Orbit Post Sitemap

Wow, this giant whale really mastered the art of "shorting against the trend." BTC, ETH, and SOL—the three major coins—are all shorted together, with a combined position close to $1.8 billion, and the unrealized loss on the books is nearly $40 million! The key is that this isn't a small test position; it's 5x full position short on BTC, 5x full position short on ETH, and SOL is even 10x full position short. Starting with BTC, 1,891.4 coins are shorted, with a position value of about $1.48 billion, an entry price of $72,307, and an unrealized loss of about $11.73 million currently. ETH is even more extreme, with 103,000 coins shorted, valued at about $258 million, an entry price of $2,285.78, and a loss on the books of $22.36 million. SOL is shorted at 736,000 coins, valued at about $74.79 million, entry price $94.02, and currently an unrealized loss of about $5.59 million. Together, the three positions have an unrealized loss of approximately $39.67 million. But the most outrageous part is—this guy still shows no obvious intention to cut losses, and all positions are highly leveraged. BTC's liquidation price is still far at $133,800, ETH's liquidation price is $3,509, and SOL's liquidation price is $240.29, so there is indeed some short-term safety margin. I just want to see whether this round is the whale successfully laying a trap in advance or the market preparing to teach him a lesson. With positions like these, would you dare to short? $BTC $ETH $SOL #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ $BTC A 25 bps rate move is already heavily priced in, so the decision itself may not create the shock many traders expect. The bigger question is what the Fed signals for the months ahead. Recent market pricing has pushed the probability of a September 25 bps move toward roughly 80%+, compared with much lower expectations several weeks ago. During that repricing, $BTC remained relatively resilient instead of collapsing. The US Dollar Index is another key piece of the puzzle. If the dollar fail$SEI wants parallel trading speed. $SUI wants consumer apps. $HYPE already has the book. Fast L1s without a venue are demos. A venue without users is empty open interest. #FOMCRateCallThisWeek #AnthropicIPOOnNasdaq Market movement report, explained clearly at the first moment. $T surged 18.0% in 24h, current price 0.00519 USDT. Such a low-priced, small market cap coin suddenly rising nearly 20% basically has one logic: capital accumulates at a low level and then quickly ignites, creating FOMO sentiment. Note the price is only around 0.005, so even a small buy order can trigger large fluctuations. This kind of movement looks exciting but usually has very poor depth, chasing it easily leads to being wiped out by a sudden spike. [My judgment: This is an emotional play, not a trend play. If you have no position, just watch and don't be the one catching the falling knife.] $MTL rose 14.4% in 24h, current price 0.326 USDT. $MTL is a coin with some history, but its narrative has long cooled off. A sudden volume surge and rise is likely short-term funds making a rebound at a low level or some news expectations fermenting early. A 14% rise is not outrageous, but it depends on whether the volume can sustain. If it just spikes and falls back, that's a typical bull trap. [My judgment: $MTL is a bit more reliable than $T, but it’s also a quick in-and-out game, not suitable for mid-term holding. Take profits decisively.] In summary: neither of these two are safe to hold overnight. $T is pure emotional gambling, $MTL is gambling on short-term continuation. If you don’t hold either, don’t get carried away by the gains; if you do hold, the gains are your signal to take profits. Will you chase $T, $MTL, or just watch both without moving?Short-term (September–December 2026) → Mid-term (1–3 years) → Long-term (5+ years)" written, no hype calls, just explaining how market structure changes How the cryptocurrency market will move in the future 1. Short-term: The remaining months of 2026 are a "wait for macro confirmation" consolidation market Currently (mid-September 2026), Bitcoin is grinding between $76,000–$82,000, Ethereum is tugging around $2,300–$2,550, neither a bull frenzy nor a crash, it’s "institutions dollar-cost averaging, retail watching, macro pressure holding down." 1. Three things deciding the short-term • Federal Reserve September meeting + US inflation: no rate cuts → risk asset valuations suppressed; real rate cuts/dovish signals → BTC/ETH get breakout momentum. • Spot ETF fund flows: BTC ETFs have become the institutional sentiment barometer; ETH ETF flows fluctuate, indicating institutions are not fully convinced by the Ethereum narrative yet. • US CLARITY / Stablecoin legislation progress: passing = compliant funds dare to enter; stalled = market continues to speculate on expectations. 2. Three short-term scenarios • Consolidation bottom (highest probability): BTC $75,000–$85,000, total market cap $2.5–2.9 trillion, waiting for macro catalysts. • Breakout bull: breaks above $82,000 + cooling inflation + continuous ETF inflows → target $85,000–$90,000, ETH follows up, rotation among large altcoins like XRP/SOL. • Breakdown bear: falls below $75,000 + Fed hawkishness + geopolitical risks (Middle East/Red Sea) intensify → $70,000–$72,000, altcoins crash harder. Conclusion: Short-term is not "blind rush," it’s macro trading watching interest rates, ETFs, and the dollar. ------ 2. Mid-term: Crypto market is evolving from a "coin game" to "financial infrastructure" In the next 1–3 years, the key is not which meme coin pumps 100x, but these four lines: 1. Bitcoin: from "digital gold" to "macro asset" • Halving cycle influence declines, ETFs, pensions, corporate treasuries, and national reserves start pricing it. • Volatility gradually decreases, increasingly resembling a "high-beta gold/risk asset hybrid." • Long-term logic remains: scarcity, inflation hedge, partial decoupling from fiat credit, but short-term will be tightly suppressed by US Treasury yields. 2. Ethereum: from "smart contract platform" to "on-chain financial settlement layer" • Staking yields + Layer 2 scaling + RWA settlements push it toward "on-chain government bonds/benchmark rate assets." • Challenges are clear: L2s divert mainnet revenue, staking unlocks bring selling pressure, competing with high-performance chains like Solana for developers. • Mid-term view: ETH has opportunities but must rely on real on-chain revenue, not just "bull market hype." 3. Stablecoins + RWA: the real big capital entry points • Stablecoins have evolved from "crypto pocket change" to on-chain USD, cross-border payments, and B2B clearing tools. • RWA (US Treasuries, money market funds, gold, receivables, stocks) will bring TradFi yields on-chain. • In the future, institutions won’t buy shitcoins but "on-chain 4% US Treasury yields + 24/7 clearing + composable DeFi." 4. Altcoin divergence: survivors have real use cases, others go to zero No more "Bitcoin up → whole market up" dumb bulls: • With revenue: Base / Solana / Arbitrum / Aave / Chainlink types → ecosystem-dependent • With payments: stablecoins, cross-border settlement, AI Agent payments → real cash flow • Pure narrative: meme, unused L1s, fake RWA, packaged concepts → die directly in bear markets ------ 3. Long-term: The crypto market 5 years from now 1. Regulatory framework solidifies US, EU (MiCA), Hong Kong, Singapore will segment the market into: • Commodities (BTC etc.) • Securities (unregistered tokens) • Payment stablecoins (1:1 reserves + audits) • Institutional RWA (licensed issuance) Non-compliant exchanges and projects will be largely cleaned out. 2. Traditional finance and on-chain finance converge • Tokenization of US stocks, Treasuries, funds, gold • Banks use private chains; public chains for settlement and transparent verification • AI Agents manage funds, pay gas, perform arbitrage, run risk controls autonomously 3. Bitcoin’s position becomes even more stable No matter how L2, AI, RWA evolve, BTC will be the "reserve layer," ETH/Solana the "compute layer," stablecoins the "blood," and RWA the "real asset interface." 4. Real risks are not "bear markets," but: • USD stablecoins too strong → crypto becomes an extension of US monetary policy • Overly strict regulation → innovation moves offshore • AI + on-chain finance out of control → automatic liquidations, pump/dump, more erratic volatility • Geopolitical conflicts (Middle East/Taiwan Strait/Red Sea) → oil prices and risk aversion drain crypto liquidity ------ 4. Plain-language judgment for ordinary people • Don’t treat crypto as a "get-rich-quick lottery," it’s becoming a highly volatile macro asset. • The next cycle won’t be "everything flies," but: BTC as foundation → ETH/major chains build ecosystems → stablecoins and RWA attract real money → only top altcoins survive. • Is the bull market still here? Yes, but slower pace, heavier regulation, institutions in control. • Retail advantages diminish; success depends on position management, avoiding high leverage, not chasing memes, and ignoring "100x groups." ------ SNDK remains in weak consolidation, with the storage sector collectively under pressure. U.S. stock $BTC spot ETF has seen nearly $450 million net outflow for three consecutive days, weakening risk asset sentiment. Coupled with U.S. Treasury yields approaching 5%, funds tend to seek safety, growth tech stocks are generally under pressure, and the storage sector follows the pullback. Next, focus on two major events: the Federal Reserve interest rate decision on September 16, which directly affects liquidity expectations; and the quarterly options expiration on September 25, which will amplify market volatility. Key technical price levels First resistance above: 1585; strong resistance: 1633 (previous high platform) Core support below: 1505 (intraday low); strong support: 1460 Currently, the sector is in a high-level profit-taking phase, with weak rebound strength. Waiting for news window, market volatility is likely to amplify, do not blindly bottom-fish, continuously track U.S. Treasury yields and fund flows. UNI is now oscillating near the high of 6.3, unable to go up or down. Many people are starting to think: "This is a buildup, about to break through 7!" But I actually feel that the more it moves sideways at a high level without falling, the more likely it is to suddenly deliver a blow to the bulls. 📉 Currently, the key levels to watch are: 🔴 6.5–6.6: First resistance level 🔴 6.8–7.0: Strong resistance zone 🟢 6.0: First support 🟢 5.7–5.8: Critical support If 6.5 can't be broken for a long time and instead it falls below 6.0, then be cautious. Once 6.0 is lost, 5.8 → 5.7 could very likely be seen soon. The most worrying are those chasing longs now: Buying in at 6.3, dreaming of 7; But instead of waiting for 7, 6 comes first. 😂 At this position, I actually dare not chase longs on UNI. High-level oscillation does not necessarily mean a rise, Sometimes it’s just waiting for the last batch of people to take the bags. Many are shouting breakthrough at 7, But even more might be shouting bottom at 5.7. So for this wave, I’m siding with the bears first: If 6.5 doesn’t break, lean bearish; If 6.0 breaks, the bears might really take charge#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #霍尔木兹船只再遇袭，地区会谈推迟 $UNI $ETH Aptos$APT, as an independent L1 public chain, was developed by the original Meta Diem team. It's really something, yet the price is still stuck around 0.6, down 97% from its peak. A/ APT unlocks over 11 million tokens every month without fail for early investors and the team, and these people are dumping their holdings. B/ At the end of August, when the Switchboard oracle went down, some DeFi projects on Aptos directly collapsed; Ondo also withdrew the minting of USDY. Fortunately, 1/ The Confidential APT privacy feature went live on the mainnet, and native USDC was integrated. 2/ In October, the four-year linear unlock for early investors expires, and it is generally expected that the annual selling pressure will be reduced by 60%. Additionally, the tokenomics were recently changed to deflationary (hard cap of 2.1 billion, full gas burn, and 210 million locked by the foundation). I believe in entering early. Bitcoin ETFs are bleeding this month while ETH ETFs keep pulling in fresh capital. Is this a genuine shift in institutional preference, or just noise from one volatile week? $BTC A Fourth Straight Week for ETH This isn't ETH's first positive week. Spot Ether ETFs have now logged four consecutive weeks of net inflows, starting in mid-August. That prior run matters — this week's headline isn't an isolated fluke but a continuation. $ETH What's Behind the Split? Allocators have to decide where cap$UP Switched to the background and replied to a message, then came back, and it had already finished the job. During the repeated fluctuations in the session, UP pulled sharply but the volume didn't match, it felt like a bull trap. I signaled a short at 0.3755, don't be fooled by that spike. At 0.3483, +73.23% secured, this profit feels good. Take profits when you should, first close 80%, keep 20% at cost price for protection. If it continues to drop, let the profit run; the cost price is my protection level. Being out of position is not a sin, opening positions recklessly is the mistake. Now is not the time to rush, chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait patiently for good news. $ETH $SNDK Continue writing this script: Saudi Arabia's price is most likely to include the Houthis in the entire plan. Saudi Arabia calling Trump and meeting with the Central Command commander is probably aimed at first using US intelligence and target data to strike for two weeks, improving the ground situation before negotiations, rather than signing from a position of weakness right after Muhajir was lost and the pipeline stopped. Ultimately, the likely outcome is that the US and Saudi Arabia first sign the formal defense commitments delayed for years, include a Houthi ceasefire clause in the arrangement, upgrade arms sales, and add a face-saving measure making Saudi Arabia co-chair of the regional security framework. Putting these points together, the sequence over the next two to four weeks is roughly: Saudi Arabia attacks the Houthis, the US gives commitments, the Houthi clause is packaged into the plan, Seralei reopens at the end of the month or early October, the corridor is established, and oil prices peak around mid-October.⚠️谈判还没开，炸弹先来了！ 原定阿曼举办的霍尔木兹航运会议宣布推迟，官方说法是争取更多共识，说白了各方谈不拢。同一海域，船只遇袭起火，船员紧急撤离。 $BTC 现在趴在7.7万附近横盘，同时等待两大事件开奖：中东地缘扰动+美联储决议。 这波地缘行情就像连续剧，嘴上喊缓和，海上却接连出事。SC原油主力单日暴涨11%，站上900，创下上市新高，资金已经用真金白银定价风险。 还记得此前表态，说伊朗问题会顺利解决。政客的话按周说，但海上的冲突却是按天发生。 逻辑传导到币圈很清晰：油价居高不下，通胀很难降温，周四凌晨FOMC加息的压力就很难松。 我的交易预案不变，只挂单、轻仓操作，不盲目追插针。 地缘行情里，耐心才能赚到钱；冲动进场，最容易亏钱。 你们觉得油价持续走高，会倒逼美联储强硬加息吗？评论区聊聊！#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #伊朗允许BTC与USDT外贸结算 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 I fully agree with Fan Fan's bottom-line thinking of "rather stay out than make a wrong move." With 40x leverage, the margin for error is extremely low. Here's how I control my position size and stop loss: For position size, I adhere to the "psychological reverse engineering method." Although leverage is high, the position must be extremely small—so small that even if the price violently spikes within a single candlestick, I can still keep calm and steady breathing without panic. Before opening a position, I prepare to accept the outcome and never let tempting prices break my discipline. For stop loss, both indicators and price must resonate before taking action; no position is opened without a confirmed signal. Once a position is opened, presetting the stop loss is ironclad. Both opening and closing positions follow established rules, never allowing losses to run unchecked. The essence of high leverage is not to chase huge profits but to use very small positions to maintain discipline—better to miss out than to make a mistake. 9/15 EVENING - PRE-FOMC SCAN Rate hike odds: 88% All 3 majors: Short covering, not trend $BTC 76390-77900 Wall 77100-80200 above ETF -463M 4D Hold 77100 or retest lows $ETH 2465-2530 Digesting supply ETF inflow but no break Lose 2430 = bulls gone $SOL 101.6-102 Big orders out, retail in Fail 102 = 100 again Thesis: Event hedge rally. Direction = CLARITY Tue + FOMC Thu No new trend. Just consolidation.#BTCSpotETF450MOutflow #OKX1MillionStrategist $BTC $ETH $ZEC The interest rate decision will be announced tomorrow night. Should holders of BTC and SOL bet on the direction in advance? #Trump accepts the new ethics rules, CLARITY vote is approaching The probability of a rate hike is over 80%. Many want to bet early and win big — but betting on direction and early positioning are two different things. Here's how to handle the two coins respectively. #This week's FOMC announcement: will the rate hike happen? $BTC is a cornerstone with deep liquidity. If you really want to participate, don't heavily bet on one side before the announcement. Use light positions with backup plans instead of betting on direction: have a plan for how to follow if it holds and how to exit if it breaks. Heavy betting is leaving the outcome to luck; $SOL is high beta, and the volatility at the announcement will be magnified several times. Betting right earns fast, betting wrong blows up faster, so it's even less suitable to bet on direction early. Wait for the result and clear direction before following, which is safer. The interest rate decision is a "known unknown." Smart money doesn't bet on the outcome but prepares for both possibilities. Betting on direction is a game of odds and a long-term losing strategy. If the announcement matches your bet, even a light position profits and you won't regret it; if it goes the other way, those who didn't bet remain unscathed, while heavy bettors will need a long time to recover. What you want is to steadily follow after the announcement, not bet your entire fortune before it. Direction is to be waited for, not guessed.$ETH This key level keeps failing to break through, repeatedly rejected, but every time it drops, someone steps in to buy. The trading volume is nearly 8 billion U, and the volume is increasing. The bulls' share has reached 73%, but the open interest has barely moved, which looks more like chips changing hands rather than fleeing. Every time the bears push down, there are buyers below; it increasingly looks like sharpening knives. Now just focus on that repeatedly rejected resistance above. Once it breaks through with volume, short sellers will be handing over their heads. #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近 #BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 📌BTC volume has returned halfway, and no one caught the spike at 79896 on Monday. Yesterday opened at 77385, highest 77423, lowest 76500, closed at 77132. Today opened at 77132, highest 78704, lowest 76395, current price around 78454. Volume is 358 million, stronger than the weekend, but still short of Friday's 602 million. The range 78704–78067 above remains a resistance zone, with 79896 even heavier resistance further up. Below, first watch 76395, if broken easily look at 76001. In the short term, first see if 78400 can hold. Don't chase if it can't hold at 78700. For those already holding, watch if 76395 support holds; if not, reduce positions and wait for volume to pick up in the European and American sessions before seeing if it can challenge 79896 again. $BTC In theory, a ceasefire is certainly not something Trump can decide unilaterally, but logically, if he offers enough concessions and benefits, he could unilaterally make that decision. However, in reality, Iran's demands make it difficult for him to make unilateral concessions. Moreover, Trump's interests do not fully align with those of the Republican Party. From a party perspective, immediately stopping the war to cut losses and fully focus on the election is obviously the most advantageous. But for Trump personally, conceding defeat before the election means he alone bears 100% of the blame, whereas delaying until after the election means the responsibility is shared collectively. The most likely plan now is to hold the Oman meeting as soon as possible, with Middle Eastern countries reluctantly accepting Iran's proposed passage plan while the U.S. tacitly approves. But the biggest obstacle now is actually Saudi Arabia. On the surface, Saudi Arabia says the meeting should be postponed because their base was bombed, but in reality, they are still unwilling to give up their position as the leading Islamic power. After all, the Shia-Sunni conflict has lasted for thousands of years, and reconciliation has only lasted a few days. It is expected that the struggle for dominance will continue after the war. So the next scenario might be the U.S. making certain promises to Saudi Arabia in exchange for concessions to hold the Oman meeting as soon as possible.75x long + 50x short… I thought I was hedging risk. Turns out, I was hedging myself out of the trade. 😭 Full position: $SNDK 75x long at 1636 → now 1539. Unrealized loss: 492U. Return: -445%. $ZEC 50x short at 1114 → price rose to 1135. Another 214U gone. Both margin ratios are stuck around 384%. No liquidation price showing, but watching that red number on a full-position account? Heart racing. 💀 I wanted a perfect hedge. The market gave me a 700U lesson instead. #DailyOrbit $BTC BTC might have a retracement based on the bottom chip dense area The chart shows the recent three rounds of BTC performance at the beginning of bull markets, with the common point being a retracement to the chip dense area below during the early stage of the bull market Currently, this area ranges from 69000 to 66000 If we consider a broader range, it is 72000 to 66000 If BTC price returns to this range again, I think it would be a good position to add more 🧠 **HOOK：**现在最值得注意的，不是BTC有没有继续上涨，而是资金开始明显“挑资产”了。 📊 **FACT：**9月8日至11日，美国现货BTC ETF净流出约4.63亿美元；同期ETH ETF反而净流入约1.97亿美元，SOL相关基金也录得约970万美元流入。 🔎 **WHY：**这说明机构资金并非简单地离开Crypto，而是在不同大型资产之间重新分配。ETF让传统资金可以更直接地表达对单一资产的偏好，因此BTC走弱时，ETH仍可能获得独立资金。 💡 **INSIGHT：**我认为市场正在从“Crypto整体交易”转向“资产之间的相对选择”。以后判断资金方向，不能只看BTC ETF，更要观察BTC、ETH及其他主流资产之间的资金差。 ⚠️ **RISK：**这只是一个短周期信号，而且ETH 9月11日单日流入较大，尚不足以证明长期轮动已经形成。 💬 **QUESTION：**如果这种资金分化继续，你认为下一阶段最值得观察的是ETH，还是其他主流资产？ $DOGE $SNDK $FIL #OKXTraderVoices #IranCryptoTrade #OKX1Mi🔷 The wisdom of the crowd is a myth: prices are set by 3% of wallets • Yale: 3% of Polymarket traders take 27% of the profits; two-thirds of the 1.72 million accounts are unprofitable • The advantage of the informed minority is shrinking — the market is maturing 🧠 The "wisdom of the crowd" is actually the wisdom of a few: prices are set by pros, the crowd provides liquidity. The odds you read (including my 19% on CLARITY) are the beliefs of a handful of wallets. ⚠️ The crowd in prediction markets is not an oracle. ❓ Have you traded on Polymarket?👇 $BTC 为什么本周管住手最重要 1. 五大事件集中引爆，方向完全不可预测 时间 事件 不确定性 9月15日 中国8月经济数据 + CLARITY法案程序性投票 数据可能偏弱，法案通过概率仅约20% 9月16日 美国8月零售销售 消费强弱直接左右加息预期 9月17日凌晨 FOMC利率决议（加息概率约87%）+ 英国央行 加息落地后措辞是鹰是鸽？完全未知 9月18日 日本央行利率决议（加息概率85%-98%） 日元套利平仓可能引发全球抛售 任何一个事件的结果，都可能让价格瞬间反向跳空。 你以为的“利空”，可能因为“已被定价”变成利好；你以为的“利好”，可能因为“买预期卖事实”变成暴跌。方向对，也不一定赚钱；方向错，可能直接出局。 2. 波动率飙升，插针和滑点会吃掉你的止损 事件公布前后，流动性瞬间枯竭。你的止损单可能在几秒内被插针扫掉，然后价格又回到原点。高杠杆合约尤其危险——止损设了也没用，因为价格根本不在那个位置成交。 3. 多空双杀，无论做多做空都可能被爆 本周的典型走势很可能是：数据公布后先拉爆空头，再砸爆多头。你站在哪一边，市场就专门打哪一边。 上周ETH的暴涨就是空头踩踏，但在此之前，tZERO 这轮融资里，Neighborhood Intelligence 的钱不是一次性到账，要等控制权变更、资产出售或 SPAC 合并这类有约束力的协议签了才给。 也就是说，钱分两段：一段现在支持基础设施，一段押在未来的战略交易上。 对长期持有者来说，这不是坏消息，但也不是立刻能兑现的利好。公司明确说了，这轮是迈向独立运营的过渡。 独立运营听着体面，翻译过来就是还没找到稳定收入之前，先靠投资人续着。 我拿着这类资产的心态很简单：等那笔“承诺资金”真正触发的公告，比等行情靠谱。至于自嘲，就是我又在盯一份融资条款，而不是盯盘。 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC Will the Federal Reserve "raise interest rates consecutively"? Will the "tightening cycle" of the late 1980s repeat?🔥Interest rate hikes, legislation, and liquidation digestion complete! Why did BTC rebound from 76700? The market has basically priced in the expectations of three major events: an 86.2% probability of an interest rate hike, a high likelihood that the CLARITY bill will not pass, and the panic from 120,000 liquidations has been fully released. Many wonder, then why has $BTC slowly recovered from 76700? The core lies in the completely different nature of these two pieces of news. The interest rate hike is a known negative. An 86.2% high probability means most of the negative impact has already been priced into the market. Looking back, the March 2022 rate hike was fully anticipated by the market, resulting in limited price fluctuations; but in June of the same year, when the rate hike unexpectedly increased to 75 basis points, it triggered a sharp drop. With a probability as high as 86%, there is very little room left for market surprises. The CLARITY bill, on the other hand, is a potential unknown positive. Currently, the probability of the bill passing is only 22.5%, with the market assuming failure as the baseline scenario. If the bill vote fails, the market won’t crash since this expectation has already been priced in. But if it unexpectedly passes, or if the vote count is very close to the 60-vote threshold, it will create a divergence in expectations and trigger an upward rally. Simply put, the interest rate hike negative is already priced in; the bill is a low-probability positive surprise. As the decision approaches, we still must not be complacent and should guard against sudden changes in news. Do you think the bill will bring an unexpectedly positive outcome? Let’s discuss in the comments! #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近 🚨 The market isn’t choosing a direction—it’s choosing who gets liquidated. $BTC and $ETH have been swinging violently in both directions, turning high-leverage contracts into a liquidation trap. BTC: $82K → $76K, nearly 8% volatility. ETH: $2,668 → $2,357, around 13.5%. With 10x+ leverage, even a normal pullback can wipe you out. One moment longs are getting liquidated, the next it’s shorts. Yesterday my $ETH long was over 100% in profit already sitting at an unrealized loss. #DailyOrbit 【Crypto Circle Script】 #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ I'm Script Bro, and there's no beating around the bush now. The FOMC on the 17th is the biggest thunderstorm in the next few days, and the market is basically waiting to see if it will explode. The previous non-farm payrolls were strong enough, indicating the US economy can still hold up. PPI year-on-year is 5.4%, CPI month-on-month is 0.4%, inflation hasn't calmed down. With this combination in front of Powell, he indeed has reason to stay tough. So now everyone is mentally prepared for a 25 basis point hike. If it really happens, it won't be that scary. What I fear most is the sentence that follows. If Powell says after this hike they'll wait and see, and the dot plot doesn't continue to rise, then BTC might put on a classic show: first a drop to wash out high leverage, then the bad news settles and it recovers. ETH and altcoins can also catch a breather. But if after the hike he says more hikes are coming, then don't be stubborn. US Treasury yields will keep rising, money gets more expensive, and there's no comfort days for the crypto circle. If BTC really looks for support around 65,000, I wouldn't be surprised. Altcoins especially will go straight to the ICU if BTC sneezes. So these two days I actually don't want to mess around. The market is holding its breath waiting for the 17th, so leaving some room in your position can't hurt. What we're really betting on now isn't whether there will be a hike, but whether this 25 basis points is a full stop or a comma. Brothers, do you think the 17th will bring bad news that triggers a pullback, or will it teach the bulls another lesson? Let's chat in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC $BTC / $ETH | Two different ways of secure monetization $BTC ties economic value directly to the security of its monetary ledger. $ETH ties economic value to the security that supports programmable state. Bitcoin’s network security protects a relatively focused goal: integrity and ownership of Bitcoin. Ethereum’s security guards a broader environment, where contracts, tokens and apps maintain shared state.Finally, let's wrap up by looking at the news and which data points we need to watch going forward. The US stock market's spot ETFs after Monday's close are not yet available, so we still refer to last week: Bitcoin saw about $460 million outflow over four days, with another $13 million outflow on Friday; however, the cumulative net inflow for September up to last Friday was still about $300 million, meaning the monthly trend hasn't turned bearish yet, though the weekly trend has shifted. Ethereum had a net inflow of about $200 million that week, mainly driven by a single-day inflow of about $220 million on Friday. Solana only had a small inflow of about $10 million for the entire week. Ripple's net inflow on Friday was zero. Dogecoin had no institutional volume, and there is an ETF to be closed. Prices are recovering, but whether funds can keep up depends on this week's new data and the interest rate decision on the 16th. Going forward, we need to watch: whether BTC/ETH ETFs can continue after this week's market open, whether SOL's capital inflow continues to slow, whether XRP's capital and price diverge, and since DOGE's holdings are weak, it's even more important to maintain stop-losses. Take profits when the rebound is solid; stop-losses are more important than hoping for a breakout.$BTC / $ETH｜Two different approaches to secure monetization $BTC directly relies economic value on the security of the monetary ledger. $ETH relies economic value on the security guarantee of programmable states. Bitcoin's network security has a relatively focused goal: the integrity and ownership of assets. Ethereum's security system covers a broader scope, supporting contracts, tokens, various applications, and maintaining a unified shared stateWhy is a storage chip giant that just recently went public in Tokyo rushing to raise $10 billion in the US stock market? Kioxia $KIOXIA is issuing ADS across the sea, with the core purpose of capturing capital and liquidity. ▶️ Why must they go to the US stock market? Tokyo’s pool is too small: Wall Street offers extremely high premiums for AI supply chain companies, and top European and American funds have strong demand for enterprise-level SSDs and other AI hardware. The deep liquidity of the US stock market can support such large-scale buying. Competing fiercely with SK Hynix: Storage is a high-intensity cash-burning industry, and competitors are also preparing to go public in the US. Falling behind in action means disadvantages in funding costs and market presence. The storage cycle is in a strong rebound driven by AI, with flash NAND demand surging on AI servers. Kioxia and Western Digital $SNDK are jointly expanding production on a scale of trillions of yen. Relying solely on internal cash flow and debt financing cannot support this growing appetite, so raising equity in the US stock market is an inevitable choice. Short-term arbitrage and volatility: Before listing, the markets in Japan and the US will smooth out premiums, and arbitrage volatility may occur between the original Tokyo Stock Exchange shares and the US ADS. Shift in pricing power: After a successful listing, the valuation anchor will shift from traditional Japanese semiconductors to the global AI computing infrastructure concept, potentially raising the overall price-to-earnings ratio. Risk points: From 2026 to 2027, global storage capacity will be released in concentration. If this coincides with a slowdown in demand growth, the shadow of NAND oversupply may reappear. While investors can certainly gain access to better liquidity channels, the core focus still needs to be on the actual shipments and price trends of server SSDs in the second half of the year. 🟠 $BTC BTC 继续维持反弹节奏，目前已经连续 8个交易日保持强势收盘，价格来到约 $79.1K。短线重点看 $80K–$81.5K，如果放量突破并站稳，下一目标可关注 $83K附近。 🔵 $ETH ETH 当前约 $2.56K，买方动能正在改善。短线突破 $2.60K 后，如果成交量同步放大，进一步挑战 $2.68K–$2.72K 的概率会提高。 更重要的是 ETH/BTC：只有重新站回关键阻力区，才能更有力地证明资金正在从 BTC 向大型山寨扩散。 🟣 $ZEC ZEC 约 $1.17K，仍然处于高波动强势区间。 ➡️ 突破 $1.20K → 下一目标关注 $1.25K–$1.30K。 但连续拉升后波动风险也在增加，不追涨、不FOMO。 💰 最新资金面信号： BTC 现货 ETF 资金流重新改善，机构需求仍是市场的重要支撑；与此同时，BTC Dominance 开始从高位回落，说明部分资金正在寻找更高β的机会。 但现在还不能急着宣布全面 Altseason： BTC Dominance ↓ + ETH/BTC ↑ + ETH/SOL等主流币放量 = 更可靠的轮动确认。Negotiations haven't even started, and trouble has struck the Strait of Hormuz again! Both oil prices and BTC need to be cautious. The market was originally hoping that the Oman talks on September 14 would ease the US-Iran conflict, but on the 13th, ships near the Strait of Hormuz were attacked again, causing the talks to be interrupted once more and energy supply to continue deteriorating. The ongoing obstruction at Hormuz affects more than just shipping. Crude oil rises → energy inflation increases → rate cut expectations decline → US Treasury yields rise → BTC and US growth stocks come under pressure. Meanwhile, the market is still trading on whether the September FOMC will raise rates. If energy prices keep surging, the Fed's room for rate cuts will only shrink further. So I believe: We can't just turn bearish on oil prices and bullish on BTC because Trump said "the war might end." The real turning point depends on when Hormuz reopens for navigation. Until then, oil prices still face the risk of further spikes. And for $BTC in the short term, if oil prices keep rising and US Treasury yields continue climbing, watch out for the 76,000 support level. Conversely, if Hormuz reopens and oil prices quickly fall: Inflation pressure eases, which could actually trigger a liquidity expectation reversal for BTC. The biggest risk now isn't war escalation, but the expectation that "the war will end soon," which is running far ahead of reality. #霍尔木兹船只再遇袭，地区会谈推迟 #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ Tonight, the market trends for BTC and ETH have started to show subtle changes. BTC's trend is much stronger than ETH's, which is quite unusual. BTC rose 2% from the morning low of 76300, reaching a price of 78000 USD, showing a fluctuating upward trend. ETH, usually strong, began to weaken and fluctuate between 2490–2515 today, showing an abnormal divergence worth noting. It seems like ETH's funds sensed something and did not follow the upward movement. Finally, about my positions: I continue to hold my short position on ETH, taking profit at 2440 completely, with a stop loss at today's high of 2537. $BTC $ETH The above is just my personal market insight and does not constitute any trading advice.Follow the trend 🃏 The major direction of $BTC has already started to tilt upwards. In a bullish cycle, false breakdowns below the range lows are actually worth close attention—these deviations often provide good Swing Long opportunities. Currently, I have established two Swing Long positions. What I focus on more is whether the trend can continue rather than being easily shaken out by short-term fluctuations. If the structure remains bullish, I will continue to look for swing long opportunities after pullbacks. When the trend truly weakens, the Short scenario will naturally re-enter the plan. The trend is always the best friend. From 0.05094 down to 0.02936, those who chased CVC high yesterday took a rollercoaster ride overnight   $CVC dropped from 0.05094 to 0.02936, currently at 0.03143. With huge volume and a steady decline, I only short; any rebound is a window to escape.   24h trading volume is about 19.8 million USDT, 20.9 times the 30-day average volume. Such large volume with a steady decline means distribution, not consolidation.   Bearish logic: First, funding rate is -0.002468, shorts are holding firm; second, the long-short account ratio is 1.1026, longs taking the hit haven’t surrendered. Third, BTC 78628 is still above the 7-day moving average 77615, the market is in attack mode—independent steady decline means big money is withdrawing.   Resistance above: 0.04271 (today’s high, reduce position)   Support below: 0.02936 (today’s low) → 0.02277 (yesterday’s platform)   Watershed level: 0.02936. Holding this level means bottoming; breaking it points to 0.02277.   Conclusion: More likely to continue steady decline to find bottom rather than a V-shaped reversal. 7d still has 48.88% upside left, be cautious of a rebound when entering the support zone.   Hold shorts if it breaks below 0.02936, take half profits on a rebound to 0.04271. Stop loss above 0.05094.   I’m watching the huge volume steady decline until the close, staying alert and focused.   $CVC $BTC$LIT I didn't even check the market, came back and looked, hmm? When did this happen?😳 Just after lunch when I checked, LIT was already under high pressure and dropping, strong sell orders, low volume, and weak rebounds. I had warned earlier, don't force long positions in this structure, wait for confirmation on shorts. The big profit came a bit suddenly: short at 4.8394, current price 4.3793, yield +473.5% realized.📉 Worth the wait. Position moves: first close 80%, take profits when you should; keep the remaining 20% at break-even to protect, let profits run if it keeps dropping, don't give back gains on rebounds. The market punishes all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they're the smartest. Don't get greedy with profits, don't despair on pullbacks. For friends who haven't entered yet, listen to me, now is not the time to rush, chasing shorts risks getting caught in rebounds. If you miss it, don't chase, wait for the next signal, I'll notify when it comes. $BTC $ETH Brothers, good late night, I'm still placing orders. Just took a look at the market, and the trend of $FIL makes me feel that the opportunity for short positions might really be here. 📊 News: Good news realized is bad news The recent surge in FIL is mainly driven by the "AI + decentralized storage" narrative being hotly re-discussed. But FIL has been hovering around 0.80-0.90 from its historical highs, with huge overhead resistance from trapped longs. More importantly, around October 14, the early investors who locked FIL for six years will end their lock-up, significantly reducing the daily unlocking pressure of about 187,000 FIL. This expectation of "supply-side improvement" is the core logic behind this rally. However, once the positive expectations are fully priced in by the market, it often signals a short-term peak. 📉 Technicals: Rally and pullback, momentum exhaustion FIL started near 0.80 and surged over 20% in a short time, reaching near 0.99. · Key resistance confirmed: 1.05 is a strong resistance zone, with price clearly stalling here, indicating heavy selling pressure. · Support below: 0.97 is the first short-term support; if broken, the important defense zone at 0.90 will be tested. ⚠️ Contract data: Longs crowded, shorts opportunity Although spot prices are rising, contract market data is sending warnings. · Funding rate: Currently maintained around +0.01887% [screenshot data], longs have to keep paying shorts. If the rate turns negative as price falls, it will trigger a long squeeze. · Long-short ratio: The market long-short ratio is about 1.54 (B 51% / S 49%) [screenshot data], longs remain crowded. When longs are overly crowded and price cannot break higher, it easily triggers a waterfall decline caused by long liquidations. 🎯 My trading plan Based on the above analysis, my short strategy is as follows: · Entry zone: Current price between 1.00-$1.02. · Stop loss: Strictly set above $1.05. If volume breaks and holds above this level, it means a valid breakout and shorts must exit. · Take profit target: First target at 0.90 or even lower. Brothers, the better the story behind FIL's rally, the more cautious we should be. Contract data already shows crowded longs, and spot price is rallying then pulling back. At this level, I choose to short high. The risk-reward ratio is sufficient; if wrong, stop loss; if right, it could be a big move. What do you think FIL can drop to this time? Let's discuss in the comments. $BTC $ETH #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ Security tokens are alive again, and ICE is putting money in Back when I first entered the circle, anyone who mentioned security tokens was laughed at. What was said: tZERO secured a new round of financing, with ICE participating, led by the Cohodes father and son. Why it matters: The money won't be delivered all at once; it will only be given after signing control transfer or SPAC merger agreements. This sector was nearly dead back then, with only the name left, but now even the exchange giants are betting on it again. Looking back, the financing terms are tied to a sell-out node, indicating this round is betting on an exit, not on operations. Newcomers may not understand tZERO, but they definitely understand what ICE stepping in means. If this wave really succeeds, who will be the first to benefit? #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC I said $BEAT 's bounce looked like a dead cat and needed 0.0950 reclaimed. It never got there. Down 33% on the week and now sitting at 0.083. Here's the sobering part. BEAT topped at $11 in June. It's 99% below that, and only 20% above its all-time low from last November. Three months erased almost everything. At 0.0676 it makes new lows. Above 0.0935 I'd reconsider, but nothing on this chart suggests that's coming$RIVER This profit makes me feel both anxious and fearful, afraid that the market will react tomorrow and blacklist me. When the screen was full of green, I actually hesitated, but during the phase when the market hadn't fully started, the volume couldn't pick up, and every rally was weak. Without volume support, this wave was just paper-thin. My advice at the time was straightforward: don't chase, wait for it to collapse on its own. Looking back now, from 1.204 to 1.204, +211.15%, it was worth the wait. Don't lose patience in the consolidation and then try to regain dignity in a one-sided move. The premise of compounding is survival. First, take profit on 80% to secure the bulk, keep the remaining 20% at cost as protection, and let the profits run if it continues to drop. For friends who haven't gotten in yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush. Chasing shorts can easily get you shaken out by a rebound. Wait quietly for good news, and move when the next signal appears. $SOL $XRP I see a lot of people in the comments asking how I managed to climb back up later. I don't want to pretend—none of that bullshit about value investing or trading skills. The money made from crypto trading isn't really income; it's gambling. Professional gamblers can succeed, but many fail along the way. It's very hard. Value investing requires capital, and during the capital accumulation phase, having an income is the most important. I believe the core is to never leave the circle; this circle has many opportunities to get rich quickly and is close to money. So I first kept working a regular job to earn a salary, while also running a Twitter account to build followers and keep up with new things. On Twitter, you can take advertising, and ads count as income. But relying on ads alone, you can't get rich quickly—at best, you can maintain a basic living with a little extra. Using this income to cover living expenses, I then engaged in activities like farming inscriptions, claiming airdrops, swing trading, and opening contracts. Actually, swing trading made the most money, but I don't think my gradual rise was because of swing trading; essentially, it was because I worked as a KOL and took advertising deals. Although the money wasn't much, it was capital. This approach might not suit everyone because many people aren't interested in tweeting. But having some form of income is necessary. If you don't want to be a KOL, you can work a job, deliver food, run a snack shop, start a company—anything that can help you accumulate capital. I'm the kind of person who likes to brag, so Twitter suits me. Even if I don't make money, I'm willing to post. Doing something you enjoy even if it doesn't make money helps you stick with it.$ETH returns to oscillate around 2500 dollars, underwater funds play out a "Game of Ice and Fire": Bitcoin ETF has been sold off by $458 million in the past 7 days, while Ethereum ETF absorbed $186 million (74,000 coins) in a single day. The main force rotation signal is clear, the ETH/BTC exchange rate hits a new high since the end of January, and the secondary coin catch-up main wave is surging. More importantly, supply squeeze is forming: Bitmine holds 5.96 million ETH (4.9% of the entire network), with over 5 million deeply staked and locked, and added 27,000 coins last week. ETF net buying + whale staking lock-up, the actual circulating supply on the market is being rapidly drained. Market competition is extremely divided: On-chain whales cashed out nearly 6 million U by recharging 3,333 ETH at the 2500 high, and mining company Canaan Technology also cleared its position and exited. On one side, floating chips are profiting and cashing out in a stampede; on the other side, Wall Street ETF large orders are withdrawing and locking up. The 2500 level sees fierce battles between bulls and bears, with intense volatility expected before floating chips are cleaned out. Practical judgment: - Short-term resistance is dense at 2550-2600, absolutely do not chase highs to avoid bull stampede; - Watch strong support at 2400-2440 below, as long as it holds, the exchange rate rebound logic remains valid; - Reject blind FOMO, plan to enter in batches after waiting for a pullback to support and stabilization.SOL at $101, do you dare to add to your position? First, look at the surface: the macro nuclear countdown is on, yet SOL hasn’t crashed. On September 15-16, the FOMC meeting is expected to raise rates by 25bp with an 80-90% probability. Core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, exceeding expectations; PPI is hot; oil prices remain high; Warsh, the Fed official, is hawkish. BTC has fallen from higher levels to 77,800-78,400, and the whole market is trembling. Facing the rate hike nuclear bomb, SOL did not kneel; instead, it held steady above 100. First point: The rate hike is a known factor, but SOL’s on-chain activity is "quietly accumulating." Tokenized stock holders on Solana have surpassed 800,000, with trading volume hitting record highs. Single-day rapid volume increases in assets like DraftKings show the network leading in tokenized assets. Transaction v1 upgrade raised max transaction size to 4096 bytes, the second phase of rent exemption launched, releasing more SOL. Today’s Washington x Wall Street Solana Summit focuses on regulation and institutional adoption. Prediction market World launched; meme coins and DEX volumes remain high. ETFs continue to see inflows. Second point: Solana is becoming the "on-chain Nasdaq." DeFi TVL is about $5.8-9 billion, stablecoin supply $14-16 billion, RWA $2.4-4 billion and growing fast. Daily active addresses exceed 2 million, DEX daily volume is $1.5-3 billion, application layer revenue and fees lead most chains. Staking ratio is about 70%, circulating supply tightening. Institutional holdings are increasing; Firedancer/Alpenglow are progressing; inflation reduction proposals have passed. Third point: Technically, the triangle is converging to the end; 100 is the lifeline. The daily chart rebounded from June-July lows, surged to 110 at the end of August but was rejected and fell back, now oscillating above 100. The 4-hour chart shows a symmetrical triangle with an upper boundary around 103 and lower boundary at 100, volatility narrowing, awaiting directional choice. Price is running above short-term EMAs; the 200-day moving average is far below current price (83-93 range), mid-term structure remains bullish. Holding 100 means bullish consolidation; breaking below accelerates bottom testing. This is the decision zone. Bull vs. bear, judge for yourself. On the bearish side: FOMC rate hike probability at 90%, risk asset liquidity tightening BTC falling from highs, SOL as a high-beta asset is more sensitive Daily chart hasn’t broken 105, triangle direction unconfirmed On the bullish side: RWA/tokenized stocks exploding, 800,000 holders, record trading volume Ecosystem fundamentals resilient, 70% staking, institutional accumulation $100 repeatedly held, no significant drop ETF inflows continue, summit as catalyst Support: 100 (psychological + short-term) → 97.7-98 (structural support, break risks 94-95) → 92-83 (mid-to-long-term moving average zone) Resistance: 102.5-104 (dense volume + trendline) → 105-107 → 110 (August high, breakout opens 120+) Trading strategy Short-term traders: Buy lightly on pullback to 100-98 with candlestick stabilization, stop loss below 97, target 104-107. Light short positions on rejection at 104-105 or long upper shadows, stop loss 106-107, target 100-97. Daily volume breakout and hold above 105 can chase longs; break below 97 with volume targets 94. Mid-to-long term: Ecosystem fundamentals support buying dips in spot or dollar-cost averaging, target 120-147 zone (confirmation requires breaking 110). Rate hikes are not a reason to kill SOL, but a reason for you to cut losses. SOL at $100 and SOL at $200 are the same Solana. Don’t lose your chips in macro panic, don’t exit before the on-chain breakout. After the FOMC decision, do you dare to add to your position? $BTC $ETH $SOL Brothers, I just got a huge scoop from a giant whale, and it really stunned me. This guy, back in September 2021 when ETH was over 3,000, went all in at the peak and bought 1,500 ETH. After buying, he played dead for a full four years, through bull and bear markets, not selling a single one, not even touching his wallet. That kind of discipline, I really respect. But just two hours ago, this guy suddenly came back to life and deposited 1,250 ETH all at once into the MAX exchange, totaling 3.14 million USD. I did the math for him: the average price back then was 3,159. Now doing this clearly shows he can’t hold on and is about to cut losses and run. This move slashes his holdings by 20% immediately. After holding for four years without seeing a big bull market, he finally broke down. Brothers, what do you think he’s aiming for with this move? If it were you, could you have held on for these four years? $BTC $SOL $ETH #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #Anthropic拟赴纳斯达克IPO #特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近 Kioxia heads to the US to raise $10 billion! The "money printing machine" of AI storage is about to open on Wall Street Brothers, Japan's NAND giant Kioxia is planning a big move: issuing ADRs in the US to raise at least $10 billion. Top investment banks Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase are already in talks, with a possible listing as early as next year. Why now? Because AI has turned storage chips into a money printing machine. Kioxia's latest financial report shows NAND average prices surged about 70% quarter-on-quarter, while SK Hynix's NAND average price rose about 55%. The entire industry has entered a "super growth cycle," with the three major storage giants' combined capital expenditure nearing $120 billion this year. After repurchasing billions of dollars of stock in Japan, Kioxia now wants to capitalize on the momentum to get more liquidity on Wall Street. But I have to pour cold water on this. Stock prices in the storage sector have already started "exploding with earnings but crashing due to capital outflows." Since July, Micron has pulled back over 21%, and SanDisk has dropped nearly 38%. The market is worried about an old problem: in cyclical industries, the sharper the price increase, the deeper the overcapacity risk buried beneath. Strategy: Kioxia's listing is the climax of the AI storage narrative, but climaxes are often when chips are distributed. If you want to participate in the storage market, wait for a pullback and don't chase highs. The money in this super cycle isn't that easy to make.This is the kind of on-chain transaction I pay more attention to than a random 5% candle. Back in September 2021, this wallet received 1,500 $ETH at roughly $3,159 per ETH, representing about $4.74M at the time. Then… nothing. For approximately four years, the wallet barely moved. Now 1,250 ETH worth roughly $3.1M+ has been deposited to MAX. At today's ETH price around $2.5K, that position is still roughly 20%+ below its 2021 acquisition level if the ETH is actually sold. That makes this more inThis week's FOMC announcement is about to be revealed, marking a critical point for the market in the second half of the year. The probability of a rate hike is approaching 90%. The main driver is the core CPI exceeding expectations. Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have collectively shifted their stance, expecting one rate hike each in September and December. #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ The rate hike itself has already been priced in; the real uncertainty lies in whether the dot plot and statement wording will signal "continued tightening." $BTC ETF outflows near 450 million in three days. #BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 Continuous outflows from September 8 to 10, with ARKB and BlackRock as the main players. However, $ETH ETF attracted about 200 million against the trend, as ETH has staking yields, making it more favored by institutions in a high-interest-rate environment. Funds are repositioning between BTC and ETH. Market status: both bulls and bears are waiting. $BTC is oscillating between 77,000-78,000, and $ETH is hovering around 2,500. The total liquidation across the network in 24 hours is 278 million, with long positions accounting for 196 million. The market is proactively deleveraging ahead of the FOMC. A rate hike may not necessarily be bad; it could turn into a "bad news priced in" rebound. The real risk to watch is a hawkish dot plot. Until then, hold your hands and reduce leverage.👊The Market Had Other Plans Almost a month later, and my shorts are still waiting for the move I expected. $BTC, $ETH, and $ZEC shorts opened on Aug 22 were based on a pullback idea, but the market kept pushing higher. $ZEC near $799 and $HYPE around $77 showed strong resistance from buyers. Big lesson: never fight strong momentum. The market can stay bullish longer than your prediction can stay valid. Still watching. The next move will reveal itself. 👀
Orbit Topic Sitemap