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Diesel breaks $6, inflation undercurrent resurges
The average diesel price in the U.S. has surpassed $6 per gallon for the first time, setting a record. As the fuel base for logistics, agriculture, and freight, diesel transmits cost pressures to the PPI and CPI faster than gasoline, driving up prices across the entire commodity chain.
The supply side is the main cause: global refinery capacity remains tight, and Middle East tensions add further disruption, making it difficult to close the refined oil supply gap in the short term. Bank of America warns that diesel is the most hidden risk to current inflation. Inflation in August has already exceeded expectations, and continued diesel price increases will strengthen bets on rate hikes, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield possibly approaching 5%.
Asset linkage: crude oil and energy products have support, the dollar is relatively strong; gold is pulled in two directions by geopolitical safe-haven demand and rising real interest rates; valuations of U.S. stocks, BTC, and other risk assets are under pressure, and outflows from BTC spot ETFs further weaken the bulls.
However, this is supply-driven inflation. If refineries recover or supply increases, oil prices may quickly retreat. The real main theme remains the Federal Reserve's interest rate path, with diesel merely acting as a catalyst amplifying inflationary pressure.The biggest feature of the market is not the rise or fall, but the intensifying divergence: some panic, some are bearish, and some are looking for the next round of value assets.
My view: short-term looks at sentiment, mid-term looks at capital, long-term looks at narrative and implementation. BTC remains the barometer, but opportunities may not belong only to BTC. Ecosystems like ETH, SOL, and SUI, if they can continuously attract users, capital, and developers, are worth long-term observation. The development of AI, stablecoins, on-chain finance, and payments indicates that the industry's long-term logic still holds.
However, being optimistic about the industry does not mean all coins will rise, and being optimistic about projects does not mean any price is worth buying. The key lies in position size, cost, and time. Without stable income, do not put all your funds into highly volatile assets.
If asked which coins are most worth holding long-term, I have no standard answer. If only choosing observation anchors, BTC is the most stable, ETH represents the ecosystem; ultimately it depends on cognition and risk tolerance. Look at the cycle over 3–5 years, don’t be led by candlestick charts. Major market moves often form when a few people persist in research, control risk, and wait for the cycle. $BTC $SOL $ETH
This does not constitute investment advice.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ DOGE bridged into the Solana ecosystem via the Wormhole bridge. The significance of this is not just cross-chain itself, but that Dogecoin has chosen a "light-asset" expansion route.
On the technical side, this integration uses Wormhole's native token transfer framework combined with zero-knowledge proofs: Solana verifies Dogecoin's PoW block headers on-chain; after users deposit DOGE, they receive an equivalent mapped asset on Solana; upon redemption, the mapped asset is burned and the original coin is released. There is no custodian throughout the process, avoiding the de-pegging risk typical of traditional wrapped tokens. The Sunrise gateway also assigns a unified minting address for $DOGE to prevent multiple bridges from minting separately and fragmenting liquidity.
Why call it grafting rather than forking? Dogecoin did not change its own chain, did not alter consensus, nor issue a new chain. It keeps security on the PoW main chain while lending application scenarios to Solana—DeFi, gaming, payments—allowing holders to use these functions without selling their assets for the first time. Building a smart contract chain from scratch costs maintaining validators, developers, and ecosystem incentives; bridging only requires a cryptographic verification scheme. For an old chain with slow technical iteration, this is exchanging the lowest fixed cost for the widest ecological reach.
On a deeper level, this could be a universal path for PoW assets: Bitcoin and Litecoin also lack contract capabilities. If this verification model proves reliable, "assets stay on the original chain, functions are lent out" will become the standard for legacy coins.$FLOCK Contract Review｜Repeated Long and Short Liquidations with Sharp Price Spikes, Large Number of Accounts Liquidated Overnight
Although $FLOCK remains steady at 5th place on the new coin popularity list, the contract market has undergone a brutal liquidity purge.
Current price is 0.06833, with a 24-hour drop of -12.61%. The intraday high reached 0.08974, the low dipped to 0.06608, with significant sharp spikes up and down. Last night until early morning, a large number of contract users faced liquidations.
Position data clearly shows that funds poured in crazily during the early phase, with open interest rapidly surging. Along with the price rally, market speculation sentiment was at its peak. After the trend reversed, open interest sharply collapsed, indicating a large number of contract positions were forcibly closed.
The long-to-short ratio of contract accounts is 1.1, with long accounts making up 52.27%. Even though long holders slightly outnumber shorts, they still couldn’t withstand the market sell-off. This is characteristic of highly popular meme contracts: when retail longs cluster, they often become targets for liquidity harvesting.
The current macro environment is inherently full of uncertainty, with FOMC meetings, Trump-related policy expectations, the CLARITY Act vote, and sensitive US political and monetary policy expectations continuously disturbing the entire crypto market. The swinging macro winds further amplify volatility in small-cap contracts.
$FLOCK is a purely sentiment-driven token without solid fundamental support. Under contract leverage, with sharp price spikes up and down, whether going long or short, even a slight position holding can easily trigger liquidation. 💵Bitcoin has already entered a region historically associated with lower entry risk and strong long-term asymmetry.
However, according to the Sharpe Ratio, this phase still requires significant resilience, as current returns remain poor relative to the level of volatility being assumed.⚠️ Middle East oil routes cut off, is 4% of global supply really going to be interrupted?
Brothers, don’t just treat this as ordinary geopolitical friction. Saudi Arabia’s east-west oil pipeline, about 1200 km long, was attacked and shut down. It normally delivers 4–5 million barrels per day, accounting for 4%–5% of global supply. Yanbu port’s inventory can only last 5–7 days; if repairs are slow, there will really be trouble.
Step one: oil prices surge first. Brent crude returned above 100, once approaching 108; WTI also broke 100, with a weekly gain over 8%.
Step two: inflation expectations heat up. With energy prices high, the Fed’s rate cuts become harder, and the market repositions for “high oil prices + high inflation + high interest rates.”
Step three: U.S. Treasury yields under pressure. If 10-year and 30-year yields continue to rise, the first to suffer may not be energy, but sectors relying on future cash flows to support valuations: tech, growth, commercial real estate, crypto.
Step four: watch BTC 76000. It’s not about guessing a crash, but whether this line holds. If oil prices stay strong, yields rise, and BTC falls below 76000 without recovering, the logic becomes: geopolitics → energy → inflation → interest rates → liquidity → risk assets. Bears will feel comfortable.
My thinking: short-term bearish bias, but don’t chase shorts; don’t bet on a waterfall unless 76000 breaks, confirm the break then follow the trend. Medium to long term, don’t be fully bearish at the most fearful times; historical big opportunities often arise from fear.
Now just focus on three things: can oil prices hold above 100; will U.S. Treasury yields hit new highs; will BTC 76000 hold. Do you think it will hold, or drop to 72000? $BTC $ETH $CL 🔥Breaking news: Latin America's largest digital bank enters the US, integrating stablecoins, BTC, and ETH into regular bank accounts
Many still see crypto as a "toy for insiders," but major regulated digital banks are quietly bridging the gap between the real world and the blockchain.
Latin American giant Nu (Nubank) officially announced its entry into the US market, simultaneously launching the multi-currency account Nu Global.
Simply put, it’s not an exchange but a bank-level account: users’ funds can be converted into USDC, EURC, with fee-free local and international transfers, and they can directly hold and trade Bitcoin and Ethereum within the app. Over the next few months, services will gradually open in the US, Brazil, Mexico, and Colombia.
What’s truly impressive about this isn’t just another institution buying crypto.
It’s about turning stablecoins and mainstream crypto assets into everyday banking services for ordinary people.
Previously, regular users wanting USDC or BTC had to actively seek exchanges and understand wallets and private keys.
Now, opening a digital bank app lets you deposit money, exchange coins, and make cross-border transfers all through one interface. No need to "join the circle" to access crypto.
On one side, the Federal Reserve is still debating rate hikes and regulatory back-and-forth; on the other, large licensed financial institutions are already rolling out products. While macro is braking, institutional long-term strategies continue.
Of course, this shouldn’t be blindly seen as an immediate bullish signal.
First, this is a long-term narrative, not a short-term pump signal. User growth and asset inflows will be a gradual process,The most worthwhile aspect of this CPI round isn't the data itself, but the market trend after the data is released. Let's look at the data that should normally be bearish: core CPI for August was +0.3% month-on-month, expected 0.2%—exceeding expectations by 50%, the first since January 2025; PPI year-on-year +5.4%, expected 5.3%, previous 4.7%—also above expectations; Waller's threshold was crossed in one go: he said "CPI rebounds require rate hikes," and now core has rebounded month-on-month. Looking at the actual market (from the 1H screenshot): CPI on 9/11: $BTC hit 75,866, $ETH 2,404, $SOL 97.77—this is the low point of this round; 9/12: BTC jumped straight to 79,888, a 5.3% rebound in a single day; ETH jumped to 2,667; SOL jumped to 105.77; 9/14 12:00: BTC 77,567, ETH 2,513, SOL 101.06—pullback from the high point 3%-6%, consolidating at the high. Why did the price rise when the negative news landed? Three levels of analysis: Layer 1: The probability of a rate hike was priced in before the CPI. On 9/10, when the PPI came out (5.4%), the probability of a rate hike jumped from 60% to nearly 70%. In other words, the market already knew "this time's going to increase" 24 hours before the CPI release CPIZEC's move today was somewhat beyond expectations.
Over the weekend, ZEC was actually weak, steadily falling on Saturday and Sunday, reaching a low near 1040 at one point. Yesterday, seeing it had dropped quite a bit at this level, I casually added a bit, not expecting that after funds returned on Monday, it would directly pull back up to around 1130.
$ZEC
After the previous drop from 1298, it has already undergone a fairly obvious correction. Now that it has reclaimed above 1100, in the short term, let's see if this rebound can continue; there's no need to rush to chase for now.
Looking at $ETH, it fell from above 2600 down to around 2460, and today it has bounced back to around 2500. This level is still quite critical; if 2500 holds, the previous bullish structure remains intact.
$BTC
Currently still around 77,000, the 80,000 mark has yet to be truly broken. The market is quite interesting now; while BTC is still consolidating, high-elasticity coins like ZEC have already started moving independently.
I'm now more focused on this kind of capital rotation—who suddenly gets stronger, who starts falling behind—often more interesting than just watching one coin to guess its rise or fall.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ **BTC market shows extreme divergence, no one dares to chase above 79896, while there are supporters below 76395.**
Friday opened at 77251, peaked at 79896, bottomed at 76001, and closed at 77727. Weekend opened at 77385, peaked at 77423, bottomed at 76500, and closed at 77132. Today opened at 77132, peaked at 77864, bottomed at 76395, current price around 77550. Volume remains near 150 million, the enthusiasm of 600 million on Friday hasn't returned.
Resistance remains between 77864–78066, and it's even heavier around 79896. Support first at 76395, if broken, easy to see 76001.
Don't chase both sides in the short term. If it can't hold after pushing to 78066, reduce positions; if it holds at 76395, then watch further. Wait for volume to return in the European and American sessions before deciding direction; for now, this price level is just data digestion. $BTC Who still dares to lock in U.S. Treasury bonds for decades? In August, the new issuance of 16 billion was awarded at 5.204%, the highest since 2004. In September, the secondary market for 20-year bonds surged to 5.31%—5.35% for the first time in 20 years. The Ministry of Finance hurriedly repurchased 6 billion to support the long end, but the market responded by continuing to sell off, pushing yields higher again. The so-called market rescue had no effect. Behind this is a total debt exceeding 40 trillion, a deficit of 1.97 trillion in the first 11 months of fiscal year 2026, and net interest already over 1 trillion. Low-interest old debt maturing is replaced by high-interest new debt; the more issued, the heavier the interest, and the more expensive the new issuance becomes. Overseas official net purchases in the first half of the year were only 7.7 billion, almost zero compared to 475.8 billion in the same period last year. Long-term funds are not being accepted, and AI giant corporate bonds are again competing for long-duration funds. With the fiscal bottomless pit and buyers retreating, this kind of ultra-long duration bond over 20 years is the first to be sold off. Price declines and rising interest rates are just getting started.💵Bitcoin has already entered a region historically associated with lower entry risk and strong long-term asymmetry.
However, according to the Sharpe Ratio, this phase still requires significant resilience, as current returns remain poor relative to the level of volatility being assumed.Interest rate hikes do not necessarily end up being bearish for Bitcoin
If high oil prices and high interest rates eventually drag the global economy into a recession, the market will start trading a different story:
Economic deterioration → central banks stop raising rates → expectations of rate cuts rise → liquidity is released again.
And Bitcoin often doesn't wait for actual rate cuts to rise; once the market believes monetary policy is about to turn, risk assets may react in advance.
So the focus is not on "whether the central bank raises rates today," but on the direction of global liquidity.
In the early stages of rate hikes, Bitcoin may be one of the most visibly hurt assets, but if rate hikes ultimately push the economy into recession, Bitcoin could become the earliest asset to bet on the next round of easing.
This is the most interesting part: it is both a high-risk asset in an era of liquidity contraction and potentially the most sensitive rebound asset in the next global easing cycle.
What will truly determine the direction in the future are U.S. Treasury bonds, the U.S. dollar, the Bank of Japan, and the Federal Reserve.After nearly five years of waiting, Dogecoin is finally turning "To the Moon" from a slogan into reality. According to the plan, the DOGE-1 CubeSat will launch today aboard SpaceX's Falcon 9 rocket from Kennedy Space Center in Florida, heading to lunar orbit.
This satellite weighs about 40 kilograms and is primarily developed by the Canadian Geometric Energy Corporation. In May 2021, Musk announced this mission on social media, with the launch contract paid entirely in Dogecoin, making SpaceX the first rocket company to accept cryptocurrency payments. Once in lunar orbit, DOGE-1 will use its onboard camera and sensors to collect lunar space data and transmit images and digital artwork back to Earth via a small screen.
The significance of this event lies not in short-term market trends but in the narrative closure. $DOGE started as a joke within the community but has now become the currency for humanity's first commercial space launch transaction. "To the Moon" has transformed from a slogan into a contract, a rocket, and a real satellite heading to the Moon. It should also be noted that this mission has been repeatedly delayed over five years due to payload progress and rocket scheduling. Whether today's launch window will be fulfilled depends on the actual operations at the launch site. For the community, the moment the rocket ignites is when the news truly lands; before ignition, all expectations remain just expectations. XRP closed above 1.37 on the 4-hour chart, with a 39% increase in trading volume, still leaving an upper shadow
XRP closed at 1.3727 between 08:00 and 12:00, surpassing the previous six 4H highs of 1.3700; this period rose 2.35%, with a trading volume of 8,372,800 USDT, an increase of 38.84% compared to the previous period.
The breakout was accompanied by volume, but the close was still 0.0081 (about 0.59%) below the high of 1.3808. The buying pushed the price past the old high, but also left a clear upper selling pressure zone.
Confirmation condition: the next 4H candle closes above 1.3808; invalidation condition: close falls back below 1.3700. Would you accept closing above 1.37 as a valid breakout, or require surpassing 1.3808 as well?
#XRP #MainstreamCoin #TradingWatchColend（Core链借贷协议）现状（2026‑09） 1. 合约没有关停，链上合约还在，前端网页还可以打开，但业务基本已经“实质僵住”，活跃度几乎归零。 - 2026‑03 发生CORE代币价格暴跌引发大规模连环清算，整个协议遭受重创，虽然官方称协议代码本身没有被黑客攻击，是市场杠杆爆仓导致，没有坏账，但流动性被严重摧毁。 - 现在TVL只剩下几百万美元，绝大部分抵押资产是CORE/stCORE；稳定币、BTC类流动性几乎枯竭。 - 几乎借不出资产：即便存入抵押品，可借贷池没有可用流动性；普通用户主要只能做存款，借贷功能基本不可用。 2.代币CLND情况 - CLND代币还在交易所挂盘，但交易量极低，深度很差，币价相比高点跌幅巨大。 - Colend官方社交更新频率大幅降低，已经不再大规模做激励活动。 3. 对老用户的关键提醒 - 合约没有冻结，你可以取回自己的存款抵押资产，要自己手动去app赎回取出；不要继续往里面新存钱。 - 该协议经历过极端清算事件，抵押品是波动极大的CORE，杠杆风险极高。 简单总结 ✅合约技术层面没有跑路、没有关闭，还能访问$ARB ARB whale data revealed! Bulls are all trapped, market reversal is right at the support level
After ARB surged and then pulled back, it is now in a correction and consolidation phase, with short-term moving averages on the daily chart forming resistance.
Whale position data is very insightful:
✅ Bull whales' cost is 0.153, currently deeply trapped, with only 19.18% in profit; a large amount of trapped chips are piled up above, so any rebound will face selling pressure from those trying to break even;
✅ Bear whales' average entry is 0.143, with over 75% of positions in profit, expecting to take profit and close positions.
This is a typical chip game market:
Two possible directions:
① Hold the key support: bears take profit and exit, triggering a price rebound, trapped bulls wait for self-rescue;
② Volume break below support: bulls collectively trigger stop losses, stop-loss cascade, continuing the downtrend.
Next, focus on whether the support level is effectively broken.
Risk warning: This is personal data analysis only and does not constitute trading advice. Virtual currency contracts carry extremely high risk. #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ 🎉Made it through! The SNDK short position withstood intense volatility and finally turned profitable.
During this period of SanDisk SNDK's rollercoaster market, shorts really felt like they were undergoing a trial.
The previous sharp rebound triggered a fierce short squeeze; many shorts couldn't bear the huge unrealized losses and chose to stop loss and exit.
The market everywhere talks about the storage super cycle being unstoppable, shorts have been crushed, and the short squeeze will continue.
At the peak of pressure, unrealized losses kept expanding,
Every day was a tug-of-war between "whether to stop loss and admit defeat" and "stick to your own judgment."
The hardest part wasn't the market falling, but that the entire market and public opinion seemed to be against you.
Many fell before dawn.
But we chose to endure the volatility and did not cut positions at the panic rebound highs.
Now the market has corrected, unrealized profits have finally turned positive, and the long ordeal has yielded results.
However, happiness aside, we must not be complacent.
This is only a phase victory, not the end.
The storage sector itself is extremely volatile, with supply logic controlled by big manufacturers limiting production to maintain prices on one side, optimistic AI demand expectations on the other, plus the Federal Reserve's interest rates hanging overhead. Next week's Fed meeting will be decisive, and another sharp reversal could come at any time.
Holding positions is never a trading method worth mindless imitation.
This time the profit came from a combination of judgment, luck, and position management.
Many times, holding positions until the end doesn't bring a correction but a liquidation.
Hold your positions, strictly set your exit plan,
Taking profits is never wrong. #Anthropic拟赴纳斯达克IPO $SNDK After Bitcoin finished the weekly candle, it started a small rebound. The first obvious signal is that the spot CVD has clearly improved and selling pressure has decreased. It has been consolidating near 76k for almost a month, and the accumulation phase could end at any time, eventually attempting to stabilize above 80k.
The overall expectation for this week might also be to go up first and then down. The specific pullback strength will be assessed step by step. Currently, a bullish divergence has appeared on the 1-hour chart. Any retracement today is a short-term buying opportunity. If the price decisively breaks below 76k, then the strategy should be reconsidered.Shein (00625.HK) was issued at HKD 48.56 on September 1st and broke below the issue price on the first day, with the market already pricing in negativity. The bearish case can be summarized as "the old engine has stalled, and the new engine has not yet ignited." Growth has clearly slowed: revenue growth rate dropped from 41.1% in 2023 to 8% in 2025, and only 1.1% in Q1 2026; net profit declined 38.7% year-on-year to USD 2.064 billion in 2025, and turned to a loss in Q1 this year. The foundation of the business model is being undermined by policy: the US will cancel tax exemption for small parcels under USD 800 in May 2025, and the EU will also cancel tax exemption for parcels under EUR 150 in July 2026. These two major markets account for nearly 60% of revenue, and the direct low-price advantage is gone. Valuation relies on a new story, but third-party mall revenue accounts for only 14.3%, while fulfillment costs account for nearly 48% of revenue, far from enough to replace the old engine. Competition is also intensifying: Temu's global share has caught up with Amazon, TikTok Shop is growing rapidly, continuously squeezing Shein's traffic strategy. Even based on 2025 profits, Shein's PE is about 13 times, seemingly lower than Inditex's 30 times, but profit decline and policy risks are not fully reflected, making it more like a value trap. Shein is a business with slowing growth, thinning profits, disappearing policy dividends, and an unfulfilled new story; valuation cuts may just be beginning. Recently, all kinds of positive and negative news have been flying everywhere, and the market is like a loudspeaker. But stripping away the noise, the key points are four sets: $BTC's 76K, $BTC's 2.45K, $SOL's 100 level, and BNB's 720-725.
To be honest, being bombarded with this news every day makes me a bit tired, even a little scared. Whenever I see good news, I want to chase; whenever I see bad news, I want to run away—I feel like a startled bird.
I reflected for a long time and realized that the fundamental reason I was led by the market was blindly trusting the news and neglecting the verification of the price itself. The person calling out the order isn't responsible for profit or loss, but I have to pay my own principal.
The market doesn't change direction just because someone is loudest; it only earnestly guarantees the money. The underlying tone of trading is not prediction, but response.
Last year, there was a phase when I heavily bet on some positive news and entered early before the candlestick chart appeared, only to be repeatedly proven wrong. Later, I waited until the price stabilized at a critical level before acting. Although I lost the initial profit, I never suffered the loss of being "hit from both sides" again. At that moment, I understood that waiting for confirmation isn't slow, it's steady.
Four coins, four lines. Hold on to watch for rebounds; if it breaks below to prevent risk. News is the wind; K-lines are the anchor.
Hold your hands and watch the market. BTC holds at 76K, ETH at 2.45K, SOL at 100, BNB at 720 to take over. No prediction, just follow and let the price tell me right or wrong.
#特朗普接受新版伦理条款, the CLARITY vote approaches With more ETF entry points, why am I paying more attention to liquidation? The SEC is soliciting opinions on new types of ETFs, indicating that compliant capital channels may continue to expand; but the documents also reveal that the Bitwise Dogecoin ETF has decided to liquidate, meaning product expansion does not equal every coin retaining buying interest. For $BTC and $ETH, a bullish outlook depends on ETF net inflows syncing with spot trading; if there is only expectation without incremental funds, it is easier to cash out after a rally. Next, focus on regulatory texts, net flows, and the relative strength of mainstream coins. #BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 $UNI Originally planned to cut losses as a sacrifice, but the sacrifice didn't happen, and the meat cooked itself. When I opened the market this morning, honestly my hands were shaking, but when I checked my positions, hey, it was in the green, and quite tasty.
During the bottom consolidation, I kept repeating one thing: support hasn't broken, volume hasn't dissipated, and there are buyers below. Others are selling, I watch; others are cursing, I wait. The market is waited out, profits are held out, I've said this more than once.
Entered UNI at 5.722, current price 6.398, floating profit +589.82%. This trade was indeed tough in the early stage. For those who got on board and haven't moved much like me, today's gain must feel good, right?
In terms of operation, don't be greedy for the last bite. I took profits on 75% of the position first, moved the stop loss near the cost price for the remaining 25%, if it continues to rise let the profits run, but I won't accept too much pullback.
For those who haven't entered yet, listen to me: chasing highs now easily means chasing the peak, and the one who suffers is yourself. The market doesn't lack opportunities, it lacks patience. There are still structural moves ahead, don't rush, wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I'll announce it first.
$XRP $ZEC $ETH's direction is stuck around 2,523: only by reclaiming it can we talk about a continued rebound; if it can't hold, it will remain just a back-and-forth fluctuation in the low range.
Public market data shows $ETH around 2,515, with an intraday low of 2,465 and a high of 2,523. The price is not far from the upper boundary, but confirmation has yet to appear.
I consider a close above and a pullback support at 2,523 as an upward trigger; if it rallies then falls back again toward 2,465, it indicates selling pressure still dominates, and the rebound should be downgraded.
From my personal market perspective, I do not chase gains before key resistance, nor guess bottoms before support. I wait until price, volume, and pullback align before switching from observation to action.
Would you wait for 2,523 to hold, or focus on support at 2,465?
This is only my personal market observation and does not constitute investment advice.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ OKX perpetual has only been online for 48 hours, and FLOCK has already dropped from the opening high of 0.0855 to the current 0.0676, a decline of -13.47%, with a trading volume still hanging at $154M — in other words, the whales are exiting actively, and retail investors are eagerly taking over.
This is not a "normal correction."
New coins often have a wave of emotional premium on the first day of listing, so a surge followed by a pullback is normal. But the problem with FLOCK is: it hit the high at launch, then continuously closed lower on the 4-hour chart, with no decrease in volume — indicating sustained selling pressure, not a pulsed dump.
Looking at the 4H chart: last night at 22:00, the candle's volume suddenly surged to 7.2 million (around the 0.085 price at that time), then the price started to gradually decline. This afternoon, volume surged again to 3.2 million, but the price only dropped by 0.002 — bulls and bears are battling around 0.068, and the direction is still undecided.
My judgment: the hype for the new coin has faded, and FLOCK is currently searching for a new support range. The $154M 24h trading volume shows the market's attention remains, but the short-term direction leans bearish.
Did you run away or bottom-fished? $FLOCK【Contract Strategy Essentials】Practical Matching of Leverage Multiples
Leverage is not about being bigger is better; it is a tool to match the drawdown you are willing to endure, not a switch to bet on direction.
Core three steps:
1. Calculate the real volatility: Bitcoin intraday 2-3% is common, Ethereum 3-5% is common, use this as an anchor rather than guessing randomly.
2. Leverage = Position ÷ Acceptable loss per trade ÷ Price volatility. Example: BTC willing to lose 2% per trade, intraday volatility 3%, then leverage × position ≤ 0.66.
3. Mainstream coins ≤ 5x, small coins ≤ 3x, beginners ≤ 2x, isolated margin mode preferred over cross margin.
Risk budget linkage:
• Single trade ≤ 3% of total position
• When leverage increases, position size is adjusted down simultaneously to ensure "leverage × position = risk budget" remains constant
• Track mark price instead of the latest price to avoid false liquidations caused by price spikes
Three red lines:
• Do not fully allocate in a single trade, keep at least 30% ammo
• Do not increase leverage before major volatility events
• Do not add positions and increase leverage while in floating losses
Remember: Leverage amplifies emotional fluctuations, not win rate. Win rate depends on position management and directional judgment; leverage only amplifies the outcome. #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ This week's market felt like a roller coaster. $BTC surged to 80500 then dropped back to 76750, $ETH fell from 2667 to 2480, and $ZEC cooled off from 1299 to 1096. ETFs continue to bleed, with the FOMC and CLARITY Act looming overhead, open interest remains high, and altcoins rotate as fast as a marquee.
Chasing longs on the left gets hit, chasing shorts on the right also gets hit. It feels like driving in thick fog—too scared to press the gas, afraid to brake and get rear-ended.
I thought the problem was the market was too weak, but I was wrong. The real problem isn’t the drop, it’s that no one knows which way to go. Capital is waiting—waiting for the FOMC, waiting for the legislation, waiting for a direction that can convince itself. Everyone is watching, no one wants to be the first to rush out.
I think in this kind of "direction undecided, two-way stabbing" market, the most expensive thing isn’t opportunity, it’s principal. The real winners aren’t those who guess the direction right, but those who can endure until the direction appears.
There was a week like this last year, BTC kept sweeping back and forth in a range. I heavily bet on a breakout, but both longs and shorts got stopped out, and my principal shrank by 30%. When the market really broke out later, I was out of ammo. That feeling of "seeing it right but not profiting" is worse than being wrong. From that day on, I understood: no breakout, no move.
This week isn’t without opportunity, it’s just that the direction isn’t confirmed. BTC eyes 76000, ETH eyes 2430, ZEC eyes 1040. If not broken, be patient; if a real breakout happens, then follow. In a choppy market, those who survive first have the right to talk about the next round.
Control leverage, don’t predict, just follow. Don’t act if key levels aren’t broken; enter only when real signals appear. Not losing this week is winning.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ $BTC September has always been the "cursed month" in the crypto world. Historically, the market often weakens or undergoes liquidity washouts during this month. This year seems no different, following the slow boil rhythm. Entering now feels like opening a blind box, but instead of surprises or thrills, it’s a mental torment.
1. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is due at the end of the month. Everyone in the market has their own agenda, tugging between rate cuts and economic soft landing/hard landing scenarios. Big money is currently flowing into defensive assets or short-term U.S. Treasuries; the heat allocated to high-beta crypto assets is clearly not enough to be intense.
2. The capital flow into spot ETFs has been stagnant recently, lacking strong catalysts for large net inflows. Institutions tend to take vacations or reduce exposure during traditionally weak months like September.
Honestly, don’t always try to bottom-fish for the absolute lowest point in September. If you’re a believer in regular fixed-amount spot investing, just keep following the formula and keep buying at today’s price. Close the app, read a book, have some coffee, and focus your mind on life. But if you’re itching to use leverage to bet on whether the price will break out of the range today, I advise you to buy a good coffee and calm down—right now, the main players have more patience than anyone. Retail investors usually get their bullets worn down during these sideways periods until their mindset collapses, and then they get thrown off before the real direction emerges.
Today, Bitcoin is just a "spectator outside the game, insiders measuring blood pressure" situation. Expect nothing, get hurt less. Wait until the macro cards are revealed at month-end, or until volume-driven breakouts above or below the range occur. For now, it’s best to lie low.
I choose to continue dollar-cost averaging and set my desired buy prices to wait, no FOMO, no greed, no missing out #Anthropic plans to IPO on Nasdaq
The leader has something to say
Anthropic is heading to Nasdaq. The IPO is planned to be completed in October, with financing up to $100 billion and a valuation discussed at 2 trillion. Nvidia is negotiating a top anchor investment of $10 billion.
But CEO Dario Amodei also called for slowing down frontier model development, allowing third-party evaluation and safety governance to catch up, warning that more powerful intelligent agent clusters in the next 6 to 12 months could bring serious cyber risks. Sam Altman and Musk both expressed support. Trump opposed, saying the pace should not be slowed due to safety concerns.
The interesting part is that Anthropic is rushing the IPO while talking about safety. If safety governance truly becomes a moat, short-term product iteration and revenue realization will be delayed, which is pressure on the 2 trillion valuation. But in the long run, compliant AI giants will get more institutional funding.
For the crypto market, the AI capital attraction effect is still there, but the safety narrative may shift some funds toward the compliance track. Bitcoin still follows macro trends; the FOMC is the key event this week.
Holding over 76,700 long Bitcoin positions, stop loss at 74,500, first target 80,000 to 81,000. No heavy positions before FOMC, waiting for direction. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
The above analysis is time-sensitive; stop losses must be set on orders. Good luck.$BTC / $ETH
Sometimes the strongest signal isn't a huge breakout.
It's how an asset behaves when the market gets uncomfortable.
$BTC is holding around $77K while macro pressure is building ahead of the Fed meeting.
$ETH is sitting around $2.5K and still trying to prove that its recent strength wasn't just another short-term rotation.
That's what I'm watching.
Not just green candles.
I want to see which assets can absorb selling without completely losing structure.
Anyone can look strong when everything is going up.
The real information comes when the market gets tested.
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #AnthropicIPOOnNasdaq #TrumpAcceptsNewEthics BTC's modest gain looks more like selective demand than broad risk appetite. ETH and SOL are both lower over 24 hours, so the strength has limited breadth. My read: this is a Bitcoin-led market, with too little participation to call it a wider crypto recovery.
Not advice, just analysis.The 20x leveraged $BTC short position is still open, but the person has already reduced their position. The fatigue doesn't come from the direction, but from this kind of position management itself.
At 14, he used $3000 of red envelope money to invest in shipping stocks, which once grew to 300,000, then went to zero due to high leverage. Now on Hyperliquid, he holds the second largest short position, also holding SNDK and PONS.
From betting on a single asset to shorting three simultaneously, leverage has shifted from out of control to layered. This seems more like hedging judgment errors with position structure rather than a firm bearish stance.
Watch if he continues to reduce his $BTC short. If he reduces to a certain level and the price doesn't drop, then this round of bearish logic needs to be recalculated.
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元
#伊朗允许BTC与USDT外贸结算 #ZEC机构资金入场，高位杠杆开始出清 $BTC $SNDK Today, the overall crypto market shows a typical volatile pattern with large caps stable, small caps active, and mainstream coins relatively weak. Market volatility is converging, and all funds are waiting for major macroeconomic developments.
Bitcoin experienced slight fluctuations today, with the price steady above the 77,000 mark, showing extremely stable performance. Thanks to continuous spot fund support and high chip lock-in, BTC's resistance to decline is prominent, firmly holding the overall market bottom line without significant volatility, becoming the biggest safety cushion on the board.
Ethereum's performance is noticeably weaker than Bitcoin, facing continuous short-term pressure and increased volatility. As a high-leverage elastic asset, ETH is more affected by liquidation events, with repeated spikes and washouts on the chart, frequent long-short turnovers, and no clear short-term trend, mainly undergoing range-bound consolidation.
The biggest feature of the current market is the rapid rotation of funds. Mainstream coins lack profit-making effects, causing active funds to flee, flocking to small-cap sentiment coins and hot speculative tokens for short-term trading. Localized rallies are hot but generally weak in sustainability, mostly one-day rotation trades.
On the macro front, previous CPI inflation stickiness exceeded expectations, and the Federal Reserve's high interest rate continuation expectations have intensified, still suppressing risk assets in the short term. The entire market is currently in a wait-and-see cycle, fully awaiting next week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
Overall, the current market is trendless and purely emotional and volatile. In terms of operations, avoid chasing highs with heavy positions; mainstream coins require patience to wait for a breakout direction, while small caps are only suitable for light, short-term arbitrage, with a focus on stability. $BTC $ETH $ZEC $BTC $ETH Tonight I lean more towards: BTC is oscillating weakly, ETH is weaker than BTC, and altcoins are increasingly diverging.
The real big event of this week hasn't started yet—the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is approaching, and market expectations for a rate hike have clearly intensified. Pressure from the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields is returning to the market.
So tonight the focus is not on blindly chasing gains, but on observing:
BTC: A rebound without volume is easily pressured again; if key support is lost, a rapid downward move may occur.
ETH: Relatively weaker than BTC; if funds continue to seek safety, pressure on ETH and altcoins may become more obvious.
Altcoins: In a highly volatile market, those that rise quickly may fall even faster; beware of sudden sharp drops.
My approach tonight:
First watch for oscillation → then wait for direction → follow the breakout.
Don't be fooled by a single candlestick.
What really deserves caution is not the decline itself,
but the market appearing calm while brewing a big wave of volatility.$ETH's direction is stuck around 2,523: only by reclaiming it can we talk about a continuation of the rebound; if it can't hold, it will remain just a back-and-forth fluctuation in the low range. Public market data shows $ETH around 2,515, with an intraday low of 2,465 and a high of 2,523. The price is not far from the upper boundary, but confirmation has yet to appear.
I will regard a close above and a pullback support at 2,523 as an upward trigger; if it rallies then falls back again toward 2,465, it indicates selling pressure still dominates, and the rebound should be downgraded in expectation.
From my personal market perspective, I do not chase gains before key resistance, nor guess bottoms before support. Only when price, volume, and pullback align in the same direction is it worth switching from observation to action.
Would you wait for 2,523 to hold first, or focus on the support at 2,465? This is purely my personal market observation and does not constitute investment advice. September 15 is being packaged by the market as the "final vote" on US crypto regulation, but the actual procedure is not like that.
On that day, the Senate is handling the cloture motion for the CLARITY Act, which requires 60 votes to allow the bill to proceed, but this does not equal final legislation.
What is truly underestimated is the second track: the SEC has already proposed Regulation Crypto Assets, setting a maximum $5 million exemption for startup issuance, a maximum $75 million exemption for financing, and a conditional safe harbor.
Therefore, current data more strongly supports that US crypto regulation is advancing on a dual track of "Congressional legislation + SEC rules," rather than relying solely on a single 60-vote decision.
The most important subsequent validation variables are whether the cloture passes and which key amendment comments the SEC proposal receives before October 20.First, let's look at the mismatch between funds and positions: The spot Ethereum ETF saw a net inflow of $216 million on September 11, indicating that money is indeed flowing back. However, as the Federal Reserve's rate decision window approached from September 15 to 16, inflation and oil prices pushed up rate hike expectations, causing prices to be repeatedly pulled back and forth. $ETH rebounded from 2460, with resistance levels first at 2534 and 2566. If it falls below 2480, it may retest 2460. Some traders still hold 60 short contracts with a cost basis of 2359, an unrealized loss of 8658U, and a liquidation price at 2718, indicating that leveraged positions remain sensitive to upside risk. $BEAT's trading volume shrank by 70.9% compared to the previous day, approaching the historical low of 0.0679. Oversold conditions may lead to a rebound, but a low-volume recovery does not equal a reversal. $SNDK closed at 1633.35 on September 11, down nearly 10% from this week's high of 1807. The positive news of its inclusion in the S&P 100 on September 21 has been partially priced in. The current support is at 1600, with resistance between 1735 and 1800. Risk warning: Volatility will be intense around the rate decision and data windows, so leveraged positions must strictly control liquidation distances. 1346 万美元的 SNDK 空单，10 倍杠杆，周末还在加。
PONS 那边也压着 362 万，3 倍。同一双手，方向一致。
踩过坑的人看这种仓位，第一反应不是佩服。14 岁那 3000 美元压岁钱，最高到 30 万，然后高杠杆归零——这剧本他自己演过一遍。
现在 Hyperliquid 第二大空单，$BTC 还挂着 8152 万，20 倍。今晨减了 49 枚，像在挪位置。
仓位越大，容错越小。他比谁都清楚归零长什么样，却还是把杠杆拉到这个数。
等爆仓短信不如等他自己减仓。
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元
#伊朗允许BTC与USDT外贸结算 #ZEC机构资金入场，高位杠杆开始出清 $BTC $SNDK The most intense market rallies often appear only after everyone believes in the bull market🔥
There are still quite a few doubts in the market now, which is a good thing.
The truly dangerous phase: everyone in the group is profiting, casually buying coins that surge the next day, and newcomers think making money in crypto is easy.
The market shifts from investment and speculation to emotional hype, with wait-and-see funds rushing in at highs, while early holders take the opportunity to cash out.
Compared to all-out celebration, I prefer the current repeated fluctuations.
The most costly thing in crypto is not Bitcoin, but FOMO.
It makes you panic sell at lows and chase the price at highs.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ The SKHYNIX spike at 1438 only showed up after the weekend's pullback.
On the 9th, it touched 1438. On the 10th, it dropped to 1325, on the 11th the highest was 1387 but didn't break through, closing at 1366. On the 12th, the highest was 1374, the lowest 1331, closing at 1341. On the 13th, the lowest was 1283, closing at 1287. Today, the intraday low was 1264, the high 1297, current price around 1278. Volume is still there.
The range 1297-1387 has become the immediate resistance. If it breaks below 1264, it’s likely to see lower levels first.
In the short term, watch if 1278 can hold. If it can’t hold, treat it as a high-level consolidation and don’t chase at this price. For those already holding, watch if 1264 can support; if it can’t, consider reducing your position. $SKHYNIX CVC current price is 0.03142, with thin order book depth and widening bid-ask spread, showing no signs of major capital inflow. The 0.031 level is the lower edge of the previous dense chip area; after breaking below, the rebound is weak and volume continues to shrink, a typical weak consolidation. There is a cluster of trapped positions between 0.0335 and 0.0342 above, each rebound is pushed back down. Without any news stimulus, purely based on order book analysis, the bearish structure is not yet complete.
Just pushed open a crack in the security booth window, the wind is picking up outside, and the cup of herbal tea on the table is not finished yet.
In terms of operation, short directly near the current price of 0.03142, enter in batches between 0.0314 and 0.0318. Take profit first target at 0.0298, second target at 0.0285. Set stop loss at 0.0328; if it holds above this level, stop loss and exit. Leverage should not exceed five times, control position size well; this kind of low-volume gradual decline is very wearing, don't rush to add positions. The risk-reward ratio is close to 3:1, worth taking a shot.
$CVC
#OKX预言家：来星球玩预测
@OKX星球 $FLOCK Circulating supply 460 million tokens (increased 3.5 times) (No burn mechanism, no project revenue) Conclusion: Price dropped 87%, but market cap only dropped 52%. The difference was completely eaten up by dilution from unlocked tokens. This is extremely important in terms of chip distribution: the huge trapped volume above 0.6 is still there, facing a market where the circulating supply has expanded 3.5 times and the market cap grows by 61% annually. These chips are very unlikely to ever be freed. 🔍 On-chain concentration Holders: 102,925 But Top 100 addresses hold 100% of supply 😳 Top 5 alone hold 66.8% 97.8% are shrimp accounts 🦐 → Chips are not in retail hands, a few addresses decide life or death ⚠️ 🗺️ Chip map (by price range) 🔴 0.10–0.67 | Historical deep trap disaster area 💀 🫧 0.083-0.065 | Vacuum zone, no support ⚠️ 🟢 0.065–0.075 | Recent first dense area 🟢 0.035–0.055 | Long-term sediment, most solid ✅ 🫧 What is the vacuum zone 0.065→0.083 is a 7-day 126% rise pulled out No time to settle = no chips 🕳️ No resistance when rising, no support when falling It goes down the same way it went up 📉 🔓 Crypto-specific chips: unlocked tokens Only 46% circulated, 564 million locked 🔒 Daily unlock ~767,000 tokens (≈$4 @天才少女秋秋 这场最强的判断，不是追着反弹喊多，而是提醒交易者：市场对“不加息”的预期已经交易过一轮，接下来更重要的是回调能有多深、仓位能不能扛住。她对 $BTC 和 $ETH 的基调偏谨慎，对 $ZEC 等高波动品种则反复强调，方向看对并不等于能拿住，杠杆和止损才决定结果。 先看 $BTC。秋秋认为，比特币此前已经围绕议息预期走出一段上涨，若会议结果只是符合市场共识，未必还能继续单边上冲。她在直播中多次提到，利空或宽松预期被提前交易后，价格可能出现“消息落地反而不涨”的走势；如果开盘继续下压，先观察回调是否能够止住，而不是因为看到一根拉升就追进去。她的思路是，等市场把预期消化，再判断是否出现低位承接，确认之前宁愿少做，也不把“不会加息”直接等同于必涨。 秋秋对 $ETH 的操作态度更偏空。她多次表示自己仍在观察空单，认为以太坊短线反弹空间有限，若价格重新回到前期密集成交区域，空头才有更好的盈亏比；但她也承认，波动加大后，过早加仓很容易被来回扫损。直播里有人询问以太坊能否在年底重回更高位置，她没有给出确定目标，只强调当前行情更像是反复震荡与再定方向的过程，不能把长线愿望当成短线交易依Originally, I was prepared to take a loss, but it surprised me, which I'm not used to. When the screen was full of green, I saw $BEAT holding strong at a high level, with trading volume decreasing, no buyers stepping up, and the sell orders piling up thicker. The short position was opened at 0.1223, a very comfortable entry. High-level pressure is just high-level pressure.
Later, the high-level pressure finally eased, and the price dropped all the way to 0.0831. The $BEAT short position's floating profit reached +321.34%. It really felt great; this profit was satisfying. The previous fluctuations were not wasted, I nailed it.
I managed my position as planned: first, I closed 80% to pocket the profit, and for the remaining 20%, I set the protection level at the cost price. If it continues to drop, let the profit run; if it rebounds, don't let the gains turn uncomfortable. Take profits first, don't be greedy for the last bit. Don't let profits inflate, and don't despair over pullbacks.
Better to miss a limit-up than to catch a falling knife and end up bleeding.
Now is not the time to rush; chasing shorts can easily get caught in a rebound squeeze. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round. I'll watch for new structures to emerge and will notify immediately. If you miss it, don't chase; the market is not short of opportunities, but patience is what’s lacking. There are still opportunities, so don't rush. The market moves by waiting.
$DOGE $ZEC Crude oil surged 10% in one day, but the crypto token with the same name only followed by 0.54%: this fire didn’t spread over
Ridiculous, an hour ago crude oil futures soared 10%, at 891 per barrel, $SC only moved from 0.000922 to 0.000927, +0.54%.
The fire didn’t spread, the strategy is straightforward—reduce positions on rallies around 0.00099, no chasing highs.
On September 14, Shanghai crude oil main contract rose 10.00% intraday. The transmission is clear—oil prices feed high inflation, CPI year-on-year at 3.4%, FOMC meeting tomorrow, tightening will be tougher.
24h only +1.7%, volume ratio 0.581 shrinking volume. RSI 65.5 slightly strong, multi-period bullish, trend is there—but the small token with $45.1 million volume shrinks on the rally, pressure levels are getting hit hardest.
BTC currently at 77580, the market is stable.
Resistance above: 0.000954 (15m SAR flipped up) → 0.00099 (24h high)
Support below: 0.000834 (4h SAR) → 0.000682 (daily MA30)
Watershed level: 0.000834, break below and it’s a sell.
In a bullish market, small volume tokens rally first then take profits. Reduce half at 0.00099, clear all if it breaks 0.000834, buy back after stabilizing. Like and follow for more, off to watch the market.
$SC $BTCBrothers, BTC and ETH are shrinking volume and lying low before a critical juncture, but there's a strange phenomenon in the funding side
$BTC $77,600 | $ETH $2,516
Bitcoin rose slightly by 0.2% in 24 hours, rebounding from a low of $76,768 back near $77,600, still oscillating narrowly between $76,400 and $77,450, with volume shrinking to 356 BTC. Traders are generally cautious ahead of the September 16 FOMC. Ethereum is at $2,516, up slightly in 24 hours, having rebounded over 55% from the June low of $1,600, with a clear improvement in moving average structure
BTC ETFs saw outflows of $460 million, while ETH ETFs have attracted funds for four consecutive weeks
There is a rare divergence in funding. Bitcoin spot ETFs had a net outflow of $463 million last week, ending three consecutive weeks of net inflows, with ARKB and GBTC leading the sell-off. Meanwhile, Ethereum spot ETFs had a net inflow of $197 million last week, marking four consecutive weeks of net inflows, with BlackRock's ETHA contributing $140 million in a single week
In the past 24 hours, the entire network liquidated $278 million, with long positions liquidated at $196 million. ETH long liquidations led at $54.24 million, with the largest single liquidation on Binance valued at $4.46 million. The market is reducing high Beta exposure ahead of the FOMC, but institutional buying of ETH continues counter-trend
Discuss in the comments, can ETH's independent rally withstand the FOMC?
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近 Federal Reserve rate decision suspense: Will they raise rates or not? 🔥
August core CPI month-on-month 0.3% higher than expected, PPI strong, oil prices break 100, market probability of a 25bp rate hike reaches 86%, Goldman Sachs also revised its forecast to a rate hike.
The key point of market speculation is not whether to raise rates, but whether the result exceeds expectations:
✅ Raise rates by 25bp + signal to wait and see: negative factors digested in advance, BTC may dip then rebound, challenging 78500-80000
✅ Unexpected no rate hike: better than expected positive, shorts concentrated covering
⚠️ Rate hike + hint of another hike this year: continued negative, retesting 76000 or even 75000
The possibility of a rate hike is relatively high, but the post-meeting remarks are the key to stabilization. The first candlestick of the decision is often a smoke screen, do not judge bull or bear based on a single candlestick.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近
#ZEC机构资金入场，高位杠杆开始出清
$BTC $ETH $ZEC ETF FLOWS ARE DIVERGING
Altseason is unconfirmed, but ETF flows reveal a shift: institutional capital isn’t leaving crypto—it’s becoming more selective.
Week of Sep 7–11:
$BTC → -$462.73M
$ETH → +$197.11M
Notably, $BTC ended a 3-week inflow streak, while ETH attracted capital.
I’m watching:
$ETH, $BTC → ETF flows
When BTC ETF flows reverse while $ETH attracts capital, the story may not be “risk-off” — it could be capital rotation.
Don’t chase Altseason. Watch the money.$BTC Tomorrow is Super Wednesday — Fed rate hike + clear bill vote, two bombs exploding together. Saudi pipeline cut off, oil price surged to $107, Oman meeting postponed again, Japan and South Korea stock markets have already crashed today. Bitcoin is grinding between $76.5K–$77.5K, Ethereum holding at $2,460, Sandisk in the dark pool at $1,550. On the surface, it looks like a rebound, but in reality, it's waiting to die or survive. Tomorrow, only after the FOMC speaks will we know if it's death or life!$SNDK price is suppressed by EMA20 (1636.87), RSI dropped to 22.42, oversold but no reversal signal observed. The bearish condition is a rebound encountering resistance in the 1630.44–1643.29 range, or a 4H close with increased volume breaking below the trigger level at 1555.35. The invalidation level is 1662.58; holding above it abandons the short position. The first take profit target is 1598.30, the second is 1572.58. Volume shrank to 0.38 times the average volume; watch out for false breakouts caused by insufficient liquidity.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？