#USNFPDataCools
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About USNFPDataCools
US nonfarm payrolls rose by just 29,000 in September, well below expectations of around 85,000, while unemployment climbed to 4.2%. August payrolls were revised down to 133,000 and July to a 10,000 decline, reducing combined gains by 60,000. Average hourly earnings rose 0.1% month on month and 3.0% year on year, adding to signs of a cooling labor market.
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🚨 MACRO DATA JUST LIT UP THE CRYPTO MARKET! 🔥
BTC surged to $86,764 while ETH rushed to $2,753 as the latest economic data triggered a sharp market reaction.
📊 Nonfarm Payrolls: 29K vs 90K expected
📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2%
💵 Average Hourly Earnings: 3.0%
The weaker-than-expected jobs data has intensified rate-cut expectations, sending fresh capital into BTC and ETH.
The “data landing = offensive” scenario is playing out.
But here’s the key: #DailyOrbit
🔥 Today’s major news
* NFP: +29K jobs, far below the roughly 90K expected.
* U.S. unemployment rose to 4.2%.
* The weaker jobs data reduced expectations for an October Fed rate hike.
* Gold initially jumped more than 1%, reaching about $4,223.49.
📊 Levels to watch
Bullish scenario: If XAU/USD holds above $4,160–$4,180 and breaks $4,230, the next area to monitor is around $4,300.
U.S. nonfarm payrolls added 29,000 in September, far below market expectations of 90,000, with the previous value revised down from 162,000. Private sector employment increased by 46,000, also below the expected 85,000, with the previous value revised down from 127,000. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, higher than the expected 4.1% and up from the previous 4.1%. Year-on-year growth in average hourly earnings fell to 3%, below the expected 3.2% and the previous 3.1%. All four indicators fell
OKX Macro Pulse
Số lượng việc làm phi nông nghiệp tại Mỹ tăng 29.000 trong tháng 9, thấp hơn nhiều so với dự báo thị trường là 90.000, với giá trị trước đó được điều chỉnh giảm từ 162.000. Việc làm trong khu vực tư nhân tăng 46.000, cũng thấp hơn mức dự kiến 85.000, với giá trị trước đó giảm từ 127.000. Tỷ lệ thất nghiệp tăng lên 4,2%, cao hơn dự kiến 4,1% và tăng từ mức trước đó là 4,1%. Tăng trưởng lương trung bình theo giờ so với cùng kỳ năm xuống còn 3%, thấp hơn dự kiến 3,2% và mức trước đó là 3,1%. Cả bốn chỉ số đều thấp hơn kỳ vọng, rõ ràng báo hiệu thị trường việc làm đang lạnh đi. Theo các báo cáo của truyền thông tài chính, số lượng việc làm trong tháng 8 giảm xuống còn 7,079 triệu, thấp hơn dự kiến 7,225 triệu, với giá trị trước đó được điều chỉnh xuống 7,335 triệu, phù hợp với xu hướng suy yếu của việc làm phi nông nghiệp này và đồng thời chỉ ra sự co lại tiếp tục của nhu cầu lao động. Tỷ lệ thất nghiệp tăng cùng với tăng trưởng tiền lương chậm lại đồng nghĩa với việc cả cung và cầu trên thị trường lao động đều suy yếu đồng thời, một sự kết hợp có thể ảnh hưởng đến kỳ vọng thị trường về các chính sách trong tương lai. #9月非农今晚公布, kỳ vọng tăng lãi suất trở thành trọng tâm
BTC vs NFP — latest
The September U.S. NFP report came in very weak:
* 🇺🇸 NFP: +29K jobs vs +90K expected
* Unemployment: 4.2% vs 4.1% expected
* July + August payrolls were revised down by 60K combined.
* Markets reduced expectations for an October Fed hike, which is generally supportive for risk assets such as BTC.
* BTC reacted upward, moving above $86K–$87K after the data.
BTC reaction logic:
Weak NFP → lower rate-hike expectations → potentially weaker USD/yields → BTC bullish pressure.
US jobs data just changed the Fed rate-cut/hike picture.
Unemployment climbed to 4.2%, while payrolls rose only 29K vs 90K expected.
With PCE also coming in softer, the US labor market is showing clear signs of cooling.
Weak jobs + softer inflation = less pressure for another hike.
Rate hike hopes taking another hit.
UP-tober ✅
Oc-tOVER ❌
Send everything higher. 🚀
#USNFPDataCools #BTCETHETFOutflows #USTreasuryYieldsSurge
TODAY'S JOB DATA KILLED THE LAST RATE HIKE HOPES.
Today, the US unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, its highest level since June 2026.
At the same time, the US economy added just 29K jobs, while the expectation was for 90K.
Last month, the US economy added 162K jobs, which means the labor market is getting weak at a rapid pace.
This week's PCE data already came lower than expected, and now with the labor market getting squeezed, the Fed won't make a mistake of hiking rates.
#USJobsDataToday Today’s jobs report feels less like an employment story and more like a test of how much patience the Fed actually has 👀
Consensus expects just 84K new jobs in September, nearly half August’s 162K, while unemployment is seen holding at 4.1%.
What caught my attention is the tension underneath the data. Inflation is still uncomfortable, with August PCE at 3.4% and core at 3.0%, yet hiring appears to be slowing. At the same time, jobless claims fell to 197K, so the labor market isn’t exactly collapsing.
Jefferson added another wrinkle: higher market rates may already be doing some of the Fed’s tightening, giving policymakers more time before adjusting rates again.
That makes today’s payroll number more than a beat-or-miss event.
A weak print could strengthen the case for patience. A strong one could revive hike expectations.
For BTC, gold and risk assets, the real question is whether the economy is cooling enough to tame inflation without forcing the Fed back into action.
Many people have not yet realized that what truly influences the market right now is not the K-line itself, but the changing expectations of Federal Reserve liquidity #加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键
The market has gradually delayed the rate hike forecast, and this sentiment has quietly been reflected in the crypto market. The key focus now is the September non-farm payroll data.
