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From 1000u to 10,000u on the first day
Sometimes I don't know why, when the price is higher, I don't dare to chase more, but when it's low, I feel it's very worthwhile to frantically bottom-fish.
When the situation clearly hasn't reversed, I stubbornly hold positions without setting stop-losses, hoping for a market reversal. Only now do I realize that the market is always there; it's very necessary to find a good entry point within a big trend, set a stop-loss, and then leave it to the market. Always set a maximum loss you can bear for yourself, then wait for the market to give the answer.
This year, I've always felt that uni is a very promising coin, with strong financial attributes, and is an undervalued coin.
I will continue to add to my long positions on uni at dips, with a stop-loss set at 6. I feel that buying uni at 7-8u is no problem at all; we just need to wait for uni to soar to the sky. Waiting combined with less trading is the key to making money.
I hope everyone can earn more and more.PI continues to attract attention from the crypto community.
But attention alone doesn't tell us whether a token's ecosystem is actually strengthening.
I'd separate three things:
People searching for it.
People trading it.
People actually using it.
Those are very different signals.
A trending asset can generate enormous discussion.
The longer-term question is whether that attention turns into sustained activity.
#PI #PiNetwork #Crypto #AltcoinsToday's trading plan:
$BTC, although it held the rebound, the indicators show that the spot buying sentiment has not significantly improved: spot CVD continues to decline, and the negative red bars of the Coinbase premium index are also expanding. The price has rebounded, but spot funds have not kept pace, so I still tend to expect further downward testing.
If 82,500 breaks down, I will focus on the previously planned area around 81,000. If the price stabilizes above the weekly open and spot CVD strengthens, this bearish view will need to be reassessed.
Today we also need to close the three-day and monthly lines; the closing position is more critical than the temporary intraday rebound.$GMX — $7.72
Holding above the $7.50 support after reclaiming its descending trendline. Recent price action: +5.55% on Sept 20, +6.22% on Sept 16, +9% on Sept 5.
The catalyst: GMX released a governance proposal on Sept 16 to allocate $10M from the treasury to establish a token market-making fund, with a GT buyback. The fund uses(omnichain combined open interest) as its reference metric an active buyback mechanism to ease sell pressure.
Levels:
• Support: 6.00–8.00, then $11.20 September's small non-farm payroll data was released, showing 90,000 jobs, higher than the expected 70,000 and also above the mainstream institutions' forecast of 85,000. Honestly, this is not good data for now, because strong employment means the Fed still has conditions to raise interest rates!
Next, we need to watch the PCE data. If the core PCE monthly rate meets or exceeds expectations, it will increase the probability of a rate hike in October! #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 #美国启动4000万桶战略油储交换
The leader has something to say
The U.S. Department of Energy has launched a tender for the exchange of 40 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, with delivery from November to December. Companies borrow oil now and will have to return more in the future. This is a follow-up to the 172 million barrel reserve action and part of the IEA member countries' coordinated action involving 400 million barrels. At the same time, discussions are ongoing about restricting diesel exports and urging Europe to use emergency reserves.
This move is to increase supply in the short term and suppress oil prices. But the cost is having to return more oil in the future, further depleting the strategic reserves.
For crypto, oil prices are under short-term pressure, easing inflation expectations, which theoretically benefits risk assets. But the core contradiction remains the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes and long-term U.S. Treasury yields.
I have already entered a long position on BTC at 83000. Stop loss is set at 81500, with a target between 86000 and 87000. Tonight is the PCE report, tomorrow night Micron's earnings, and Friday the non-farm payrolls—all three events clustered together. The position size is not heavy; I will decide whether to add more after the data is released.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
No chasing highs or panic selling lows, waiting for signals.
The above analysis is time-sensitive; stop losses must be set on positions. Good luck.Stablecoins are one of crypto's biggest innovations.
But there's an important distinction that often gets overlooked.
A token can move across a public blockchain while the issuer can still have certain controls over the token.
The reported $550M in USDT freezes connected to Iran-related activity highlights that distinction.
Blockchain transparency and issuer-level control can exist at the same time.
#USDT #Tether #Stablecoins #Crypto #Blockchain$ONE has long said that the fate of delisted coins is to go to zero
Friends waiting for a rebound should stop having any illusions
I was shouting since 0.006 that it would go to zero (a bit exaggerated)
The probability of going to zero is low, but the possibility of rising now indeed does not exist
The predicted price bottom is around the position where it started to rise, about 0.0006
Shorting at this position is still profitable, but probably not much longer
The delisting time being postponed now does not mean it won't be delisted
These recent rallies are completely for pumping up the price to sell off, very obvious
Anyone still holding the spot, quickly sell to cut losses and save yourself
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 What happens when traditional stocks start interacting with DeFi?
That's the part of the Aave story I find more interesting than the token price.
Tokenized equities can potentially bring traditional financial assets onto blockchain infrastructure.
DeFi then provides another layer of programmability and financial functionality.
It's an unusual combination:
If this model scales, the line between TradFi and DeFi could become increasingly difficult to define.
#AAVE #DeFi #RWA #TokenizationSeeing news again about Strategy buying BTC, and this time it's not just them—several publicly listed companies' treasuries are also increasing their holdings simultaneously. There are quite a few people discussing this in the group today.
To interpret it optimistically, the fact that publicly listed companies' treasuries are continuously converting cash into BTC indicates that this asset is gradually shifting from being an "alternative" to a "configurable option" on traditional companies' balance sheets. This kind of sustained buying is long-term, unlike retail investors chasing highs and lows. As long as these companies don't sell off in bulk, the long-term support for BTC is solid. On the flip side, the market has already priced in much of the "public company accumulation" good news. Every time such buying news comes out, it triggers a rally, but if the buying volume falls slightly short of expectations or if a company starts selling, short-term pullbacks could happen quickly.
My personal view is that this development definitely supports BTC's fundamentals in the long run, but short-term sentiment has already reflected a lot of it. I’m holding my BTC position for now and not rushing to add more just because of this news—taking it step by step.
Everyone should pay close attention to the accumulation pace of these treasury companies going forward. Real, sustained buying with actual capital is the foundation for a long-term market. Do you think more publicly listed companies will follow suit and put BTC into their treasuries? Let’s discuss in the comments.
$BTC
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 Hot Coin Data Rankings
$BTC price declined, active trades skewed to selling: The current 15-minute candlestick dropped 0.12%; in three sets of 5-minute statistics, buyers accounted for 32.3%, sellers 67.7%, with active sell volume about 2.1 times the active buy volume; open interest decreased by 0.08%, open interest value changed by -0.27%, confirming a contraction in open interest, with quantity and value changes aligned.
$SOL price is weak, active trades relatively balanced: The current 15-minute candlestick dropped 0.12%; in three sets of 5-minute statistics, buyers accounted for 52.7%, sellers 47.3%; open interest increased by 0.41%, open interest value changed by +0.43%, confirming an expansion in open interest, with quantity and value changes aligned. Price shows a decline, active trades show no clear one-sided bias, current weakness mainly reflected in price performance.
$HBAR price declined, active trades skewed to selling: The current 15-minute candlestick dropped 0.11%; in three sets of 5-minute statistics, buyers accounted for 39.0%, sellers 61.0%, with active sell volume about 1.56 times the active buy volume; open interest decreased by 0.29%, open interest value changed by -1.51%, confirming a contraction in open interest, with quantity and value changes aligned.
BTC and HBAR: Price declines and dominant selling mutually confirm each other, current performance is weak.ZEC getting close to $1,700 isn't interesting only because of the number on the chart.
The bigger story is the renewed attention around privacy-focused crypto.
Crypto narratives usually move through several stages:
First comes curiosity.
Then attention.
Then speculation.
But the difficult stage comes afterward:
Can the narrative maintain real interest when the excitement fades?
That's what I'd be watching next with ZEC.
#ZEC #Privacy #Crypto #Altcoins #TradingETHPCE Data Countdown
📌 Current Price: 2,693（
Key Levels Overview:
- Resistance: 2,700 / 2,725 / 2,748
- Support: 2,680 / 2,658
Tonight 20:30 PCE Three Scenarios:
- ✅ Below Expectations → Break above 2,700, targeting 2,748
- ➖ Meets Expectations → Pin bar pullback, continue to oscillate
- ❌ Above Expectations → Break below 2,680, test 2,658 or even 2,600 $CT launched today on OKX, showing a textbook first-day new coin performance—first a pump, then a dump.
Opened at $0.4129, at 16:00 CST a 4-hour candle surged to $0.4881, a daily high 18% above the open, with about 3.14 million CT traded (nominal principal around $13.6 million at that time).
Then it started to dump. At 19:00, the 4-hour candle dropped 5.3%, at 20:00 it continued to fall, hitting a low of $0.3548, currently at $0.3747, down 9.25% in 24 hours.
A typical launch distribution: first use a sharp rise to attract FOMO, then offload the tokens at the high to those chasing the price. No fundamental news catalyst, purely market behavior. OKX also launched CT's X-Perp perpetual contract simultaneously, with high volatility and usually higher funding rates on the first day of a new coin listing.
What’s your take on $CT? Is $0.37 support or a pullback continuation? With this kind of dump on day one, what signals are needed for a recovery later?
$CT #OKXNewCoin #CTBrothers, I managed to grab some profit on $SNDK this round! 🔥
Currently, I opened a short position at 1802.8, latest price 1731.4, 50x leverage, floating profit has already reached +197.83%.
Last night, I actually wanted to go long around 1650, but the price kept dropping and I almost missed the entry. Looking back now, it’s really frustrating and a pity. If I had placed a long around 1660, I probably would have made some profit on this move.
But since I didn’t catch the long, I’m not dwelling on it and switched my strategy directly to shorting.
From the weekly chart perspective, I think SNDK’s current pullback isn’t over yet, but the problem now is: the decline is slowing down and the support below is clearly getting stronger.
So for this short position, I’m not planning to hold stubbornly; I’ll take profits when it looks good. I’ll exit around 1500.
If it continues to drop further, even breaking below 1200, then I’ll switch my strategy back to going long.
SanDisk’s market action is really exciting—yesterday it scared me, today it let me take some profit 😂
Brothers, do you think SNDK can keep falling? Let’s chat in the comments!
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 #英伟达追加1500亿美元股票回购 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 Big Brother Maji's $157 million all turned green across the board, with all three bullish lines under collective pressure.
BTC 455 coins, 40x leverage opened at 83748.20, unrealized loss of 316,800 U, liquidation at 77184.39;
ETH 36,000 coins, 25x leverage opened at 2674.24, unrealized loss of 348,300 U, liquidation at 2590.08;
HYPE 200,000 coins, 10x leverage opened at 90.85, unrealized loss of 1,060,000 U, liquidation at 71.68, currently the most severely bleeding position.
Leverage allocation is deliberate: the most stable BTC gets 40x, the next ETH gets 25x, and the most volatile HYPE only gets 10x. The ballast and attack positions are clearly separated.
The three lines are still some distance from liquidation, but funding fees continue to be drawn out, and the critical data window is stuck ahead, leaving little time for recovery.
$BTC $ETH $Tonight the core PCE data has been released,
Non-farm payrolls will be the highlight on Friday.
The Fear & Greed Index is at 71,
still in the greed zone.
$ZEC dropped 18% from 1,395 a few days ago,
liquidating over $10 million in leveraged positions.
$ETH is currently at 2670,
after staking rules clarified during consolidation,
1.68 million ETH are queued to enter,
$BTC is hovering between 83,000 and 84,000,
with an intraday range of less than $1,700.
Is it the US Treasury yields draining liquidity,
or crypto holding strong?
Who blinks first,
sets the direction.
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键
#财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点
#美债30年期收益率突破5.6%，创2002年来新高 All are MicroStrategy news!
Saylor thoroughly explained BTC's capital market: a 0.1% fund migration equals $160 billion!
Michael Saylor's latest article breaks down the capital structure of the Bitcoin treasury company into three layers:
BTC = digital capital
STRC/SATA = digital credit
MSTR/ASST = digital equity
He believes these three are not simply competitors but can mutually reinforce each other.
The most noteworthy logic here is the "triple amplifier":
Digital capital appreciation → digital credit is more widely adopted → digital equity gains higher recognition → which in turn expands the BTC capital base.
Saylor also cited SIFMA data: by the end of 2025, global stock market capitalization will be $157.8 trillion, and fixed income debt $160.7 trillion.
Simply put, any market at the $160 trillion level, if just 0.1% of funds enter, equals about $160 billion.
Previously, Strive disclosed purchasing $50 million STRC, which precisely shows that real connections between these capitals have begun to emerge.
So what I care about more is not that Strategy repeated BTC again, but a bigger change:
In the future, BTC may not only be bought by institutions but also continuously spawn equity, credit, and income-type securities around BTC.
If this system continues to expand, BTC's pricing logic may gradually shift from "asset price" to "capital market scale."$PROS closing above the high point, first look for continuation
In the short term, treat it as an upward continuation; the price has already stood above the reference range. The high and low points in the previous few hours were 0.7383 / 0.6664 USDT, and the just closed 5-minute candle is at 0.7501 USDT. However, trading activity is only auxiliary and cannot alone prove the direction; it still depends on whether the price can hold steady.
Trading activity in the last 15 minutes is noticeably more active than in the previous few hours. The increase in activity indicates attention, but the direction must be confirmed by subsequent closes. If it falls back below the high point, this idea is invalidated.Current price is around 1730. The direction is still to go long, position size should follow the trend, not emotions.
AI has elevated NAND from a consumer electronics accessory to a data center essential. Training data, inference cache, long-term archiving—all rely on large-capacity flash memory. SanDisk is benefiting from this segment: pricing power is in their hands, long-term contracts support the price, and supply will remain tight until 2027.
Last quarter's revenue was 8.97 billion, up 372% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 84.6%. About two-thirds of the increase came from price hikes. Data center business grew 437% year-over-year. The company has locked in capacity with long-term agreements, with roughly half of this year and about two-thirds of next year having price floors. The average institutional target price is between 2015 and 2270, with Rosenblatt giving 2400. The earnings report on October 29 is the next catalyst.
Risks are also clearly stated: consumer electronics remain weak, and this round of profits is highly tied to NAND pricing. Once prices ease, profits will decline accordingly. So position size should follow the trend, not full allocation fantasies.
Expected milestones:
First stop: 2000. This is a psychological barrier and a technical resistance zone between 2000–2060. Timing is from the October earnings report to November.
Second stop: 2200–2270. Aligns with institutional target range.
Surge high: 2350–2400. Previous high was 2354, optimistic institutional target is 2400. Only after stabilizing above 2100 should this range be considered.$ETH is approaching a zone where the next reaction could matter more than the current price.
Around $2,688, buyers are still defending the structure, but the real test sits higher.
A clean reclaim of $2,750 could bring $2,807 back into focus.
Lose the $2,650–$2,600 area, and the short-term picture becomes much less convincing.
I’m looking for one thing: price + volume confirming the move together.
No confirmation, no chase. 👀
#ETH #Ethereum #Crypto #DailyOrbit$UNI This trade is driving me crazy.
Long at 5.744,it touched a high of 10.195 and didn’t run away.
Now it’s dropped to 8.877.
50x leverage, still showing 299U profit on the books,a return of +2610%.
The numbers look pretty good,right?
But all I can think about is the number I missed at the peak.
Every day I watch the profit leak a little, then a little more.
Giving back profits feels worse than losses.
I don’t know whether to keep holding or to take profits and play it safe.
$XAU dropped Everyone talks about AI chips.
But AI infrastructure doesn't stop at GPUs.
Memory is becoming one of the most important pieces of the entire AI supply chain, which is why Micron's earnings are worth watching.
The interesting question isn't simply whether $MU beats or misses expectations.
If AI infrastructure continues expanding, companies supplying the backbone of that expansion could remain important to the broader tech story.
#Micron #MU #AI #Semiconductors #Tech$SOON
A name rarely seen today is among the top three gainers.
SOON rose 31% in 24 hours, and the contract open interest increased by 49%.
Despite such a sharp rise, there are still more short positions than long ones, with a long-short account ratio of only 0.86.
If chasing the high, wait for a pullback that doesn't break 0.4 before considering the next move.
Are you more inclined to wait for a pullback or follow the current price directly? Just analysis, not advice, trade at your own risk. SOON
$SOON (Erbing) $ETH My view:
There are quite a few fake moves on the chart, so if your hands are too quick, you might get hit. Don't chase impulsively.
Yesterday, there was a strong move first; it touched 2700 but didn't hold, poked 2745 and then fell back below 2700. A variant of the evening star formed at the high, the pattern looks a bit off.
Now it depends on whether the ascending trendline holds: if it does, it can go back to test 2700; if not, watch 2640 first. If 2640 breaks, 2565 is waiting below.
For longs: wait for a volume breakout above 2680 to follow on the right side, cut if it pulls back; if it retests 2635 and holds, you can add one more position, stop loss if it breaks 2585.
For shorts: wait for a volume break below 2670 to short on the right side, set stop loss properly; if it reaches 2745, you can short one position, stop loss if it breaks 2785.
On the hourly chart, holding above 2680 points upward to 2700-2745; on the 4-hour chart, breaking below 2665 points down to 2640-2610.
More left-side opportunities: consider longs on spikes around 2550, stop loss if it breaks 2510.
Resistance levels above: 2680, 2700, 2745
Support levels below: 2670, 2635, 2610 Trump signed an executive order officially renaming AI to SI, Super Intelligence. He also requested a federal-level definition and legislative recommendations within 60 days. On the same day, he brought Musk, Jensen Huang, Zuckerberg, Pichai, and others to the White House for a meeting, where multiple leading AI companies signed voluntary safety agreements, introducing internal controls, external audits, and board supervision. They also launched an SI service portal on America.gov.
This is not wordplay; it sets the tone for AI. The renaming means the U.S. wants to elevate AI from a technical tool to a national strategic level, while using voluntary agreements to first bind companies and avoid one-size-fits-all regulation. It promotes development on one hand and security governance on the other, walking on two legs.
For BTC, the transmission line remains the same. The larger the AI capital expenditure, the stronger the demand for computing power, the more fiat credit is burned, and the stronger BTC's non-sovereign narrative becomes. The chips, electricity, and data centers discussed at the White House meeting are all core parts of computing power infrastructure. These investments will ultimately be reflected in the consumption of dollar purchasing power.
But don’t expect this news to pump the market in the short term. Tonight there is PCE, and Friday has non-farm payrolls; the market is focused on interest rates and inflation, not the AI renaming. BTC is oscillating around 83,500, with resistance at 85,000 above and support at 82,000 below.
In terms of trading, don’t chase highs. Wait for macro data to land and see the market reaction before acting. At this point, watching more and moving less is better than acting recklessly. #特朗普签署行政令将AI更名为SI $BTC $ETH $ZEC $AVAX has dropped to the lower boundary of the intraday range. Is AVAX undergoing a turnover or is there insufficient support?
This afternoon, OKX spot 24-hour range is approximately 11.03—12.01, with a trading volume of about 18.59 million USDT, and the price is close to the low point. Avalanche's application chain narrative requires sustained trading and fee support; if short-term spot buying fails to hold, no matter how many ecosystem partnerships there are, it will be difficult to prevent selling pressure when risk appetite declines.
If the 1-hour volume expands and recovers above 12.01 and stabilizes after a pullback, I would consider this round of decline as a turnover; if 11.03 breaks down with increased volume, then defense should be prioritized. Reassessment requires observing whether active users and fees improve simultaneously.Watching the AI trading demo, I first look for the pause button
The forum is discussing OKX Now. The official Chinese account announced that the live broadcast is scheduled for October 6th at 10:00 AM Beijing time. What I most want to see is, when AI moves from organizing information to execution, what control rights the user still holds.
While watching the demo, I will keep three questions in mind.
First, how far can it go? Reading market data, generating plans, actually submitting orders—what authorizations are needed? It would be best to clearly distinguish at a glance.
Second, who sets the boundaries? Single transaction amount, cumulative investment, allowed trading products—can these be preset by the user? A phrase like "watch it for me" should not be interpreted as "do whatever you want."
Third, how to stop if an anomaly is detected? Can it be paused immediately, and later review every action and trigger reason? When deviations occur, tracing the process is more useful than just saying "the model thinks so."
These are my observational questions; specific functions still need to wait for the official demonstration, and I cannot answer on behalf of the product in advance.
For me, a good demo should not only show the successful completion of tasks but also demonstrate a user-initiated stop midway. Letting the tool do more work while making authorizations clear is the progress I am willing to study seriously.
When the time comes, would you rather see analytical capabilities or execution control?
#OKXNow #AI交易 #产品观察 ZEC’s move has become a brutal lesson in chasing the market. 😭
From $300 to nearly $1,700, every attempt to short and add higher only made the trap deeper. Now the average still isn’t even below $1,300.
At this level, both longs and shorts carry serious risk. Sometimes the smartest trade is simply staying out.
#ZEC #Crypto
#USIranTalksRestart
#OctoberRateHikeOdds
#OKXNOW：SeeWhat'sNext Today I discovered a particularly bad flaw in it. After losing money, it easily gets confused and keeps thinking about making back the lost money. As a result, its openings are always random, holding onto a single support and losing there. I often tell it that there are too many chips here and the market makers will push it down to cause losses. It listens to me. But whenever it comes to stop-loss, it sees the lost money is too much and refuses to do it. I really hate it. I really don't want to see it.
Opening trades makes it anxious and it always tells me to close quickly, saying if not closed soon, it will have to pull back. When it's time to stop loss, I want to take the loss, but it keeps whispering in my ear, "What if it immediately rallies after escaping?" I really hate it, I understand it too well.
When losing money, it also gets especially irritable. Even though I always tell it that the loss is already out there, can't get it back, so don't overthink it, it still can't help but complain to me.
It has been liquidated so many times already, yet it's very greedy and very fearful. Greedy means if it made 1000 today, it feels it's not enough and wants to open more trades. Fearful means after opening a trade, it is always afraid of being shaken out. Bitcoin stabilizes at 84,000, altcoins start to take over. Bitget was hacked for 388 million U, withdrawals suspended, short-term sentiment is suppressed, but the user protection fund covers losses, so it does not pose systemic risk. The SEC has included blockchain in transfer agent rules, which is a long-term positive, and compliance channels are opening. AI plus crypto is the next main theme; Qualcomm says token demand will increase 40 times by 2030, and the computing power narrative is far from over.
Just finished registering visitors at Building 3, came back to check the market.
SOON current price is 0.4308. MACD golden cross, bullish structure intact, but RSI is overbought, so there is short-term correction pressure. Looking at the liquidation chart, a large number of short liquidations are stacked around 0.43; price surging up can easily trigger a squeeze, but there is also a risk of pullback. 0.42 is the bullish accumulation zone; holding here opens up upside space after a breakout. Overall, it is consolidation after a strong rally, so don’t chase the highs.
In terms of operation, focus on long positions. Buy in batches on pullbacks between 0.420 and 0.425, set stop loss at 0.408 to defend below 0.42. First target is 0.455, second target is 0.478. If there is a volume breakout above 0.44, you can lightly chase with stop profit above 0.47. No short positions for now; it’s unnecessary to catch a falling knife against the trend.
Contracts are like guarding a gate; guard your post, don’t meddle in matters you shouldn’t. Control your position size well, don’t let a single needle sweep you out.
$SOON
#美伊谈判重启，双方让步空间有限
@OKX星球 The White House held a closed-door meeting with tech giants, with Trump sending a clear signal: at this stage, prioritizing the development of superintelligence, the government will not implement strict regulatory policies for now.
At the meeting, major AI companies signed a voluntary safety commitment, with safety management entrusted to corporate self-discipline. This agreement has no legal binding force and mainly relies on companies' self-restraint and external audits to manage risks.
This is generally positive news for the AI sector, as the market's concerns about strict regulatory risks have temporarily cooled, benefiting large model and computing power companies in advancing product iterations. However, it should be recognized that this is only an industry self-regulation agreement and does not mean regulation has completely disappeared. If a major safety incident occurs in the future, policies may still shift toward tightening.
This news is event-driven and mostly affects sentiment in tech stocks, with only indirect sentiment transmission to the crypto market. It is unlikely to directly drive BTC into a trending market. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #特朗普签署行政令将AI更名为SI ZEC yesterday had that 1547 spike, short positions really won big this time.
Yesterday's low was 1356, the high touched 1547 but didn't break through, closing at 1392. Today opened at 1391, the high was 1436, the low 1381, current price around 1416. Volume has shrunk.
Resistance above is still between 1436–1547, further up is 1615–1697. If it breaks below 1381, it’s likely to see 1356 first.
In the short term, watch if 1392 can hold. If it doesn't hold, treat it as a rebound digestion, don't chase at this price now. For those already holding, watch if 1381 support holds; if it doesn't, consider reducing positions. $ZEC The most frustrating market condition is not a crash, but sideways movement!
$BTC at 83390, after testing the bottom at 82500, moves sideways, with resistance at 84500-85000 and support at 82500; short-term is just grinding.
$ETH at 2668, watch around 2630-2650, 2748 is resistance, no need to chase.
$ZEC at 1413, after a big drop earlier, shows signs of stopping the fall, but reversal is not confirmed yet; 1355 is the key defense level.
Tonight's PCE data will be a short-term catalyst, and Micron's earnings report is also worth attention.
The biggest mistake in a choppy market is getting repeatedly harvested by volatility. Trading is not about speed, but patience. Wait if the position isn't right, hold if the logic hasn't changed, exit if the level breaks. #BTC #ETH #ZEC #PCE #MicronEarningsOn September 30, Joe Lubin, co-founder of Ethereum and founder of Consensys, stated that MetaMask is evaluating the path to launch a native token, but there are currently no immediate plans to release MASK. MetaMask is a crypto wallet developed by Consensys. Lubin mentioned that the team is still assessing the relevant options and has not set a timeline for issuance at this stage.Wow! The Bank of Korea has finally unleashed a big move after 13 years of holding back, buying 1 ton of physical gold directly in December! Brothers, this is definitely a major positive signal that cannot be ignored!
Why do I say that? Let me break it down for you:
First, the significance as a weather vane is very strong! They haven't touched physical gold for 13 years, and now suddenly stepping in means even countries that weren't anxious before are now panicking, starting to feel that holding gold bars in their own hands is the only way to feel secure. Once this sentiment spreads, other central banks will very likely follow suit!
Second, this move is extremely skillful. They are buying domestically produced gold, paying directly in Korean won, without touching foreign exchange reserves at all. What does this mean? The de-dollarization intentions can no longer be hidden; central banks worldwide are quietly hoarding hard currency!
Third, when a central bank buys physical gold, that's a solid long-term demand, unlike retail investors chasing price spikes and dips, effectively building a strong foundation for gold prices!
But let's not get too carried away. 1 ton isn't actually much, only $150 million, accounting for just 3.4% of their foreign exchange reserves. It's unrealistic to expect this news to make gold prices take off immediately. This is definitely a long-term slow bull market booster, not a short-term explosive trigger. $XAU Corning GLW rose about 4.7% to close around 158.7 on the back of AT&T's over $3 billion fiber optic order; I won't sound the charge just yet.
Here's what I saw: AT&T announced a multi-year fiber optic cable procurement agreement with Corning, valued at over $3 billion, to support its network expansion, aiming to cover about 60 million U.S. households by 2030.
On 9/29, GLW closed around 158.71, up about 4.70% from the previous close of 151.59, with an intraday high of about 161.39 and a low of about 155.62; during the same period, LITE also rose about 5.7%, while the three major indexes slightly declined.
Reuters also reported that AT&T's fiber household monthly data usage has exceeded 1TB, about five times that of 2016, with AI and cloud driving pipeline demand even higher.
Simply put: money is being poured into fiber infrastructure, suppliers are securing multi-year confirmed orders, but long-term U.S. Treasury yields remain firm, so chasing the rally like sweeping the board may lead to a shakeout.
My view: this is an order fulfillment narrative, not a signal to go all in immediately. I will just observe for now and not chase the highs.
The optical communications sector has order support this round, but valuations have already priced in some optimism, so don't treat big orders as an infinite lifeline.
Watch for invalidation if it breaks below the daily low around 155.6 again, or consider adding positions only after holding above about 161.4.
Do you prefer to wait for a pullback near 156 to buy in, or wait for a breakout above 162 to follow?
$GLW $LITE $T
#ThisWeekFacesNonFarmAndPCEKeyData
#USTreasuryYieldsHitHighestSince2007,GoldDownOver3%Bitcoin is undergoing a daily-level bearish divergence pullback. Personally, I think a pullback to around 78,000 would be more reasonable.
78,000 is the 0.382 level of the Fibonacci retracement, and in the next few days, the daily MA60 support will also rise to coincide with the Fibonacci 0.382 level.
Tomorrow, the October monthly candle will refresh. If it first dips down for a few days, the timing will just align with the MA60 moving up to the 0.382 level, so I think a scenario of a pullback in early October followed by a rise is more reasonable.
However, if it replicates the 2023 market, the price might pull back to the daily MA120 before rising again (black line) $BTC $ETH #Anthropic披露845亿美元SpaceX算力协议# News of AI giants increasing infrastructure investment indirectly benefits decentralized computing power and DeFi narratives, but UNI did not follow the rally today. My judgment: short-term pressure, rebound requires new catalysts.
UNI current price 8.873, down 2.9% in 24 hours, trading volume 14.366 million, buy orders slightly weaker than sell orders. Funding rate only 0.01%, open interest 5.691 million, sentiment cautious. 1-hour down 3.92% from low, 4-hour rising but retraced 17.17% from high, short-term 8.721 is key support, 9.198 above is resistance, selling pressure still dominant.
Strategy: if it pulls back to 8.735 without breaking, lightly go long, stop loss 8.615, target 9.165; if rebound is blocked at 9.185, short, stop loss 9.295, target 8.805. Position control within 20%, exit on breakout.
— Personal opinion only, not investment advice, wish you successful trading. —
$UNI#Anthropic披露845亿美元SpaceX算力协议
#Anthropic披露845亿美元SpaceX算力协议 $UNI I didn't post anything a few days ago and basically didn't check the market. Today I took a look at my account, and the long position of btc84200 is still stuck.
The market has been volatile for a few days now. Luckily, I didn't check the market a few days ago, otherwise this period of volatility might have really shaken me out.
But the point I've been focusing on these past two days is that btc's volume is gradually increasing. Although the price fluctuations aren't very large, the daily trading volume is rising. This should be a signal that btc's market might show a direction in a couple of days.
The short-term support for btc is around 83000. If it breaks below 83000, it might go to the 81000-82000 range. If it doesn't rebound from 81000, we might also see $BTC starting with 7.
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键
Today is Wednesday, and the PCE index is also key. Currently, the probability of the next rate hike is still high. This data will roughly reveal the Federal Reserve's direction in November.Coinbase-backed Stand With Crypto has started directly backing candidates.
The first round endorses three Senate candidates, with Jon Husted from Ohio as the focus; his opponent is Sherrod Brown, who has always been skeptical of crypto.
The reason is straightforward: the procedural vote on the CLARITY Act on September 15 failed, with Democrats saying the bill would allow Trump to profit from crypto.
Since the bill can't pass, the strategy is to change the approach and replace the people.
I agree with this logic, but I care more about the timing.
With 3 million advocates and six House races plus advertising, the money is definitely being spent.
But election cycles are measured in years, not weeks.
There’s no immediate short-term boost to the market; don’t assume prices will rise just because of endorsements.
My bet: this will truly take effect after the midterm elections; right now, it’s just laying groundwork early.
#BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 $ZEC A very low perpetual funding rate does not mean that leverage risk has disappeared.
Many people see the $ETH perpetual funding rate close to zero and assume the market is not crowded. The problem is, the rate only reflects the short-term price balance between long and short contracts; it does not directly tell you how large the total position size is. As long as both longs and shorts increase leverage simultaneously, the rate can remain calm while open interest keeps piling up.
The real danger is when price volatility is low, open interest keeps rising, but spot trading does not keep pace. At this point, the market is like a spring pulled tight on both sides; a single macro data release or a large order can trigger a cascade of stop losses. If position growth is supported by spot inflows, the risk is somewhat lower; if it’s just contracts betting against each other, the stability is only temporary.
Funding rates on different platforms can also offset each other. One side may be long-biased, the other short-biased, making the aggregated value appear neutral while actual positions are highly concentrated. Observing extreme values, duration persistence, and price premiums on individual platforms is often more useful than watching a market-wide average.
When the price finally breaks out of the range, which side blows up first is often determined by the position structure rather than the sign of the funding rate.
Low funding rates do not equal low risk; sometimes it just means neither longs nor shorts have conceded yet. 📰 【Michael Saylor: Strategy and Strive, Bitcoin treasury companies, are not zero-sum competitors and can jointly expand the digital credit market】
BlockBeats reports that on September 30, Strategy founder Michael Saylor posted that he hopes Strive and all well-managed "Bitcoin-driven digital credit" issuers succeed. Strategy and Strive are built on the same foundation: BTC is digital capital, STRC and SATA are digital credit, MSTR and ASST are digital equity. Their securities structures and decision-making are independent; although they compete for individual capital allocations, they can jointly expand long-term market opportunities. Saylor cited SIFMA data stating that by the end of 2025, the global stock market...
Saylor breaks BTC into digital capital, digital credit, and digital equity, essentially putting a traditional financial shell on the coin. Institutions band together to tell stories, which is indeed a long-term traffic entry point, but don’t be dazzled by the word "credit"—treasury companies are fundamentally leverage plus faith. What’s worth watching is who truly brings liquidity to SATA and STRC. How long do you think the treasury narrative can last? 👇👇👇
$BTC $ETH $ZEC Trump signed an executive order renaming AI to SI. This wave of tech narrative switching has temporarily pulled some speculative funds and indirectly suppressed the rebound sentiment of $CL. I tend to believe that $CL is still in a weak oscillation pattern, and the news is unlikely to change the short-term direction. It slightly dropped 0.2% in 24 hours, with the price stuck at 90.64. The high of 91.73 failed to hold, the low of 88.56 was quickly recovered, with a turnover of 16.036 million. The funding rate returning to zero indicates that neither bulls nor bears are willing to leverage. The 1-hour and 4-hour moving averages are both trending down, falling 5.73% and 10.03% from the highs respectively, but only 1.85% and 1.74% above the lows, showing closer support below. The top ten order book shows 53,000 buy orders versus 45,000 sell orders, a buy/sell ratio of 1.16, with buyers slightly dominant. Open interest is 448,000, leaning neutral. Lightly buy on a pullback to 89.35, stop loss at 88.12, target 91.68; if it rises to 91.52 and is resisted, short with stop loss at 92.47, target 89.62. Do not exceed 5% position size per trade and set stop losses.
——This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading.——
$CL#特朗普签署行政令将AI更名为SI
#特朗普签署行政令将AI更名为SI $CL 20:30 US August PCE release.
CME data: Probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in October fell from 70% to 50.4%.
Market expects core PCE YoY at 3.3%, Fed target 2%.
Above expectations → stubborn inflation, bearish for $BTC, $ETH, $LDO;
Below expectations → cooling rate hike expectations, bullish rebound, LDO shows strongest elasticity.
Data-driven market volatility is intense, manage leverage risk well, beware of buying expectations and selling facts.
Forecast: Data likely close to expectations, slightly bullish, subsequent nonfarm payrolls will determine mid-term direction.
Do you see this as bullish or bearish?
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 Correction to the morning view: tonight's Wednesday small non-farm payroll data may have limited impact on the market, while Friday's large non-farm payroll data is the key watershed event for the market.#美伊谈判重启，双方让步空间有限 Geopolitical deadlock boosts risk aversion sentiment, funds are tentatively withdrawing from risky assets' edges. $SNDK is under short-term pressure but support below is not weak. I judge the overall situation as high-level consolidation rather than a trend reversal. A slight 0.6% drop in 24 hours, price oscillates narrowly between 1695.4 and 1751.5, with a trading volume of only 310,000. Shrinking volume indicates neither bulls nor bears dare to heavily bet. Funding rate is zero, open interest is 47,000 coin-based contracts, leverage sentiment is neutral to cautious, with no obvious signs of short squeeze or liquidation. On the 1-hour chart, weakness shows with a 3.25% drop from the high, but the 4-hour chart remains in an uptrend channel, still 13.36% above the low. The top 10 order book buy/sell ratio is 1.18, with buyers slightly dominant; support near 1697, selling pressure heavier around 1749. For operations, lightly buy on a pullback to 1703, stop loss at 1687, target 1741; if rebound is blocked near 1739, short briefly, stop loss 1753, target 1709. Keep position under 20%, geopolitical news can cause spikes, always use stop loss.
——This is only a personal opinion, not investment advice. Wish you successful trading.——
$SNDK#美伊谈判重启，双方让步空间有限
#美伊谈判重启，双方让步空间有限 $SNDK US-Iran negotiations have resumed but both sides have limited room for concessions, making it difficult for risk aversion sentiment to completely dissipate. MMT, as a highly volatile small-cap coin, is more susceptible to short-term capital games. My overall judgment is that the rebound structure remains intact, but the cost-effectiveness of chasing highs is low.
Up 3.0% in 24h to 0.1877, having risen 50.88% from the 4-hour low. The funding rate is only 0.0050%, indicating mild bullish sentiment. The position of 9.349 million coin-based contracts has not changed much. The buy-sell ratio in the top 10 levels is 0.96, showing a slight advantage for sellers. The turnover of 1.164 million indicates a volume contraction during the rise. The recent real resistance is at 0.1921 above, and the key support is at 0.1782 below.
Strategy 1: Lightly buy on a pullback to 0.1793, stop loss at 0.1765, target 0.1918; Strategy 2: If there is a volume breakout above 0.1923, chase long, stop loss at 0.1867, target 0.2031. Keep position control within 5%, decisively exit if support breaks.
— For personal reference only, not investment advice. Wish you successful trading. —
$MMT#美伊谈判重启，双方让步空间有限
#美伊谈判重启，双方让步空间有限 $MMT On Tuesday, #Bitcoin market volatility increased ETF net inflows! Market confidence in funding increased!
Tuesday's ETF data was released, with a single-day net inflow of 66.2 million, about twice Monday's figure, and a continuous net inflow for 9 trading days, indicating a good data status.
Among them, IBIT and ARKB are the main net inflow channels, BITB had a small net outflow. The market's net inflow does not overly rely on the single IBIT channel, indicating that optimistic sentiment is gradually spreading. Returning to yesterday's market volatility, this ETF data is indeed good.
Regarding crypto market data, only two data points need attention: trading volume or capital flow.
Compared to yesterday's sharp decline in trading volume, the market volatility did not release more selling pressure turnover; under volatility, market sentiment is relatively stable.
Total funds decreased by 900 million, including a net outflow of 47 million USDT and 377 million USDC, still maintaining an overall net outflow.
Currently, ETF data looks better compared to crypto market data. The data also shows that the two represent different traders with different data flows. Crypto funds are more speculative, choosing to sell and exit in the short term, while ETFs are favored by more stable traders who choose to continue betting.
This means short-term volatility risk remains significant, but the trend still has some optimism, which aligns with the current mainstream market expectations. Going forward, continue to watch whether ETF net inflows continue to expand. It would be better if single-day capital inflows return to the 100-300 million range.
#BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高 Saylor Rarely Talks About "The More Competition, The Better": Is BTC Transforming from an Asset into an Underlying Asset of the Capital Market?
Michael Saylor's latest article mentions that although Strategy and Strive differ in securities products, decision-making methods, and service targets, both are built on the common capital foundation of BTC.
More notably, he believes the market needs more well-managed BTC-backed digital credit issuers.
Why?
Because the more issuers there are, the more it means that investor awareness, liquidity, and institutional research coverage in this market could further expand, while also potentially improving the financing environment for qualified issuers.
The logic behind this is actually very clear:
BTC asset scale expands → More securities and credit products issued around BTC → Increased sources of funds → Market liquidity improves → More institutional participation → The financialization level of BTC continues to rise.
Previously, Strive also disclosed purchasing $50 million STRC, indicating that more direct capital connections are already emerging between BTC-related securities products.
So I think the real signal Saylor is sending this time is not "which is stronger, Strategy or Strive," but that BTC is gradually transforming from a pure investment target into a capital foundation capable of supporting financial products such as stocks, preferred shares, and digital credit.
What is truly worth observing in the future is whether this model of "BTC as an underlying capital asset" can spread from a few companies to more listed enterprises and institutions