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In this wave of Bitcoin, the biggest thing to be wary of is actually not the decline.
It surged from around 75K to 87K, rising more than 15% in a short time.
Now the market sentiment is clearly heating up again, but the more it is like this, the more you need to pay attention to one detail:
Whether there was volume expansion during the rise, and whether there was support during the pullback.
If it can hold steadily above 87K, the market space may further open up.
But if it quickly falls back below 85K after the surge, short-term funds are very likely to start taking profits.
So next, I won’t guess the top.
I only focus on one sentence:
Above 87K, who is still buying? US and Iran officials talked for three hours in New York.
Trump said "very good, constructive," and scheduled the next meeting.
The hot topic is sending positive signals, and oil prices have also eased somewhat.
But don't just listen to slogans — on the same day, he also made tough remarks at the UN General Assembly. Easing is expected, not a finalized agreement.
If the Strait of Hormuz really eases, risk appetite will heat up first; if talks break down, there will still be a short-term crash. Just surged past 87K, the most important thing to watch for BTC now isn’t "whether it can keep rising," but whether the 87K breakout can hold on the pullback.
On September 21, BTC once surged to $87,371, then retreated; on September 23, it closed around $84,495. From the low of about $74,995 on September 16 to 87K, the increase was nearly 16% in just one week.
Now I’m watching three levels:
87K: previous high resistance
85K: short-term bull-bear dividing line
82K–83K: key pullback zone for this rally
If BTC can quickly recover to 87K after pulling back near 85K, it means bulls haven’t clearly retreated despite the surge.
But if 85K breaks → and 83K can’t hold either, then be cautious that this 87K might just be a profit-taking spike after the rally.
What’s even more interesting is that the total crypto market cap recently climbed back above $3 trillion, and this rally has been accompanied by nearly $1 billion-level inflows into US spot BTC ETFs.
So don’t just focus on whether "87K is the top."
What’s truly worth observing is:
After BTC drops, is there still capital willing to buy in?
If yes, 87K might just be a resistance level;
If no, then it’s time to reassess the strength of this rally.Evening strategy realization second consecutive:
Short BTC at 85873, exit at 83990, securing 9.4k
We are not fortune-tellers predicting the market, only disciplined hunters executing trades.
$BTC $ETH #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 $BTC selling pressure is limited, but high leverage is a hidden risk!
First, aSOPR remains around 1.01, indicating limited on-chain profit-taking pressure. Compared to the breakout phase in August when aSOPR once rose to about 1.04, this round of rally has not brought a similar increase in profit-taking. Bitfinex believes the market currently does not need to digest significant selling pressure.
Second, Bitcoin contract open interest has rebounded above $61 billion. Once funds weaken, high leverage will amplify the pullback. The current funding rate is about 0.01%, in a neutral range, but market sentiment has entered an extreme greed zone, which historically is often a leading signal for short-term trend reversals.
Third, approximately $250 million in short positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours, amplifying the short-term rally. Wintermute believes this rebound cannot be simply attributed to a short squeeze; the more critical reason is that the related negative factors had already been priced in by the market in advance. XPL is facing a significant token unlocking expectation ahead. The market's main focus should not be on the "unlocking" itself, but rather on whether the newly added tokens will actually enter the secondary market. If the project team or early holders show obvious sell-offs, short-term supply pressure could quickly intensify; however, unlocking ≠ immediate selling, so it is more appropriate to wait for volume-price confirmation here, and it is not recommended to blindly short just because of unlocking news. $HYPE: Divergence begins at high levels HYPE is currently approaching the $100 whole number mark, with noticeable volatility in the market. The latest market data shows that HYPE once broke through $97 and hit a new high, while open interest and derivatives trading activity remain high. My approach is: focus on the $96–98 range; if after a surge it fails to continue breaking out with volume, consider looking for a pullback structure. For example, observe short opportunities in the $94–96 range, placing stop-loss above the recent high to avoid being stopped out by a high-level wick. $VVV: Uptrend pace begins to slow After continuous rises, VVV's daily chart shows clear high-level resistance, and the short-term acceleration phase may enter consolidation. If volume cannot continue to expand and open interest keeps declining, be cautious of weakening bullish momentum. However, "declining open interest" alone does not directly prove that the project team or large investors are selling; price, volume, and capital flow must be combined for confirmation. Regarding the broader market, BTC recently broke through $86K but then pulled back; meanwhile, some tokens like HYPE, ZEC, VVV, etc.After this surge, the market has finally started to cool down.
Big brother $BTC touched $87.27K intraday and is now back around $85.8K. It looks like some of the gains have been given back, but $85K remains an important short-term support level, while the $87K–$87.3K range is still a key area to break through.
$ETH is currently around $2.74K, still holding above $2.67K. As long as this breakout structure is not broken, attention can still be paid to the $2.78K–$2.83K resistance zone ahead.
So the key point is actually simple:
Has the structure been broken after the surge?
At present, BTC is still digesting the gains within the critical range, and ETH has not fallen back below the breakout level.
What we fear most now is not a pullback, but panic triggered by seeing a pullback.
Rises need space, and the market also needs to catch its breath.
Tonight, let's not guess the next candlestick yet; keep an eye on whether $85K and $2.67K can hold. 👀
The above is just my personal market notes and does not constitute trading advice.
$BTC $ETH #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 The next bullish signal isn't another vertical candle.
It's higher lows.
If $BTC can keep printing higher lows after the recent breakout, the structure becomes much healthier.
Patience > FOMO.#AMD market cap surpasses $1 trillion, chip stocks surge collectively
The leader has something to say
AMD reaching $1 trillion was not driven by its own force but by Meta's Muse putting the CPU back in the spotlight.
Each AI Agent runs in an independent cloud Secure VM, capable of executing browser and backend tasks, increasing CPU load. The market is pricing in this expectation in advance.
But note, demand is still at the expectation stage and has not turned into actual orders.The $API3 coin price has been relatively stable recently, making it a promising oracle project among altcoins. Many friends might still be unclear about what an oracle is, so let me explain: You can think of API3 as the price reporter for a fully automated DeFi pawnshop. You pawn 1 ETH and want to borrow USDC for other uses. The most important thing for the pawnshop is to always know: how much is your collateralized ETH worth now? Suppose ETH suddenly drops from $3,000 to $2,000, the pawnshop must immediately update the price to determine if your collateral is still sufficient; if the price update is too slow, incorrect, or tampered with, the pawnshop might not be able to react in time, and in the end, the pawnshop itself suffers a big loss. This is the function of an "oracle": to deliver real-world prices from off-chain into the on-chain automated pawnshop. Generally, oracles work like the pawnshop sending people to ask several second-hand dealers or intermediaries and then averaging the prices they report. What API3 aims to do is to get the "original source price": signed price quotes directly from exchanges or data providers, then delivered on-chain through Airnode. Simply put, API3 emphasizes: fewer middlemen in the transfer process and more traceable sources. Another narrative function of API3 is called OEV. When ETH crashes, whoever can update the pawnshop's price board to the new price fastest may trigger liquidation first and earn profits. Previously, such profits were often taken by external bots or gas-boosting front-runners. Finally about to break even
Only about thirty points away from my opening price of 2631
This long bearish candle really pulled me back from underwater
The bearish trend has finally emerged
Keep crashing it for me
So thrilling
But it just dipped to 2633
Chasing shorts at this level is easy to get caught at the bottom
I'm preparing to wait for a rebound before adding more
—
$ETH has been smashed from around 2788 down to about 2660
On the hourly chart, it has broken below multiple moving averages
Resistance now lies between 2680 and 2710 on the upside
As long as it can't reclaim 2700, the bearish structure isn't over
On the downside, first watch 2630 then 2600
Long position liquidations on the hourly chart are close to $60 million
This indicates high-leverage longs are fleeing en masse
But don't recklessly chase lows with 100x leverage
—
$ZEC held around 1560 even when the market tanked
Its seven-day gain is still close to 30%
Clearly much more resilient than ETH
Resistance is at 1650 above
Support at 1500 below is key
If 1500 holds, I won't consider it a top short candidate
This altcoin flipping to a sharp rally wouldn't be surprising
—
$OKB retraced to around 118
Short-term following the market adjustment
But the seven-day structure hasn't completely broken down
Holding near 117 still offers a chance to rebound
Only by reclaiming 120 can it challenge 125 again
If 117 breaks, wait for 112 to 115 to build a position
Let this trade get me back to break even first
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
#美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？ I'm playing the bull demon, just opened the app and saw the market dropping
$ETH Ethereum 2675, nervously placed a long order
Stop loss was originally set at 2652, changed within a minute, stopped out in less than two minutes
Good thing 2652 had to break anyway, lost less
What happened to cause the drop? I only saw a notice that Iran doesn't accept opening yet, didn't look closely, gold also dropped
$BTC Bitcoin 83820, dropped more than 3000 points in less than half a day, damn harsh 📉 $BTC & $ETH Face Strong Short-Term Selling Pressure $BTC briefly pulled back toward $84,000, while $ETH also dipped toward $2,650, showing a clear increase in short-term selling pressure. More than $210M in long positions were reportedly liquidated within an hour, highlighting just how sharp this volatility has become. After a move this fast, short-term longs need to prioritize risk management. If the setup is invalidated, reducing exposure or honoring the stop-loss is preferable to holdin$ZEC 50x short position open, floating profit +126.56%. Entry at 1602.69, mark at 1562.12, trend oscillates downward, rebound is weak, bearish structure remains.
50x leverage is not for showing off, it is a risk-reward tool under strict position control. There was a pullback in between, but no plan was broken so no rash moves. Stop loss and trailing defense were set in advance, refusing to add positions based on emotions.
Unrealized profit is just numbers until realized. The trend offers opportunities, risk control saves lives. $BTC $ETH There's a detail more worth watching than "how much BTC has risen":
When the market moves, who is the first to buckle?
BTC now acts more like an anchor.
ETH shows whether funds continue to spread.
SOL indicates if the market still has risk appetite.
So recently, I watch these three coins together:
BTC not breaking key support,
ETH holding its strong structure,
SOL seeing if funds come back after a pullback.
The truly interesting market moves often aren't all three coins rising together.
Instead:
BTC moves sideways,
ETH starts to strengthen,
SOL suddenly accelerates.
This is the signal that funds are beginning to flow into high beta assets.
Conversely, if BTC falls back and ETH and SOL both turn down, it means the so-called "rotation" might just be short-term sentiment.
Don't just look at who has risen the most.
Look at who is still willing to buy after a pullback. BCH Bullish Logic
1. Token Supply: Total supply of 21 million, no pre-mining, no team unlock dumps; fork inherits a large amount of dormant chips from lost BTC private keys, some coins permanently locked and not circulating
2. Institutional Catalysts: MFI listed company financial reports hold heavy positions, with cash available to continue increasing holdings; Grayscale advancing BCH spot ETF conversion; CME Group launches compliant BCH futures, providing institutions with a compliant trading channel
3. Chip and Market Position: Large number of trapped holders settled at low levels, strong support on declines; long-term whales continuously withdraw coins to self-custody; contracts often show deep negative funding rates, indicating potential short squeeze scenarios; spot market has shown futures-spot premium, representing real spot buying interest
4. Technical Foundation: SHA-256 cryptography is mature; large blocks with very low fees; multiple clients running in parallel, preventing control by a single team; CashTokens support token issuance, stablecoins, simple scripts, network is stable
5. Narrative: Bitcoin’s original peer-to-peer cash narrative; bull market capital overflow, market will treat it as an undervalued fork to explore
1) First Target (Partial Positive Realization): $800–$1200
CME futures running normally, Grayscale ETF approval passed, initial institutional capital inflow, overall bull market. Wave selling pressure still exists, with multiple significant pullbacks during the rise
2) Second Target (Full Positive Realization): $1500–$2100
ETF continuous net capital inflow, MFI continuous accumulation, large capital overflow from BTC to BCH, short squeeze rally eruptsTrump and Xi meet on Thursday, but the big question isn’t simply whether they extend the US-China trade truce. It’s how long they extend it for. USTR Jamieson Greer said Washington could support an extension of around three to six months, although nothing has been agreed yet. That leaves room for surprise. With gold around $4,350, the dollar supported by a hawkish Fed and US equities sensitive to AI and trade headlines, even a small The market dropped 3%, but these three small coins barely fell?
#FederalReserveOfficialsSpeakIntensively, how much longer will the rate hikes continue? #BTC surges to $87000, total crypto market cap returns to 3 trillion
BTC dropped 2.66%, ETH dropped 3.14%, but these three small coins actually held up.
$HYPE around 93.75, only down 1.18%, Hyperliquid decentralized exchange, 97% of protocol revenue used for buybacks. The market dropped 3% but it only fell 1%, the most resilient among small coins, 90 is the critical support level; holding it means real income backing.
$RE around 0.452, only down 1.18%, DeFi insurance small RWA, 71 million market cap, daily volume 5 million. The market dropped 3% but it only fell 1%, the smallest cap but most resistant, holding 0.45 is still okay.
$BICO around 0.0214, down 4.42%, Biconomy Token, focused on account abstraction. The market dropped 3% but it fell 4%, weaker than the market, the sector is not bad but lacks funding support, completely sidelined watching the show.
HYPE 93 is resistant, RE 0.45 is resistant, BICO 0.021 is weaker than the market, clear differentiation among small coins. Didn’t make much judgment, just held on a bit longer, didn’t expect it to really show respect. Just finished lunch and checked the market, $ONE had strong sell orders, and ONE had low trading volume, so I casually signaled a bearish view.
Opened a short near 0.0039453, when the screen was full of green, many panicked and fled. The price slid to 0.0028183, short position +286.08%, timing was spot on.
Took the big profit first, closed 80%, kept the remaining 20% at cost price as protection, so if it rebounds, the profit won’t suffer.
The market cures all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they are the smartest. The premise of compound interest is survival; the shortcut to getting rich often leads to zero.
Now is not the time to rush, wait for the new structure to emerge, opportunities remain, don’t be anxious.
$DOGE $ADA 0.003322 short $ONE, 10x leverage, marked at 0.0028079, floating profit 154%. The chart shows a surge followed by a steady decline, with weak rebounds being sold off, indicating strong selling pressure above.
Experienced traders only focus on execution: hold as long as the trend persists, exit on breakdown or volume-driven pullback. 10x leverage is not a safety net; small coins have thin liquidity, and even a single spike can break your mindset, so light positions are the baseline.
This trade follows the structure to capture swings, not a divine prediction. Recording the current situation, leverage is always a double-edged sword, be cautious. $BTC $ETH Both sides say they "had a good talk," but real concessions on the table have yet to be seen.😄
On September 22, the US and Iranian teams talked for nearly 3 hours near New York, with Qatar helping to relay messages. Iran's core conditions remain clear: first lift some maritime restrictions, handle frozen funds, reduce regional conflict pressure, and only then consider further reopening the Strait of Hormuz.
But so far, the US has not made any substantive response to these conditions.
The market, however, has already started trading on "easing expectations." After the news broke, crude oil prices quickly fell, funds began betting on easing energy pressures, and inflation expectations might cool down. $BTC also strengthened accordingly, rebounding from around 80,000 to about 85,000.
But here’s a key point: the leaders of the two countries have not met directly yet, and the Strait of Hormuz issue remains unresolved. As long as shipping and supply risks are not fully eliminated, oil prices could rise again.
So I tend to interpret this meeting as both sides setting the negotiation table back up, but there is still a long way to go before a real agreement is reached.
In the short term, the market will repeatedly speculate between "easing" and "escalation" expectations, so volatility will naturally be significant.
As for whether $BTC can continue to strengthen later, I’m more focused on two main lines: changes in US Treasury yields and whether ETF funds are continuously flowing in or weakening again.
Geopolitical news causes volatility, but what truly determines trend sustainability are funds and the macro environment.😮💨
$BTC #美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？ $BTC $ETH $ZEC 21:30 At that time, BTC was still hovering around 85600, I said "85000 held for the third time, the lifeline is intact." But once the US stock market opened, the script reversed directly: around 22:30 BTC plunged straight down, breaking through the 85000 and 84000 levels, hitting a low near 83900; ETH simultaneously broke support, the 2700 lifeline was lost, reporting 2651 (24h -3.22%). Today's headlines Today's headlines Today's headlines ✅ Script review (including admitting mistakes) The morning bearish script was "87400 tested three times without success, long consolidation will lead to a drop, a volume breakout below 85000 targets 83500" — today it was fulfilled: after three failures, it broke below 85000, once probing 83900, the script direction was entirely correct. But my statement last night "85000 holding still favors bulls" did not withstand the late-night blow, I admit the judgment was wrong on the spot, no excuses. 📊 Data summary This was a pure bull liquidation: BTC single-hour long liquidations about 237 million USD, 4-hour total about 280 million; over the past 24 hours, more than 120,000 people liquidated across the market. CoinDesk Cointelegraph Today's headlines The background is not complicated: US stocks fell back, precious metals corrected, oil prices instead rose (Brent +2%), risk-off surged, the chasing bulls took the first hit. Today's headlinesCDamn! Couldn't hold back again 😂
$BTC daily chart retraced near 84k, MA5 support holding without breaking
Seeing volume shrink to the extreme, feels like it can't drop further
Just shook my hand and placed two orders directly:
$BTC long at 84,284, currently slightly down 1.46%
$ETH long at 2,662, currently slightly up 0.75%
100x full position, luckily margin ratio is 824%, far from liquidation
Whale data is even crazier: long-short ratio 716%, 766 long positions profiting vs 218 short positions losing
Total open interest 3.08 billion, main force bias is clearly bullish
But I dare not be greedy in this market, the lesson from $ZEC getting stabbed a few days ago is still fresh
Moved stop loss to break even
Whatever happens, staying alive is the most important
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
#美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？
#ZEC巨鲸3.8万枚空单平仓，亏损超3500万美元 #CME拟推BCH与UNI期货
CME has made a move again, this time targeting BCH and UNI.
On October 19th, futures for these two coins will be launched, including both standard and micro contracts, pending regulatory approval. Once approved, they will go live. As soon as the news broke, BCH surged 31%, and UNI rose nearly 20%. The market reacted quickly, showing that capital is very sensitive to these kinds of compliant channels.
For Bitcoin, this is not a direct short-term positive and might even divert some attention, but in the medium to long term, it is a solid plus. CME’s willingness to list futures for more coins means that traditional financial institutions are expanding their acceptance of crypto assets. Previously, only BTC and ETH could enter the derivatives market; now BCH and UNI can join as well, giving institutions more tools if they want to allocate.
Looking deeper, every time CME expands, it is providing credit endorsement for the entire crypto market. Compliant funds on Wall Street don’t touch just any asset casually; CME’s willingness to list is like a round of screening for the market. This will make more traditional capital feel that crypto assets, as a category, have controllable risks and smooth channels. BTC, as the core asset of this market, will inevitably benefit in the long run.
BTC is still fluctuating around 86,000, macro pressures remain unresolved, and CME’s expansion is a slow variable that doesn’t solve short-term price moves. The strategy is to stay patient and not rush in just because of one piece of news. Wait for a pullback confirmation or for the new futures to really start attracting capital before making a move. What do you think—can BCH sustain this rally? $UNI I chose to short $XPL early this time, laying in wait for an opportunity.
There are about 2 days left until approximately 70% of the circulating tokens unlock, which indeed poses significant potential supply pressure. Theoretically, a large amount of tradable tokens will suddenly increase in the market, but note: unlocking does not mean these tokens will immediately flow into the market.
Ultimately, it depends on how the project team and token holders handle these tokens afterward, so controlling risk now is more important than blindly shorting just because of the unlocking news.
Looking at $HYPE, after observing for a while, I feel this round of rally may have already entered a high-level phase.
Around $100 is a key resistance level, and the daily candlestick chart is also showing some signs of a top formation. I increased my position by 55 contracts near $95 and set the stop loss above the previous high.
Today’s sharp rise followed by a clear pullback also indicates that the risk of chasing gains at the top is increasing.
The crazier the market, the more calmness is needed. Wait for confirmation before taking action.
$BTC $ETH $XPL $HYPE #Crypto #OKX$DATA I advise everyone to short on rallies
Why?
Because too many people have lowered their average cost from 2, 3, or even 5, and now they hold huge spot positions. How can it be pushed up? It might just slowly decline to zero over ten months, and shorting would also be painful with constant sideways movement draining short sellers' funds and fees. Occasionally, there will be a spike, but it won't be too much—just enough to liquidate some shorts.
So the conclusion is to short on rallies; if you open shorts randomly, you will get liquidated.
When will it spike?
Look at other coins; usually, after dropping several zeros, when it needs to rise 2000% to recover, there will be a pump because even a 500% rise from 0.01 to 0.05 is not much.
What about spot? (long term)
Add some positions to lower the average cost, or short on rallies and then sell some to reduce positions. Prepare for future additions (otherwise, all will be unrealized losses).
If you believe in DATA, wait for the market cap to hit new lows, add positions to drastically lower the average cost, and then large funds will enter.UNI is getting stronger and stronger
1. News aspect: SEC compliant stock tokens, the first beneficiary is $UNI.
On July 26, UNI launched a new feature called Permissioned Pool. At that time, few people discussed it in the market. Now many have realized what it is really about, because yesterday, the SEC explicitly named this "AMM Permissioned Pool" model in the regulatory exemption document for tokenized stocks.
This means UNI had already planned this back in July; it is not waiting for regulation but is setting the standards on behalf of regulators.
2. Fundamentals
In the past month, it processed over $70 billion in trading volume, with protocol fees of $91.73 million and protocol revenue of $15.26 million.
A total of 112 million UNI tokens have been burned.
Regarding buyback and burn, yesterday it was $490,000, with Robinhood chain contributing over $250,000, accounting for more than half of the buyback and burn.
Of course, the main point is that the entire crypto market cap is currently $2.5 trillion, while the US stock market cap is $150 trillion. Compliance of US stocks on-chain means more high-quality assets seamlessly going on-chain. Official forecasts predict the tokenized asset market will reach $11 trillion by 2030.
So from a long-term perspective, UNI is still undervalued. What do you think?
#美联储三年来首次加息25个基点 #美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进 $XRP $BTC $ETH Current Price 1.5173 | 24h -3.02% | High 1.658 Low 1.4834 | Turnover 103 million Multi-cycle: 1h turning weak · Daily bulls Momentum: RSI 1h 37 / Daily 61.5; MACD (1h) DIF -0.006 < DEA 0.0075, Bars **-0.027 Death Cross** Volatility: ATR 2.15%, Range 65.7% (1.248~1.658), Volume-to-Performance Ratio 1.02x Key Levels: Resistance 1.641; EMA21 1.567 / EMA50 1.547; Support 1.260 Fibonacci (1.248→1.658): 0.236 = 1.561 · 0.382=1.501 · 0.5=1.453 · 0.618=1.405 Judgment: **Weakness at High**. The current price has fallen below EMA21 (1.567) and EMA50 (1.547), MACD death cross continues, and a rebound between two moving averages (1.547~1.567) forms resistance. Plan: If the rebound 1.547~1.567 is not broken, the bias is bearish. Below, look for Fibonacci at 0.382 (1.501) → 0.5 (1.453); if volume rises to reclaim 1.567, it will turn bullish. #BTC冲高 $87,000, total crypto market cap returns to 3 trillion $SNDK has entered a pullback along with the Nasdaq, currently still above $1800 👀
This rise in SanDisk is really scary, it jumped over $100 overnight, pulling the market up as fiercely as some small altcoins in the crypto world 😂
My personal short position average price is at 1856, and I stopped out at 1877 during the day, mainly fearing the intense volatility at the night opening
Unexpectedly, it dropped right at the open, so I didn’t get caught in this small pullback, which is a bit of a pity; but if it happens again, I will still stop out because on the chart SanDisk has already broken through 1820 on the 4-hour candlestick body, meeting my stop-loss criteria before opening the position
You still have to obey your own stop-loss discipline, after all, the market determines how much you earn, and discipline determines how much you lose 🫡
#纳斯达克指数连续两日创历史新高 $UNI 50x short position open, floating profit +151.35%. Entry at 9.448, mark price 9.162, the downtrend structure of the trendline remains intact, let the profit run as long as it doesn't break.
The short logic is a rebound with low volume, gradually lower highs, and short-term momentum still in the hands of the bears. With 50x leverage, every wick is a test, position size must be small, and stop loss must be strict.
Currently, the floating profit is a gift from the market, not a premium for skill. Before closing the position, it's just numbers; plan your trailing stop to ensure the trade has a clear start and finish. Contracts are high risk, don't be blinded by leverage. $BTC $ETH $PEPE PEPE dropped 8 points, meme tokens have really been crashing these past two days. But I noticed something quite contradictory — it did drop, but the volume is only 0.61 times, shrinking volume with a slow decline.
This is interesting. A drop on shrinking volume can mean one of two things: either the selling pressure isn’t that big, it’s just that no one is buying, so the drop is weak; or the funds that fled earlier haven’t returned yet, so no one dares to buy the dip. The RSI on the hourly chart is already at 29, touching the oversold zone, so technically speaking, a rebound could happen anytime.
But meme tokens are never decided by technicals, they’re decided by sentiment. Before sentiment returns, oversold on low volume could continue to slowly decline. So my view is: don’t rush to buy, wait until one day it shows a volume surge and closes with a bullish candle, then talk about buying. Buying halfway up the mountain is much more painful than missing out. For those still holding PEPE, how are you feeling now? #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 What’s most worth watching right now might not be how much BTC rises.
But rather, where the money starts to flow.
BTC stabilizes first, ETH follows, and SOL’s volatility amplifies.
The recent data is even more interesting:
BTC ETF single-day inflows near $1 billion,
ETH about $270 million,
SOL about $26 million.
This is no longer just a simple “BTC market.”
You can interpret it as:
BTC = capital arrives first
ETH = market confirmation
SOL = risk appetite amplifies
So now I want to focus on one signal:
If BTC holds steady, ETH stays strong, can SOL still outperform?
If the answer is yes, it indicates capital might be spreading from “BTC defense” to high beta assets.
But if BTC falls back and ETH and SOL immediately turn down together, it means this round of capital diffusion isn’t stable enough yet.
Don’t rush to guess the top.
First, watch where the money is really flowing.
Are you more focused on BTC, ETH, or SOL right now? $AKE Perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.04901, currently at 0.04599, floating profit +123.24%.
I've actually been watching this trade for quite a while. The 0.049 level was repeatedly tested but never broken; every time it approached this area, there was selling pressure. After confirming the resistance was effective, I decisively shorted on the bearish candle. Using 20x leverage, position size pushed to the extreme.
Currently floating profit is +123.24%, and the trailing stop has been moved up to 0.047. Not greedy, locking in profits first.
$ETH $BTC #财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布 Wall Street is learning crypto’s favorite word: 24/7.
The NYSE and Blockchain.com signed an MOU today to explore bringing tokenized NYSE-listed stocks and ETFs to 44M+ accounts through the NYSE’s planned digital venue. The bigger shift: NYSE/ICE market data would flow into crypto rails, while crypto analytics move the other way.
Two financial worlds are starting to share the same plumbing. The most expensive tuition in the market is hesitation.
Bitcoin has been consolidating for so long, it feels like holding one's breath; once it breaks through, 90,000 is not impossible. A real new trend is not established by just one big bullish candle, but by the price holding above the breakout level after the breakout.
The current feeling is: the trend is slightly strong, but we shouldn't get too excited here. "Big Brother Maji" Huang Licheng wiped out a $4 million unrealized profit overnight, then reversed to an unrealized loss of $100,000, still frequently adding to ETH and HYPE long positions, while reducing Bitcoin longs.
In my opinion, with leverage pushed this far, unrealized profits are just pixels on the screen, wiped out with any market shake. Big Brother's ammo is longer than our candlesticks; we can't learn that. 😇
$BTC $ETH $HYPE🔥 After BTC surged to 87000, can it continue to chase higher?
🟠 BTC: After a big rise, it entered a high-level consolidation phase, probing around 87000 again after two consecutive days of consolidation, but the trading volume has not significantly increased. The high-level consolidation phase is prone to false breakouts and shakeouts, so the cost-effectiveness of chasing short-term longs is declining.
📉 In the short term, more attention is on the key support at 84000; if it breaks, it may further test around 83800. As long as the area near 84000 holds, the overall major structure is not yet broken, and the pullback is mostly a digestion of the previous gains.
🔵 ETH: Following BTC's high-level consolidation, it is also not suitable to blindly chase longs just because market sentiment is strong in the short term; focus on the strength of the rebound after the pullback.
⚠️ Additionally, BTC's trading volume is shrinking, so whether ETF funds can warm up again is very important. The total market cap has returned to 3 trillion USD, but market cap growth does not equal continuous capital inflow.
👉 The bull market is not about blindly going long to make money. If the major trend is intact, patience can be maintained; if a short-term pullback is expected, control your position size, set stop losses properly, and always remain cautious.
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 #美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？ #高利率下，黄金还能走多远？ That difference is becoming one of the biggest stories in crypto. Ethereum is increasingly positioned as the settlement layer for capital: stablecoins, DeFi liquidity, tokenized assets, staking and institutional products. Current Ethereum data shows roughly $54.5B in DeFi TVL, $172B in stablecoins across mainnet and L2s, and around $119B in ETH staked. Solana is built around velocity. Trading, DEX activity, consumer apps, stablecoins and tokenized assets can move through the network at a much faBitcoin's edge is monetary credibility. Ethereum's edge is programmability and the ability to support an enormous range of financial applications. Injective takes a much narrower route: on-chain trading infrastructure, especially derivatives and financial markets. Think of them as three different crypto architectures: $BTC → digital scarcity + long-term value storage $ETH → programmable settlement + decentralized applications $INJ → trading infrastructure + native on-chain markets Bitcoin focuse$BTC perpetual 100x short position, opened at 85466.5, now at 84271.1, floating profit +139.86%.
Around 85000, the price surged but was resisted and stalled for a long time. A big bearish candle directly broke the short-term support, so I followed the trend to short, with a stop loss set above 86000. The 100x leverage position is very small, but the movement was more intense than expected, with the percentage gain exceeding 1.3 times.
Moved the stop loss up to 84500, now watching if 83000 can be broken.
$ETH $ZEC #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 Not all public blockchains are solving the same problem. 🟠 $BTC| Digital Value and Settlement Layer Bitcoin is more like a global digital settlement network. It does not rely on traditional bank hours or is tied to a single country or financial system, allowing value to be continuously transferred and settled worldwide. Recently, BTC once again broke through $85,000, and institutional demand for digital assets and changes in the regulatory environment remain important variables. 🔵 $ETH| Composable Financial and Application Infrastructure Ethereum's core value lies in providing an open smart contract environment, enabling developers to build DeFi, stablecoins, tokenized assets, and various on-chain applications, and to combine and scale these protocols. After a sharp rise at the end of August, ETH has maintained a strong market structure, and technical analysis on September 22 showed it broke through a key resistance zone. 🟣 $SOL| Speed Becomes Part of the Product Solana places greater emphasis on high throughput, low latency, and real-time interaction experiences, suitable for transactions, payments, and high-frequency on-chain applications. Now, Solana is further strengthening this advantage: Alpenglow has entered the public testnet, aiming to reduce final confirmation time from the current about 13 seconds to about 150 milliseconds. Meanwhile, Solana recently increased the per-transaction capacity from 1,232 bytes to 4,096 bytes, providing more room for more complex on-chain operations.With a large portion of circulating supply scheduled to become unlocked soon, traders need to be careful with the extra supply hanging over the market. But an unlock doesn't automatically mean those tokens will be dumped. The important questions are: who receives them, what percentage can actually enter circulation, and whether holders choose to sell. So I’m watching the unlock event rather than blindly shorting it. $HYPE — The momentum is starting to look different. After the recent rally, pricAct 5 — Ethereum at the crossroads Ethereum's biggest paradox isn't that the network is weak. It's that the network can become more useful while the ETH token captures less of that activity directly. The ecosystem has expanded dramatically through DeFi, stablecoins, staking, tokenized assets and Layer-2 networks. But more activity is happening outside Ethereum mainnet, changing where fees are generated and who captures them. That creates the central question: If Ethereum becomes the settlement lBear return Bear return
Dumplings, I'm alive again
Dog whales hurry up and get out for me
The 43 ETH short position finally caught a breath
Unrealized loss still at thirteen thousand, I just want to climb out of the pit first
Brothers, short sellers assemble, but chasing shorts also needs to watch the position
$ETH has already fallen back from 2787 to around 2661
15-minute moving averages show a bearish alignment, MACD lines both below zero axis
This short-term weakness indeed has a basis
I'm first watching the rebound resistance between 2695 and 2700
If it can't recover, continue to observe the previous low at 2633
If it breaks below and the rebound can't hold, then look at 2600
But a sharp drop alone can't directly declare the bear market is back
$ZEC surged then sharply fell
But the full-day gains haven't been fully given back yet
I set 1500 as the next observation line
If it loses and can't recover, it further supports the continuation of the pullback
If it stands back above 1600, chasing shorts must beware of a counterattack
$SNDK I will also watch the US stock market trend simultaneously
Short-term first observe the 1800 whole number level
Holding here means you can't treat every rebound as a free shorting opportunity
If it breaks below and the rebound fails
The continuation of the bears gains one more layer of basis
This drop really brought me back to life
But reducing unrealized loss is not making money yet
First, stay alive
Then settle accounts with the dog whales
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
#美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？ $ZEC perpetual 50x short position, opened at 1613.02, currently 1561.76, floating profit +158.89%.
The logic is simple: the 1600 round number resistance was tested three times without breaking, volume decreased, clear top pattern. Finally waited for the bearish candle to dump, then shorted. 50x leverage, stop loss at 1650. The movement is very smooth, no chance for a rebound.
Trailing stop moved to 1580 to lock in profits. If the volume breaks below 1500, can hold a bit longer.
$ETH $DOGE #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 今日被涮 $BCH +6.71% | 吐槽定调 回调做多 $BCH 这一周从 213 干到 366，七天涨了 71%，成交量从日均 5000 万暴增到 4.12 亿翻了八倍，属于那种你以为它凉了结果突然诈尸型的暴涨。方向上回调做多，3-5 倍低杠杆，入场 320-325 分批接货，止损 310（9/22 低点 317 下方一个缓冲位），目标先看 350（前高压力区），到了减半仓再看 366（7 日高点天花板）。为什么不在 340 追：末日振幅 14.95% 配 5.12 倍量比，这是脉冲式爆量不是温和上行，追在放量顶上等于接飞刀。费率从 0.01% 骤降到 0.0016%，多头在高位的热情已经开始退烧，何炅冲浪真的快，这波涨得快回落也快，追不如等回调。$BCH 这波从 9/19 的 242 低点启动，连涨四天其中 9/21 单日 24% 属于暴走级别，到了 9/22 冲 366 没站稳回落 340，短线上涨动能已经在衰减。 $BCH 从 9/16 的 213 一路踩着 MA3 爬到 9/22 的 340，中间只 9/19 一天回踩 242 收了根阴线，其余六天全阳。9/21$ZEC is currently in an oversold rebound, not a trend reversal.
The 1525 spike and pullback is just a short-term correction after stop-losses were triggered; the larger-scale downtrend structure remains intact.
Cycle breakdown
15 minutes
Price returned near 1560, but MA5/MA10/MA20 are all above the candlesticks, showing a bearish moving average alignment;
MACD is below the zero line, RSI is only 33, not entering a strong zone.
👉 Short-term rebound faces heavy moving average resistance above. First resistance at 1576 (MA5), then 1586, 1607.
1 hour (core)
1-hour MACD shows a death cross, green bars continue, RSI at 29.84 in a weak zone;
Price has broken below MA20 (1605), turning this moving average from support into strong resistance.
Hard condition for reversal: 1-hour close must hold above 1605, otherwise it can only be defined as a rebound.
Support: 1548, then down to 1525.
4 hours
4-hour MA20 (1527) was briefly pierced but recovered; however, the 4H bullish momentum has clearly weakened.
Reversal requires a strong 4H bullish candle closing above 1620, currently no such signal.
Criteria for rebound vs reversal
✅ Rebound (current state)
- Rebound does not break through key moving average resistance from previous downtrend (1-hour MA20=1605)
- MACD remains below zero line, unable to turn positive and expand
- Rebound likely to retest 1548/1525 with a secondary dip
Target range: 1575~1600, high probability of resistance and pullback in this zone.
❌ Reversal (all conditions must be met)
1. 1-hour candle closes with volume firmly above 1605
2. MACD golden cross crosses above zero line, red bars continue to expand
3. No new lows, with progressively higher lows
Key market risk points
If the BTC market remains weak, this rebound height will be compressed, likely facing resistance near 1575 and pulling back to retest 1548.
If the rebound fails to break through near 1600, it is a chance to reduce positions, not to add long positions.
Summary in one sentence: The long lower shadow at 1525 is a short-term bottom signal, triggering an oversold rebound; but until it holds above 1605, do not consider it a reversal. Prioritize reducing positions and defending during the rebound.
You can set two alerts:
1. 1605: Hold above = reversal observation signal
2. 1548: Break below = rebound ends, retest lower levels $ETH perpetual 100x short position, opened at 2718.9, now at 2662.4, floating profit +207.80%.
Around 2700, the price surged but was resisted and hovered for a long time; a big bearish candle directly broke the short-term support, so I followed the trend to short, with a stop loss set above 2750. The 100x leverage position is very small, but the movement was more aggressive than expected, doubling the percentage gain.
Moved the stop loss up to 2680, now watching if 2600 can be broken.
$BTC $DOGE #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 Bitcoin is currently fluctuating around $86K. After a recent clear rally, BTC's short-term momentum has slowed, while some altcoins have seen more prominent gains and trading activity. This does not necessarily mean Bitcoin is weakening. When BTC can remain relatively stable at high levels, market funds sometimes start seeking more volatile and resilient assets, leading to capital diffusion into ETH, XRP, SOL, and other altcoins. Recently, some assets like XRP have clearly outperformed BTC. Meanwhile, BTC's own liquidity remains worth watching. The latest data shows that the US spot Bitcoin ETF saw a single-day net inflow of nearly $1 billion, with cumulative inflows of about $1.59 billion over the previous three trading days, indicating institutional capital demand remains. From a price structure perspective, the market is currently focused on the support area near $85.8K–$86K, while the $86.6K–$87K area remains an important resistance zone in the near term. Whether BTC can continue to stabilize at high levels will be an important signal to observe whether market funds will further spread into altcoins going forward. Additionally, about $1.81 billion of BTC and ETH options are about to expire, which may increase short-term volatility. At present, the market seems to be experiencing a high-level consolidation + capital reallocation, rather than a simple BTC weakening. Therefore,SNDK finally pushed through the psychological $1,900 level. On Sept. 22, the stock reached $1,909.48 intraday and finished at $1,887.04, gaining about 6.8% for the session. But after such a powerful move, I wouldn't chase the candle. The next question is whether $1,900 can transform from resistance into support. My key zones: $1,900 → breakout confirmation $1,850–$1,880 → potential consolidation area $1,800 → major structural reference The bigger story is the memory sector. The Roundhill Memory