Orbit Post Sitemap
$CRV Trade Setup 👀
Entry: $0.398 – $0.3982
Target: 🎯 $0.441
Stop Loss: 🛑 $0.366
BOS confirmed and price is holding above the $0.385 support. Watching for continuation toward $0.44.
R:R ≈ 1:1.8
Keep an eye on it. 📈
#OKXNOW：SeeWhat'sNext
#PCEAndPayrollsWeek The earliest time I bought coins was after seeing a colleague's trade post.
He said $BTC was easy money.
I believed him and threw in the few thousand yuan I had saved.
The day after buying, the price started to drop.
During that time, I even skipped breakfast.
I secretly checked the market at work and got stared down by my supervisor several times.
Later I understood, this game isn’t about who’s smarter.
It’s about who can endure more and who knows their own limits.
I held $ETH, got itchy hands when it rose a bit.
When it dropped a bit, I cursed myself for being reckless.
Selling was scary because it might soar, not selling was scary because it might crash, constantly slapping myself in the face.
Later I tried $SOL, it was so fast it made my scalp tingle.
It surged in minutes and crashed in minutes.
People with weak hearts really shouldn’t touch it.
Now I rarely check groups.
I take trade calls as jokes.
Those showing off profits mostly want you to take over their positions.
Borrowing money to play, going all in, opening contracts, it’s all traps.
I’ve seen people get wildly arrogant after making money.
Also seen people lose so much they dare not tell their families.
In this circle, friendships turn sour faster than flipping a page.
So I only use spare money; losing it won’t affect my meals.
If I earn, I don’t get cocky; if I lose, I don’t make a fuss; as long as I can sleep well.
Don’t mistake luck for skill.
Don’t treat the market like an ATM.
Living long is more important than making a quick buck.
The market specializes in humbling the arrogant; I’ve long accepted that. #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点
#美债收益率创2007年来新高，黄金跌超3%
#BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高 ZEC you are really amazing. When making profits, it's just small gains; when holding, you lose a hundred thousand dollars a day.U Sister 9.29 Tuesday $SOL Strategy
Current price: 119.54
Short entry rebound range: 121.5‑122.8
Stop loss: Above 124
First take profit: 118, second take profit: 116.25
Market outlook:
After the previous surge to 124.99 forming a stage high, the overall trend shows a gradually descending correction from the high point. Although there were minor rebounds in between, the rebound strength was limited, indicating a corrective phase during the downtrend.
Regarding news, SOL itself lacks independent positive drivers; its price movement heavily depends on the rhythm of the BTC market. With BTC under continuous pressure, altcoins' upward momentum is suppressed. Do not short directly at the current price; wait for a rebound to the resistance level before entering short positions. If the price effectively holds above 124, it indicates the correction is over and the bullish trend resumes, so abandon the short strategy. The market is volatile with repeated fluctuations, and altcoins experience even greater swings, so strictly control position sizes. "Two Doors on the Liquidation Map"
Coinglass lays out the short-term scenarios for BTC and ETH.
ETH: $2532 is the lower boundary; if breached, the long liquidations on major CEXs amount to about $902 million; $2795 is the upper boundary; if surpassed, short liquidations amount to about $735 million.
BTC: Below $79,328, long liquidations total about $1.616 billion; above $87,154, short liquidations total about $1.288 billion.
Behind these numbers lies sentiment: below are stop losses and forced liquidations of leveraged longs, above is the fuel for short covering. BTC's lower liquidation is heavier, like a magnet; but ETH's upper and lower differences are smaller, making its direction more ambiguous. The market often sweeps liquidity first, then chooses direction—breaking below the lower boundary may trigger a chain of long position reductions; breaking above the upper boundary may trigger a short squeeze.
So the question isn't "will it definitely rise or fall," but which side ignites first. If volume supports the breakout, shorts suffer more; if the rebound is weak and key levels fail, longs suffer more.
Are you betting on a downward long explosion or an upward short explosion? $BTC $ETH
#美债收益率创2007年来新高，黄金跌超3% $LINK
Institutional on-chain acceleration: can LINK convert its infrastructure advantage into token demand?
Oracles, cross-chain, and asset data are key links for real assets going on-chain. If call volume and fees grow in sync, the value revaluation has a stronger foundation.
If cooperation increases but usage and revenue do not follow, I will lower my expectations.HYPE climbed to about 98 then dropped back to around 88: a pullback of about 10%, with whales dumping roughly $100 million, don't treat this as a free entry.
Observed: current price around 88.3, intraday low about 85.6; 9/22 high around 98.0, just shy of 100 before pulling back.
Catalysts include Gemini initiating about 2.1% staking and ongoing protocol burns, but whales are suppressing the market with roughly $100 million supply, while Pumpfun's weekly revenue briefly surpassed it.
Altcoins overall were weak the same day, with the 10-year US Treasury yield hitting a new high since 2007, suppressing risk appetite first.
Simply put: this looks more like "profit-taking before hitting 100 + unlocking noise," not an exchange crash overnight, but catching the top is not cost-effective.
My take: Non-farm payrolls and PCE data haven't landed yet, so don't reach out to catch a falling knife; first watch if the intraday low around 85.6 can hold.
For now, I’m only keeping an observation position, not chasing this dip; if invalidated, watch for a volume-driven break below about 85, or wait to regain around 94 before discussing the rhythm again.
Do you think it will first consolidate between 85–90 waiting for data, or break down directly and wait for PCE to decide?
#ThisWeekKeyNonFarmAndPCEData
#USTreasuryYieldHitsHighestSince2007GoldDropsOver3%
$HYPE $BTC $BNBLet's take a look at the Ripple part. First, the key points for this round: the current view remains unchanged. Bitcoin previously showed a short signal, and other coins might weaken together for a while, so everyone should act accordingly. Ripple's levels, take profit, and stop loss remain unchanged; operate with discipline. The current price is about 1.506, with a small 24-hour increase of about 0.6%. According to OKX, the 24-hour low is around 1.466, and the high is around 1.532. After holding the small low point at 1.466 this morning, it rebounded with the market in the afternoon back to around 1.5. Regarding operation suggestions, the view remains the same: from the current price up to 1.7, you can gradually add short positions, with a stop loss at 1.7 and take profit depending on personal preference. We reminded this morning that Ripple was just at a small low point, so a short-term rebound was possible, and it did rebound today. This rebound actually sends the price back to a better position for shorts: it just hit the lower edge of the selling pressure zone above. The approach remains the same: divide the total XRP short position into several parts, place a small portion at the current price, add another portion when it rebounds into the selling pressure zone, and the closer to 1.7, the smaller each portion should be. This way, even if there is a sudden surge due to news, the average cost and total loss remain within the plan. The stop loss must be set on the exchange, not just kept in mind. Act according to the situation and avoid getting emotional. Technically, still looking at the 4-hour chart. Last week, Ripple surged to around 1.65, marked as a weak high point on the chart, then formed a lower high around 1.62, followed by a continuous decline. The head is above 1.511. NMR Highlights (It is harder than most AI coins) 1. Alive since 2017, with real weekly competitions: data scientists train models using encrypted data → submit → stake NMR → good models earn NMR, bad models get burned. Not just AI on paper. 2. Fixed cap of 11 million, with a real burn mechanism: bad models burn tokens, strategy buybacks (multiple public buybacks in 2025–2026, totaling about $3.2 million), deflationary logic on the supply side. 3. Institutional narrative is genuine: J.P. Morgan Asset Management has committed $500 million capacity, Series C includes university endowment funds, Grayscale’s decentralized AI basket includes it. But—institutions buying funds/equity does not equal buying NMR. 4. AI + finance crossover narrative is rare: compared to FET/AGIX’s "general AI infrastructure," NMR is the coordination layer for "crowdsourced quantitative hedge funds," giving it a distinctive narrative. 2. Hard flaws ① Token does not capture fund income Numerai fund charges management and performance fees, which go to the company/investors; NMR holders receive no dividends, no fee switch, no staking yield (staking is for model credibility, not for earning returns). Fund AUM rose to $700 million, but NMR holders do not get direct payouts. The idea that "bullish fund → token must rise" is a false causality. ② User base is extremely narrow To use NMR well BTC ETF Key Data Today
The most noteworthy aspect of today's BTC spot ETF is not how large the inflows are, but that ETF funds continue to flow in even as BTC prices weaken.
On September 28, the total net inflow of US spot BTC ETFs was about $31 million, marking the 8th consecutive trading day of net inflows. The single-day amount has clearly cooled compared to previous days, but the direction of funds has not turned negative. BlackRock IBIT attracted about $54.8 million in a single day. (Pluang)
What does this mean? Simply put, the BTC price pullback has not been accompanied by a large-scale withdrawal of ETF funds. Funds are still continuously allocating BTC through spot ETFs, but the intensity has started to slow down.
Why is this change worth noting? Because in the previous week, ETFs experienced very strong capital inflows, with a cumulative net inflow of about $2.4 billion from September 21 to 25, while the latest single-day inflow has significantly shrunk. (Farside Investors)
Currently, BTC is fluctuating around $83,000. What is truly worth watching next is whether the ETF continuous inflows can persist and whether BTC prices will show new reactions when fund enthusiasm cools.
If ETFs continue to flow in but prices fail to improve noticeably, the market may soon face a more significant contradiction worth discussing...
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 #美债收益率创2007年来新高，黄金跌超3% $BTC $ZEC After these recent trades, my biggest takeaway isn't how tough the market is, but that my own trading discipline really still needs work.
A few days ago, I shorted ZEC at 1547, originally planning to take profit around 1450–1470. But the price didn't break the support near 1520 as expected; instead, it rebounded all the way up to about 1690. Then it fell back from 1690 to around 1530, and I finally closed my short position near 1547 for a profit.
My next plan was to wait for ZEC to rebound to 1580–1600 before looking for another short opportunity, since the daily chart structure was still weak at that time.
But then the problem came—I got itchy hands again.
Without waiting for the planned level, I opened a short early at 1562, then closed it around 1540. It looks like a profit, but in reality, making just one or two points each time is basically exchanging my principal and emotions for fees.
I made the same mistake again last night.
**Went long at 1537, hoping to catch a small rebound to about 1552 before exiting.** But the highest it rebounded was only 1547, then it quickly dropped.
Looking back now, that long at 1537 was clearly a counter-trend trade. The previous ultra-short rebound had already hit resistance near 1547, yet I stubbornly held on with hope, doubling my long position all the way to now, with unrealized losses reaching 20% at one point. $BTC Bitcoin finally dropped down, it almost triggered my liquidation last night.
This shows my overall direction was still correct, but I was too aggressive; I should have entered at 84000.
Currently, the overall trend is still weak. If 82500 breaks, the downtrend can continue. It's consolidating here now, most likely a bull trap.
$ETH Ethereum is quite strong today, with 2650 surprisingly acting as a major support. Sometimes I am forced to stop loss because my position is too heavy. Is it rational or just timely stop loss? This question has always puzzled me.Currently, the key positions are BTC 87131, ETH 2792, SOL 125.31. BTC just hit the previous key level, ETH had an extra wick, and SOL almost touched it. They are all out of sync, but the final closing lines are all below the key positions.Today ETH and ZEC showed a clear divergence. ETH is currently priced around 2670, with an intraday range between 2637 and 2716, overall maintaining a high-level oscillation structure. As long as the key support is not broken in the short term, I lean towards buying on dips.
Key support for ETH is between 2635 and 2660. If it dips and stabilizes in this range, a light long position can be taken, with a stop loss set below 2620. The first target is 2715, and if broken, then look towards 2775 to 2825. If 2635 is effectively broken and the rebound fails to retake this level, the short-term strategy should shift to bearish, with downside targets at 2600 and 2560.
ZEC is currently around 1387, having dropped more than 10% intraday, with a high near 1598 and a low probing 1361, showing much greater volatility than ETH. It is not suitable to bottom-fish directly now; only after reclaiming 1420 to 1450 should small long positions be considered. Resistance above is first at 1500, with strong resistance between 1580 and 1600.
If ZEC rebounds to around 1450 and weakens again, short positions can be attempted accordingly. Once 1360 is lost, further testing of 1300 below is possible. The overall strategy today is mainly to buy ETH on dips and short ZEC on rebounds, with ZEC positions best controlled to less than half of ETH's, waiting for better entry points. $ZEC 我們來看一下狗狗幣的部分。 先講這一輪的重點：目前看法依舊沒變。比特幣之前出現做空訊號，其他幣種可能會跟著一起走弱一段，大家見機行事。狗狗的點位、止盈止損都沒變，紀律操作。 現價約 0.0949，24 小時小漲大約 1.1%。以 OKX 來看，24 小時最低 0.0915 左右、最高 0.0955 左右，今天下午跟著大盤反彈，回到 0.095 上下。 操作建議的部分，看法不變：0.1 附近空，0.1 補倉，0.12 止損，止盈看個人。 今天這個小反彈，對我們的計畫反而是好事。早上我們說不要在 0.092 追空，要等它反彈到 0.1 附近再成交；現在價格回到 0.095，離 0.1 只剩大約 5% 左右，等於是朝我們要的位置靠近。所以不用因為它彈了就緊張，也不用因為它彈了就提早進場，單子預掛在 0.1 附近，讓價格自己來找你。沒到價就不成交，沒成交也沒關係。 狗狗是情緒幣，一根針上下好幾趴很常見，倉位一定要比大餅小，止損跟著單子一起掛。見機行事，不要上頭。 技術面上，一樣看 4 小時圖。上禮拜衝到 0.106 附近的弱高點之後被打下來；上面 0.0962 到 0.1015 是一大塊賣壓區Honestly, this round of trading really made me embody the phrase "newbie trader" to the fullest 😂
$ZEC kept dropping, and I actually dared to go long. I guess even Liang Jingru would have to psych herself up for me first.
Luckily, my position was very small this time. This morning when I saw ZEC drop below $1400, I got impulsive and opened a long position, thinking it should at least rebound a bit, right?
But the market directly told me: think again.
The price not only didn’t rebound, it kept falling further. Feeling something was off, I immediately stopped the loss, and the loss was about the price of a pork chop meal 🥲
I have to admit, I’m still a trading rookie, I like to play but I’m timid. Fortunately, I controlled my position size, so at least I didn’t hurt myself from one impulsive move.
Even luckier, my overall asset returns last week were still positive.
So now I increasingly feel that the most important thing in trading might not be catching every big surge, but rather not gambling recklessly, not getting itchy hands, and not trying to touch everything.
Hold your spot assets, control your position size, participate in some activities appropriately—many times this is much more comfortable than frequently opening and closing contracts.
Looking at today’s macro environment, the pressure isn’t just coming from the crypto market:
🛢️ Oil prices keep rising
📈 US Treasury yields remain high
🥇 Gold dropped more than 3% in a single day
💰 Capital will be more cautious facing risky assets
So even though BTC showed a bit of a rebound today, I wouldn’t directly interpret it as "the bull market is coming back soon."
I still have a long-term bullish view on BTC, but long-term bullish ≠ bottom fishing every single dip.📊 On September 28, I temporarily cleared all positions.
After the weekly close, I reviewed the market structure again and found that there is still a significant risk of a pullback in the short to medium term (about 2–4 weeks).
About 2 hours after issuing the warning, I began to gradually reduce positions and exit all holdings.
But it is important to emphasize: I remain bullish on BTC's long-term trend.
This time is more about defending against short to medium-term risks rather than changing the long-term direction.
⚠️ Currently, the automated trading strategy is temporarily suspended, and I plan to rest for a week.
From the current structure, this round of adjustment is unlikely to end within this week. If the market rhythm meets expectations, the automated strategy may restart next Monday.
Many people might ask:
👉 How far could this risk adjustment go?
Currently, the psychological expectation should be set at:
🎯 BTC: around $75,000
At the same time, the previously indicated extreme risk level remains valid:
⚠️ Extreme downside area: around $70,950
If you want to try going long during the adjustment or wait for later opportunities, be sure to control your position size and leverage well. The liquidation price should preferably be significantly below $70,950.
This is not to say you must bottom fish at $70,950, but to prevent being passively forced out due to liquidation prices being too close when the market suddenly experiences a sharp spike. #ThisWeekWelcomesNonFarmAndPCEKeyData
SOL 119.29, 4H bottomed and rebounded, eating gains above 116.32
[Review] Yesterday's strategy followed the trend to go long, firmly holding at 116.32 without loss, now pushing floating profit at 119.29 ⏳
At posting: 119.29 (24H +0.85%, strong recovery after bottoming at 116.32)
Conclusion: Long entered between 116.50-119.00, stop loss at 116.32, target 120.73→124.95. Add position above 120.73 to take profits, but halve position to lock gains.
Market: Rebounded from 116.32 bottom, currently at 119.29, heading straight to 120.73, bulls exerting strength without chasing highs.
Actions:
• Spot: Entered at 116.50-119.00, position <10%, floating profit
• Futures: 2x long, stop loss 116.32; halve at 120.73, clear at 124.95
• Do not: chase longs, bottom-fish on break, heavy positions
116.32 defense is solid, break means stop, no add. Later review 120.73 breakout.
Focus on 116.32, if stable then charge to 120.73 for gains 🔥
$SOL 📈 Analyst's View: BTC surged to around $87,000, with profit-taking weaker than in August
On September 29, on-chain analyst Axel Adler Jr. provided a set of key on-chain profit and loss data in the "Bitcoin Morning Report":
Although the current Bitcoin price is significantly higher than the August peak, the corresponding 7-day realized profits have actually declined. On August 26, BTC hit $78,600, with 7-day realized profits reaching $9.1 billion; on September 24, BTC surged to $84,100, but 7-day realized profits were only $7.3 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 19%.
During the same period, 7-day realized losses also shrank from $2.6 billion to $1.5 billion. As of September 28, BTC's 7-day net realized profits remained at $4.3 billion.
The 7-day SOPR for short-term holders also changed: this indicator has stayed above 1 since August 20, indicating that short-term holders overall are selling at a profit; however, the profit rate has continuously narrowed, falling from 2.8 on August 26 to 1.6 on September 23, and further down to 1 on September 28.
Core conclusion:
Higher prices but a decreased willingness to realize profits indicate that many coins were not sold during the price rise, resulting in lighter selling pressure compared to the August peak.
At the same time, watch for warning signals: if the short-term holders' 7-day SOPR falls below 1, indicating the market's overall realized profits turning negative, it will confirm a short-term weakening of the market. $BTC UNISWAP📊
I'd watch $8.20–$8.25 very closely. If sellers push through the EMA21 and $UNI can't reclaim it, the next serious test is around $6.75 EMA50.
But if it absorbs this selling around $8.2–$8.8 and starts printing higher lows with declining sell volume, then the accumulation argument gets much more interesting.
Basically:$UNI may still be bullish, but that doesn't mean the people who bought at $3–$5 are still sitting there waiting for $15. 😂They're probably taking some chips off the tableI started buying coins just by following the crowd.
My friends kept saying $BTC could make you rich.
I got impulsive and invested half a month's salary.
After buying, the price dropped, so much that I couldn't even afford to order takeout.
At that time, I couldn't put my phone down, even checking the market while on the toilet.
I was caught several times sneaking looks at work by my boss.
Later I realized it wasn't the coin's fault, I was just too impatient.
When holding $ETH, I wanted to sell as soon as it rose a bit.
When it dropped a little, I cursed myself for being careless, constantly slapping my own face.
To put it simply, I had no discipline and just followed my feelings.
Later I tried $SOL, it was so fast it made my scalp tingle.
It surged up in minutes, then crashed down in minutes.
People with weak hearts really shouldn't touch it.
Now I rarely check groups.
I treat the signal callers like comedians.
Those showing off profits mostly want you to take over their positions.
Borrowing money to play, going all in, opening contracts—it's all traps.
I've seen people get wildly arrogant after making money.
Also seen people lose so much they dare not tell their families.
This circle changes three times a day.
So I only use spare money; losing it won't affect my meals.
If I earn, I don't get cocky; if I lose, I don't make a fuss. As long as I can sleep well, that's enough.
Don't mistake luck for skill.
Don't treat the market like an ATM.
Living long is more important than making a quick buck.
The market specializes in humbling the arrogant; I've long accepted that. #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点
#美债收益率创2007年来新高，黄金跌超3%
#BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高 Damn, what the hell is going on!
I'm your uncle!
$BTC current price 84014.9, a violent surge in just fifteen minutes, the short-term price shot up directly, many short positions were probably liquidated on the spot.
I still hold some short positions in the live market, currently floating losses have reached over ten percent, but I haven't given up yet. Don't just shout about a big bull market restart because of one big bullish candle.
This surge had volume concentrated in a short burst, and after the spike, signs of fatigue have appeared. The high of 84041 has been tested repeatedly but not broken. The on-chain news about the hacker money laundering interception event has little real impact on the market; it's mostly short-term funds inside the market pushing the price up to collect contracts.
Short-term support is at 83394.9, bulls currently have the upper hand, but this level is still far from the previous high of 87374. This is a pulse move driven by short-term funds, not a large-scale entry of new capital.
Many shorts got scared by this bullish candle, hastily cutting losses and chasing longs, which often means buying at the short-term top. Pulse surges are the most deceptive; their explosive power looks scary, but if the buying momentum can't keep up, the drop afterward is just as frighteningly fast.
I'm still waiting; however it rises, I hope it falls back the same way.
Just market observation, not investment advice
$BTC
#Chainflip bridge intercepts hacker money laundering event
#BTC 15-minute short-term pulse moveBitcoin is generally still moving back and forth along the upper boundary of the channel, with the channel continuing to shift upward. Today, the upper boundary is at 80781, and the lower boundary is at 78575.
Currently, it is in the process of digesting the daily chart structure, and as the channel keeps moving up, the space left for digesting the daily structure is continuously shrinking.
First, let's see if the trend can withstand the impact of this daily structure. Operationally, it is still better to be conservative. In the short term, the trend's support is quite effective because Bitcoin has been resolving the daily structure through sideways consolidation in recent days. Bitcoin has broken through the upper boundary of the weekly trend channel for 7 weeks, consistently staying in the upper boundary area during this period. The daily K-line shows small short-term fluctuations, indicating that it is still in the contest between the daily top structure and the trend, with bulls and bears divided. Also, the daily structure has only formed for 5 days and is still in the early stage of its influence. The upcoming test for the trend will be significant, so continue to closely monitor the defense at the lower boundary. Once again, I was harshly taught a lesson by the intense volatility of $ZEC. 🐶
I saw an opportunity in the early morning and entered a long position, hoping to catch a rebound. But when I woke up today, there was a big bearish candle, and the price completely stunned the bulls.
Actually, when I saw the first big bearish candle, I already knew something was wrong, but I still held on thinking, "Wait a bit longer, maybe it will pull back." The longer I waited, the bigger the loss became, and in the end, I had to cut my losses and exit.
What hurts the most is not this loss, but that $ZEC has done this to me more than once.
Several times before, I was attracted by its rapid surge, chased in, only to face a sudden dump. I didn’t make much profit, and instead, my principal was worn down time and again. Looking back now, in such a highly volatile market, the pattern of surging, attracting chasing funds, and then quickly retracting is really easy to get caught up in.
Recently, ZEC still remains one of the most volatile assets in the market. With the privacy sector’s heat, capital rotation, and high-leverage trading combined, the market often doesn’t move slowly but completes a round of emotional shifts within just a few candlesticks. 🔥➡️🩸
So this time, I admit defeat.
It’s not that the market owes me a rebound, nor that if I hold on a bit longer, it will definitely come back. The cruelest part of trading is: if the direction is wrong, the market won’t change because of your cost basis.
Today, I’m stepping away from the market to clear my head.
$ZEC, you win. 🐶
The whales win too.
As for me, I’ll keep the lesson.
#ZEC #Crypto #Bitcoin #Anthropic's prospectus puts the frontier-AI trade-off in unusually clear terms: $4.59B of 2025 revenue and roughly 12x growth sit beside over $8B in operating loss and $7.33B of compute spending.
The key question is not whether demand exists; it is whether margins can mature before long-dated infrastructure commitments turn scale into rigidity.
#AnthropicIPOReality $NMR's 4-hour wick to $15 then slammed back down: volume surged 200 times, the market didn't move but it acted on its own
This afternoon, $NMR showed a textbook "wick + recovery" pattern.
Data: From 12:00 to 16:00 today, the high of this 4-hour candle touched $15.33, up +52% from the early morning low of $10.08. Then it closed at $12.605, dropping back -18%. By 15:30, the price hovered around $12.59.
The volume was even more outrageous: this 4H candle traded about $14.77 million, 200 times the normal daily average. Meanwhile, BTC stayed flat at $83.9k during the same period, and ETH rose only +2.6%, not very exciting. $NMR was running an independent move this time.
This pattern is called a "wick bull trap followed by a counterattack"—first breaking the stop-loss line to create a false breakout, then reversing to sell off. Such huge volume indicates an active attack, not retail chasing.
Now let's see if $12.6 can hold. If it holds, bulls may still have some back-and-forth; if it breaks, it will likely drop to $10—that's the pre-pump starting zone.
Do you think $12.6 will hold?$ZEC
A whale keeps stacking, but the destination matters more than the accumulation.
Wallet → cold storage = interesting.
Wallet → exchange = pressure.
Watching the next transfer before making a move.Anthropic @AnthropicAI IPO is really coming.
Data shows its 2025 revenue at $4.59 billion, a 12-fold year-on-year increase, but a net book loss of $42 billion;
However, about $34 billion is an accounting provision from convertible financing instruments price increases, not actually spent;
The real burn is an operating loss of $8.06 billion, with computing power alone costing $7.33 billion, 1.6 times the annual revenue.
Even worse, the two largest clients, Amazon and Google, each account for 12% of revenue, losing one means more than a 10% drop.
Despite this, the valuation is still aiming for $2 trillion, and the IPO will most likely be postponed until after the midterm elections in November.
Will the secondary market accept it then?
Short T*D?🧐$ETH rebounded to 2746 yesterday and then fell back, rebounded again to 2722 and fell back, never breaking away from the 30-minute pivot. This ID opened a short position near GG, waiting for confirmation.🚨【Ethereum Midday | Beijing Time 15:29 | Current Price 2712】
Ethereum has pulled back to 2712 in this wave, with 2700 finally stepped on again.
But don’t rush to call a takeoff here; 2700 was just broken through. What really matters is whether the subsequent pullback can hold. In the past few days, the price has repeatedly contested around 2700, indicating significant bullish and bearish divergence at this level.
🟢【Long Strategy】
If the pullback near 2700 does not break below and support reappears, the upward movement can continue to be observed.
The first target above is 2750; if it holds above 2750, then look to 2800. Only after breaking 2800 should higher levels be considered.
🔴【Short Strategy】
If attempts to push above 2750 repeatedly fail and the price falls back below 2700, a short-term decline should be guarded against.
Below, first watch 2670, then 2640, with strong support at 2600.
On the news front, recently Ethereum spot fund inflows have remained strong overall, with multiple trading days in late September showing significant net inflows, indicating continued institutional interest.
🔥【Key Levels to Watch Today】
Above: 2750, 2800
Below: 2700, 2670, 2640
At the current 2712 level, bulls must turn 2700 into support to continue strengthening; bears must push 2700 back down to regain control.
So don’t guess the direction, just watch 2700.
If 2700 holds, bias long towards 2750–2800 $ETH $BTC finally dropped last night, almost causing me to liquidate 😂. The direction was right, but I entered too aggressively; entering again at 84,000 would be much more comfortable.
Currently, BTC remains weak, with 82,500 as a key support level. If it breaks below, it may continue to decline; if it doesn't break below for a while, watch out for a false rebound.
$ETH is relatively stronger, with clear support at 2,650. Yesterday it once surged to 2,720, seeming to clear short positions. The overall trend is still bearish for now, and I’m more focused on whether a turning point will come on Thursday or Friday.Capsule remains as strong as ever, fluctuating back and forth from 55 to 47, about seven or eight points, not bad. These past few days, all operations have been ultra-short-term: short at 52, 53 and exit at 50; long at 48, 49 and exit at 51, 52. No choice, the capital is too small.Others add to their positions with floating profits, I add to mine with floating losses, and the market beats me up badly.
At noon, my $ETH short position still had a floating profit of 535 dollars. After a nap, it directly turned into a floating loss of 7603 dollars.
The mark price was pulled from 2665 to 2715, and in a moment of impulse, instead of cutting losses, I increased my position from 179 to 488 contracts with an average entry price of 2693, then the market ground me down.
Others add to their positions when they are making money; I add when I'm losing. To be honest, it's just stubbornness, thinking "I've already lost so much, averaging down will help me break even faster." But the market punishes all kinds of disobedience, and every time I add, it hits perfectly.
Adding to a losing position is gambling.
I still have realized profits of 2535 dollars, but this trade has made my scalp tingle. If I don't fix this bad habit, I'll get rich sooner or later 🤑$ETH $ONE mainnet is about to be shut down by community vote. An L1 that survived until today ends up retiring itself and transforming into an AI video coin.
The current price has shrunk 99.5% from its historical high; the community is pushing to shut down the mainnet and redirect ONE towards AI video.
Developers voluntarily shutting down the network and shifting emissions to AI video business is equivalent to admitting the failure of the public chain story. The token is downgraded from an L1 native asset to an equity certificate of an AI project, with thin liquidity and no cash flow. Essentially, this is euthanasia, not a rebirth.
The mainnet is about to be voted off, bearish bias, position capped at half. Hold at 0.0023 and try to grab 0.0029; reduce position if it breaks 0.0021. ONE is a living tombstone; touching it only provides liquidity to the transformation team. Some say they will buy when $ZEC returns to $500.
Are you betting 70% on a crash just to get an entry opportunity? I first bought crypto because I was jealous seeing others make money.
I didn't understand anything and just rushed into $BTC.
After buying, it dropped, and I was still refreshing my phone late at night.
Watching while eating, sneaking peeks at work, like I was obsessed.
Later I realized it wasn't the coin's fault, I was just too impatient.
I held $ETH, wanted to sell when it rose a bit, panicked more when it dropped a bit.
Couldn't hold on, sold and then regretted it, just messing myself up.
Then I tried $SOL, it moved so fast my scalp tingled.
It would pump up in minutes, then crash down in minutes.
If you have a weak heart, really don't touch it.
Now I hardly check groups.
I treat the signal shouters like comedians.
Those showing off profits mostly want you to take over their positions.
Borrowing money to play, going all in, opening contracts, it's all traps.
I've seen people get insanely arrogant after making money.
Also seen people lose so much they dare not tell their families.
This circle changes three times a day.
So I only use spare money; losing it won't affect my meals.
If I make money, I don't get cocky; if I lose, I don't make a fuss. As long as I can sleep well.
Don't mistake luck for skill.
Don't treat the market like an ATM.
Living long is more important than making a quick buck.
The market specializes in humbling the arrogant; I've long accepted that. #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点
#美债收益率创2007年来新高，黄金跌超3%
#BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高 Recently, the price seems sluggish, but ETF funds haven't been idle. I reviewed the data from September 21 to 28, and the differences among BTC, ETH, and ZEC are quite significant.
$BTC had a net inflow of $2.42 billion, with nearly $1 billion coming in on the 21st alone. However, the price is still hovering around 83,000 and hasn't surged. There is buying pressure, but the selling pressure above is also considerable.
$ETH saw an inflow of $690 million, with net inflows for several consecutive days. Unlike BTC, ETH seems to be slowly accumulating rather than chasing the price. The price is still fluctuating, and whether it can break through depends on whether this money turns into real buying pressure.
$ZEC is even more interesting, with a total of only $27.1 million, a small volume. On the 22nd alone, it surged by $32.8 million, but there was no movement in the following days, and on the 28th, $8.1 million flowed out. The early inflow was fast, and now it depends on whether that batch of funds will stay or leave.
Looking at the three together: BTC has the most money but price pressure, ETH has steady money but hasn't broken through yet, and ZEC surged too fast initially and is now entering a verification period.
I think the funds haven't left the crypto market; they're just rotating among different coins. The key question is, the money is coming in, but can the price rise? If money keeps coming in but the price can't move up, then caution is needed.
What do you think? Can BTC stand above 85,000 this week? Will that batch of ZEC funds stay or leave?
Personal review, not investment advice
#BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高 #ZEC现货ETF首日成交额1480万美元 Using 100U for bot operation Day 40 (15:25)｜Pushing 2720, today ahead of schedule
This morning said to grind first then try, now ahead of schedule — European session hasn't opened yet, Asian session end pulled itself to 2710. Yesterday it pulled after European session opened, today it's one step earlier.
🧭 Key levels
· Main battlefield: 2710±10
· Resistance: 2720, 2744, 2780
· Support: 2690, 2660
🎯 Intraday operation reference
Hold above to go long
· Entry: Hold above 2711
· Stop loss: 2695
· Target: 2720 → 2735
Short on high stagnation (aggressive)
· Entry: Stagnate at 2720–2725
· Stop loss: 2736
· Target: 2700 → 2690
Buy on pullback
· Entry: Hold 2690 with volume recovery
· Stop loss: 2680
· Target: 2710 → 2720
Position dropped all morning, but added back in the afternoon; big players flipped from bearish to bullish, active buying pressure suppressing selling pressure. Price moved up on its own, not pushed by external markets.
🤖 Bot
Not much operation: bought more at low in the morning and still holding, sold some while pushing up in the afternoon, started shorting above 2700 to pull average price, not sure if it will get stuck.
When European session opens, will it continue pushing or take a break first?
$ETH
⚠️The above content is personal opinion only and does not constitute investment advice.
Be flexible with key levels, watch position size, take profits and stop losses timely, and pay attention to data timeliness.Here's a summary of the current key data for BTC:
Current price is 83969.5, up 1.08% in 24 hours, with a high of 84346.8 and a low of 82501.0.
There are two resistance levels: 84000 (round number barrier) and 84346.8 (24h high).
Two support levels: 83319 (moving average support) and 82501 (24h low).
Triple confirmation results: short-term trend is bullish, price approaching key resistance at 84000.
Trading advice: If it breaks and holds above 84000, consider light long positions, open with 5000U, stop loss at 83700, target 84500; if 84000 meets resistance, try light short positions, stop loss at 84300, target 83500; if it pulls back to 83300 and stabilizes, consider short-term longs, stop loss at 83000, target 83800.
Currently recovering from a 200,000U loss, always use stop loss, no holding through losses. The data is here, how you trade is up to you.
Operate lightly at key levels, don't go all in, staying alive is more important than anything. $BTC #BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高 LINK
Infrastructure Could Be the Next Market Conversation
Chainlink's oracle and cross-chain infrastructure places it in the discussion around tokenized assets and blockchain connectivity.
My prediction: If real integrations lead to increased network usage and sustained demand, LINK could build positive momentum. Adoption without meaningful token demand may limit price performance.
Can infrastructure tokens outperform speculative altcoins in the next market cycle?
$LINK $ETH
#Chainlink #RWAStress reaction!
I think $BTC $ETH are rebounding now.
It looks more like a short-term correction within a high volatility range, not a bottom reversal.
Currently, both $BTC and ETH are rebounding.
In the past 24 hours, about $511 million worth of liquidations occurred across the network,
with longs being heavily shaken out,
indicating that leverage is being cleared first, making it easier for prices to rebound.
At the same time,
US stocks weakened yesterday,
oil prices rose,
and US Treasury yields remain high,
so the market's concern about another Fed rate hike persists.
These factors will weigh on risk assets,
so if the rebound lacks volume and doesn't hold key levels,
it cannot be considered a trend reversal to strength. Since $ZEC has already formed this pattern on the daily chart, I don't expect it to just be a downward shakeout. The big coins $BTC and $ETH have already regained their normal volatility ranges. ZEC is still very weak right now. The most likely movement for ZEC is a dip to 1450, then it will accumulate energy but fail to break higher, continuing to oscillate downward!
In the future, ZEC will likely just symbolically rebound when the big coins pump. If the big coins consolidate or pull back, ZEC will crash hard! There are just too many profit-taking positions in ZEC. At 1500, many bulls have accumulated, making it very difficult to push the price up to relieve those positions. The load is too heavy!$ETH may be setting up for its own “$5K was the top” moment.🔥
The chart is showing a multi-year ascending structure, while $5K-$6K is still treated like the obvious ceiling.
$BTC taught us what happens when price discovery starts.
ETH’s real move may begin after the level everyone is watching. 👀$BTC typically shows a volume surge with a sharp drop, with funds taking the opportunity to exit. It’s a bit regrettable not to have caught the chance to do T last night; the position is still held for observation.
In the past 24 hours, contract trading volume surged by 62.44%, and spot trading volume soared by 94.61%. Volume expanded significantly, but the price fell back to 82,904 USD, with a slight 0.75% decline over 24 hours.
The volume-driven downward movement indicates continuous selling pressure and capital outflow. Currently, it is in a downtrend phase, so heightened caution is necessary.
The long-short position structure is interesting: large holders are firmly holding long positions, while retail investors are entering to bottom-fish. Data shows the large holders’ long-short ratio is 1.8845, indicating heavy long positions; retail investors’ long-short ratio is 1.38.
Large holders stubbornly defend longs, but contract and spot funds at the 1-hour level are continuously flowing out. This market structure is very unstable; once the 82,000 support breaks, it could easily trigger a cascading long-liquidation panic.
The 84,000 level above has turned into strong resistance, and 82,000 is a key psychological support. If broken, the next target is 80,000.
On the macro level, pressure is evident, and the overall trend is bearish. The US-Iran geopolitical conflict has pushed oil prices up, intensifying market expectations for Fed rate hikes, putting risk assets under broad pressure.
We need to wait for this round of volume-driven deleveraging to complete and for capital outflows to stop before the market can stabilize.
⚠️ This market review is for communication and reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile; please manage position risk carefully.Reviewing my recent trades, I found a serious problem: I always hesitate at resistance levels.
Take BTC now, for example, the price is 83969, about to hit the 84000 resistance level. Several times before, at this kind of position, I wanted to go long but feared a drop, wanted to short but feared a breakout, so I hesitated back and forth and missed the best entry points.
I lost 200,000 U trying to recover; this tuition can't be wasted. Now I've learned: no hesitation at key levels, make a plan and execute it.
The correct approach should be: if it breaks and holds above 84000, open a 5000 U long position, stop loss at 83700, target 84500; if 84000 meets resistance, open a 5000 U short position, stop loss at 84300, target 83500. Never hold a position without a stop loss; admit mistakes and hold when right.
Support below is at 83319; if it pulls back and stabilizes there, that's also a good long opportunity.
Trading isn't about who predicts better, but who executes better. $BTC #BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高 *Bitcoin Latest News｜September 30 Evening $84,132 Chinese Version*
*1. Price: Holding above May highs, bears failed to break down*
$BTC currently at *$84,132*, range $83,174-$85,050, *still 5% above May high of $81K*, 1-hour descending channel resistance at *$83,800 (MA100 + trendline)*, the short positions you mentioned at $83,750-$83,890 are right at this level
Key levels: *Hold above $84,346 → squeeze $2 billion shorts to push $90K, break below $83,500 → watch $80,006 → $74K-$76K gap*
*2. Liquidations: 81,000 traders wiped out*
24-hour *$187 million liquidations*, longs $89.9 million vs shorts $97.1 million, both sides flushed, leverage too high
*3. Real money: Hits 1-year record*
- *BTC spot ETF weekly inflow $2.4 billion, near 1-year high*, full year net positive +$800 million, AUM $160 billion
- *SOL spot ETF $188 million record inflow*, 13 consecutive weeks of inflows
- *Strategy bought another 1,665 @$85,681*, total holdings 847,000, cost $75,437 🚨 $BTC IS AT A KEY RETEST
Bitcoin is testing the pQH and range highs — a level worth watching closely.
If BTC gets rejected here and confirms a deviation back below, the range lows could come back into play, with liquidity sitting below the range.
For now, there’s no need to force a direction.
The reaction around pQH will tell us much more than the level itself.Here we go, challenging $450 to $10,000, day 5 or 6
Current assets around $700, withdrawal $900, total assets $1,600, cumulative profit $1,150
Currently holding a $BTC long position, opened on Friday, held until today. Experienced multiple low buys and high sells, securing a confirmed profit of about $100. The remaining base position had a maximum floating loss of $200, but so far has successfully recovered the loss and started floating profit
Also, over the weekend made 1 Ethereum long trade, gained $70 profit, and 1 $BTC long trade, gained $100 profit. For details, please refer to the live trading
Many friends ask why I, a former short seller, have started going long
Reasons are as follows
1. I shorted around 86,300, successfully taking $500 profit
2. The long at 83,000 was based on this being a bull market pullback after a surge, with a triple bottom around 82,500 that held successfully. So I went long, expecting a new high
3. Don’t deny it, the bull is back and it will grow bigger. After the 2024 drop from 30,000 to 12,000, this time will be different
Current trading plan:
1. Continue holding the $BTC long base position. If it breaks below 82,500, cut losses appropriately and see if 80,000 can hold
2. First profit target at 87,000, with additional buys in batches at 85,000 and 86,000, keeping the liquidation line always below 82,500
3. If there is a volume breakout with a wick, I will reduce positions and wait for a pullback to re-enter
In summary, the bull is back, brothers, hurry backThe first time I bought crypto was after scrolling through videos.
I saw others showing off $BTC, saying it could turn your life around.
I got impulsive and threw in half a month's salary.
But right after buying, it dropped, so much that I even quit milk tea.
Those days, my phone was glued to my hand; I checked the market even in the bathroom.
I sneaked peeks at work and got caught by my boss several times.
Later I realized, this thing is made for those who don't listen.
I held $ETH, and whenever it rose a bit, I got itchy to sell.
When it dropped a bit, I cursed myself for being reckless, slapping my own face back and forth.
To put it simply, I had no discipline, just going by feeling.
Then I tried $SOL, it was so fast it made my scalp tingle.
It surged up in minutes, then crashed down in minutes.
People with weak hearts really shouldn't touch it.
Now I hardly check groups.
I treat the signal calls like comedy.
Those showing off profits mostly want you to take over their positions.
Borrowing money to play, going all in, opening contracts—it's all traps.
I've seen people get wildly arrogant after making money.
Also seen those who lost so much they dare not tell their families.
This circle changes three times a day.
So I only use spare money; losing it won't affect my meals.
If I earn, I don't get cocky; if I lose, I don't make a fuss; as long as I can sleep well.
Don't mistake luck for skill.
Don't treat the market like an ATM.
Living long is more important than making a quick buck.
The market is made for those who don't listen, and I've long surrendered. #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点
#美债收益率创2007年来新高，黄金跌超3%
#BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高