
#LastNFPBeforeFOMC
About LastNFPBeforeFOMC
One major release remains before the Sep 16 FOMC. August ADP payrolls rose just 38K versus 47K expected, the slowest since January. The Sep 2 Beige Book said 10 of 12 districts saw modest growth and hiring slowed. Yet CME still prices a 25bp hike at 62.3%. Core PCE held at 3.3%, while Carson found 54% of 178 PCE items rose over 3% YoY, up from 47% a year ago. Williams called inflation encouraging but stayed wait-and-see. August payrolls arrive Sep 4 at 8:30am, the final puzzle piece.
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Perspectiva del informe de empleo no agrícola del viernes: ¿cómo elegirá la Reserva Federal ante la desaceleración del empleo y el repunte de la inflación?
Título original: Vista previa de las nóminas no agrícolas de EE. UU. en agosto: ¿Cuánto impactará en la decisión de la Fed sobre el aumento de tasas en septiembre?
Autor original: Yulia Zeng, TradingKey
Nota del editor: La Oficina de Estadísticas Laborales de EE. UU. publicará el informe de empleo no agrícola de agosto el 4 de septiembre, siendo este el último informe completo de empleo antes de la reunión de política monetaria de la Fed del 15 al 16 de septiembre. En julio, el empleo no agrí

NFP: THE NEXT BIG TEST
August NFP lands today, September 4, as the key labor signal before the September FOMC. Forecasts call for roughly 55K jobs after July’s surprise 23K decline, keeping markets highly sensitive to the print.
$BTC trades near $78K, $ETH around $2.4K, while $SOL and $OKB remain closely watched. ETF flows are mixed: BTC ETFs attracted $101M on September 2, while ETH ETFs lost $48.2M.
Weak NFP could boost easing hopes; strong data could revive hawkish pressure.

🚨 FRIDAY’S NONFARM PAYROLLS COULD SET THE TONE FOR GOLD, BTC & THE ENTIRE MARKET.
This Friday at 20:30, the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report drops — the last major employment data point before the Sept. 15–16 FOMC meeting.
It carries serious weight, especially after Walsh turned hawkish and September rate-hike expectations jumped above 60%.
Here’s the key:
📊 55K–58K jobs + 4.1% unemployment?
That probably won’t be enough to kill the rate-hike narrative.
#DailyOrbit


🚨 Tomorrow’s Nonfarm Payrolls could shake the entire crypto market — but here’s what most traders are missing.
Friday’s US jobs report is the last major piece of data before the next FOMC meeting, and everyone is watching for one thing: Will the data trigger a real market dump, or create another golden buying opportunity?
In my view, markets don’t simply trade the data — they trade expectations.
#DailyOrbit

NFP: THE NEXT BIG TEST
August NFP lands today, September 4, as the key labor signal before the September FOMC. Forecasts call for roughly 55K jobs after July’s surprise 23K decline, keeping markets highly sensitive to the print.
$BTC trades near $78K, $ETH around $2.4K, while $SOL and $OKB remain closely watched. ETF flows are mixed: BTC ETFs attracted $101M on September 2, while ETH ETFs lost $48.2M.
Weak NFP could boost easing hopes; strong data could revive hawkish pressure.

NFP: THE NEXT BIG TEST
August NFP lands today, September 4, as the key labor signal before the September FOMC. Forecasts call for roughly 55K jobs after July’s surprise 23K decline, keeping markets highly sensitive to the print.
$BTC trades near $78K, $ETH around $2.4K, while $SOL and $OKB remain closely watched. ETF flows are mixed: BTC ETFs attracted $101M on September 2, while ETH ETFs lost $48.2M.
Weak NFP could boost easing hopes; strong data could revive hawkish pressure.
MC前最后一组数据:本周五非农
After reviewing analyses from various experts, everyone seems to think there will be a rate hike!
The non-farm payroll data will be released this Friday night, showing how many jobs were added in the US last month.
Finding a job recently isn't as easy as before. Yet many still believe the Fed might raise rates again in September.
This is because things are still expensive, prices haven't returned to the levels they want, and many items remain costly#LastNFPBeforeFOMC #
Ahead of the major data release, did I enter my position the wrong way?
This Friday brings the final Non-Farm Payrolls report before the upcoming FOMC meeting, and the entire market is on edge.
Traders are watching closely because the jobs data could significantly shift expectations around future interest-rate decisions—and potentially set the short-term direction for the broader market.
#LastNFPBeforeFOMC
#AVGODipsSNOWPops
#RobinhoodChainRevenue
BTC holding near $77,837 while ETH and SOL lag its daily gain suggests this is still a selective risk bid, not a broad crypto breakout. I would treat the move as cautious positioning into the last NFP before the FOMC, with macro sensitivity still in control.
Gold ETF inflows and weak crude add to the defensive backdrop. Until participation widens beyond BTC, durability matters more than headline momentum, and stronger balance sheets should command the premium.
Just my read, not advice.
Bitcoin Is Holding $77K. But the Fed Trade Is Starting to Change.
$BTC is still trading around $77K, but the bigger market story is moving away from Bitcoin itself.
U.S. private-sector job growth came in weaker than expected, Treasury yields eased, and the dollar softened. At the same time, markets are still pricing a meaningful chance of a September Fed hike.
That creates a strange setup.
Bad economic data is usually negative for growth.
For crypto, it can become bullish if it makes the Fed less aggressive.
The problem is inflation.
Oil remains above $90, which keeps the inflation side of the equation alive. That means weaker employment does not automatically translate into easier monetary policy.
My radar is watching the gap between growth and inflation expectations.
If labor data continues weakening while inflation pressure cools, yields could fall further and liquidity expectations could improve.
That would give $BTC a much stronger environment to reclaim higher levels.
But if jobs weaken while oil keeps inflation elevated, the Fed could remain restrictive.
That is where the market can get trapped.
The second signal is how crypto responds before the Fed even makes a decision.
$ETH remains important because its ETF demand has recently stayed strong. $SOL and $XRP can show whether institutional interest is broadening beyond Bitcoin.
I am also watching $BNB, $SUI, $APT, $AVAX and $NEAR for signs that traders are willing to increase risk outside the majors.
If that happens, $SEI could provide another read on Layer 1 appetite.
DeFi would be even more interesting.
$AAVE, $UNI, $CRV and $PENDLE can tell us whether improving liquidity is reaching on-chain financial activity rather than stopping at large-cap assets.
For infrastructure, $LINK and $ONDO remain on my radar as tokenization and institutional blockchain adoption continue developing.
The bigger thesis is simple:
The next Bitcoin move may be determined by the Fed reaction function, not by Bitcoin itself.
#LastNFPBeforeFOMC #AVGODipsSNOWPops #RobinhoodChainRWAvsMemes
Currently, the entire market's attention is focused on this Friday's non-farm payroll report, which is the most important employment reference before the FOMC interest rate meeting. It will directly rewrite the Federal Reserve's rate expectations, and the crypto market is bound to experience significant volatility.
At present, BTC is hovering in the 76000‑81000 range, with 77000 as the short-term lifeline; only by holding above this #LastNFPBeforeFOMC #AVGODipsSNOWPops #SaudiCrude9YearLow
