#LastNFPBeforeFOMC

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One major release remains before the Sep 16 FOMC. August ADP payrolls rose just 38K versus 47K expected, the slowest since January. The Sep 2 Beige Book said 10 of 12 districts saw modest growth and hiring slowed. Yet CME still prices a 25bp hike at 62.3%. Core PCE held at 3.3%, while Carson found 54% of 178 PCE items rose over 3% YoY, up from 47% a year ago. Williams called inflation encouraging but stayed wait-and-see. August payrolls arrive Sep 4 at 8:30am, the final puzzle piece.

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Blockbeats
Blockbeats
Friday Nonfarm Preview: Employment Cooling Meets Inflation Rebound, How Will the Fed Choose?
Original Title: US August Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: How Much Will It Impact the Fed's September Rate Hike Decision? Original Author: Yulia Zeng, TradingKey Editor's Note: The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the August nonfarm payroll report on September 4, which is the last complete employment report before the Federal Reserve's September 15-16 policy meeting. July's nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly decreased by 23,000, and May and June data were revised down by a total of 103,000; t
Soun Trader
Soun Trader
🚨 FRIDAY’S NONFARM PAYROLLS COULD SET THE TONE FOR GOLD, BTC & THE ENTIRE MARKET. This Friday at 20:30, the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report drops — the last major employment data point before the Sept. 15–16 FOMC meeting. It carries serious weight, especially after Walsh turned hawkish and September rate-hike expectations jumped above 60%. Here’s the key: 📊 55K–58K jobs + 4.1% unemployment? That probably won’t be enough to kill the rate-hike narrative. #DailyOrbit
AstraVex
AstraVex
Ahead of the major data release, did I enter my position the wrong way? This Friday brings the final Non-Farm Payrolls report before the upcoming FOMC meeting, and the entire market is on edge. Traders are watching closely because the jobs data could significantly shift expectations around future interest-rate decisions—and potentially set the short-term direction for the broader market. #LastNFPBeforeFOMC #AVGODipsSNOWPops #RobinhoodChainRevenue
Anfaal Akram
Anfaal Akram
🚨 TONIGHT COULD BE A CRITICAL MOMENT FOR $BTC The market has been waiting for a catalyst, and we may finally get one tonight. 👀 U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is due at 8:30 PM, while recent Fed comments have kept the September rate decision highly uncertain#LastNFPBeforeFOMC #AVGODipsSNOWPops #RobinhoodChainRevenue
Eshal fatima
Eshal fatima
Last set of data before MC: Non-farm payroll this Friday After reviewing analyses from various experts, everyone seems to think there will be a rate hike! The non-farm payroll data will be released this Friday night, showing how many jobs were added in the US last month. Finding a job recently isn't as easy as before. Yet many still believe the Fed might raise rates again in September. This is because things are still expensive, prices haven't returned to the levels they want, and many items remain costly#LastNFPBeforeFOMC #
Birdie_OKX
Birdie_OKX
BTC holding near $77,837 while ETH and SOL lag its daily gain suggests this is still a selective risk bid, not a broad crypto breakout. I would treat the move as cautious positioning into the last NFP before the FOMC, with macro sensitivity still in control. Gold ETF inflows and weak crude add to the defensive backdrop. Until participation widens beyond BTC, durability matters more than headline momentum, and stronger balance sheets should command the premium. Just my read, not advice.
DuaFatima
DuaFatima
Tonight's small non-farm payrolls were below expectations $BTC $ETH collectively stopped falling and slowly rebounded It still feels like short-term manipulation by the market makers But in the long term it seems the upward wave is not over yet Compared to before, tonight has lowered the rate hike expectations from 67% before the release to 62% The big non-farm payrolls the day after tomorrow have become the key #LastNFPBeforeFOMC #AVGODipsSNOWPops #RobinhoodChainRevenue
Khalifabagan
Khalifabagan
Bitcoin Is Holding $77K. But the Fed Trade Is Starting to Change. $BTC is still trading around $77K, but the bigger market story is moving away from Bitcoin itself. U.S. private-sector job growth came in weaker than expected, Treasury yields eased, and the dollar softened. At the same time, markets are still pricing a meaningful chance of a September Fed hike. That creates a strange setup. Bad economic data is usually negative for growth. For crypto, it can become bullish if it makes the Fed less aggressive. The problem is inflation. Oil remains above $90, which keeps the inflation side of the equation alive. That means weaker employment does not automatically translate into easier monetary policy. My radar is watching the gap between growth and inflation expectations. If labor data continues weakening while inflation pressure cools, yields could fall further and liquidity expectations could improve. That would give $BTC a much stronger environment to reclaim higher levels. But if jobs weaken while oil keeps inflation elevated, the Fed could remain restrictive. That is where the market can get trapped. The second signal is how crypto responds before the Fed even makes a decision. $ETH remains important because its ETF demand has recently stayed strong. $SOL and $XRP can show whether institutional interest is broadening beyond Bitcoin. I am also watching $BNB, $SUI, $APT, $AVAX and $NEAR for signs that traders are willing to increase risk outside the majors. If that happens, $SEI could provide another read on Layer 1 appetite. DeFi would be even more interesting. $AAVE, $UNI, $CRV and $PENDLE can tell us whether improving liquidity is reaching on-chain financial activity rather than stopping at large-cap assets. For infrastructure, $LINK and $ONDO remain on my radar as tokenization and institutional blockchain adoption continue developing. The bigger thesis is simple: The next Bitcoin move may be determined by the Fed reaction function, not by Bitcoin itself. #LastNFPBeforeFOMC #AVGODipsSNOWPops #RobinhoodChainRWAvsMemes
margull Rani
margull Rani
Currently, the entire market's attention is focused on this Friday's non-farm payroll report, which is the most important employment reference before the FOMC interest rate meeting. It will directly rewrite the Federal Reserve's rate expectations, and the crypto market is bound to experience significant volatility. At present, BTC is hovering in the 76000‑81000 range, with 77000 as the short-term lifeline; only by holding above this #LastNFPBeforeFOMC #AVGODipsSNOWPops #SaudiCrude9YearLow
Wei lian
Wei lian
🚨 FOMC’s final test is here — BTC’s next move may depend on one number! Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls could decide the next crypto wave. 👀 Weak jobs data = rate cut hopes return, BTC could aim higher. Strong data = rate pressure stays, BTC may face another drop. Markets are split, volatility is loading. Don’t chase the candle — wait for the data to speak. ⚡ $BTC $ETH $SOL #FOMC Do you want the next version or ? #DailyOrbit
Leo luo trader
Leo luo trader
🚨 Tomorrow night could be a BIG moment for Bitcoin. Will $BTC pump or dump? The final major labor-market test before the September FOMC meeting is here. 📅 September 4 — 8:30 PM Beijing time 🇺🇸 August Nonfarm Payrolls will be released. But here’s the part many traders may overlook 👀 Don’t just watch the headline jobs number. Watch the revisions. Last time, July employment was revised down by 23K, while May and June were collectively revised down by 103K. #DailyOrbit