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Is there still a chance after $AKE's crash?
AKE has dropped from its previous high of about $0.16 down to around $0.04, a retracement of over 70% in just a few days, with sentiment shifting from frenzied buying to panic.
But what really matters is not just how much it has fallen, but whether capital has started to step in again.
🔥 Bullish factors:
The AI+GameFi narrative remains, OKX has launched $AKE perpetual contracts, and market attention and trading liquidity are both high.
⚠️ Bearish factors:
Currently, trading volume is clearly dominated by contracts, with a high proportion of leveraged funds, leading to very high volatility; meanwhile, $AKE's circulating supply is about 22.8%, with ongoing unlocks ahead, so supply pressure cannot be ignored.
Short-term key levels to watch:
$0.04—0.042: critical support zone
$0.05—0.055: first resistance
$0.06: strong resistance
If $0.04 holds as a bottom, and spot trading volume expands while open interest declines and then rebounds, an oversold rebound may occur.
But if $0.04 breaks down, don't rush to bottom-fish.
A crash does not equal a bottom; the true bottom requires capital confirmation with real money.
$AKE's biggest opportunity now is volatility, and its biggest risk is also volatility.
#美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？
#特朗普提议AI更名“超级智能” Oracle’s latest earnings show the market is starting to reward real AI execution, not just hype. AI cloud revenue jumped 121% YoY, while RPO climbed to $664B and guidance improved. Adobe also beat estimates, yet shares fell as investors demand stronger AI monetization and cash flow. For BTC, massive AI capex keeps liquidity expansion relevant, but near-term direction still depends on inflation, rates, and tonight’s CPI. Execution matters more than promises$BTC #USIranTalksProgress Why crypto is pumping
The hike was already priced in, so the sell-off happened ahead of the print.
Shorts got squeezed, oil cooled off, and altcoins led the move — especially ZEC, HYPE, and DeFi.
This doesn’t look like fresh liquidity entering the market. Rates actually moved higher, while ETFs are still seeing outflows.
$80K BTC remains the key level.
For now, this looks more like a relief rally than a regime change.
$BTC #BTC87KCryptoCap3T 🔥 The rate hike has landed, $BTC didn't drop; instead, it bounced back near 【86,000】—but I actually feel the real risk hasn't passed yet.
📉 The biggest problem now isn't this 【25 basis points】 hike, but the market starting to discuss "will there be another one?" Barkin pointed out that over 60% of PCE components still have increases above 3%, and Musalem even publicly stated that further tightening might still be needed.
⚡ So BTC's current rise is essentially trading on "limited rate hikes." If upcoming inflation data remains hot, expectations for another hike in October will heat up, and the current rebound might be prematurely exhausted; conversely, if data cools down, risk assets could still have room to recover.
💰 U.S. Treasury yields, gold, and fiscal bond issuance are also competing for attention. Wall Street expects U.S. short-term debt issuance to possibly increase by about 【$1 trillion】 over the next year, so liquidity pressure cannot be ignored.
🎯 BTC is first targeting 【84,200】, ETH eyes 【2714—2760】. Short-term ETF funds can still support the price, but the buffer is thinning. The next real test is still the 【September 30 PCE】.
👀 Do you think this BTC wave is trading ahead on "rate hike pause," or is it overdrawing the next rebound? #美联储官员密集发声，加息还要持续多久？ BTC Analysis:
1. Overall Trend and Structure
Starting from the low point around 74,955 near 9/16, BTC has formed a clear upward trend with some consolidation in between, maintaining a complete bullish structure overall.
After the recent accelerated rise, the high reached about 87,399, then retraced and oscillated within the 85,000–86,000 range for consolidation.
2. Bollinger Bands (BOLL) Observation
The Bollinger Bands have clearly widened, indicating increased recent volatility and stronger trend momentum. The price has pulled back from near the upper band to around the middle band, which is a typical "touching the upper band then retracing to the middle band" behavior.
As long as the middle band is not effectively broken and held below, the upward trend can continue. If the middle band is broken and confirmed by a close, it may further test support near the lower band.
Important Event:
Nearly $16 billion worth of BTC options will expire this Friday (9/25), with Call (bullish) positions clearly dominant (Put/Call ratio about 0.69).
This usually leads to short-term increased volatility:
Market makers’ hedging behavior before expiration may amplify fluctuations
After expiration, the Gamma effect fades, making the market prone to directional choices
Currently, the price is far above the maximum pain point (around 75,000), most Puts are deeply out-of-the-money, and a significant portion of Calls are in-the-money, which is relatively favorable for bulls, but attention is still needed for volatility expansion around expiration $ZEC
$BTC #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 #美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？
Both sides say "positive signals released," but actually, neither side made concessions. 😄
They are just stubbornly holding out, while the market is being toyed with, jumping up and down.
Sat for three hours next to the UN General Assembly in New York, with Qatar relaying messages in between. Iran slammed its conditions on the table: first lift the maritime blockade, unfreeze funds, stop regional conflicts, then the Strait of Hormuz will be opened. The US did not agree to any of these.
Once the news came out, oil prices dropped accordingly, and everyone felt inflation pressure might ease. $BTC followed the trend upward, rising from 80,000 to near 85,000.
But the two presidents didn’t even meet face to face, and as long as the strait remains closed for a day, oil prices can bounce back at any time.
Trump himself said Iran is watching how his midterm elections go; if a deal is really made, it will probably be after November. These three hours were just about passing conditions; the problem is still far from solved. 😞
There are positives and negatives. But the overall direction still depends on the mood of US Treasury yields and ETF capital flows!
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
#财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布 🔥$ETH surged to 【2787】 then dropped back down. The real issue isn’t that it "can’t rise," but that the selling pressure above is heavier than expected.
📉 The 【2770—2800】 range is naturally a dense battleground between bulls and bears. When ETH hits this zone, early bulls start taking profits, but new buying fails to keep pace. The result: price spikes, but the support doesn’t expand accordingly.
⚡ More critically, leverage on the contract side can turn a normal pullback into a rapid sell-off. Once the price breaks below short-term long positions’ defense levels, stop-losses and forced liquidations trigger in succession, automatically amplifying selling pressure, which is why the drop accelerates.
🧩 Don’t rush to conclude whether 2787 is a phase top. Watch two signals: if the pullback volume shrinks and support is met with capital, it’s a normal shakeout; if volume increases on the decline, while ETFs weaken and US Treasury yields continue rising, be wary of a true structural bearish turn.
🎯 For now, focus on 【2600—2630】 as the near-term support, with stronger mid-term defense at 【2480—2520】. Whether ETH can retest 【2787】 depends not on bullish or bearish calls, but on whether buyers step in on the dip.
👀 Do you think this is just a shakeout, or has 【2787】 already become a phase high? #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 #美联储官员密集发声，加息还要持续多久？ When a coin runs this hard, the biggest danger isn't missing the move — it's assuming the move can continue forever. ZEC has gone from roughly $1,000 to above $1,500 in a matter of weeks, with the market cap now above $25B at recent levels. A lot of traders originally treated Zcash as the next major ETF story. But the market has changed dramatically since then. Grayscale's ZCSH began trading on NYSE Arca in August, and the fund has attracted more than $233M in inflows. It has also accumulated cl$SNDK surging to 1900 is not out of reach, but the path may not be straightforward. The previous two failures to hold 1800 indicate that the overhead resistance and profit-taking still need to be digested; if it first retests 1850-1880 and completes a turnover before rallying again, the trend will be healthier, and the probability of stabilizing at 1900 will increase. Meanwhile, capital in the storage chain is flowing to targets like $MU and $SKHYNIX, with AI servers still driving demand for NAND and HBM. Institutions remain optimistic about profits in the coming quarters, with some targets already seeing 2100-2400. However, what truly determines whether SanDisk continues to hit new highs or turns downward is whether AI capital expenditure cools off, if Nvidia's stock price peaks, and the verification from the September earnings report. Once these signals become clear, the direction will be more defined. It's been a while since my account nearly hit zero last time. After that, I took a break. I didn't rush in to recover my losses immediately. Nor did I continue to open trades recklessly. Later, I thought it over and recharged about 60 yuan, roughly 9 USD. Starting over. Actually, the biggest difference this time around is: I no longer have the AI automated trading system. Because my computer broke. The automated trading system I had tinkered with before is temporarily on hold. I can't maintain it anymore. Can't optimize it anymore. And can't have the system execute according to fixed logic like before. Then a very real problem appeared. Without the system, I found myself seemingly back to my old state. I didn't know what to watch. Didn't know how to judge. When I saw the market rising, I wondered if it was an opportunity. When others said a certain direction, I wondered if I should follow. There was no particularly clear plan in my mind. Most of the time it was just: "Feels like this might work here." Then I opened a trade. Looking back now, it's actually quite interesting. When I was working on the AI system, I always thought: "The AI needs optimization." "The strategy needs optimization." "Parameters need adjustment." But later I realized. Maybe the one who needs the most optimization is the person sitting in front of the computer. 😂 Because when the system existed, it at least forced me to follow certain rules. When to open. Why to open. How much risk. When to close. All of these were preset in advance. I am the mid-term intelligence guy.
Just checked the market, $BTC (85335) and $ETH (2710) have consecutive bearish candles on the 1-hour chart, EMA shows a bearish alignment, KDJ is oversold but MACD has a bearish crossover downward, short-term sentiment is very weak.
But I said it's only a short-term weakness, don't forget we are trading mid-term.
The news is quite divided: institutions (Moscow Exchange, Raiffeisen Bank) are laying the groundwork, a certain strategy just bought 950 coins, looks promising.
But AI summary reveals the essence: spot demand is actually -180,000 coins, the rise is purely propped up by "reduced selling pressure." Short-term holders near 88K are wildly cashing out 47,600 coins, plus Friday's 14 billion options expiry, hedging removal may trigger volatility. ETH also triggered a quantum cryptography warning.
For mid-term, I see "institutional long vs short-term selling pressure." If it breaks, just wait for options to settle. In this market, holding through is what mid-term means! #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 Banks use $BTC as collateral, but it’s almost not counted as money now
The co-founder of CoinRoutes made a judgment.
Bitcoin’s FOMO hasn’t even started yet.
Where is the bottleneck:
Banks hold $BTC, but when used as collateral, it’s discounted by nearly 100%.
In other words, they basically don’t recognize it as valuable.
How this number is calculated:
A 100% discount doesn’t mean the price is zero.
It means when banks calculate loans, this part of the asset is directly counted as zero.
Once calculated based on volatility and liquidity,
Lenders can lend more money.
The situation for coin-hoarding companies like Strategy will also change accordingly.
He calls this the final hurdle.
Regulators believe it will be changed sooner or later, but it hasn’t been implemented yet.
Only when the collateral discount changes will incremental funds have an entry point.
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 $BTC #美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？
3-hour talks, will risk assets see a turnaround?
US and Iran representatives held about 3 hours of talks in New York. Trump called the talks "very good, very constructive," and both sides will continue contact soon. Iran also confirmed the talks but set conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz.
If US-Iran negotiations continue to progress, the biggest change won't be war itself, but a decline in energy supply and geopolitical risk premiums.
For risk assets:
🟢 US stocks/tech stocks: oil price drop helps ease inflation expectations, improving risk appetite.
🟢 $BTC $ETH $SOL: geopolitical risk aversion decreases, funds may flow back into high-risk assets.
🟢 Highly elastic altcoins: if the market goes risk-on, elasticity could be greater.
🔴 Gold/crude oil: geopolitical risk premium drops, short-term pressure likely.
But don't get too excited yet. This is just a positive signal from talks, not an agreement. Iran's conditions like lifting blockades and unfreezing assets remain, and Trump has previously sent tough signals.
So the two things truly worth watching next are:
Whether US and Iran continue talks + whether the Strait of Hormuz can resume normal shipping. If both make substantial progress, risk assets may keep gaining support; if talks break down again, oil prices and risk aversion could become a "time bomb" for the market.
The market isn't trading on peace having arrived, but on rising expectations of peace. BTC and ETH soften after surging, $USELESS survives by hype, ZEC is the real tough guy
$BTC just touched 87,000 then softened, now hovering around 85,600. The day before, shorts were liquidated for $1 billion, a backlash from the sharp surge. The 90,000 level above is a "minefield" packed with options. Strategy is still accumulating, but whales have started switching between longs and shorts, clearly not optimistic about a one-sided breakout. Short term, watch if 86,000 holds; if not, comfort will be sought at 85,000.
$ETH touched 2,800 but was pushed back, now resting near 2,730. It surged 74% in Q3, impressive, but short positions on Binance are piled up like a mountain; 2,800 is a meat grinder. Spot buyers and contract shorts are battling here; who wins or loses is uncertain, but volatility will definitely remain high.
$USELESS surged 35% today, all thanks to "Bonk Guy" pushing calls on Twitter. A newly created wallet spent $2.28 million scooping up tokens, sparking a rally. When a big player speaks, retail rushes in; previously, it dropped 14% within an hour after hype. Market cap is 340 million, looks lively, but slow runners risk being left behind.
$ZEC is really strong, hitting 1,650 briefly, up over 10% in 24 hours. Grayscale ETF is planning a stock split, 21Shares is launching an ETP in Europe, institutions are putting real money in. Up 39% in seven days, with a pullback less than 2%, showing momentum to keep charging. Privacy coin narrative plus institutional channels, totally different vibe from those flashy tokens.$CORE
The biggest problem with CORE is that its narrative is hyped up loudly, but the fundamentals can't support it at all.
It markets itself under the banner of BTCFi and Bitcoin-level security, but in reality, it's just marketing packaging without Bitcoin's hash power backing it. The token release cycle is long, with continuous unlocking pressure; early airdrop chip costs were almost zero, so even a slight rebound triggers sell-offs.
The ecosystem looks like a bunch of projects, mostly fake TVL built on subsidies, with no real sustained user demand, long-term low trading activity, and no decent revenue burn loop.
There have been serious vulnerabilities in the past; hard forks to fix them severely damaged market confidence. Liquidity is thin, and large sell orders can trigger sharp crashes.
In the same BTCFi track, Stacks and Rootstock have taken the vast majority of funds. CORE lacks irreplaceable functions and has no ETF expectations. During bull market rotations, funds prefer other main tracks; it is always a backup option, rising less and falling harder. Holders find it difficult to achieve decent returns. It is a typical case where the "story" outweighs the substance.I remember telling you about $DOGE when it was hovering around $0.065–$0.07. You called it a meme coin with no real value. You even considered shorting it. Meanwhile, I was watching a different set of signals: on-chain activity, market liquidity, ETF access, and regulatory developments. Fast-forward, and DOGE is no longer operating in the exact same market environment. The CFTC now explicitly lists Dogecoin among examples of digital commodities, and U.S.-listed exchange-traded products provide iSNDK dropped from 1904, and the short position is showing up again.
Yesterday's low was 1736.2, the high touched 1908.8 but didn't break through, closing at 1868.8. Today opened at 1868.8, the high was 1904.4, the low 1841.3, current price around 1844.5. Volume has shrunk.
1904 above is still resistance, only above that is yesterday's 1908. Below 1841, if it breaks again, it will likely first revisit the opening price, and only then aggressively test 1736.
In the short term, watch if 1844 can hold. If it doesn't hold, consider the rally a failure and don't chase at this price. For those already holding, watch if 1841 support holds; if it doesn't, consider reducing positions. $SNDK I still say, those chasing storage chips now are just bag holders.
I said yesterday, those chasing storage chips now are just bag holders. Today at the open, the answer started to reveal itself 😯
Last night $SNDK closed up 6.82% at 1887, $MU up 5% at 1096, a chorus of "super cycle" cheers. So what happened? At today's open, SanDisk surged to 1895, touched 1902 but couldn't hold, now down to 1849 in the red. Micron was even more straightforward, opened at 1100, touched 1105, now 1087, also in the red. The three major US stock indexes opened lower, and popular stocks mostly fell.
My short position is still stuck, but that doesn't stop me from enjoying the show 🥹
SanDisk went from 93 to 2354, doubling in three months, Micron nearly doubled too. What supports such gains? Sentiment. Sentiment that was so strong yesterday is so weak today. Those who rushed in yesterday are half buried at today's open.
Have you really forgotten that in June Micron plunged 13% in one day and Hynix dropped 12%? AI storage demand is real, but prices have already baked in expectations for the next few years. At this level, the risk-reward ratio is ridiculously bad; chasing now is just carrying the coffin for those ahead. Those running at today's open are the ones sitting in the coffin.
Of course, if you think it can still rise, then go ahead and chase, after all, it's not my money losing. I still say: those chasing storage are just bag holders. Whale Position Exposure｜Two Altcoins Deeply Drawn Down, Only ZEC Slightly Recovers
The whale had long positioned in two major altcoins, then separately opened a position in ZEC. Amid market divergence, the overall account is at a significant loss.
ZEC Perpetual｜Full Position 14x Long (Current Holding)
Holding 1,000 coins, entry price 1624.82, current price 1633.41, unrealized profit 8,600 U
PONS Perpetual｜Full Position 2x Long (Current Holding)
Holding 2.62 million coins, entry price 0.7092, current price 0.6817, unrealized loss 72,000 U
TRUMP Perpetual｜Full Position 10x Long (Current Holding)
Holding 950,000 coins, entry price 2.41, current price 2.143, unrealized loss 253,100 U
The previously positioned altcoins have encountered a pullback, while the later entered ZEC brings a slight profit, only enough to offset a small portion of the losses. Hot topics look lively, but capital rotates quickly; even with research, it's hard to perfectly time the market. Don't be fooled by market heat; altcoin volatility risk is extremely high. Proper position and leverage management is the key to long-term trading. $BTC $ETH $ZEC ZEC did something very impressive today, 1680 came just like that.
Yesterday the lowest was 1443.66, the highest touched 1561.25 but didn't break through, closing at 1543.01. Today it opened at 1542.79, the highest was 1680.83, the lowest 1498.2, current price around 1634. Volume slightly increased.
1680 above is still resistance. If it breaks below 1498 again, it’s likely to first revisit the 1542 opening level, only then might it aggressively test yesterday’s 1443.
In the short term, watch if it can hold around 1634. If it can’t hold, consider it a pullback after a spike, don’t chase at this price now. For those already holding, watch if 1498 support holds; if it doesn’t, consider reducing your position. $ZEC OKB made a quick spike to 125.6 today, but no one dared to follow the wave up to 126.5.
Yesterday's low was 120.33, the high was 126.49, and it closed at 121.94. Today it opened around 121.96, peaked at 125.61 but didn't break through, with a low of 120.96, and the current price is about 121.0. The volume ratio shrank again compared to yesterday; after the upward surge, it slid back down.
There is still resistance between 125.6 and 126.5; only above that is the high point around 258.6. If it breaks below 120.96, it’s likely to test 120.33 first; if that level can't hold either, the short-term target will be around 116.91 to find space.
In the short term, watch if the current price around 121.0 can hold. If it can't hold, treat the rise and fall as digestion and don't chase the current price. Those already holding should watch if the low of 120.96 today can support; if not, consider reducing positions. For those looking to buy on dips, wait to see if it can break through 126.5 on a pullback before considering; don't catch a falling knife mid-air. $OKB Bitcoin just pulled back a bit from 86,000, and I started wondering "Is it coming back?" After being trapped, it's really easy to mistake a slight pullback for a lifeline 🥲 The short opened at 83,089.4, screenshot taken at 85,840.2, the page shows this contract's floating profit and loss rate at -331.06%, and it's still not closed.
This bet is on a retracement after a rise, and there are macro reasons for caution: The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points on September 16, pushing the rate range to 3.75%–4%. I'm worried that with higher funding costs, the demand for chasing gains will be hard to sustain, but this only supports one judgment; it doesn't dictate when Bitcoin will start to fall.
However, the current buying pressure hasn't changed in the direction I expected. Farside data shows that on September 21 and 22, U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs had a combined net inflow of about $1.714 billion. Although the inflow on the 22nd was slightly less than on the 21st, it was still a net inflow, not a withdrawal of funds.
This time I have to guard against myself: when there's no buying, I say "no one is catching it," and when there is buying, I say "the good news is all priced in." Both situations are interpreted as bearish, which means I'm not judging the market, I'm defending my position. What I really need to wait for is when subsequent buying fails to keep up and prices start to lose gains, not just because the price is higher than my entry, assuming it's expensive. #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 XRP's spike to 1.658 today surpassed 1.596 again, then got pushed back down after the surge.
Yesterday's low was 1.480, high was 1.596, closing at 1.572. Today opened around 1.572, with a high of 1.658 and a low of 1.548, current price roughly 1.575. Volume is about the same as yesterday; after the upward push, no one is buying.
The 1.658 level above is new resistance; the space above hasn't opened yet. If it breaks below 1.548, it’s likely to test 1.480 first; if that level can't hold either, the short-term target will be around 1.388 to find support.
In the short term, watch if the current price around 1.575 can hold. If it can't, treat the rise and fall as digestion and don't chase at this price. For those already holding, watch if today's low at 1.548 can hold; if not, consider reducing positions. For those looking to buy on dips, wait for a pullback and see if it can break past 1.658 before considering entry; don't catch a falling knife mid-air. $XRP The first time I bought crypto was when a friend brought it up at a drinking table.
He said, "Try with a few hundred bucks, you won’t feel bad if you lose it."
I said it wasn’t reliable.
But when I got home, I secretly downloaded an app.
I struggled with registration for a long time; the verification code just wouldn’t come.
I was so angry I almost threw my phone on the sofa.
Once inside, the screen was full of red and green lines, and I didn’t understand a thing.
I first deposited a little money, my palms sweaty.
Bought some $BTC.
After buying, I stared at that line.
If it went up a bit, I’d grin foolishly.
If it dropped a bit, I’d curse.
At night lying in bed, I’d get up to check my phone.
The next day, it basically hadn’t moved, and I was exhausted.
Later I heard you could play on-chain with $ETH.
I jumped in to join the fun.
Waiting a long time to transfer funds.
The fees made me grit my teeth.
During that time, I joined several groups.
Every day in the groups, someone shouted "Go!"
Whenever someone shouted, I got itchy hands.
Afraid of missing some big opportunity.
Once I made a profit but didn’t dare to leave.
Wanted to wait longer, but the profits all disappeared.
Another time it dropped and made me nervous.
Just after I sold, it slowly climbed back up.
I was so mad I couldn’t eat dinner well.
Later, I tried a small position in $SOL.
It’s really fast.
When it crashes, it’s brutal.
In minutes it can make you smile.
In minutes it can make you shut up.
I’ve seen others show off profits.
Also seen others lose so much they delete the app.
Gradually, I stopped checking groups.
Stopped believing in guaranteed profits.
Only play with spare money.
Don’t borrow money.
Don’t go all in.
Don’t touch projects I don’t understand, even if they’re free.
Sleep when it’s time to sleep.
If you miss out, you miss out.
Don’t get cocky when you win.
Don’t get frustrated when you lose.
Being able to keep going is more important than how much you make in one trade.
This is the most real feeling I’ve had after messing around for these years.#美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？
#财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布
#美联储官员密集发声，加息还要持续多久？ Platform tokens have completely diverged this year. Starting from the same point to now: OKB +11%, GT +4%, BNB −10%, HT −23%, CRO −30%.
Platform tokens are not "exchange stocks"; they rely on three things:
1) Whether trading volume fees can continuously support buybacks/burns
2) Whether the chain and products have real usage (Gas, wealth management, fee discounts)
3) Whether the supply narrative is clear. OKB wins on supply: total supply locked, large-scale burns, elasticity is stronger than revenue stories.
BNB remains the largest platform token, but its market cap is too big; YTD it behaves more like a large-cap Beta, not an elastic asset.
GT follows Gate's own market share, neither too big nor too small, which makes it stable.
CRO / HT are the opposite: card organization, brand migration, and usage narrative have broken down, leaving the token as just a ticker. The pricing formula for platform tokens is actually just one sentence:
Exchange still making money × token can share profits × supply will decrease.
If one of these three drops, the K-line falls faster than the platform's reputation.Looks like $BTC is going for a test of the weekly VAL. And a sweep of yesterday's low. On CVD everything is clear = there's no activity from buyers that could hold price. Within the day price is moving below VAL without returning into the value area and is extending it lower.
So the most likely playbook i see ▶️ a sweep of 85081.2, a test of VAL (a move below it is possible). After that, a return back into the weekly value area before the week closes.
Invalidation: price holding / acceptance $SHOP This move for SHOP is purely based on the chart, with no news support. The candlestick is repeatedly grinding around 149, but the volume is shrinking while the price is being pushed up. Experienced traders know this feeling—it looks like someone is slowly accumulating chips at a low level. No narrative doesn't mean no capital; sometimes the market is more honest than words. I personally set a watch around 149.38 to see if it can hold steady; whether it can depends on if anyone steps in on the pullback. Purely technical analysis can easily be a trap, so don't go all in blindly—if you're wrong, admit it. Do you think this is a shakeout or a real sell-off?
👇👇👇CORE just went through a "vulnerability—hard fork—rebound" triple sequence: On 9/3, an emergency hard fork was implemented to fix the validator over-reward vulnerability, staking rewards were restored, daily trading volume surged 170%, price rebounded from 0.017 to 0.0228, rising over 30% in 7 days, with a market cap of 34 million USD.
The fundamentals are truly shifting: After the Hermes upgrade, the target is sub-second finality; the 2026 roadmap consolidates BTC staking fees, SatPay, AMP, stablecoin minting, institutional ETPs, and RWA cash flows all into the treasury to buy back CORE. The official goal is to repurchase over 70% of the historically burned amount within the year. Custodians like BitGo, Cobo, Kiln are fully integrated, and institutionalization is indeed progressing.
But don’t get carried away: The hard fork is a "forward upgrade" with no rollback; the excess ghost tokens remain maliciously held by nodes and have not been recovered, and the official team hasn’t even disclosed the quantity; the flagship product SatPay is delayed indefinitely due to licensing issues, so buybacks lack real cash flow. With a total supply of 2.1 billion and an 81-year release schedule, supply pressure is a chronic issue.
Conclusion: The rebound is an emotional recovery driven by overselling and repair expectations, not a fundamental reversal. Until buybacks are realized, treat it as a high-volatility speculative play and avoid heavy positions. 2026.9.23
I am sitting on the train home, only managed to buy a standing ticket, not because I have no money but because I never really intended to go home.
Why not buy a plane ticket?
The answer is simple too, no money.
At first, I sat by the restroom at the end of carriage 2, around a little past 2 o'clock.
Then I ran away, I couldn't stand the smell there, so I took my already a bit worn-out backpack and moved to carriage 5 (the soft sleeper carriage).
On the way, I passed the dining carriage, many people were just sitting there, ordering not much food, a pile of peanuts, a plate of small greens, and if they had money maybe a plate of Kung Pao chicken.
Ah, Kung Pao chicken, I remember this dish, the first time I ate it was also on a train.
I remember back then, I was about 8 or 9 years old, my sister took me to Hangzhou for a trip.
Hangzhou was great, in 2015 I played there for two months, the first time I saw foreigners, the first time I saw someone wearing a bra outside their clothes, so open-minded.
Now, I sit inside this carriage, watching the occasional lights outside, sometimes red, sometimes blue, or shrouded in darkness.
I look at the blank paper with my trading plan written on it, thinking, doubting, but in the end, I don't put pen to paper.
These days I have spent most of my free time watching the market, thinking 🤔.
What exactly is the market like, and what am I like, why can't I make money while others can.
I study time cycles, learn price action, Gann theory, box theory... but when it comes to applying them, none of it seems to work, I start to feel timid, hesitant, this feeling is worse than having an empty mind.
I clear all that and start thinking again 🤔🤔.
What exactly is the market like?
I watch the still fluctuating data and the blank trading plan paper, music keeps playing in my headphones.
Pen down, pen up, exactly 10 minutes.
Nine o'clock, I hope he can continue to improve, and I hope I keep progressing.
Wish me luck There are always debates about which is stronger among BTC, ETH, and SOL, but actually, they are not even in the same race; they solve three completely different problems.
BTC is at the very base layer, handling settlement. No matter when banks close or which country you're in, it keeps running. Essentially, it is a value clearing network that no one can shut down.
ETH is one layer above, serving developers by providing a set of financial building blocks that can be repeatedly combined—others' pre-written components you can directly use to build further, with applications interlocking with each other.
SOL focuses on experience, targeting scenarios extremely sensitive to speed: trading interfaces, highly interactive applications, where a one-second delay ruins the product; latency itself is part of the experience.
So it's not about one replacing another, but more like layers stacked on top of each other, each serving its own purpose.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
#美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？
#美联储官员密集发声，加息还要持续多久？ ETH is currently at a critical juncture influenced by multiple factors. Bullish factors include: the tightening supply driven by the continuous rise in staking rates, the inflow trend of institutional funds via ETFs, the long-term benefits of SEC tokenization policies, and the expansion of open interest in the derivatives market. Risks to watch out for include: concentrated short positions around $2800 that may trigger amplified short-term volatility, the MACD death cross signal that has yet to be resolved, and the potential impact of L2 ecosystem value capture issues on the long-term narrative.
The market will next focus on two core questions: whether Ethereum can effectively hold above the $2800 level, and whether the open interest accumulated mainly around Binance will continue to drive the price upward or turn into a source of greater volatility. #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
Many people think they lost because they "missed the main rally," but what’s actually more common is this—panic selling after a 20% gain, yet stubbornly holding through a 40% loss waiting to break even.
These two problems stem from the same root: treating "unrealized gains" as real money, and "unrealized losses" as just a temporary misunderstanding. When making money, they act like thieves; when losing money, like martyrs.
People who take profits too early:
Relax as soon as it turns green: "Finally breaking even/making some profit"
Fear giving back gains, can’t hold the trend
End up missing out on the bull run, chasing higher prices later
People who hold losses too long:
Play dead as soon as it turns red: "Just wait a bit longer, it will come back"
Use "faith/long-term/value" to justify losses
Small losses turn into deep losses, deep losses turn into zero
Even worse is the combo:
Take small profits quickly, hold big losses stubbornly → No matter how high the win rate, mathematically it’s a losing game.
Because profits get cut short while losses drag on indefinitely, the expected value is always negative.
How to fix it:
1. Write down clearly before entering: where to take profit, where to admit a mistake; don’t rely on emotions during trading
2. Give winning trades some room, use trailing stops to capture trends for you
3. Don’t fall in love with losing trades; a break of support is a break, not the market targeting you
4. Weekly review: Are your profits "planned" or "lucky"? Are your losses "black swans" or "knowingly holding on despite being wrong"?
Crypto is especially brutal:
Once leverage is on, taking profits too early just means less gain; holding losses too long means getting wiped out.
Truly consistent profit makers don’t avoid mistakes; they systematize "small losses + giving up some profit" rather than gambling on "small wins + huge losses".$CORE stop pretending. After the Hong Kong Bitcoin Conference, its narrative has been heavily questioned, and a week later, a series of vulnerability incidents followed, with the plot arranged more neatly than the whitepaper.
Who would actively attack a token whose liquidity has long dried up? The project team remained silent when the community did not speak out; once the problem was exposed, it was urgently fixed within just a few days. Commercial nodes have been exiting one after another over the years, but two official nodes were just added last month, immediately followed by controversy over excessive token issuance, and the destination of the newly issued tokens remains unclear.
A drop of hundreds of times cannot be entirely blamed on market conditions. Consensus consumption, continuous token release, node changes combined with issuance controversy—a series of events that provoke deep reflection. Many still cling to the old fantasy of 0.5U, but the reality is that even reaching 0.1 is far off.
While you focus on the expected price increase, you must also be wary of principal risk caused by token release. No matter how much narrative there is, it ultimately has to be tested by the market.
⚠️This is only a personal market observation and does not constitute investment advice. Virtual currencies are highly volatile and carry significant risk. The first time I encountered this thing was when a colleague posted a screenshot in the group chat.
He said he made enough today to pay for a meal.
I said jokingly, "Don't drag me into this."
But when I got home, I secretly downloaded the app.
I got stuck registering because I couldn't receive the verification code.
Once inside, the screen was full of red and green, and my head was spinning.
I first topped up a small amount to buy $BTC.
After buying, I stared at the screen and even forgot to drink water.
When it went up a bit, I was happy.
When it dropped a bit, I cursed.
I even got up in the middle of the night to check my phone.
The next day, I saw it barely moved and I was exhausted.
Later, I heard $ETH could be used on-chain.
I joined the fun and transferred some, waiting for a long time.
The fees were so high I kept clicking my tongue.
During that time, I joined several groups and watched people shout "rush in" every day.
Whenever someone shouted, I got itchy hands, afraid of missing out.
Once I made a profit but didn’t cash out, wanting to be greedy for more.
In the end, all the profits flew away and I even lost money.
Another time, I panicked when it dropped and sold at a loss, then it went up again.
I was so angry I couldn’t eat dinner properly.
$SOL was tried later with a small position.
It’s really fast and the drops are fierce.
In a few minutes, it can make people smile or shut up.
I’ve seen others show off profits and others delete the app.
Gradually, I stopped looking at the groups and stopped believing in guaranteed profits.
I only play with spare money, never borrow or go all in.
I don’t touch projects I don’t understand, even if they’re free.
I sleep when I should at night; if I miss out, I miss out.
Don’t get cocky when you win, don’t get obsessed when you lose.
Being able to keep going is more important than how much you make in one trade.
This is the most real feeling I’ve had after messing around for these years.#美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？
#财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布
#美联储官员密集发声，加息还要持续多久？ Hormuz Strait remains closed, oil prices rise first, $BTC falls first
Iran has made it clear: conditions not met, the strait stays closed, no negotiations.
What others think: everyone believes this is just Middle East bluster. After all these years of shouting, oil tankers still pass.
What I think: this time it’s an official secretary speaking, not media paraphrasing. The wording is "no negotiations," no way out offered.
The data looks like this: the strait handles 20% of global crude oil. If truly blocked, oil prices jump, inflation returns, rate cuts get delayed.
The risk is here: $BTC now follows liquidity, not safe haven. When oil prices surge, it’s the first to get drained.
I bet oil prices move first within a week, $BTC then slides down. I’m short on direction, whether I can hold or not is another matter. The positions of the five-guarantee households have always been a contrarian indicator.
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
#美联储官员密集发声，加息还要持续多久？ #高利率下，黄金还能走多远？ $BTC 🔥 From 75K to 87K in just 6 days, what should we focus on now?
BTC surged 16.6% in six days (74,900→87,374), almost erasing all the losses from 2026. With such a strong rally, what should we really be watching now?
First, let's see why it rose this wave:
· ETF inflows of $690 million in a single day (Fidelity $311 million + BlackRock $108 million)
· "Devaluation trade" narrative heats up — BTC seen as a sovereign debt hedge asset
· $500 million shorts liquidated, passive buying pushed the price up
· Options market turned bullish for the first time in 12 months
Now let's look at the current position (current price 85,800):
📍 Support: 84,000-85,000 (previous trapped zone turned support)
📍 Resistance: 87,400 (this round's high) → breakout target 90,000
📍 Boundary: only worry if it breaks below 84,000
⚠️ Two reminders:
· Leverage-driven components are significant, spot buying is relatively mild
· The Fed may hike rates once more by year-end
💡 My view: After a 16% rise, don't chase the top; wait for a pullback to 84,000-85,000 to stabilize before considering entry. The trend isn't over, but the pace needs to be steady.Long periods of stability inevitably lead to change? This calm at the high level might just be the pause before the storm.
The market looks quiet, but funds have actually started to rotate. BTC is oscillating at a high level, ETH is following with a rebound, while ZEC continues to steal the spotlight. Market sentiment is clearly more active than in the past few days. On September 23, BTC once again surged near 87000 before falling back to around 86000, indicating that selling pressure near the previous high still exists.
$BTC is now hovering around 86000.
The price hasn’t dropped significantly, but trading volume has contracted compared to the breakout phase, with bulls and bears starting to tug at the high level. Whether 86000 can hold tonight is crucial; if it tries to break 87000 again but volume increases without pushing higher, be prepared for a quick pullback.
$ETH is currently around 2730.
It’s following the overall market trend and remains structurally strong, but the short-term price has reached the previous high zone. If BTC doesn’t break down, ETH still has room to oscillate; however, if BTC suddenly plunges, ETH, being a highly volatile asset, could experience amplified retracements.
$ZEC is actually the one to watch most closely tonight.
It surged to around 1650 today, with a 24-hour increase exceeding 8%. Meanwhile, the launch of Europe’s first ZEC ETP has brought new capital narratives to the privacy sector. After continuous gains, both chasing funds and profit-taking are increasing, which could further amplify high-level volatility.
So don’t just be happy watching the green candles tonight.
What really matters is whether BTC can hold the high ground, whether ETH can keep up, and whether there is support after ZEC’s surge.
The most common scenario in this kind of market is:
It looks stable during the day but suddenly changes face at midnight.
Don’t rush to chase, and don’t panic over a single red candle.
Wait for the direction to reveal itself before making a move.
⚠️This is just personal market chatter and does not constitute investment advice.
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
#美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 #BTC surges to $87000, total crypto market cap returns to 3 trillion
The total market cap of crypto assets briefly surpassed 3 trillion USD, essentially a short squeeze driven by the resonance of macro liquidity expectations and high-leverage funds. Currently, market leverage is high, altcoin trends are diverging, and macro headwinds remain unresolved, posing a significant risk of reversal.
Ethereum currently faces no new negative shocks in the market, having washed out high-level speculative floating positions and cleared short-term longs. The overall bullish long-term trend remains intact, with only a short-term shift from rising to consolidation and correction.
Key focus should be on the continuous inflow of ETF funds and the progress of leverage reduction. Therefore, this is a false breakout with a volume-less surge; once support levels are touched, heavy sell orders may appear. Caution is advised, and watch out for chain risks triggered by price pullbacks.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？ #财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布 ⚡ MARKET CODE // 09.23 Everyone is still debating whether this is the beginning of a new bull phase. I’m staying out of the argument. What caught my attention is that a major trader reportedly closed his BTC, SOL and XRP shorts. That doesn’t automatically mean “LONG.” The real signal is the change in positioning — it tells us how expectations are shifting. 📌 BTC CHECK BTC has pushed into the $85K–$87K area and briefly traded above $87K. The weekly close around $81.2K also moved back above the 5Last night, the price almost hit the stop loss, then pulled back turning the loss into a profit. At this point, you didn't exit—you were greedy! When it was profitable, you didn't set a breakeven stop loss! You were greedy again. You were given a chance to run, but you didn't seize it! You still can't achieve unity of knowledge and action! You haven't prioritized your principal!!!💰 $690 million in a single day! ETF funds are flooding back wildly, BTC surges 16% in six days
From 74,900 to a high of 87,374 — BTC surged 16.6% in six days, almost erasing all the losses of 2026!
The new drivers of this wave:
1️⃣ Violent ETF inflow: On 9/21, a net inflow of $690 million in a single day (Fidelity $311 million, BlackRock $108 million), two days ago there was still an outflow of $750 million, the trend reversed overnight
2️⃣ "Devaluation trade" heats up: Wall Street classifies BTC as a sovereign debt hedge asset, the "digital gold" narrative returns
3️⃣ Shorts continue to be squeezed: Over $500 million in shorts liquidated this round, passive buying adds fuel
4️⃣ Options market turns bullish for the first time in 12 months
📍 Key level (current price 85,800):
Support 84,000-85,000 / Resistance 87,400 → Breakout target 90,000
⚠️ Risk: Leverage-driven component is significant, the Fed may hike rates once more by year-end
💡 Summary: Upgraded from "short squeeze" to "ETF + devaluation trade" driven, but after a 16% rise, chasing the top is less advisable than waiting for a pullback. Bitcoin firmly holds above $86,000 amid a triple resonance of strong ETF fund inflows, progress in US-Iran negotiations, and over $1 billion in short liquidations. The $87,000-$88,000 range is the short-term battleground between bulls and bears—breaking through could challenge $90,000 or even $100,000; if resistance is met here, attention should turn to the support validity at $83,000-$84,000. CryptoQuant has confirmed a bull market cycle signal (above the 365-day moving average), MVRV points to a long-term target of $126,200, but RSI is near overbought and the account-level long-short structure has not fully strengthened yet. After short liquidations, spot buying must take over to sustain the rally. Currently, it is in a “high-level consolidation after breakout” phase; waiting for a pullback confirmation or a volume breakout is a more prudent strategy. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #美联储官员密集发声，加息还要持续多久？ Don't say it, seeing how ZEC and ZEN, those privacy coins, have surged recently, it's fake to say I don't want a piece of the pie. I'm so envious it's almost painful.
Now there's Citrea acquiring Crest, working on a Bitcoin Layer self-custody privacy wallet, also pushing for mobile support, cross-chain, and stablecoin privacy payments.
The key is, they've developed a Proof of Innocence framework that can both hide identity and prove funds aren't linked to blacklists, directly solving the compliance pain points in the privacy space.
This narrative is so sexy, perfectly hitting the hottest privacy track right now.
But honestly, looking at this news, I'm drooling on one hand and scared to death on the other.
After getting my pants completely cut off by those scrappy dogs like AKE and RLS, I now have serious PTSD towards these "top-tier narratives."
So many projects have whitepapers full of grand promises, but once launched, they just find ways to issue tokens and cash out, leaving a mess behind.
If you want me to go all in like before, that's impossible. My courage is now smaller than a mouse's.
For this privacy boom, I'll at most use some pocket money I can afford to lose to slowly follow it, absolutely no heavy positions, no leverage.
Envy aside, I still have to keep most of my holdings firmly in BTC and ETH.
Brothers, go ahead, I'll be clapping for you from behind.
If I really get on board, I'll only play spot, small positions for trial and error, and take profits when good.
In this market, missing out is better than losing principal to zero. Stability first!$BTC cleared 84K on Sep 21 in one 8% candle — 80,850 to 87,396 —
and hasn't come back to test it. Three days of chop since: 85,114
to 87,396.
Everyone calls 84K support now. It isn't yet — a level earns that
only when price returns and holds it. Untouched so far.
Lose 82K and the breakout was a liquidity grab, not a trend change.
Reclaim 87.4K and 90K opens.
Which side are you sized for?$CORE Deep Review | Bitcoin Hashrate + EVM's BTCFi Narrative, First Understand the Opportunities and Risks!💥
Core DAO is an L1 public chain focused on Bitcoin security + EVM compatibility, relying on Satoshi Plus hybrid consensus to combine Bitcoin hashrate with the smart contract ecosystem.
$BTC holders can stake using CLTV time locks to earn CORE token rewards, aiming to build a BTCFi ecosystem with strong narrative imagination.
But behind the opportunities, risks cannot be ignored.
The token model has inherent inflation properties, with a total supply of 2.1 billion tokens and a release cycle lasting 81 years, making long-term selling pressure an unavoidable issue.
Early project reward contracts had vulnerabilities, causing a panic event of token over-issuance. Although a hard fork later destroyed some tokens, that incident severely damaged market confidence, and trust repair is a long process.
On the market front, the current price has retraced over 99% from its historical high.
Applications like lstBTC and SatPay within the ecosystem are still at a very early stage, and the project's real revenue and token buyback mechanisms have yet to be market-validated.
Personal view:
This underlying innovation (BTC hashrate protecting EVM contracts) is worth continuous tracking and research.
However, CORE tokens are not suitable for short-term speculation due to dual pressure from inflation selling and historical trust issues, resulting in an unfavorable risk-reward ratio.
I would choose to observe the narrative, only focusing on the underlying logic of BTC staking security, without heavy positions betting on the token price.
⚠️ Personal project study notes only, do not constitute any investment advice
#BTC高位震荡，与黄金联动增强
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 $SUPER rose 19% in one day. Is this a sector-wide rally or is it strong on its own?
The answer leans toward the latter — a horizontal comparison makes it clear. Among the same batch of active tokens, $RAY is up 12.24% in 24h with a trading volume of 10.2M, $LTC only +2.34% with 51.1M volume, while SUPER achieved a 19.14% increase on just 9.2M volume, showing a significantly higher capital efficiency. Structurally, MA5=0.18518 has crossed above MA20=0.175495, RSI=59.2 is in a strong zone but not overbought, so there is still room above; RAY's RSI has reached 71.2, indicating a more crowded short-term position. The risk point is that the MACD histogram is -0.0004386, momentum has not fully turned positive, and the funding rate of +0.0050% indicates a slight cost for longs. The fear and greed index at 71 signals a greedy environment, so chasing highs requires caution.
Overall, SUPER is a relatively strong asset characterized by "leading gains + indicators not overheated," maintaining a bullish view as long as it does not break below MA20 on pullbacks.
Entry reference range: 0.1740–0.1800, close to the MA5/MA20 support band; confirming on pullback is more stable than chasing highs. Take profit 1 target is 0.2045, corresponding to the upper Bollinger band resistance at 0.204583; take profit 2 target is 0.2150, which is the measured extension after breaking the upper band. $ALLO brothers, ALLO's trend should be familiar to old fans; it's produced on the same assembly line as LAB and BEAT. I dug into its fundamentals, and the situation is even more exaggerated than it appears.
There are only a few hundred total holding addresses, with the top 10 addresses controlling nearly 90% of the tokens. What does this mean? The tradable volume for retail investors is pitifully small, and the price is entirely at the mercy of the whales. Historically, this is how it’s played: a pump right after listing, then a direct dump of 60%. Later, it rebounded to around 0.35, only to be pushed down to 0.18 again—count how many people got buried.
The current rebound is basically a technical correction after an oversell; overall, it’s still in a downtrend channel. The resistance zone above is full of trapped positions from earlier phases, so breaking through won’t be easy.
For such a highly controlled token, the play is simple: pump to attract momentum traders, then squeeze shorts as fuel, harvesting profits from both sides. You focus on small gains, while the whales target your entire principal.
My stance is clear: don’t touch it. If you have short-term profits, take them quickly; if you haven’t entered, there’s no need to join this hype. The market never lacks opportunities; what’s lacking is whether you still have ammunition. Protect your principal and wait for a truly logical sector to come along. $LAB $BEAT @OKX星球 #波动雷达：币种异动观察 It's only been a week since the rate hike took effect, and the Federal Reserve has already started "previewing the next episode" 🎬
Barkin said that over 60% of PCE components are still above 3%. Collins said the risk of inflation staying above 2% is rising. Moussaalem was more direct: further tightening may be needed.
Three people, the same direction.
CME data has caught up — the probability of another 25 basis points hike in October is 54.2%. This is not a small number; it's a bet of more than half.
Previously, everyone thought this rate hike was a "final cut" and would end after this. But officials' tone is more hawkish than before the hike. This is not a one-time adjustment; it could be the start of a new tightening cycle.
The 10-year US Treasury yield is still hovering around 5%, and the 30-year mortgage rate is 6.95%. If there really is a hike in October, these numbers will only go higher. The valuation ceiling for risk assets is no longer "whether they can rise," but "how long they can hold up."
BTC is around 86,000; after the rate hike landed, it not only didn't fall but kept pushing up. What is the market betting on? Betting this is just a "limited rate hike," betting that Wash won’t come consecutively.
If there really is a hike in October, today's rebound is an overextension of optimism. But if there is no hike in October, those who haven't gotten on board now will chase at even higher levels then.
The scariest thing is not the rate hike itself, but that rate hikes become the norm. One time is not scary; what's scary is that there are more to come.
Do you think there will be a hike in October? Or just this once?
$BTC $ETH H $ZEC #美联储官员密集发声，加息还要持续多久？ #美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？ $BTC #The first time I bought crypto was just messing around with friends.
He said, "Throw in a few hundred bucks and try it."
I said it wasn’t reliable.
But I secretly downloaded an app when I got home.
Spent ages registering but the verification code never came.
I was so mad I almost threw my phone on the couch.
Once inside, the screen was full of red and green lines I didn’t understand.
I topped up a little money, my palms sweaty.
Bought some $BTC.
After buying, I just stared at the chart.
If it went up a bit, I’d grin foolishly.
If it dropped a bit, I’d curse.
At night lying in bed, I’d get up to check my phone.
The next day, it barely moved and I was exhausted.
Later I heard you could play on-chain with $ETH.
I jumped in to join the fun.
Transferred funds and waited a long time.
The fees made me grit my teeth.
At that time, I joined several groups.
Every day someone in the group shouted "Go!"
When they shouted, I got itchy hands.
Afraid of missing a big opportunity.
Once I made a profit but didn’t dare to leave.
Wanted to wait longer but ended up losing all the gains.
Another time it dropped and scared me.
Just after I sold, it slowly climbed back.
I was so mad I couldn’t eat dinner well.
Later, I tried a small position in $SOL.
It’s really fast.
When it crashes, it’s brutal.
In minutes it can make you smile.
In minutes it can shut you up.
I’ve seen others show off profits.
Also seen others lose so much they delete the app.
Gradually, I stopped checking groups.
Stopped believing in guaranteed profits.
Only play with spare money.
Don’t borrow money.
Don’t go all in.
Don’t touch projects I don’t understand, even if free.
Sleep when it’s time to sleep.
If you miss out, you miss out.
Don’t get cocky when you win.
Don’t get upset when you lose.
Staying alive is more important than how much you make in one trade.
This is my most honest feeling after years of messing around. #美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？
#财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布
#美联储官员密集发声，加息还要持续多久？ The $SOL options market presents two opposing answers.
The implied volatility at the farthest expiration date at-the-money is just over sixty. The actual volatility over the past seven days annualized is close to ninety. The options price the volatility for the coming days lower than what just happened.
The open interest tells a different story. Put contracts are one and a half times the calls, almost all concentrated in the nearest expiration date — in that series, puts outnumber calls by more than three times. At the next expiration date further out, put open interest drops to single digits. Those buying protection don’t intend to wait; they want it for these few days.
The pricing of out-of-the-money strikes flips again. The implied volatility of out-of-the-money calls is three points higher than that of out-of-the-money puts. The money for buying protection and chasing gains is now bidding up in the same market.
When insurance is cheap, no one rushes to buy it; the smoother the prior rise, the more so. The day this spread reverses is when the market starts charging for fear. Whether prices stay where they are at that time is another matter.