Postaus

#WarshAtJacksonHole risk may be giving markets too much clarity. Once Warsh lays out what inflation, jobs or growth would trigger a hike, every data release becomes easier to trade against that framework. That could mean sharper moves in yields, the dollar and BTC whenever numbers surprise. Markets say they want predictability, but a clear Fed reaction function can also make macro data more powerful. Jackson Hole may reduce policy uncertainty while increasing event volatility