of non-farm data is very likely to trigger a market reversal. Whether a new bull market can start 📈📈 depends on the effect of tonight's non-farm data release.
The expected value for July's non-farm data was 80,000, but when the results were announced, it turned out to be -23,000. The market was directly shocked, seriously suspecting data falsification by the Trump administration, causing a sharp market spike and rapid fluctuations.
The non-farm data to be released today for August is also very dramatic, reaching near the Bitcoin bull-bear dividing line around 82,000. Yesterday, Bitcoin quickly surged through a bullish candlestick to the bull-bear dividing line at 82,200. Now it is staying just below 82,000, waiting for the non-farm data release and a breakthrough of this resistance level. Currently, the bulls are still very strong. If tonight's non-farm data release is bullish for the bulls, then Bitcoin will naturally break through the resistance level quickly and fully open a new bull market. It is very likely that Bitcoin will rise to $100,000 before or around October.
This is the most extreme bull market experienced in four years of trading Bitcoin, and also the shortest bear market. So tonight's data is worth paying attention to. If the release is bullish for the bulls, everyone can quickly follow the market to enter long positions. If it breaks through the previous high after the release, you can immediately chase longs.
ETH support levels updated simultaneously below
2486-2456
If the non-farm release causes a spike but does not break below, then the bulls are confirmed and long positions can be prepared.$AMC USDT
Technical Analysis: Fresh equity perpetual listing showing aggressive distribution. Price is printing consecutive red candles with expanding range. High risk of further downside.
EP: 2.65 – 2.72
TP1: 2.90 | TP2: 3.10
SL: 2.48💎 FROM RECOVERY TO REAL MOMENTUM?
This could become an important chapter for crypto.
$BTC has pushed into multi-month highs while $ETH has reclaimed $2,500, showing that buyers are returning with confidence. If these gains turn into sustained support, the broader market could receive another sentiment boost.
But confirmation matters.
For me, the interesting part isn't simply the rally — it's whether the market can build on it.
#WallerEyesAugCPI #BTCGoldRatioHigh #OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC Waller's few dovish remarks directly dropped the probability of a September rate hike from 63% to just over 50%, causing risk assets to take off on the spot. $BTC surged past $81,000 in one go, rising more than 5% in 24 hours.
The hardest hit in this wave was Zcash, which jumped nearly 15% in one day, leading the pack. Ethereum, Binance Coin, and Dogecoin also saw gains between 4% and 5%.
The three major US stock indexes all rose more than 1%, with the Dow soaring over 600 points. Tech stocks led the charge, with Tesla up more than 5% and SpaceX up over 6%. Cryptocurrency concept stocks were even stronger, with Strategy surging over 17% and Coinbase up more than 10%.
On the A-shares side, AI application concepts collectively strengthened, with Longban Media hitting a 5-day winning streak. Digital currency concepts were also active, with Cuiwei Co. and Chutianlong both hitting daily limit ups. The agricultural sector warmed up against the trend, boosted by confirmation of El Niño formation.
The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong rose 437 points, with AI application stocks leading gains. Meituan rose more than 5%, and both Construction Bank and Bank of China hit new all-time highs. Boya Interactive surged over 11%, riding the Bitcoin wave.
Gold also rallied, with spot gold climbing above $4478. How far this wave can go still depends on upcoming data.$CASHCAT TUSDT
Technical Analysis: Meme-style token under sustained selling. Price is grinding lower with weak recovery attempts. Oversold short-term, but trend remains down.
EP: 0.270 – 0.278
TP1: 0.295 | TP2: 0.315
SL: 0.255代币化股票持有地址单月翻倍至200万，头部公链与券商平台格局初现 据CryptoRank数据，全网代币化股票持有地址数在8月从约100万增至200万，一个月内实现翻倍。其中Robinhood Chain、BNB Chain和Solana三个网络的持有者合计占约95%，链上股票正从早期尝试进入快速放量阶段。 9月4日消息，据CryptoRank统计，代币化股票持有者数量在8月从约100万增长至200万，单月实现翻倍。其中Robinhood Chain、BNB Chain与Solana上的持有者合计约占全部持有者的95%，市场呈现明显的头部集中格局。此前数据显示，截至7月底，仅Robinhood Chain上的代币化股票持有钱包已达约32.9万个，占当时全市场的约35%，意味着8月的增量主要由头部平台与公链生态带动。代币化股票是将美股等传统资产以代币形式发行到公链上，让用户可以全天候、低门槛地获得股票价格敞口，是RWA真实世界资产赛道中用户基数最大、参与门槛最低的品类之一。地址数一个月翻倍，说明散户对链上股票的需求正在快速释放，传统金融与加密生态的融合进入实质放量阶段。持有地址数是链上业务Before the BTC non-farm payrolls, I only follow this setup
Current price around 81100, 24h high 82285 low 77700
Rallied to 82285 but failed to hold, retraced to around 81 with reduced volume
4H near support 80657 / 80908
Near resistance 81290 / 81305, with 82285 above
Funding rate +0.0032%, longs paying but not heavy
Entry: Light long on pullback to 80800-80900 and stabilization
Or follow if volume breaks and holds 81300, no early bets
Stop loss: below 80500
Target 1: 81800-82000
Target 2: 82285 previous high
Risk-reward ratio 1:2, reduce position to half usual size
Tonight at 20:30 non-farm payrolls will cause sudden volatility expansion
So my judgment is: only take structural longs above 80800, accept breakouts, no holding or averaging down
$BTC $ETH #BTC #strategy🌍 CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE
Bitcoin clears $81,000 as privacy coins lead a broad crypto rally
BTC pushed through the level that capped it in late August, while zcash gained 16% and dash 19%.
Source: CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Crypto News and Price Data • 04 Sep 2026 09:57 UTC
#CryptoNews #OKXOrbitTopicsFast moves can make traders chase green candles, but that’s exactly when risk management becomes more important. $BTC recently pushed above $81K, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recording roughly $731M in net inflows — their strongest single-day inflow since January. Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s softer stance also helped improve risk appetite. But I’m still not chasing. My current structure: 🛡️ Core → $BTC $ETH ⚡ Growth → $SOL $XRP 🎯 Higher Risk → $HYPE $SUI Key zones I’m watching: $BTC → $80$ZEC has broken through the 1000 mark, is 2000 far away? My understanding of this coin is that it is a privacy coin, the cryptocurrency of cryptocurrencies, but wasn't there some news a while ago saying it secretly increased supply in the background? I haven't really paid much attention to it. Does it really have that much potential? I'm not very clear on the underlying logic.
#沃勒：8月通胀决定9月是否加息
#BTC兑黄金比率升至1月以来高位，强势能否延续？
#HOOD收涨创年内新高，链上收入居公链第一 $BTC movement has started
After accumulating capital, BTC decided to move upward.
The probability by the end of the day is to reach the 85000$ mark.
This 🌊 wave will also affect other cryptocurrencies such as $ETH
and $SOL .
The probability of $BTC price birth is extremely low.
But other factors such as macroeconomics
and world news must be taken into account.#WallerEyesAugCPI #BTCGoldRatioHigh #CryptoTreasuryDurability Tonight at 20:30, the US August non-farm payroll data is coming, with sharp fluctuations and both bulls and bears exploding!
Market expectations: 55,000 new jobs, unemployment rate 4.1%.
But Fed's Waller said, "Whether to raise rates in September depends on CPI, non-farm payrolls are not important."
BTC has already surged 5% in advance, clearly taking the lead!
The data is likely to be weak (around 50,000), but BTC has already rebounded early. After the release, it will most likely first dip near 78,500, then rebound above 82,000. ETH will first dip near 2,420, then rebound to 2,530. Overall wide-range volatility, with both bulls and bears exploding.
Then at 9:30, the US stock market opens, and the direction will be sought again.
Tomorrow is the weekend, likely to continue fluctuating, but it may also take advantage of the weekend's low liquidity to make a sharp move!The market is showing strong recovery momentum today. 🚀 ₿ Bitcoin ($BTC ) is back above $80K, with $82K–$83K acting as the key resistance zone. A clean breakout above this area could open the door toward $90K. But if BTC loses $80K again, a pullback toward $75K–$77K remains possible. 🔷 Ethereum ($ETH ) is holding around the $2.5K area. The next important resistance is around $2,535–$2,550. Holding above $2,490 would keep the short-term structure positive. 🔥 My Market View: BTC has improved siScan finds 96,000 fake-address outputs clogging $BTC UTXO
Bitquery reported cheap OP_RETURN repetition and fake-address text imposing extra costs on nodes
#BTCGoldRatioHigh
#WallerEyesAugCPI Tonight's non-farm payrolls set the tone, but what exactly is the market betting on?
Brothers, the current market situation, frankly, is being held up by Waller's remarks. He said whether there will be a rate hike in September depends entirely on August's CPI. Once this statement came out, the probability of a rate hike dropped directly from 70% to 50%, and US stocks surged in response.
But if you think carefully, what can truly shake the expectation of a September rate hike is not tonight's non-farm payrolls, but next Wednesday's CPI. As long as the non-farm payrolls aren't too outrageous, the market can tolerate it. The key is whether the CPI can continue to approach 2%. If inflation picks up again, even Waller can't save it; a September rate hike will be unavoidable.
What is the market trading on now? It's the "soft landing" expectation, betting that inflation will slide down on its own and the Federal Reserve won't need to act further. That's why you see AI concept stocks and tech stocks rallying enthusiastically—they're trading on this logic.
My projection for the path ahead is: most likely, CPI will stabilize or be slightly higher, and the Federal Reserve may indeed hike once in September. Even if they don't hike, long-term bond yields will be pushed up by the market, with the same effect. The biggest fear now is the third scenario—inflation doesn't fall, and the Fed doesn't hike either, then the market will take matters into its own hands, crashing until the Fed admits defeat.
In the short term, protect profits before the CPI release; don't chase highs. Wait for the data to land, then find the direction. $BTC $ETH $ZEC This time, the CFTC directly requested the court to dismiss CME's lawsuit against crypto perpetual futures.
The core of the dispute is actually quite simple:
CME believes that Kalshi's approved Bitcoin perpetual contracts should be classified as Swaps, not traditional futures.
But the CFTC's response is that CME has not proven it suffered any actual competitive harm.
They even said quite directly — it's a bit of an "overreaction."
Because CME itself can also apply to launch similar perpetual products.
On the surface, this lawsuit is a regulatory dispute between CME and the CFTC.
Looking deeper, it's actually traditional futures exchanges starting to face product innovation from new platforms like Kalshi.
Previously, perpetual contracts were basically the domain of crypto exchanges.
Now, Kalshi is bringing this type of product into the regulated U.S. derivatives market.
CME's deadline to respond is currently set for early October.
What’s really worth watching is no longer just who wins this lawsuit.
But how much room the U.S. regulatory system will ultimately leave for "perpetual futures."
$BTC $ETH 🚨 $730M JUST HIT BTC.
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $730.9M in net inflows on Sept. 3.
BlackRock’s IBIT alone pulled in $454M. 💰
This isn’t retail FOMO.
Institutional capital is moving.
BTC is back above $80K — but the real question is:
👉 Are institutions front-running the next breakout?
Bullish or trap? 👇#WallerEyesAugCPI #BTCGoldRatioHigh #OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC $ETH is holding firm after its recent recovery, with price around $2,522 and still well above the MA5, MA10 and MA20. Buyers are now testing the $2,547.10 high, making this the key resistance. The main question is whether ETH can push through with stronger buying pressure. A breakout above $2,547.10 could extend the move toward $2,566.46, while rejection may bring short-term profit-taking. $ETH remains in a constructive position, so the next reaction is worth watching.Why does it feel like the bear market isn't over yet?
┈➤ Let's start with some casual talk
Logically, every bear market should teach us something. From the last one, we learned that altcoins were just a way to cut losses.
But now, looking at it, it's still MEME, the narrative hasn't changed at all? Could it be that we haven't learned anything this round?
┈➤ Now for a serious point
Another serious point to make is that we are currently in a wave of market activity brought on by the midterm elections.
The US Congress is up for re-election: the entire House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate. Although both chambers are up for election, the Treasury, Labor, Commerce, and 15 other cabinet departments haven't changed leadership; Trump is still in charge.
Although the Federal Reserve, SEC, and other committees are officially independent, most officials probably wouldn't want to undermine Trump at this particular time.
The current majority party (Republicans) is working hard to create prosperity and leave voters with a good final impression to win the midterm elections.
However, this prosperity is temporary and not a true reflection of the US economy's health.
Of course, the midterm election campaign might just be getting started:
Maybe new candidates have already begun their efforts, but current representatives will return to their states in late September to focus on election work.
The Treasury's previously proposed accelerated long-term bond purchases will also only begin on September 9.美国非农就业数据公布前，加密市场周五延续本周涨势。比特币维持在 80,800 美元上方，以太坊站稳 2,500 美元关口，XRP 也在本周自关键支撑位反弹后保持偏强表现。市场正等待新的宏观数据为短线方向提供线索。 非农数据临近 非农就业数据将影响市场对美联储后续利率路径的判断。若就业数据强于预期，市场可能进一步押注高利率维持更久，这通常会对加密资产等风险资产形成压力。 如果就业数据偏弱，则可能缓解市场对美联储继续维持鹰派立场的担忧，给比特币、以太坊和 XRP 带来额外支撑。随着数据公布临近，交易员正准备应对利率预期调整带来的波动放大。 比特币上看 85000 美元 比特币本周累计上涨超过 4%，周五报约 80,856 美元。文章提到，当前价格仍明显高于 50 日、100 日和 200 日指数移动均线，显示中期上升趋势尚未被破坏。 50 日均线约为 71,126 美元 100 日均线约为 69,696 美元 200 日均线约为 72,539 美元 文章将 85,000 美元视为比特币下一道主要阻力位。若日线有效站上这一位置，可能意味着买盘仍占主导；若迟迟无法突破，行情则可能转入整理，或出$SNDK
SanDisk returns to the 1600 level again
The price has reached 1600; round number levels often have a large number of pending orders, making the battle between bulls and bears very intense
The bullish structure is intact but facing a test. The moving average system confirms a bullish alignment. However, the extremely bearish pending orders mean the breakout won't be easy
Tonight, Axun is bearish on the direction
Two scenarios for the evening; first, a pull-up followed by a drop. Second; a direct drop at the open
In the first scenario, consider shorting at 1660 and 1700 respectively
In the second scenario, just randomly enter shorts above the psychological level of 1600
Axun has accurately predicted SanDisk's opening direction for four consecutive nights$HYPE short positions have been completely wiped out! 98% of long positions are in profit, and the $23 million profit pool is ready to trigger a massive stampede at any moment!
Right now, this market is purely the bulls playing against themselves. The bulls hold a heavy position worth $166 million, with a profit ratio as high as 98.52%! There is a floating profit of a full $23.4 million on the books. In contrast, the shorts only have a struggling position of just over $36 million left, almost completely wiped out.
The biggest taboo in trading is "no counterparty." With the shorts all wiped out, what’s the point of the whales pushing the price up further? Raising it only benefits these longs who averaged in at $74, essentially carrying them on their backs. The current $23 million profit pool is a ticking time bomb hanging overhead. As soon as the big players reverse and dump, these profitable longs will run faster than anyone to lock in their gains, instantly becoming the strongest force driving the price down. Without any positions, the current price will open shorts directly and watch it fall back to the $75 cost zone!$DASH DASH is also awesome!
Just yesterday I mentioned ZEC soaring, and Dash was lagging far behind, but today it also appeared at the top of the gainers list, surging 21% in one go, with a market cap of 660 million USD.
However, the 24-hour trading volume is only about 7 million USD, which translates to a turnover rate of 1%, showing low popularity.
DASH is a veteran privacy coin forked from Bitcoin in 2014. Back then, it was popular due to its masternodes and anonymous transactions. It was also a star during the last bull market but later faded away, with few people mentioning its name.
Today, the old privacy coins are collectively rising; the bull market is really here, but I still dare not chase it. Everyone, please be cautious~$FARTCOIN USDT
Strong momentum continuation after +3% push. Holding above key intraday support with solid volume. Bias remains bullish for further upside.
EP: 0.1720 – 0.1760
TP1: 0.1850
TP2: 0.1950
SL: 0.1650Under the volatile market pattern, the rhythm of rises and falls switches quickly, easily disrupting the pace of ordinary traders.
The bottom support of the market has been repeatedly confirmed, the bullish strength is gradually accumulating, and for BTC 🫓 I provided a long reference at 77950, with the current mark price at 81259.6, achieving a +424.52% profit.
The main force completes chip exchange through volatility, selling pressure gradually weakens, incremental funds enter the market pushing prices higher, and trend markets require more patience and perseverance.
#沃勒：8月通胀决定9月是否加息
There is a risk of pullback after a short-term rise; prioritize taking partial profits on positions; keep empty positions and stay on the sidelines, refuse to chase at high levels, and wait for the market to adjust before reassessing participation opportunities. $ZEC $USELESS ETH (Ethereum) Market Update Today
The following does not constitute investment advice
24-Hour Core Data
Current Price: ~2510-2530 USDT, approximately 16,850 CNY
24h Change: +4.3%~+5.4%, rebounding with the broader market
24h Range: Low around $2389, High near $2527
7-Day: Slight gain of about +0.6%-1.3%; 30-Day significant increase, about +35%
24-Hour Trading Volume: Approximately 9.6-16.8 billion USD, market activity rising
Today's Market Review
Today is a broad market-driven rebound:
Overnight, Federal Reserve officials released dovish statements, easing short-term rate hike concerns. US Treasury yields fell, risk asset appetite warmed, BTC first rose above $81,000, leading ETH to rally in tandem.
Intraday, ETH first oscillated higher, peaking at the 2520-2530 resistance zone before slightly retreating. Hourly charts show high-level consolidation with volume increase during the rise, indicating capital inflow.
ETH is strongly correlated with BTC, which is the main market indicator; the overall market capitalization has risen to 2.82 trillion USD, with market sentiment favoring risk.
Short-Term Key Levels (Technical Reference)
Resistance above: $2530-2580, with a breakout targeting around $2650
Support below: $2440, $2390; if it falls below $2390, the rebound structure will weaken Surging to $1025: $ZEC 's real fire is in the ecosystem.
Recently, $ZEC's rally is forming a rare resonance.
On-chain data shows "BTC OG whale" Garrett shorted about 32,760 ZEC at an average price of $444. Now with the price approaching $1025, the unrealized loss is about $19.03 million.
Although his BTC long position has an unrealized profit of $5.38 million, it still cannot cover the loss from the ZEC short.
Such a huge contrarian short position may become fuel for a short squeeze.
$ZEC $LRCX USDT
Steady upward pressure. Trading near session highs with constructive structure. Momentum favors further gains.
EP: 298 – 304
TP1: 315
TP2: 328
SL: 290$BTC slips, but $ETH refuses to follow.
BTC: $77,771 | -0.83% ETH: $2,449 | nearly flat
BTC lost the $77.8K area after rejecting $79.2K, while ETH is showing clear relative strength.
Watch the liquidation map — key support levels could decide the next move.#WallerEyesAugCPI#WallerEyesAugCPI #BTCGoldRatioHigh #OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC $BICO USDT
Solid bounce with increasing volume. Price reclaiming short-term resistance. Bullish bias intact.
EP: 0.0223 – 0.0229
TP1: 0.0240
TP2: 0.0255
SL: 0.0215$BTC has pushed back above $80K, with the latest rally helped by softer Fed expectations and dovish comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller. Now the market is waiting for U.S. NFP data to see whether this momentum can continue. But I’m not chasing the move. My watchlist is structured differently: 🛡️ Core → $BTC $ETH ⚡ Momentum → $SOL $XRP 🎯 Higher Risk → $SUI $SEI The key levels I’m watching: $BTC → $80K–$82K $ETH → $2.4K–$2.5K $SOL → $190–$200 If price holds and builds higher lows, I’ll$PI is holding an important support zone around $0.09–$0.10 after a long consolidation.
the level I’m watching next is $0.20. A clean reclaim could shift the structure and bring $0.30+ into focus.
for now, the setup needs confirmation patience before chasing the move.#沃勒：August inflation determines whether there will be a rate hike in September
$BTC $ETH From leading indicators, ADP small nonfarm payrolls are only 38,000, and multiple employment data such as service sector employment and initial jobless claims have collectively weakened. The signal of cooling employment is very clear. The market has already priced in the expectation of "weaker nonfarm payrolls and the Fed pausing rate hikes." Major coins have already experienced an upward trend before the news. Buying the expectation and selling the fact is the biggest trap tonight.
$ETH This means: even if the nonfarm data is positive, it is easy to see "once the data is released, bulls cash out and prices surge then fall back"; conversely, if nonfarm payrolls significantly exceed expectations, bears will face a definite market correction.
Two or three scenario scripts, with the latest long-short probabilities (updated version)
Scenario 1: Nonfarm < 45,000 (significantly below expectations) | Probability 50%
Conditions: New employment is significantly below the expected threshold of 56,000, unemployment rate ≥ 4.1%, wage growth slows.
Macroeconomic implication: Employment market confirmed to be cooling, September Fed rate hike expectations significantly cool down, theoretically favorable for the crypto market.
Market risk point: Expectations have been priced in advance, very likely to see an initial rally followed by a plunge, meaning positive news is realized and bulls take profits. Do not chase longs just because the data is weak.
Scenario 2: Nonfarm 45,000–70,000 (within expected range, neutral) | Probability 25%
Conditions: Data is close to market expectations, no clear directional signal.
Market trend: Typical wide-range oscillation with two-way spikes to shake out positions. After the news, there will be an initial surge, then a reversal downward, cutting stops on both sides; the market will leave the main suspense for next week's CPI inflation data, with no one-sided big move tonight.
Scenario 3: Nonfarm > 70,000 (employment stronger than expected) | Probability 25%
Conditions: New employment significantly exceeds expectations, labor market resilience surpasses market imagination.
Macroeconomic implication: Market pricing for restarting September rate hikes, strengthening USD and US Treasury yields, risk assets under pressure, cryptocurrencies enter a correction phase.$UNI USDT is gaining momentum at 6.282, currently up 0.62%. The move is smaller, but buyers are still maintaining positive pressure. If UNI breaks higher with stronger volume, momentum could accelerate quickly. Traders are watching for confirmation because the next push may decide whether this move develops into something much bigger.
#BOJHikeOddsRise #BOJHikeOddsRise #LSETokenizesUKStocks U.S. Treasury yields fluctuate at high levels as the market awaits employment data to find the Federal Reserve's next signal
After a week of intense volatility, the U.S. Treasury market has finally calmed down a bit, but investors remain on edge.
On September 4, U.S. Treasury yields were basically stable on Friday, with the 10-year Treasury yield hovering around 4.76%, though it has risen about 5 basis points over the past five trading days.
The market is now focused on one key data point—the employment report.
This data could determine whether the Federal Reserve will continue to maintain high interest rates or start signaling rate cuts.
Looking back at this week, the Treasury market has been on a "roller coaster."
At the beginning of the week, influenced by rising energy prices and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Powell, the 10-year Treasury yield surged to nearly a three-year high.
In simple terms, the market worries that:
Inflation may heat up again, and the pace of Fed rate cuts may slow down.
But by Thursday, Fed Governor Waller sent a different signal, suggesting inflationary pressures might be easing, which boosted bond market sentiment, pushed Treasury prices up, and yields began to fall.
This reflects a problem:
The current Federal Reserve is easier to understand than before but increasingly harder to predict.
Florian Ielpo, Head of Macro at investment firm Lombard Odier, said that uncertainty in monetary policy is becoming a major source of market volatility.
For the crypto market, changes in U.S. Treasury yields have always been an important indicator.Why does the A-share market always open high and then fall to trap investors, even when overseas markets surge?
Today, the A-share market was again disappointing. While overseas markets were thriving, the A-shares surged then crashed, with the three major indices all closing lower. More stocks fell than rose, and trading volume surged past 2 trillion, indicating intense profit-taking.
The only bright spot was the pork and livestock sector, which defied the trend with a wave of limit-up gains due to the combined effects of the El Niño extreme weather forecast and recovering pork prices. The tech and AI sectors were heavily hit, playing out an ironic scene of "pigs eating technology."
The reasons for the plunge are clear:
Nonfarm payroll data is approaching
The US nonfarm payroll data will be released tonight. Whether it overheats or cools down will cause sharp fluctuations in the Fed's rate cut policy. Domestic institutions, lacking a sense of security, chose to preemptively sell off to hedge risks.
Rumors and disturbances
Sudden rumors on foreign websites about Trump's death disturbed market sentiment, coupled with domestic semiconductor short-selling rumors, which precisely hit the already fragile high-tech stocks.
Fragile capital structure
The overseas surge raised opening expectations, which instead created an excellent opportunity for profit-taking and liquidity release by onshore holders.
This trend exposes the market's core problem:
Lack of sustained incremental buying capital, relying purely on stock redistribution and short-term high sell/low buy tactics.
Forecast for the near future
In the short term, the market will maintain a consolidation bottom above 3900 points. After high-tech stocks are squeezed out, the market will seek a new bottom next week.
As long as the nonfarm data does not bring major negative news, the late-session bottom-fishing funds indicate support remains below. In terms of operations, don't rush to blindly bottom-fish; wait for high-level chips to clear and the trend to stabilize before seeking low-entry opportunities.
DYOR