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Khalifabagan
Khalifabagan
Bitcoin Is Holding $77K. But Friday’s Jobs Data Could Matter More Than the Chart. $BTC is struggling around the $77K area after August delivered a roughly 25% rally. The obvious focus is whether Bitcoin can reclaim $80K. I think the more important question is what happens to liquidity after the next U.S. labor data. Markets are currently pricing roughly a 66% probability of a September Fed rate hike. At the same time, oil remains elevated and inflation pressure is making the Fed’s decision harder. That creates an unusual setup. A weaker jobs report could reduce rate-hike expectations and support risk assets. A stronger-than-expected report could do the opposite by giving the Fed more room to keep policy restrictive. So the jobs data is not just another economic release for crypto. It could directly change the liquidity conditions behind the next major move. My radar is watching the reaction in $BTC first. If Bitcoin holds support despite elevated yields and hawkish rate expectations, that would tell me buyers are absorbing macro pressure. If $BTC loses support as yields rise, I would become much more cautious. The second layer is capital rotation. $ETH remains important because August saw strong institutional demand for Ethereum ETFs. $SOL, $XRP and $BNB are also on my radar for relative strength if risk appetite improves. Then I want to see whether that strength spreads into higher-beta assets. $SUI, $APT, $AVAX, $NEAR and $SEI can show whether traders are willing to increase Layer 1 exposure. DeFi provides another confirmation. $AAVE, $UNI, $CRV and $PENDLE should start benefiting if liquidity moves deeper into on-chain markets. For infrastructure, $LINK and $ONDO remain important because tokenization and institutional blockchain adoption are longer-term themes that can survive short-term volatility. The bigger signal is not simply whether Friday’s jobs number is good or bad. It is how the market interprets it through the Fed. #LastNFPBeforeFOMC #AVGODipsSNOWPops #SaudiCrude9YearLow

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