#FOMCRateCallThisWeek

The most bearish scenario: if the crypto bill fails and a rate hike is pushed to October, crypto could face a major risk-off event. A sharp daily sell-off could send $BTC toward $71.5K and $ETH toward $2.15K. The market may already be pricing in these risks, but current weakness suggests the pain may not be fully reflected yet. Stay cautious around the FOMC. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #FOMCRateCallThisWeek #AIAnxietyHitsChipStocks #SaudiOilPipelineDamaged

🚨 Crypto has a big 48 hours ahead. The U.S. Senate is scheduled to take a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act today, while the Federal Reserve's rate decision comes tomorrow. That puts $BTC, $ETH and $SOL in an interesting position. If the market gets regulatory clarity while liquidity expectations improve, risk appetite could change quickly. But if the Fed stays hawkish, crypto could face another round of pressure. This is why I'm not chasing candles right now. There are real catalysts in front of us. Let the market react first. Then decide what the reaction is actually telling us. The next move could be more interesting than the current one. #FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteStillDivided #US10YearYieldBreaks5%

BTC holding flat while ETH slips 0.83% is a weak foundation for a broad risk-on call. SOL's marginal gain does little to change that read. With the FOMC rate call in focus, I read this as a market holding its ground, not building momentum. ETH's relative weakness is the detail that matters. Just my read, not advice.$BTC $ETH

$BTC $ETH $ZEC The 25bp Fed hike landed, yet Bitcoin spot ETFs still saw ~$160M in net inflows. 👀 Markets often price in hikes before they happen, so the actual decision can become “old news.” BTC is now around $78K–$79K, with $82,470 as the key 50-week MA. A clean break and hold above it could signal stronger momentum. Can BTC reclaim $82.5K? 📈 #FOMCRateCallThisWeek #BTCSpotETF450MOutflow

#FOMCRateCallThisWeek The interesting part isn't that markets expect a hike. It's how quickly everyone changed their mind 👀 Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan and HSBC now expect a 25bp hike on Sept 16, while market pricing is hovering near 90%. A Reuters survey has 86 of 101 economists expecting the same move. What caught my attention is the reasoning. August PPI jumped 5.4% YoY, while inflation remains stubborn enough to challenge the idea that the Fed can simply wait. Goldman, however, sees a hike partly as avoiding a sharp reversal in market pricing rather than responding to a dramatic deterioration in fundamentals. That creates an unusual setup. If the Fed hikes, the move itself may matter less than whether Warsh signals more tightening ahead. If it holds, markets will immediately ask why the Fed ignored inflation while nearly everyone expected action. Either way, Wednesday isn't just a rate decision. It's a credibility test for the Fed's new policy framework, and the answer could move yields, the dollar, gold and BTC well beyond the initial 25bps.

BTC holding flat while ETH slips 0.83% is a weak foundation for a broad risk-on call. SOL's marginal gain does little to change that read. With the FOMC rate call in focus, I read this as a market holding its ground, not building momentum. ETH's relative weakness is the detail that matters. Just my read, not advice.

5% just became crypto’s most expensive number. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield crossed 5% for the first time since October 2023, while Brent trades near $107 and markets lean heavily toward a Fed hike Wednesday. When “risk-free” money pays 5%, capital has to fight harder for every dollar. Crypto’s next battle may be happening in the bond market, not on-chain. Image suggestion — separate: U.S. Treasury/bond-yield chart showing the 10-year crossing 5%, from today’s coverage #FOMCRateCallThisWeek

BTC & ETH FOMC Eve: Don't Bet on a Dovish Surprise The market still seems eager to price in good news. I'm not. Inflation remains sticky, oil is elevated, and rate-hike expectations have risen sharply heading into the Fed decision. $BTC and $ETH may stay resilient, but that doesn't mean the path will be easy. The real catalyst isn't the rate decision alone It's the dot plot, the language, and what the Fed signals next How are you positioning for FOMC: bullish breakout or volatility first?

9.15｜BTC and ETH Morning Session Thoughts The FOMC day strategy is very clear: mainly short at high levels, never chase longs before the decision is announced $BTC is currently around 77800-78200, after rising from 76400 to 79600 on Monday, it was pushed back. The issue is not the candlestick but that the rate hike is almost fully priced in, longs are still betting on "hawkish to dovish" after the hike, and funding rates remain positive. The biggest risk in this structure is not the rate hike