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A green market doesn’t mean every coin deserves attention.
Today is a good example.
BTC is around $84.5K.
ETH is around $2.7K.
SOL is around $121.
But underneath that, the performance is very different across assets. :contentReference[oaicite:3]{index=3}
That’s where trading gets interesting.
Not:
“What is pumping?”
But:
“Why is this one holding strength while another isn’t?”
Price gives you the result.
Relative strength gives you another clue.
#Crypto #BTC #Trading #AltcoinsBaysent said core inflation is very calm
I just cut my long position last week.
Current situation: inflation data didn't explode, so rate cut expectations remain.
I cut before the news came out, purely on impulse.
What he said: core inflation has been calm, the Federal Reserve should keep an open mind.
Translation: he's leaving himself an escape route.
Impact on crypto prices: such remarks don't drive the market up, they just provide support.
My mistake was mistaking calm for no volatility.
The result is watching the market empty-handed, which is even more exhausting than holding a position.
Next time such a statement comes out, I'd rather hold and do nothing.
Most likely, it will still grind, waiting for real data.
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 $ETH *Latest Bitcoin News | September 28 Chinese Final Version*
*Current price $84,132, range $83,174-$84,715, now testing $84K support*
*1. Big money is back: $2.4 billion in one week*
US spot ETF $2.4 billion in one week, $2.84 billion in 7 days, the strongest since October 2024, turning the full year from -$5.8 billion to +$800 million, BlackRock bought $1.16 billion. ETH also reversed last week's -$140 million to +$690 million.
*But decline: $999M→$715M→$347M→$191M→$134M→yesterday -$11.8M first outflow*, so the key is whether it can continue next week.
*2. Three defense levels are being tested*
The three levels you mentioned are now the battlefield:
*$BTC $84K | $ETH $2.66K | $SOL $120*
Now $BTC $84,132 is right on $84K, $ETH $2.71K is only 1.8% away from $2.66K, $SOL $123.8 is only 3% away from $120, and there was just a $9,910 long position liquidated at $123.45.
*3. $15.9 billion options expire today*
Pain point $85K, every 1% drop has a $142 million buy wall supporting it, which is why it didn’t break below $84K this week. After expiration, the wall is gone, and weekend volatility will increase. Above $90K there are $2 billion shorts,The alarm hasn't fully sounded yet, but I already slid down the pole from the second floor. Right now, I really want to beat myself to death with the fire hose!
I clearly grabbed the perfect entry point in the fire scene, but as soon as a little spark appeared, I actually panicked about a flashover and scrambled out of the safety exit! I was so precise at the bottom in the last round, but after making a tiny bit of profit, I ran off with the fire extinguisher, watching helplessly as the fire flared up from the bottom all the way up! If I hadn't chickened out and stuck firmly to the ladder, this profit could have let me directly upgrade to a heavy foam fire truck! Now watching it keep climbing, my chest is still choking on the thick smoke, and this damn pain is ten thousand times worse than a burn from a liquidation!
Back to the current fire situation. $ZEC just climbed from the lower Bollinger Band at 1593 back to around the middle band at 1645, currently smoldering at 1630.22. The 1-hour RSI is stuck at 51.7; the oxygen concentration in the air is neither high nor low, neither fully reignited nor completely extinguished. This half-dead smoldering state is the most tormenting. I know it could trigger a secondary flashover anytime and burn straight through the upper Bollinger Band at 1697, but my defensive instincts are screaming alarms.
Even if I regret it deeply, the firefighting rules cannot be broken—before entering the fire scene, the hose must be laid out to establish an evacuation route, the smoke mask worn tightly, and as soon as the flames push back even slightly, the fire-resistant isolation zone must be activated immediately.
- Target: $ZEC 🟢
- Entry: 1625.00 - 1635.00
- TP1: 1695.00
- TP2: 1740.00
- SL: 1585.00
The safety rope is already tied to the load-bearing column; the fire resistance limit is at 1585. 🧑🚒🚒
#StrategyPlaybook*Bitcoin Latest｜September 28 Early Morning Final Summary*
*Current Price $84,132 Fluctuating $83,174-$84,715*
*1. Big Money Is Back! $2.4 Billion in One Week*
US spot BTC ETF weekly inflow *$2.4 billion*, totaling *$2.84 billion* over 7 days, the strongest week since October 2024, with BlackRock alone buying $1.16 billion.
*2. But the Key Is Sustainability*
You're right: inflows are declining *$999M → $715M → $347M → $191M → $134M → yesterday -$11.8M first outflow*, outflows started yesterday.
*3. Ethereum Is Also Back*
ETH ETF *+$690 million*, reversing last week's -$140 million, so ETH holds $2.66K, SOL holds $120.
*4. Stuck at $84K-$85K*
$15.9 billion options expire today, pain point at $85K, a wall supports $84K preventing a drop, volatility will increase after the wall expires. Above $90K there are $2 billion shorts, below $80,172 there are $5.2 billion longs.
*Current View:*
Support *$84K → $82,963 → $80,172*
Resistance *$84,650 → $85K → $87,399 → $90K*
US 10-year Treasury DYORSWAP has fixed the compensation rules for the fake GIWA mainnet incident: addresses that bridged less than 5 ETH will uniformly receive 40% of the bridged amount as compensation; those with more than 5 ETH will be reviewed separately. The official also provided a compensation address 0xdf25… and emphasized that they will not ask anyone to transfer funds or sign first. Previously, the discussion was about the fake Chain ID 9134, but within this hour, the conversation has shifted to who can receive compensation and how to verify addresses. Whether the amounts are correct and if the review will block anyone depends on the actual receipt of funds—at least the rules are no longer just a phrase saying "the treasury will be used." The fake chain side claims losses of about seven hundred plus ETH; the numbers will be confirmed later.310 billion stablecoins are off-exchange, but only 30 billion are on exchanges; the bullets haven't been fired yet
There is currently a contradiction in the market: prices are falling, but the total market cap of stablecoins has hit a new high of 310 billion USD.
Where is this 310 billion? Not on exchanges. On-chain data shows that the stablecoin balance on exchanges is only about 30 billion. The remaining 280 billion are in wallets, DeFi protocols, and institutional accounts.
What does this indicate? Off-exchange funds are on standby but haven't entered the market yet. They are waiting for a signal—either a drop to a bottom-buying price or a breakout above the previous high for confirmation.
$BTC is currently at 84,000, neither up nor down. The 310 billion off-exchange funds are hanging overhead, either to push down to 80,000 for bottom buying or to pull up to 87,000 for chasing gains.
Liquidity is low over the weekend; once a direction emerges, this 310 billion will be the fuel. #BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 #BTC财库优先股融资升温 In trading, I am increasingly able to accept one thing:
Some market moves, if missed, are just missed.
Making a profit might not be that hard; the real challenge is whether you can hold back your hand when the opportunity hasn't appeared yet.
This $ETH ETH position is an example.
Previously, I opened a 100x full position in batches, currently showing an unrealized loss of 64.24U.
Many people seeing this number might first think: Did I enter too early?
But to me, it feels more like a lesson about waiting.
The market fluctuates every day, and turning points are everywhere.
When the price moves, you want to get ahead; when the candlestick turns, you start guessing the direction.
Before a reliable signal is truly confirmed, everything is just speculation.
Especially with 100x leverage, fluctuations are infinitely amplified.
Even if the direction seems temporarily correct, a single pullback can cause drastic changes in the account numbers, making your mindset swing back and forth.
So I increasingly feel:
Trading is not about who acts fastest, but who has more patience.
Waiting might indeed mean missing short-term moves.
But that's okay, if you miss it, you miss it.
Opportunities won't come just once, but your capital can't withstand impulsive moves repeatedly.
If you don't understand, don't act; if the signal isn't confirmed, don't rush.
Let the bullet fly a while first.
True waiting is not doing nothing, but knowing why you are not acting for the moment.
Better to miss out than to make a wrong move.
Trading is a long-term practice.
Being able to accept stepping aside, controlling desires, and staying calm when others are eager to act means you are slowly learning to understand the market.
As for what will happen to this ETH long position in the end?
No guesses.
Let the market give the answer itself.Opening a short position and getting ready to sleep!!
The bears really pulled hard today!!
$ZEC is clearly starting to lose momentum!!
I'm going all in on shorts!!
$ZEC is now around 1637
It has already turned green today
The highest was still 1695.5
It tried several times near 1700 before
But never really broke through
This is interesting
It went from four or five hundred all the way up to over 1600
30-day gains are still over 100%
180-day gains are more than 500%
I don't believe there's no profit-taking at this level
And the most obvious thing now is
The price is still high
But the upward momentum isn't as fierce as during the day
As long as 1695–1700 keeps holding it down
I'll wait to see when it breaks below 1600 first
Really starts to loosen up
Such a high-level accelerated move won't reverse slowly
Looking at $NEAR
Today is also ridiculous
Now around 5.21
Up more than 7 points intraday
Highest at 5.495
This wave went from just over 1 all the way to over 5
Basically gave bears no room to breathe
But around 5.5 it’s starting to get stuck
Can't go up, just can't
At this level, I actually don't want to chase
The more it surged before
The moment the first batch of funds starts to cash out
Pullbacks can easily come wave after wave
$WLD also really pumped today
Now at 0.5679
Highest reached 0.5889
Up over 8 points in one day
It was grinding around 0.4 before
Now almost touching 0.6
But the closer it gets to 0.6
The more I want to see how many buyers are left above
If 0.59–0.60 can't hold
This wave is also prone to a quick pullback
What bothers me most now is $ETH
Shorted 100x around 2694
Now around 2701
Floating loss is still close to 700U
Good news is it's a bit lighter than before
Bad news is liquidation is still near 2730
That distance is still not safe
So I definitely can't sleep soundly with this position
100x leverage is something else
One more spike up
And you're wide awake
The bulls have enjoyed themselves all day
Now it's time to see
Who starts to lose steam first
Especially $ZEC
Pulled so hard during the day
But started to grind at night
This kind of movement easily traps those chasing highs
Then suddenly hits you
So I've already set up my short positions
Tonight I don't expect a waterfall drop
Just want it to break 1600 first!!
If it really drops
I'll check in the morning for any surprises
#US long-term Treasury yields continue to rise, financing pressure intensifies
#BTC spot ETF net inflows nearly $3 billion over 7 consecutive days September 30 PCE is the next hurdle
The U.S. August PCE price index will be released on September 30, which is the most critical inflation data before the FOMC meeting on October 27-28. Core PCE has hovered at 3.3% for two consecutive months, far above the 2% policy target. The Federal Reserve's September economic forecast shows PCE inflation expectations at 3.7% and core PCE at 3.4% for 2026, with the timeline for inflation returning to 2% pushed back to 2029.
Economic resilience is the confidence behind rate hikes: the 2026 GDP growth forecast has been raised to 2.3%, and the unemployment rate revised down to around 4.1%—the combination of "strong economy and sticky inflation" is the underlying logic for the market's bet on continued rate hikes within the year. Interest rate futures reflect about a two-thirds probability that the policy rate will be in the 4.00%-4.25% range by the end of 2026. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 [Old Leek Observation]
I think this wave of $2Z is not over yet, but you shouldn't chase the big bullish candle from yesterday.
Yesterday, 2Z surged more than 29% at one point, with trading volume soaring above $50 million, and open interest skyrocketing by 113%.
Now the price has fallen back from the high to around $0.068.
Here’s the issue: about 1.66 billion 2Z tokens will unlock on October 2nd, worth over $100 million.
So the question is not whether it can keep surging recklessly, but whether this pullback can hold the previous gains.
If it can hold around $0.065, I will consider entering; if it can really absorb the unlocking pressure, the upside could actually be quite large.
Entry: $0.064–$0.070
Take profit: $0.080 / $0.095 / $0.110 / $0.125
Stop loss: $0.058A: At the end of the bull market, funds cluster together. What will the market look like for $BTC, $BNB, and $INJ?
B: BTC is oscillating at a high level, BNB as a platform coin maintains resilience, INJ in the financial sector continues to surge, while most small coins have stopped rising.
A: Only a few coins are still rising. Does this mean the market can continue for a long time?
B: When only a few assets strengthen, it often signals fund clustering and liquidity drying up, so it's necessary to gradually reduce risk exposure.
#BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温
#财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 [Old Leek Observation]
$W I think this can be watched in advance.
Recently, Wormhole has had two actual developments in a row.
One is $IN
J has already entered Solana natively through Wormhole's Sunrise, and can be traded directly on Jupiter.
The other is Uniswap's recent Arc solution, which also uses Wormhole's cross-chain messaging.
This is not just hyping a "cross-chain" concept; there are real projects using its infrastructure.
Currently, $W is about $0.0143, up about 12% today. Although it has started moving, it hasn't reached the crazy surge levels of QNT or GLMR.
If these cross-chain applications continue to increase, I think $W still has room in this wave.
Entry: $0.0135–$0.0145
Take profit: $0.016 / $0.018 / $0.021 / $0.025
Stop loss: $0.0125 Among the three, $PONS is currently the setup I find most interesting from a risk-to-reward perspective. If the market gives another suitable opportunity, I may consider increasing that short over time. Current unrealized P&L: $PONS: +14,395U $LAB: +145,978U $RIVER: +125,821U That puts the combined floating profit at roughly 286K U. I may also add some exposure to the $RIVER short later, but there’s no need to rush into another entry. I’ve already closed three previous profitable positions and s#BTC spot ETF has had nearly $3 billion net inflow over 7 consecutive days
I am the mid-term intelligence guy.
$BTC returned near 85,000, but the ETF has been pouring in nearly $3 billion over 7 days — this is not retail frenzy, but institutions slowly replenishing their base positions.
The price hasn't broken through 85,000-86,500 in one go, indicating that profit-taking and trapped positions above are still being released. The capital side is strong, but the price side is hesitant — a typical "buying support without confirmed trend."
Mid-term, I am bullish but not overly so: ETFs have turned from net outflow to inflow this year, the structure has changed; however, the daily inflow slope is declining. If the inflow stops after the weekend on Monday, the market may easily retest 82,000-83,000 to shake out traders.
The strategy is simple: hold the base positions, as long as ETFs keep flowing in and the weekly line doesn't break 80,000, the mid-term trend will continue.
Don't get dazzled by the "$3 billion" figure; the money is slow money, so let's use slow logic to make money.
$ETH
$ZEC
#US long-term Treasury yields continue to rise, financing pressure intensifies $SOL continues to lean bullish, with $4.82 million worth of short positions liquidated in 24 hours. A significant portion of this +1.61% price increase was driven by shorts being forced to cover. Both sides took hits, but the impact was asymmetrical: long positions were numerous but smaller in size, representing scattered low-level leverage being washed out; short positions were fewer but larger per trade, with the most heavily leveraged shorts being squeezed out. After the washout, the leverage on the short side above is noticeably lighter, and the price remains in the upper half of the volatility range without giving back the gains. Trading volume clearly exceeds open interest, indicating active turnover and redistribution of chips rather than a one-sided leverage-driven pump. Minor changes in the ratio of large to retail holders and the slightly positive funding rate serve only as background and do not affect the judgment. Next, watch if the previous high at 124.99 can be retaken. With fewer shorts blocking the way above, this move is more likely to succeed. The condition to turn bearish: if the price falls back below 119.99, it indicates that the short-covering buying pressure cannot hold, and the bullish bias is invalidated. There are rumors that GIWA is a fake chain that ran off with funds, and the community is saying 760E was taken.
There are 22 posts on X discussing this, with 68,000 views, and it has fermented within half an hour.
I haven't verified the truth yet—this kind of sudden news relies on speed of information first, not waiting for solid proof. I'll dig into the on-chain data and post follow-ups when I have conclusions.
To be honest: before interacting with small projects, first check audits, lock-up status, and team background. Don't wait until they run off to regret digging through chat logs.
If you have put money into GIWA, please share your situation in the comments.
#BTC #ETH I analyzed the top three traders on OKX.
① Benson｜Low-frequency contrarian
1-2 trades per week, sometimes no positions for two to three weeks. Does not chase rallies, does not add to losing positions. Suitable for those who can wait.
② Effy-zhuang｜$BTC fixed capital
Mainly trades BTC contracts, single trade risk about 12%. Win rate 54%, profit-loss ratio 1.37. Follow for more than six months, fixed capital, follow take profit and stop loss.
③ Boss Shi｜Steady compounding
Nine years of live trading, ranked first on the OKX Planet 365-day profit leaderboard. Does not rely on huge profits, relies on not losing. Suitable for those who want to follow long-term.
Three people, three personalities: one waits, one guards, one endures.
Copy trading is not about finding the "strongest," but finding the one whose rhythm matches yours best.
#星球日报 #OKX星球话题来啦 While the US sanctions Iran's crypto channels, it is simultaneously pushing an overseas stablecoin plan.
A typical case of allowing officials to set fires but forbidding common people to light lamps.
Last week, the US Treasury added Iran's BitBank to the sanctions list, accusing it of assisting in transferring hundreds of millions of dollars in Bitcoin. This week, the Trump administration began discussing how to promote the use of the US dollar stablecoin overseas, involving the Treasury, State Department, and the International Development Finance Corporation.
Using stablecoins for cross-border payments: when Iran does it, it's evading sanctions; when the US does it, it's called "expanding the channels for US dollar usage" and is a national strategy.
But the really interesting part is another layer: Tether currently holds $114.96 billion in US Treasury bonds, more than many countries' central banks. If overseas stablecoins really take off, Tether and Circle will become some of the largest new buyers of US debt.
US debt is already $36.5 trillion, with the G7's annual interest payments at $3.3 trillion, exceeding the total global investment in AI, defense, and clean energy. Where does the money come from? Borrowing. Previously, it was the Bank of Japan and the People's Bank of China buying; now it's Tether and Circle.
So on the surface, this is a payment tool, but in reality, it's finding new buyers for the $36.5 trillion debt. Every person using USDT overseas is indirectly buying US Treasury bonds.
The real driver of global adoption has never been Iran, but the US itself.
What do you think about the US dollar stablecoin going overseas—is it a payment revolution or debt shifting?
#特朗普政府拟推海外稳定币计划 $BTC $ETH $ZEC $UNI has already reached around 10 dollars, $NEAR continues to hold steady near 5 dollars, $ZEC is oscillating at a high level while still maintaining around 1,600 dollars, and $HYPE is also approaching the 100-dollar mark.
Many people are still asking: "When will the altseason finally arrive?"
In fact, capital rotation may not wait for a unified "altseason" signal. Currently, it looks more like strong sectors are performing first, with market funds switching between different narratives.
Key points to watch next:
📌 Whether BTC can maintain strength and leave room for the altcoin market
📌 Whether ETH can continue to attract capital inflows
📌 Whether these strong coins UNI, NEAR, ZEC, and HYPE can hold key positions
📌 Whether altcoin trading volume will further expand
If strong coins continue to hit new highs and more mainstream altcoins start to follow, market breadth may truly expand.
So, rather than waiting for an "official altseason announcement," it's better to closely watch changes in capital and trading volume.👀
#DailyOrbit #BTC #ETH #UNI #NEAR #ZEC #HYPE #AltcoinsLianchuang claims to be undervalued while actually burning the supply.
Polygon co-founder Sandeep stated that the POL community has recently accumulated and permanently burned about 100 million POL on-chain revenue, accounting for about 1% of the total supply; an additional approximately 25 million POL will be burned and is still accumulating. The same source also mentioned: Polymarket has launched perpetual contracts on Polygon; subsequently, confirmation time can be pushed to about 1 millisecond through block streams; OMS will soon enable the network to handle about 1 million new transactions per day. (Odaily/ChainCatcher/TechFlow 9/27; burned ≠ additionally completed, target confirmation ≠ launched, processing capacity ≠ coin price; OKX POL about 0.1204) The above is compiled from public information and is not investment advice.
$POL #特朗普拒绝伊朗7天方案，霍尔木兹重开受阻
Trump rejects Iran's 7-day plan, blocking the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz
Trump's rejection of the 7-day plan is tantamount to personally confirming that the sequence of "lifting the blockade first, then reopening" is off the table. The Strait's reopening has no short-term solution.
Trump clearly stated that Iran's 7-day plan is "not enough," and the U.S. will not lift the maritime blockade first. Iran previously conveyed through Qatar and Pakistan: reopening the Strait within 7 days in exchange for the U.S. lifting the blockade. Trump's position is "open first, then negotiate," with no preconditions.
Iranian Parliament Speaker Kalibaf responded: the Strait will not reopen before the U.S. fulfills its obligations. Both sides have completely opposing stances on "who moves first."
In reality, only 12 bulk commodity ships passed through the Strait on September 19-20, a sharp drop of 66% from 35 ships the previous week, far below the pre-war daily average of 125 ships. Brent crude has returned above $100.
The negotiation sequence is a deadlock. Watch two signals — whether the daily traffic through the Strait can return to over 20 ships, and whether the U.S. adjusts its "open first" stance. Without either, the risk premium on oil prices will not truly dissipate. A failed ceasefire negotiation can easily trigger a wave of safe-haven buying, and that’s usually the first reaction traders focus on. But gold is facing another force at the same time. If the conflict pushes crude oil sharply higher, inflation expectations can rise again. That could reduce expectations for near-term rate cuts, while stronger Treasury yields and a firmer dollar may create additional pressure on gold. So there are two competing narratives: 🟡 Geopolitical risk → safe-haven demand#SOL continues its upward momentum, with capital and on-chain demand resonating. The SOL spot ETF recorded a net inflow of $188 million in a single week, marking the second-largest weekly inflow in history. Market opinions are polarized: bullish sentiment is high, with all 7 ETFs seeing capital inflows, Bitwise alone absorbing $128 million. Many believe institutions are aggressively accumulating and even optimistic about SOL challenging ETH's position.
Bears remain cautious, referencing past BTC spot ETF data, where over half of such funds were hedge fund short-term arbitrage capital, moving in and out quickly. Meanwhile, SOL has doubled in price from $60 to $120; ETF capital inflows are lagging signals, not leading indicators of the market, making it easy for retail investors to enter on positive news while institutions take the opportunity to cash out.
The key point: ETF capital inflows and SOL price increases are not absolutely linked. ETH ETFs have also seen continuous capital inflows, yet the coin price still corrected. ETFs are essentially compliant investment channels and do not represent long-term institutional bullishness.
Of course, there are fundamental highlights: the Alpenglow upgrade will ultimately reduce confirmation time to 150 milliseconds, the Firedancer client is about to launch, the MEME sector remains active, and on-chain revenue leads Ethereum. But these positives have mostly been priced in by the market. Currently near $120, resistance is at $130 above, and key support is at $100 below; the RSI indicator is approaching the overbought zone, likely choosing direction within a week.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC 📊 Monthly Performance Review
The month is about to end, so I’m sharing the account performance during this period. From the 7th to the 27th, over 20 days, I turned 30U into 400U, a 1200% return.
I usually trade BTC, ETH, and ZEC, occasionally trading altcoins that follow the broader market on weekends, which tend to be more volatile than the major coins. The trading rhythm was steady for the first few weeks until the 22nd, when I impulsively opened a position on SanDisk.
I had little prior experience with this type of asset and underestimated its volatility, placing two short orders. At 9:30 PM, the market suddenly surged nearly 200 points, shooting up to 1900, causing an instant unrealized loss of 400U. I was completely stunned.
This big loss wiped out most of my profits and served as a profound lesson. You must never underestimate unfamiliar assets in trading; no matter how favorable the market, risk control cannot be relaxed. I will continue to learn and maintain a steady pace.
⚠️ This is only a personal trading review and does not constitute investment advice. Market volatility carries high risk.
#BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 Bitcoin's "temperature" isn't just about price ups and downs, but more about where the money is flowing
Many people check the market daily, getting excited when prices rise and anxious when they fall. Price fluctuations are like body temperature, rising and falling, driving emotions.
But what really matters is: are the big funds still flowing in?
The answer is: yes, and they're flowing in solidly.
The US Bitcoin spot ETF has seen net inflows for 7 consecutive trading days, totaling nearly $3 billion, setting a new single-week record this year. This isn't retail investors jumping on the bandwagon; institutions are steadily building positions. Bitcoin is moving from exchange hot wallets into fund custody accounts—the chips are relocating, from hands chasing quick gains and losses to hands intending to hold long-term.
Institutions buying coins aren't aiming to exit right after a price surge tomorrow. They treat it as an alternative asset for portfolio allocation. So when prices drop, the bottom isn't empty—someone is supporting it.
But don't get it wrong: institutional entry doesn't mean a bull market starts immediately. They're not short-term traders who rush in after a big bullish candle. Besides, with US Treasury yields where they are, cash earns interest just by sitting there; funds can't all flood into crypto.
Bitcoin remains the anchor of the entire market. Watching it means not only watching price changes but also seeing who the chips are concentrating in. The temperature can fluctuate, but don't let it make decisions for you.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 Turns out, that was one expensive assumption. $SNDK is now around 1,774. I opened my short near 1,538 and somehow kept holding it all the way here. When price dropped to 1,743 last night, I thought the position might finally get some breathing room. Instead, buyers stepped right back in and pushed it to 1,774. At this point, it feels like the chart has a personal grudge against my margin. $KMNO has been even more brutal. It jumped roughly 18% in a single day, moving from around 0.02 toward 0.05.Family! I went all in short on $WLD!!
Going full position short on $WLD!!
It’s risen so much, I don’t believe you can push it higher!
I just entered the short and I’m already at an unrealized loss.
This market really doesn’t let the bears catch a breath.
$WLD is now around 0.572.
It’s up more than 5 points today.
The highest has already touched 0.5889.
These past two days have been really fierce.
Earlier around 0.4 it was dragging slowly.
Then suddenly two big bullish candles shot it up.
Now it’s not far from 0.6.
But precisely because of this,
I’m getting less and less inclined to chase longs.
The short-term rise is too fast.
Around 0.59–0.60 above,
I’m watching to see if it can hold firm.
If it really stabilizes at 0.6,
that means this wave isn’t over yet.
But if it tries a few times and can’t break through,
I’ll wait for it to leak down on its own.
Once this kind of accelerated move pulls back,
the speed usually won’t be slow.
Looking at $ETH again,
my 100x short is still suffering.
Opened near 2695,
now marked at 2707.
Unrealized loss is already over 1300 U.
The worst part is,
liquidation is near 2726.
That distance is really small now.
So I definitely can’t play dead on ETH.
If it pushes higher,
I have to manage it.
100x leverage’s biggest fear is
to get the direction right in the end
but lose the position first.
$ZEC finally calmed down tonight.
Now around 1647.
It’s slightly green today.
The highest was still 1695.5.
It climbed from a few hundred to over 1600.
Up more than 100% in 30 days.
Over 500% in 180 days.
As long as 1700 keeps holding as resistance here,
I’m increasingly wanting to see a decent pullback.
Also $NEAR,
now around 5.23.
Up about 4 points today.
Highest at 5.495.
This wave also accelerated straight up.
After rising here,
I’m actually not concerned about how much more it can go up.
I just want to see if 5.5 can truly hold.
If it can’t hold,
those who chased in above
will likely panic and run together.
So my current thinking is simple:
WLD watching 0.59–0.60,
NEAR watching 5.5,
ZEC continuing to watch 1700,
ETH I’ll protect my position first.
The bulls really had a good run earlier,
pushing prices like there’s no cost.
But the market can’t go only one way forever.
Now I’m just waiting to see who cracks first,
especially $WLD.
Just entered short and already unrealized loss, huh?
Fine.
Keep pushing it up.
I want to see how many people dare to catch above 0.6!!
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温
#BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 Evening Crypto Market Check: ETH/BTC About to Switch Market Mainline
Evening key review of ETH/BTC exchange rate, the current chart has formed a structure completely different from BTC, and the market style may be about to change.
ETH/BTC has officially broken through the long-term downward trendline, completing a key structural breakout.
The current market has completed two key moves:
✅ Effective breakthrough of the long-term downtrend line
✅ The breakout position has completed a pullback confirmation, the structure is very standard
The only core focus for the whole market next: 0.0355
Once ETH/BTC can firmly hold and reclaim the 0.0355 level, the market's relative strength narrative will completely rotate. Funds will gradually flow back from pure BTC safe-haven to ETH and the entire altcoin sector, potentially triggering an altcoin spring.
Remember one core trading logic:
A breakout is not a true breakout; the buying power that can hold the breakout is the real signal of a trend reversal.
Now patiently wait for the key level to set the direction, hold above 0.0355, then follow the momentum to be bullish on small and mid-cap coins!
#ETH #BTC #CryptoMarket #EveningReview #山寨永续未平仓量21个月来首次超过BTC Folks, let's put these three coins together and chat.
BTC is currently hovering around a high level, moving back and forth without going up or down, fluctuating moderately within 24 hours. The highest touched 85137, the lowest retraced to 83764, with just over a 1% increase. This is the current state of the market; the overall trend looks okay, but the upward momentum is clearly a bit weak. Around the previous high, there's a lot of trapped positions waiting, so it's not easy to break through in one go.
ETH is even more laid-back, following right behind BTC, moving sluggishly around 2700, with far less explosive power compared to hot coins like ZEC. If BTC doesn't move, ETH finds it hard to have an independent big rally; it's a typical follower, not a leader.
Now let's talk about the hottest $ZEC. After hitting a high of 1695 today, it started to pull back, now around 1640. This privacy narrative has heated it up tremendously, with many people making big profits. But we need to be clear-headed: after such a big rise, many big holders have already started cashing out profits. The big bullish candles look tempting, but once the hype fades, the drop could be so fast you won't react in time.
The market is very clearly divided now: mainstream coins are stable, while hot coins are skyrocketing. This situation easily messes with people's mindset. Seeing ZEC surge, they get impatient with BTC and ETH's slow rise and rush into hot coins. But the risks of hot coins are also obvious. 🔥The positive news has been fully realized! HYPE is unlocking a mountain of tokens overhead, and high-level risk is about to erupt!
My view is very clear: HYPE is now in a high-risk phase after all the good news has been priced in!
After reaching a historical high, the hype has cooled down. The positive news of Binance listing the spot market has been completely realized, and a large whale unlocking and selling pressure is imminent.
The current high-level consolidation is a selling window for those who entered earlier. Don’t catch a falling knife!
HYPE is currently fluctuating around 92.
On September 23, it surged to a historical high of 97.96, then retraced 6%.
The weekly chart shows only a slight drop of 0.66%, appearing stable sideways, but in reality, it’s a high-level bull trap digestion.
The news of Binance spot listing on September 24 was already hyped up in advance.
The biggest looming risk overhead is the concentrated unlocking of five wallets on October 1.
980,000 tokens worth nearly $90 million will soon be circulating and could be dumped by whales.
The short-term selling pressure is clearly visible on the chart, and bulls don’t have enough new volume to resist it.
Even with top-ranked protocol revenue and buyback logic supporting the price, it can’t stop the whales from cashing out.
Previously, the dip to 90.48 was supported by buy orders, but that was only short-term support, not a signal for a new rally.
The first intraday support is between 90.5-89, with strong support below at 87-89.
Resistance is heavy above, with the first hurdle at 93.7, and then 96-98 is a strong resistance zone near the historical high.
Keep a clear mind over the next seven days; don’t be misled by the idea that "a pullback is an opportunity."
Before the unlocking event, the price will likely be stuck in the 89-94 range.
This consolidation is not a buildup for a rally but a time window for whales to wait and sell in batches after unlocking.
Even if it briefly drops to 87-89, don’t easily treat it as a buying opportunity to bottom fish.
The buyback fundamentals are unlikely to fully absorb this large unlocking selling pressure.
Only a strong breakout above 96 with volume can qualify for a renewed challenge of the previous high at 98, which is very difficult.
Intraday volatility range: 89.5-94, with short-term stop-loss defense at 88.5.
Trading insight:
All short-term rallies fueled by positive news being realized mark the beginning of risk.
Don’t be obsessed with past strength; for high-level coins with unlocking overhead, every rebound could be an exit opportunity.Sunday and $BTC still won’t stop climbing. 😩
I should’ve closed the short on Friday. Now 84K is holding, 85K is back in sight, and $ETH is pushing 2720.
If $BTC breaks 85.2K, I may have to cut the short. Weekend trading is testing my patience.
#USTYieldsPressure #MicronEarningsAhead #TrumpOverseasStablecoins An asset that, according to the script of financial history, should have gone to zero has survived for more than a decade. This fact alone deserves serious attention, rather than being dismissed with a single word like "luck." Structurally, DOGE does indeed resemble a Ponzi scheme: no cash flow, no anchored assets, and its price depends on newcomers. But it does not possess any of the three cornerstones of a Ponzi scheme—Ponzi schemes promise fixed returns, DOGE has never promised any returns; Ponzi schemes rely on opaque funds pools, DOGE’s issuance rules are written openly in the blockchain code; Ponzi schemes have centralized operators who abscond with funds, DOGE’s founders have long since sold out and left. Without promises, there can be no default; without redemption obligations, there is no run on the asset. The fact that it hasn’t collapsed indicates that the inference "no fundamentals means inevitable zero" misses a variable: consensus itself can become a fundamental. Over more than ten years, DOGE has built brand recognition, an active community, and real payment use cases. Elon Musk’s businesses have repeatedly enabled DOGE payments, allowing it to grow from a joke into a network effect. Ponzi schemes collapse because their promises ultimately cannot be fulfilled; DOGE makes no promises, and its value is determined solely by "how many people are willing to hold and use it"—and this curve has not broken to this day. Therefore, $DOGE is not a counterexample to Ponzi’s law but rather defines its boundaries: the game of passing the parcel will stop, but consensus assets with open rules, no redemption obligations, and real use cases are outside its jurisdiction. The longer it lives, the more it shows that the market is pricing "consensus" as a new type of fundamental.Altcoins are surging collectively! Don't be fooled by the widespread wealth boom, here's how to distinguish real from fake altcoin seasons
Seeing 93 of the top 100 coins rising, are you tempted to go all in? Hold on! BTC dominance still stays above 58%, the market funds haven't fully switched to risk-on yet!
💥 Retail investor pitfall avoidance guide:
1. ⚠️ Distinguish rotation from bull market: Under fixed capital competition, funds might pump public chains today and DeFi tomorrow; chasing highs can easily mean buying at rotation peaks.
2. 🎯 Focus on leading coins with catalysts: Choose targets with real fundamentals like ecosystem TVL breakthroughs, incentive plans (e.g., NEAR, SUI), and reject baseless air coins.
3. 🛡️ Keep a close eye on BTC's mood: As long as BTC dominance doesn't show a downward trend, altcoins may face double the bleeding risk during Bitcoin corrections.
💡 Trading advice: Stay rational, avoid blind chasing, control position sizes, and prepare to take profits in batches!
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 $ZEC keeps squeezing the shorts. From 1295 to 1660 in just five days—nearly +30%.
Crowded shorts, strong buying, and shrinking supply are making the squeeze brutal. My 868.79 short is still underwater. 😭
Lesson learned: don’t fight momentum blindly. Manage risk and respect your stop.
$ZEC $BTC $ETH
#BTCETF7DayInflows3B #USTYieldsPressure #MicronEarningsAhead Solana is back around $120.
That's an important area to watch after SOL recovered strongly from the lower levels seen earlier this month.
But I'm less interested in whether SOL touches $120.
I'm interested in whether it can BUILD above it.
There's a difference between:
Breaking a level
and
Establishing a new range above it.
The second one tells us much more.NFTs are finding their new role—not as avatars, but as "credentials."
The logic is clear: assets like stocks, RWA, and stablecoins moving onto the blockchain require a whole new infrastructure.
Tokens solve the problem of "how much it's worth," but they can't solve "who has the rights, who can enter, and which circle it belongs to."
These three things happen to be NFTs' traditional strength.
Therefore, the hybrid structure of NFT + fungible tokens is being reconsidered:
An asset is split into a tradable part and a credential representing identity or permissions; the former determines pricing, the latter controls access.
The last wave of NFTs died from speculation, but this time they might come back in a more boring, practical way—serving as the component responsible for permissions in financial assets.Live trading is hilarious! Big coins BTC and ETH earn steady profits, while ZEC's heavy strike backfires and gets controlled
Honestly, today's market really made me laugh!
The greenhorn is timid on mainstream BTC and ETH, not daring to make big moves. It tries to strike hard on the altcoin ZEC to chase big gains, but ends up being harshly taught a lesson by the market.
Mainstream stable short positions steadily make profits, but ZEC just grinds in place, profits almost zero, the difference is obvious to the naked eye!
Real live trading data from the whole network attached:
✅ ETH 75x isolated margin short
Entry 2782 | Current price 2768
Position 20 | Floating profit +277U
✅ BTC 100x isolated margin short
Entry 87124 | Current price 86868
Position 2 | Floating profit +513U
✅ BTC 100x cross margin short
Entry 86935 | Current price 86868
Position 3 | Floating profit +220U
❌ ZEC 50x cross margin short
Entry 1613 | Current price 1613
Position 11 | Floating profit only +5U
Have to say: altcoins look full of opportunities but are actually the biggest traps.
Play it safe with mainstream coins for stable profits; blindly rushing to strike hard on altcoins will only get you mercilessly controlled by the market!
#LiveTrading #BTC #ETH #ZEC #CryptoMarket #DigitalAssetComplianceAttention If we view the Trump family's business empire as a map, then young Trump is moving toward an increasingly special position: on one side is political influence, on the other is venture capital, prediction markets, and tech companies. A key link connecting the two is 1789 Capital. Before Trump re-won the 2024 presidential election, 1789 Capital managed about $150 million in funds. Now, this investment firm, founded in 2022, manages over $4 billion in assets and is raising about $3 billion for a second growth fund, of which about $2 billion reportedly comes from existing investors. In less than two years, 1789 completed an extremely rapid expansion. One of the most closely watched variables is: after the 2024 election, Trump's eldest son Donald Trump Jr. joined 1789 Capital. From Trump's campaign support to becoming a partner at an investment institution Little Trump did not enter politics only in 2024. Since 2016, he has frequently represented his father in campaign events and gradually became an important political figure in Trump's camp. By the 2024 presidential election, he not only participated in the campaign but also actively promoted his father's choice of JD Vance as the vice presidential candidate. After Trump's victory, young Trump did not enter government office but chose to enter the capital market. In November 2024, he announced his joining 1789 Capital as a partner"ETF Funds Turn Around, Another Signal for Bitcoin"
In July, the US spot Bitcoin ETF was still overshadowed by a net outflow of about $5.8 billion; now, the tide has turned — a net inflow of about $800 million. This is not a minor adjustment but a clear portfolio rebalancing.
Price naturally steals the spotlight. Rises, falls, breakouts, pullbacks are always the easiest to discuss. But capital flow speaks a different language: it is quiet yet records true allocation intentions. From outflow to inflow, it indicates that some funds are willing to take on risk again and may also mean that earlier panic selling has marginally weakened.
However, an $800 million net inflow is not enough to declare a trend reversal. It is more like an observation window: if inflows continue, prices get support; if it is just a brief return, the market may still fluctuate. Headlines talk about sentiment, capital talks about action. I am watching how the two verify each other.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 A series of moves fierce as a tiger, but then I see my account is just 250.
The little I earned from $PLTR can't even cover a fraction of $SOXS.
I originally wanted to hedge, but it turned into a "double hit."
The position in SOXS is really awkward—cutting losses risks a rebound, not cutting risks going to zero.
The crypto world cures all kinds of dissatisfaction.125 is sentiment, 120 is stance.
$SOL trend is bullish; do not short unless it breaks 120.
120 has been a major threshold since January and is the watershed of this structural phase.
After ETF inflows, short covering, and Alpenglow expectations piled up, the market repriced.
If it breaks 120, shorts must first face covering; if 120 doesn't hold, bulls need to give way.
Treating 125 as "time to short" mistakes excitement for a turning point.
It's understandable to want to short, but it's not yet the main logic:
▶️ Price doubled quickly from the June low;
▶️ Leverage has increased; after a false breakout, a pullback to 118 or 112 is a common scenario;
▶️ Upgrades are still on testnet, mainnet not launched, so positive catalysts remain to be realized.
So shorting directly at 125 means
short-term gains of a few dollars on pullbacks but losses if the trend extends further, resulting in a poor risk-reward ratio.
Bulls currently dominate, not by slogans but because the structure remains intact:
1️⃣ The US spot SOL ETF still has net inflows; staking products indicate institutions buy for price plus yield;
2️⃣ After reclaiming 120, previous resistance is turning into support;
3️⃣ Narratives like high throughput, settlement, and RWA have not been disproven.
The trend continues, so don't use tactical shorts to fight strategic longs.
In terms of operations,
watch if the daily candle closes below 120;
before that, near 125, at most reduce longs or hedge, do not make shorting the main play.
#BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 Long-end yields are doing more than tightening financial conditions: they are raising the hurdle rate for every asset priced on distant cash flows.
Treasury buybacks may improve market plumbing, but they do not erase inflation, Fed-policy, or fiscal concerns. With mortgages above 7%, valuation pressure can persist even without a fresh shock.
#USTYieldsPressure Comparing the statements released by both sides after the China-US summit regarding the summit: 1. There are no obvious contradictions in either version. Clearly, the two sides have reached a high probability of consensus on the framework, but their main points differ. 2. What both sides have jointly agreed on is a new diplomatic relationship: a $30 billion economic and trade arrangement, economic and trade mechanisms, AI/SI dialogue, AI incident communication, Iran nuclear-free, free international waterways, mutual support between the G20 and APEC, and anti-drug cooperation #美债长端利率持续攀升. Rising financing pressures. 3. China emphasizes the Taiwan issue, cooperation rather than full-scale confrontation, with cooperation as the main focus, competition is blocked, disagreements are controllable, and communication of military crises reduces the risk of military friction between Taiwan and the South China Sea. 4. The U.S. side emphasizes rare earth supplies, market access for U.S. goods, fentanyl precursors, U.S. military presence in the Indo-Pacific, and trilateral arms control in various amounts. 5. The differences between the two versions: a. The Chinese side highlights the Taiwan issue, while the US does not mention Taiwan in the list. b. The US version highlights that the rare earth issue remains unresolved, and China did not include rare earths as a result of the talks. c. The US disclosed more details of the economic and trade agreement, especially highlighting one point: China will import at least 10 million tons of US media annually in 2027 and 2028. D. Both sides acknowledge the fentanyl issue, but the US side takes a tougher stance. e. Regarding the South China Sea issue, both sides choose to remain silent. Summary: By comparing the versions from both sides, many people previously believed that China and the US are entering a honeymoon period is correctFuel again! ETH liquidations reached $13.1 million in 24 hours, with shorts accounting for 63%, $92.52 million wiped out, yet the price firmly stands at $2,709.
As of September 27, ETH is priced at $2,709, up 0.84% in 24 hours. In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation amount of the top 20 crypto assets reached $92.52 million, with short liquidations at $57.3 million, accounting for 61.93%. Ethereum alone liquidated $13.1 million, with shorts making up 63%—another batch of shorts was taken out.
Whales "clearing out" to take profits. A whale/institution holding ETH for 3 years transferred 30,825 ETH ($83.03 million) to Bitfinex 9 hours ago, with a weekly total sale of 112,053 ETH ($300 million), realizing profits of $72.83 million. This address built a position of 130,000 ETH in 2023 at an average price of $2,026 and is now suspected to be close to fully clearing out.
ETF funds continue to provide support. Ethereum spot ETFs saw a total net inflow of $216 million yesterday, with BlackRock's ETHA leading single-day net inflows at $149 million, and Bitwise ETHW net inflows of $29.08 million. The current total net asset value of ETFs is $16.305 billion, with a historical cumulative net inflow of $13.39 billion.
#BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 $ETH Just saw an address on-chain, quite interesting.
In three weeks, 9,158 ETH, 24.34 million USD. Not bought all at once, but added a bit each time ETH dropped. Average price 2658, currently floating profit of 360,000.
This operation itself is not unusual. What’s unusual is the timing.
What was ETH’s trend in the past three weeks? It dropped from 2800 straight down to 2400, and the group chat was full of “It will go back to 1500,” “ETH is done.” Most people either chased longs at 2800 and got stuck, or panicked sold at 2400. What was he doing? Buying every time it dropped.
He’s not bottom fishing; he’s building a position. Bottom fishers focus on a lowest point and won’t move if they don’t get it. Position builders don’t guess the lowest point, they just make sure they’re in. A drop is an opportunity, a rise doesn’t cause panic. After three weeks, the average price is 2658—not the lowest, but cheap enough.
The most painful part of this is—he’s not doing any sophisticated operation. No insider info, no leverage, no perfectly timed top or bottom. Just buy when it drops, hold when bought. But this “simple” thing, retail investors can’t do. Because retail thinks, “What if it drops to 2000?” “What if it drops further?” He’s not fearless, he just turned fear into position size.
What about you? Would you dare to add on every drop like this? $BTC $ETH Next week's calendar is not a calendar.
It's a list of torture devices.😇
PCE and Nonfarm Payrolls,
one controls inflation,
the other controls employment,
together they hit the crypto circle hard.
Wednesday: PCE + final GDP.
Friday: Nonfarm Payrolls + unemployment rate + hourly wages.
Hot data,
higher interest rates last longer,
BTC/ETH get beaten.
Cold data,
a slight rebound opens,
but don't get too happy too soon.
Fed officials take turns chanting.
Goolsbee, Williams, Kashkari...
One hawkish word, K-line dives;
One dovish word, bears curse.
Sensitivity maxed out,
a pure emotional roller coaster.
Sunday OPEC + more drama.
Production increase, oil price drops, good news.
Production cut, energy pressure mounts, market dips.
Oil bosses are the hidden market makers.
Summary:
Data week, don't bet on one side.
Wait for PCE and Nonfarm to land,
follow the signals.
Hold your hands,
survive,
then you qualify to feast.
$BTC $ETH
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温
#BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 ADA, SUI, OP: The public chain market is not about who rises fastest, but about who has new narratives.
ADA: The core is technological upgrades + governance. Leios, ZK, scaling, and on-chain governance continue to advance, with market focus shifting from "established public chains" to whether the future ecosystem can regain growth.
SUI: A representative high-performance L1, with logic leaning more towards DeFi, payments, stablecoins, and institutional finance. The ecosystem applications are continuously expanding; what truly deserves observation is whether capital and users can sustainably accumulate.
OP: The core remains Ethereum scaling, but the narrative is extending from pure L2 to Superchain, institutional chains, stablecoins, and asset tokenization.
The three have different logics:
ADA = Technology and governance
SUI = Performance and applications
OP = Ethereum scaling and institutional finance
If capital continues to rotate from Meme to public chains, the upcoming market competition will not only be about hype but about real users, capital, applications, and ecosystem growth.
The true mainline of the altcoin season is often hidden in "value reassessment."
For research and communication purposes only, not investment advice. #BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元
✨Many people get emotionally swayed by BTC's price swings—happy when it rises, anxious when it falls. But this easily disrupts your rhythm.
Instead of fixating on price movements, I now prefer to watch where the funds are flowing. If institutions keep accumulating, the market has a solid foundation; once the funds stop, the market struggles to withstand selling pressure.
Recently, BTC spot ETF funds have been continuously flowing in, with new inflows for seven consecutive days. This week's inflow marks the best single-week data this year. A large amount of coins are leaving exchanges and are slowly being absorbed by funds.
Institutions buying these are holding them long-term in their asset portfolios, not just entering for a quick short-term profit. So every time the price dips, you can see strong support.
However, don’t misunderstand—fund inflows don’t mean an immediate explosive rally. With U.S. Treasury yields attractive, many funds prefer stable interest there rather than rushing entirely into crypto.
To truly understand BTC, you can’t just stare at candlestick charts guessing price moves. The flow of funds is the signal you must not miss. Isn't this a typical case of "ineffective hedging"? 😂
$LQTY happily gained 9%, feeling proud of my sharp eye; then I looked at $GRASS, and it hit me with over 40%! This isn't shorting, it's like handing bullets to the GRASS whales.
The market is so wild right now. LQTY's movement is relatively normal, but this new coin GRASS is totally a trap machine. Shorting it with 10x leverage is really like licking blood on a knife's edge.
Can any experienced traders analyze if GRASS can still hold at this position? Or should I take profits from LQTY to cover the losses on GRASS? This operation is messing with my mindset, I won't be able to sleep tonight again... 🚬