#WalshInflationRisk

🌃 Avant Jackson Hole｜Waller sera-t-il faucon ou colombe ? Ce soir à 20h30, les données PCE de juillet aux États-Unis seront publiées en premier ; vendredi, c'est au tour de Waller. L'inflation et les signaux de politique monétaire pourraient à nouveau influencer les marchés américains, l'or et les cryptomonnaies. #杰克逊霍尔临近，沃什能否明确政策路径 N'hésitez pas à cliquer sur le sujet pour plus d'informations, discutons ensemble : pensez-vous que Waller émettra un signal faucon ou colombe ? 📊 Vous souhaitez suivre le marché américain ? OKX a désormais lancé $SPY, $QQQ, pour suivre les fluctuations du marché américain et ne pas manquer les opportunités de trading liées aux discours des banques centrales.

Honestly, I’m speechless. Warsh’s speech was hawkish, pretty much exactly as expected. The irony is that while he talks about reducing “forward guidance,” his own comments are effectively providing the same kind of forward guidance he claims to oppose. After the speech, the probability of a September rate hike once again moved above the odds of rates remaining unchanged. #WalshInflationRisk #BTCGoldCorrelation #SpaceXRevenueBy2033

🚨 BITCOIN JUST GOT SLAMMED — AND ALMOST NO ONE SAW IT COMING. $BTC briefly touched $81K, then suddenly dropped below $77K. And no, this wasn’t a hack or some massive whale dump. The trigger? A hawkish Fed speech at Jackson Hole, which sent September rate-hike expectations sharply higher — from roughly 35% to nearly 60%. The result? Almost $488M in crypto positions were liquidated.#WalshInflationRisk #BTCGoldCorrelation #SchwabExpandsCrypto

[Pharaoh's Market Watch] What exactly did Waller say last night? Is a September rate hike certain? Pharaoh directly states that he didn’t call for a rate hike but planted plenty of hawkish signals. The 16-page speech boiled down to three sentences: First, inflation remains the number one enemy; over half of the items in the PCE basket have risen more than 3% #WalshInflationRisk #BTCGoldCorrelation #SchwabExpandsCrypto

MACRO HAS CHANGED THE SHORT TERM GAME The Jackson Hole message was a clear reminder that the market may have priced in easier monetary policy too quickly. The Fed didn't promise rate cuts. Instead, the focus remains firmly on inflation, employment and financial conditions, leaving the door open to tighter policy if the data demands it. Markets reacted immediately. September rate-hike expectations moved sharply higher, while Treasury yields and the dollar strengthened. That combination creates a difficult environment for crypto. Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding risk assets. A stronger dollar can also reduce global liquidity available for speculative markets. And when liquidity becomes tighter, the assets with the highest beta usually feel the pressure first. That's why I'm more cautious on altcoins, meme coins and heavily leveraged positions in the short term. But I wouldn't jump from "hawkish Fed" straight to "new bear market." The Fed hasn't actually delivered a rate hike. The next major data points still matter. If inflation remains stubborn and employment stays strong, markets could continue pricing a higher-for-longer environment. If inflation cools and labor-market conditions weaken, rate-hike expectations could reverse just as quickly. For BTC, the immediate priority is defending support and rebuilding momentum rather than chasing another breakout. For ETH, the same principle applies. A bounce from support is encouraging, but it needs follow through before calling the correction finished. So my current view is simple: Short-term: cautious and bearish. Medium-term: waiting for the data. The biggest mistake right now would be treating one macro event as the final verdict. Let the price confirm what the macro is telling us. If buyers can absorb the pressure and reclaim key resistance, the bullish structure can recover. If support keeps breaking while yields and the dollar continue rising, the market may need a deeper reset. For now, bulls need to prove they still have control. #WalshPolicyFramework

THE BULL MARKET DREAM HAS TAKEN A HIT 📉 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized that U.S. inflation remains too elevated and that controlling prices remains a major priority for the Fed. The hawkish tone triggered a sharp reaction across risk assets. Expectations for a September rate hike reportedly jumped from around 36% to 60%, adding further pressure to global markets. #WalshInflationRisk #BTCGoldCorrelation #SchwabExpandsCrypto

🚨 BITCOIN JUST GOT SLAMMED — AND ALMOST NO ONE SAW IT COMING. $BTC briefly touched $81K, then suddenly dropped below $77K. And no, this wasn’t a hack or some massive whale dump. The trigger? A hawkish Fed speech at Jackson Hole, which sent September rate-hike expectations sharply higher — from roughly 35% to nearly 60%. The result? Almost $488M in crypto positions were liquidated.#WalshInflationRisk #BTCGoldCorrelation #SchwabExpandsCrypto

🚨 BITCOIN JUST GOT SLAMMED — AND ALMOST NO ONE SAW IT COMING. $BTC briefly touched $81K, then suddenly dropped below $77K. And no, this wasn’t a hack or some massive whale dump. The trigger? A hawkish Fed speech at Jackson Hole, which sent September rate-hike expectations sharply higher — from roughly 35% to nearly 60%. The result? Almost $488M in crypto positions were liquidated.#WalshInflationRisk #BTCGoldCorrelation #WalshInflationRisk #BTCGoldCorrelation #SchwabExpandsCrypto

🌎 MACRO JUST SENT A WARNING The latest signal from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is clear: inflation remains the priority, and rates could stay higher if price pressures don't move convincingly toward 2%. For crypto, that changes the setup: Higher rates → tighter liquidity → tougher conditions for risk assets. $BTC's next move may depend less on momentum and more on whether macro conditions improve. Watch inflation. Watch yields. Watch liquidity. $BTC $ETH #WalshInflationRisk

$BTC sprinted from the low $60Ks to $81K in roughly nine days. Then Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole remarks dragged it back near $76,845, with rate-hike odds for September climbing fast. Momentum indicators are curling upward regardless. Not collapse, not certainty — just genuine tension at a real crossroads. #WalshInflationRisk #BTCGoldCorrelation #SchwabExpandsCrypto

🚨 TONIGHT COULD BE A BIG REPRICING NIGHT FOR BTC Everyone is asking the same question: Will Walsh signal a September rate cut? I think that’s the wrong question. The bigger issue tonight is how the Fed defines the inflation problem — and how much room it really has to ease. #WalshPolicyFramework #AIShiftsToSoftware #BTCOptionsExpiryTest