Orbit Post Sitemap
SOL and DOGE are both jumping up and down; in this rebound, one is an opportunity, the other a trap
#ThisWeekFOMCReveal, will the rate hike land?
Both have high volatility and rebound quickly, SOL and DOGE look like two brothers, but their fundamentals and strategies are completely opposite. Getting them mixed up easily leads to falling into traps.
This afternoon the market had a V-shaped recovery, and both followed the pullback, the difference is whether there is support behind them.
$SOL is high beta but has an ecosystem and fundamentals. This drop follows risk appetite killing valuations. Once the market stabilizes, it rebounds strongly, standing back at 100 to 102 with volume, representing a "rebound opportunity from a drop." You can take a small position following it, but must strictly set a stop loss at 100; if it breaks, exit. $DOGE is pure sentiment meme, with no fundamental support; its rebound relies entirely on sentiment and temporary capital enthusiasm. It rebounds sharply and retreats even faster. During double pressure periods, such rebounds are mostly windows for trapped holders to reduce positions. Chasing it is a trap.
If risk appetite continues to warm up, SOL will have volume to continue, while DOGE will only pulse briefly; if sentiment cools again, DOGE will turn red first, while SOL will resist relatively due to its ecosystem. In high volatility, drops with roots offer opportunities, rebounds without roots become traps. Don't mistake sentiment pulses for trend beginnings.U.S. stock funds saw a net outflow of $32.27 billion in a single week, oil prices broke $100, and Fed rate hike expectations rose to about 86%, with the market clearly reducing risk.
But during the same period, Nasdaq Ventures invested $100 million in Payward, the parent company of Kraken, continuing to advance Nasdaq Equity Tokens; OKX also added 20 tokenized stock spot trading pairs and expanded related asset support to 90.
The conflict is therefore very clear: institutions are withdrawing some risk positions but have not stopped building on-chain financial infrastructure.
This means that "price pressure on coins" and "long-term adoption of tokenization" can coexist.
The next real thing to verify is trading volume, liquidity, and regulatory implementation, rather than just looking at BTC's short-term price fluctuations.BTC's resilience looks defensive, not like a broad risk-on move. It is up 0.45% while ETH and SOL slip, which gives me little reason to call this market-wide strength.
My read: selective demand for BTC, with broader conviction still missing.
Not advice, just analysis.#特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近
Trump agrees to 80% of the new ethics rules, which looks like a concession, but the remaining 20% is exactly the part the Democrats want most. So Polymarket's probability only rose from 12% back to 30%, with the market saying — what you conceded is not what they want.
The basis is very specific. On September 14, Senate Republicans released the final text with 126 amendments. Trump accepted about 80% of the Tillis-Gallego proposal, including public officials divesting "substantial" crypto holdings or transferring them to blind trusts, and joint enforcement by state attorneys general and the Department of Justice — which the White House had previously opposed. But details that Democrats care most about, such as how enforcement powers are divided, whether the sunset clause is extended, and the "circuit breaker" for stablecoin yields left to the discretion of Bassett — none of these were agreed upon. Seven Democratic negotiators had already publicly opposed it.
The voting threshold remains unchanged. On September 15 at 2:15 PM, there will be a procedural vote with a 60-vote threshold. Republicans hold 53 seats, so at least 7 Democrats are needed. As of last Friday, the votes had not yet been secured.
Meaning for the crypto market: The probability rose from 12% back to 30%, reflecting "at least a step forward," not "it's going to happen." The direction is right, but don't treat 30% as a pricing anchor.$BTC / $ETH / $SOL L
You can’t judge the entire crypto market from one chart.
Bitcoin gives a sense of overall market strength. Ethereum shows ecosystem development and innovation, while Solana often reflects higher-risk setups and changing trader sentiment.
The real edge isn’t guessing which asset will move first. It’s watching how liquidity rotates between these major networks and identifying where confidence, activity, and capital are moving as market conditions change.
#DailyOrbit Mid-term intelligence just caught a core piece of info, gotta share it with you all!
BTC and ETH exchange inventories are rapidly diverging.
Data speaks: $BTC supply on exchanges remains steady at 16.5%, but $ETH has dropped below 12.7%, nearly a 4-point difference.
What’s the signal? BTC supply is as stable as ever, while ETH is continuously flowing out of CEX. This shows big holders are withdrawing ETH to self-custody, and ETH’s liquidity supply is undergoing structural tightening, with tokens being locked up and accumulated.
Considering both ETH and BTC have risen about 1.5% recently, from a mid-term perspective, ETH’s shortage state means any market rally could trigger a violent surge.
Inventory divergence reflects capital sentiment. Keep a close eye on ETH mid-term—don’t wait until it takes off to regret missing out!
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#Anthropic拟赴纳斯达克IPO Is the bill's positive news just a temporary sentiment or a signal for a price increase?
With the US and Japan raising interest rates this month + rising oil prices, multiple negative factors are pressing down,
yet BTC breaks through 78,000 against the trend—could there be hidden dangers??
The market is showing an unexpectedly strong performance.
Today, some positive news about the bill came through clearly, but in my view,
this bit of sentiment-driven benefit may hardly withstand the macro pressure brought by the US and Japanese central banks' synchronized rate hikes and rising oil prices.
On one side, the Fed's rate hike expectations are rising, and the Bank of Japan is signaling rate hikes,
combined with higher oil prices and simultaneous declines in gold and silver, macro risks are piling up;
all macro signals seem to warn of risk, yet BTC is strengthening against the trend.
On the other side, a whale with a historical win rate of 92.5% just closed a $70 million long position and reversed to short with 40x leverage.
The more this counter-trend rise happens, the more we should beware of high-level bull traps.
Even if the logic holds, the market makers can still trigger stop losses with upward spikes.
Do you think the bill's positive news can withstand the wave of rate hikes?
Is there an opportunity to short lightly at this level?? #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近 #Anthropic拟赴纳斯达克IPO $BTC $ETH The macro window is approaching, and the market is repricing the expectation of the first rate hike since 2023, with funds taking defensive actions first. $BTC lost the 77,000 level and fell back to the lower edge of the range; net inflows to exchanges turned positive, some large addresses shifted to distribution, and ETFs saw net outflows for three consecutive days. The supply wall from 77,100 to 80,200 still represents about 539,000 coins held by long-term holders this year. The price below this level and reclaiming 77,000 only means the downtrend is temporarily paused, not a breakout. If the 75,000 to 76,000 level holds below, there is still room for the bottom of the range to recover, with resistance between 77,800 and 78,300. $ETH is short-term defending alongside BTC; 2,450 is the key level to watch for buying interest, and breaking below 2,360 would pause the rotation narrative. $SOL has temporarily lost the psychological 100 level; on-chain fees and TVL have already declined in the first half of the year, and small ETF inflows are unlikely to change spot supply and demand. If it cannot reclaim 100, the 99 area may enter a correction. $ZEC is also constrained by macro sentiment. If ETF outflows continue and net inflows remain slightly positive, rebounds below the supply wall are easily absorbed by selling pressure; watching whether 76,000 can hold after data release is a key condition to determine if the range is invalidated. Risk warning: Macro data and liquidity changes may intensify volatility; please manage positions cautiously. [Pharaoh's Market Watch]
The 10-year US Treasury yield is about to hit 5% again. Did the $6 billion buyback by Bassett go down the drain?
Pharaoh says directly, it’s not wasted; it’s like using a pea shooter to fight a tank—big noise, but the damage is pathetic. On September 10, the Treasury said it would buy up to $6 billion but ended up buying only $5.187 billion, not even reaching its own limit. It’s like Pharaoh saying he’ll give water to the entire desert but only pulling out a bottle of mineral water.
Why can’t the yield be suppressed? The $40 trillion mountain of US debt is pressing down, with interest alone exceeding $1 trillion a year. Oil prices are still hovering above $100, and inflation expectations won’t come down. August’s PPI rose 5.4% year-over-year, and the probability of a rate hike in September has already soared above 70%. The bond market clearly doesn’t trust Bassett’s words. Even worse, overseas buyers are withdrawing; Japan’s foreign reserves have dropped sharply, and Norway’s sovereign wealth fund has proposed reducing US Treasury holdings. The long-term supply pressure remains unresolved.
For Bitcoin, a risk-free yield approaching 5% is like a knife hanging overhead. Who would want to gamble on volatile assets when you can earn 5% just by holding government bonds? That’s why Bitcoin has been stuck around 78,000 recently—not for lack of effort, but because funds are being sucked into US Treasuries. Short-term support is at 77,500 and 76,000, with resistance at 79,000 and 80,000.
Pharaoh’s bottom line: as long as the fire in the bond market doesn’t die out, Bitcoin can only look for opportunities in the cracks. Don’t heavily bet on direction; wait for the FOMC decision first! $BTC $ETH $ZEC #美债收益率逼近5%，回购难缓长期压力 BTC is still setting the tone for the market, but the next move needs volume + follow-through, not just a quick candle. 🚀 Bullish case: Reclaim $78.8K–$79.2K with strong volume → momentum could extend toward $80K–$81K. ⚠️ Bearish case: Lose $77.2K and fail to recover it → another test of $76K–$75.5K becomes possible. 📊 I’m also watching Open Interest, funding, spot volume, and liquidity. If price rises while participation stays weak, the breakout could be fragile. BTC usually establishes the dBitcoin is hovering around $79K–$80K, while the $82K–$84K zone remains the key area bulls need to reclaim. My bearish roadmap: Scenario 1: $80K → $83K → $68K Scenario 2: $80K → $87K → $68K The plan isn’t to short just because price is high. Let BTC make its next push. If it reaches resistance, gets rejected, and breaks short-term market structure, the downside setup could become much stronger. For now, patience > FOMO. Wait for confirmation instead of chasing the final breakout candle. $BTC vola$CP's trend is so smooth it's like someone was in a hurry and gave me a ride along the way.
When the market just dropped in the morning session, CP's rebound was severely low in volume, lacking support; anyone picking up the pieces could see it clearly. I judged it was just giving shorts a position, so don't catch the falling knife.
Shorted at 0.01402 to 0.01290, +161.19%, feeling good brothers, this move was perfectly timed.
Better to miss a limit-up than to catch a falling knife and end up with a bloody hand. Risk control done upfront is called being rational; cutting losses after losing is called a decisive break.
First take 80% profit off the table, keep 20% at cost price for protection; if it continues to drop, let the profits run, and if it pulls back, don't give back the gains. The market isn't short of opportunities, it's patience that's lacking. I'll notify you first when a more comfortable position comes in the next round.
$SOL $BNB $BTC There are only a few ways to make money in crypto.
1. Airdrop hunting. I made 400k from ZK airdrops.
2. Long‑term spot on BTC & ETH. I entered at $18k / $1500 in late 2022, exited around $115k / $4100.
3. Futures trading. I tried it, lost tens of thousands. Too stressful, couldn’t sleep well, so I quit.
4. Being a KOL. I don’t chase views. Just post for my own record and review.
5. Working for projects or exchanges. I prefer freedom, don’t want a regular job.$BTC $ETH $ZEC
A quick look at the market: BTC and ETH are driving ZEC to rise in sync, but the momentum behind this rebound seems somewhat insufficient.
$BTC is currently priced around $77,800, rebounding from a low of $76,500, testing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. The interest rate hike expectation has reached 90%, and ETF funds have flowed out for four consecutive days. This level appears to have support, but repeatedly testing the support itself signals a continuous depletion of momentum. I am maintaining my position; if the $76,380 level is breached, the next target below is $72,820.
$ETH is currently at $2,482, up 55% from the June low, but still down 1.64% in a single day. BitMine has invested $70 million to increase holdings, now owning 5.93 million coins, accounting for 4.9% of the total supply. Institutional funds continue to enter, but the price trend has not given positive feedback. $2,425 is the 20-day moving average support, and $2,550 is the resistance above. I currently hold no position, waiting for a clear market direction.
Three coins: one repeatedly testing support, one waiting for moving average signals, and one whose trend is linked to market sentiment. Their commonality: a real rebound is occurring, but whether the current price level can hold remains uncertain.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#Anthropic拟赴纳斯达克IPO
#Robinhood加密交易量8月环比增61% #特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近
The CLARITY bill vote, Trump really made a concession this time
The U.S. Senate is about to hold a procedural vote on the CLARITY bill, a major event the crypto industry has been waiting for years.
This time the bill has a new version. Trump accepted about 80% of the bipartisan proposal, agreeing that officials must either sell their interests in crypto projects or place them in blind trusts, and also allowing state attorneys general to participate in oversight. In plain terms, he made significant compromises to win over a few Democratic votes.
But the vote count is still tight. The Senate has 100 seats in total, Republicans only have 53, and they need to pull at least 9 Democrats to reach 60 votes. Some Republicans have already said they will oppose it, and Democrats are meeting to discuss whether to support it.
For us, whether this passes directly affects whether the regulatory rules for the crypto market in the coming years can be clear. If it passes, institutional funds will dare to come in, which is a long-term positive; if not, it will basically be shelved this year, and uncertainty will linger.
Anyway, this vote and the FOMC, two major events happening together, will definitely cause market fluctuations. I haven’t made any moves and am just waiting to see the outcome.How do you set your position size and stop loss in high leverage trading?
My view: Under high leverage, your position size should be so small that you find it uninteresting, and your stop loss should be so tight that you think it’s unlikely to be triggered. Whether it’s mainstream coins like $BTC $ETH $OKB or altcoins, this should be the approach.
I used to suffer losses trading with high leverage. With 10x leverage, I thought my position wasn’t big, but a single spike wiped me out, then the price immediately moved in my original direction, which made me want to smash my phone. Later, I summarized two rules:
Position size: The higher the leverage, the lower the proportion of your principal. For 10x leverage, I allocate at most 5% of my total funds; for 20x, 2%; above 50x, I basically avoid it, and if I do, it’s like buying a lottery ticket—if I lose it’s fine. High leverage isn’t for making quick money; it’s for using a very small principal to chase an opportunity. A large position size is just gambling with your life.
Stop loss: It shouldn’t be set by percentage but by structure. With high leverage, a few points of price movement can liquidate you, so the stop loss must be placed just outside key levels to avoid being stopped out by spikes. I usually place it a bit beyond the previous low or high. I’d rather have a farther stop loss and a smaller position than have the stop loss stuck in a spot that’s easily triggered.
In short, high leverage trading is about precision, not courage. Small position size, accurate stop loss—if you’re wrong, you lose a little; if you’re right, you gain a lot. If you want to get rich quick with high leverage, the market will teach you a lesson sooner or later.
Do you trade with high leverage? How do you set it? Let’s chat in the comments. 👇
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $ETH Buyers dominate active trades, market slightly strengthens: In three sets of 5-minute statistics, active buying accounts for 56.2%, active selling 43.8%, with active buying amount approximately 1.28 times that of active selling; the current 15-minute candlestick rose 1.72%; open interest decreased by 1.12%, open interest value changed +1.05%, open interest quantity declined but value increased, price rise offsetting the contraction in open interest quantity.
$BTC Sellers dominate but price did not sharply fall: In three sets of 5-minute statistics, active buying accounts for 34.1%, active selling 65.9%, with active selling amount about 1.93 times that of active buying; the current 15-minute candlestick slightly rose 0.08%; open interest increased by 0.11%, open interest value changed +0.22%, both open interest quantity and value rose synchronously. Selling pressure signals come from the trade order book, price is temporarily supported.
$ZEC Short-term bullish momentum continues: In three sets of 5-minute statistics, active buying accounts for 57.4%, active selling 42.6%, with active buying amount about 1.35 times that of active selling; the current 15-minute candlestick rose 1.96%; open interest decreased by 0.76%, open interest value changed +1.21%, chips experienced slight turnover amid price rise.
The market is quite interesting now, some small altcoins see active capital attacks, but BTC still has selling pressure dominance, though supported and held up, showing clear divergence between bulls and bears. I didn’t do much either, it just dropped on its own, making me a bit embarrassed to even mention it. Last night at dawn, I was still watching $LAB, it was moving sideways at a high level, every upward push fell just short, volume didn’t keep up, and the sell orders piled up layer by layer above. I judged that chasing longs would easily get cut, so around 0.07635 I signaled a short idea and opened a LAB short.
During the intraday bottom grinding, it kept pushing down, now at 0.05188, the short position profit is +320.36%. Here’s the answer, this profit feels good. The earlier part was really dragging, but the outcome is really sweet.
The market is something you wait for, profits are something you hold for. Don’t lose patience in the choppy range and then try to regain dignity by gambling on a one-sided move.
First close 80%, keep the remaining 20% at cost price as protection. If it continues to drop, let the profits run; if it rebounds, don’t give back the profits. Take profits when you should, don’t be greedy for the last bit.
For friends who haven’t gotten in yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in, chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I will signal it immediately. The market doesn’t lack opportunities, it lacks patience.
$BTC $SOL I just casually clicked refresh, and it went up on its own, which put me in a passive position. After finishing lunch and checking the market, $NES had already surged to 0.1543, while my cost was still stuck at 0.1416. Who wouldn't feel a bit dazed seeing that?
Looking back, this wave wasn't just pure luck. It stayed flat at the bottom for so long, and every time it dipped, there was capital buying in, so that's why I took a bullish stance at the time. Now the unrealized profit on the account is +179.37%, which feels really good.
But that said, I definitely won't hold this wave forever. I'll take profit on 70% first, and move the stop loss on the remaining 30% up to the cost price. If the trend holds, let the profits run; if it breaks, then exit decisively. The premise of compounding is staying alive; the shortcut to getting rich often leads to zero.
For friends who have entered, focus your energy on protecting profits. For those still waiting for a pullback, be patient—the market doesn't lack opportunities, it lacks the patience to wait. When the next round is at a suitable position, I'll let you know immediately.
$ADA $ZEC Gurman said foldable iPhones could account for more than half of new device sales in the next decade; currently, that number is 2%.
From the competitor's perspective, Apple isn't targeting Samsung, but the supply chain that survives on foldable hinges and screen premiums. Once Apple's procurement volume enters the market, hinge costs will be squeezed down to a fraction of what they are now.
The cost reduction isn't due to technological breakthroughs but driven by order scale. The next link in this chain is that foldable models in the Android camp will be forced to lower prices, with profits being squeezed first.
I'm watching the list of hinge suppliers for Apple's first foldable device; its appearance means the cost curve is about to turn. I haven't even bought a foldable phone myself, so I can only guess by looking at the list.
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $HYPE 🟠 $BTC | 🔵 $ETH | 🟣 $SOL — Buyers Need Confirmation 👀
📊 $BTC is stabilizing after the recent volatility, $ETH is trying to reclaim upside momentum, while $SOL remains ready for a larger percentage move.
🧠 The strongest setup is a BTC hold followed by an ETH breakout — that would create the conditions for SOL to attract more aggressive flows.
⚠️ If BTC rolls over before that confirmation, the higher-beta trade becomes much less attractive.
🔥 Stability creates the setup. Confirmation creates the opportunity.
#AnthropicIPOOnNasdaq
#TrumpAcceptsNewEthics Hold on to the spot positions you bottomed out on
These days, I actually don't feel like trading frequently.
CPI is higher than expected, the probability of a rate hike is close to 90%, US Treasury yields are approaching 5%, and BTC spot ETFs have had continuous outflows.
The expected pressures have basically arrived, but BTC is still holding around $76,000 without further dropping.
During the market panic a few days ago, I gradually bought back the spot positions I wanted.
$BTC, $ZEC, $ZEN, SOL, UNI, WLD, including Niulai, were basically all repurchased after this round of correction.
The easiest mistake now is to sell when it rises a bit and then doubt again when it falls a bit.
If you also started bottoming out around $76,000, there's no need to keep fussing these days. Bitcoin has been consolidating between 76,000 and 78,000 for a week, and the Fed meeting is on the 16th. According to us seasoned traders, there’s always maximum panic before the decision, and after the decision, it either rises or falls as it should.
At times like this, the easiest way to lose money isn’t by picking the wrong direction, but by being trigger-happy: opening and closing positions back and forth during sideways movement, giving back the profits bit by bit. This week, I’m doing just one thing—holding my position steady and earning my lunch money by buying low with dual-currency strategies. The longer the sideways, the higher the eventual move; just wait it out.
$BTCI trade high leverage on BTC, ETH, and similar assets, mainly using two sets of entry strategies, with position size and stop loss strictly matched to the market conditions. The first type is breakout trading: When the market consolidates at a high level for a long time, I wait for the price to break the previous high before considering entry. If using ultra-high leverage like 100x, the stop loss must be set extremely tight. Once the stop loss is hit, I do not hold the position or add to it; I simply give up this opportunity and wait for the next suitable entry point. The second type is reversal in stagnating rising/falling markets: When the price reaches a relatively high level and the upward momentum fades without making a new high, I set up short positions here, also with strict stop losses. For falling markets, it’s the opposite: if the price plunges sharply and forms a long lower shadow (a pin bar), I try to go long at the bottom of the shadow; if the order doesn’t fill, I patiently wait until the downtrend exhausts and the price enters a bottom consolidation range before entering. There is a crucial risk control rule here: once the account profit exceeds the principal, by several times or even tenfold, you must switch to a segmented position mode. Do not put all your funds into a single position at once. High leverage must be operated with segmented positions. Even if one position is stopped out, the account still has remaining funds, preserving the chance to re-enter. From a human nature perspective, everyone inherently has risk aversion. Even long-term traders tend to hold losing positions and add margin when facing floating losses, hoping the market will turn to break even. If trading discipline is weak, this mindset is a fatal trap. Even if 99 trades were all profitable, a single forced liquidation from holding a losing position can wipe out all profits and principal. Therefore, the core of trading isThe expectation of a rate cut has completely cooled off.
A recent Reuters survey directly reversed the trend: 85% of economists believe the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points this week, pushing the rate straight to 4%, the first time since July 2023. Not to mention there might be another hike before the end of the year. The previously daily chant of "rate cuts in 2027" has now completely vanished.
The words from Bank of America experts are harsh: unless the data collapses drastically, the Fed will not stop.
For our crypto circle, the logic is straightforward: liquidity in the market will only decrease, and risk assets will definitely be under short-term pressure. The fantasy of skyrocketing prices fueled by liquidity should be put aside for now.
But there’s no need to panic excessively. The crypto market always buys on expectations and sells on facts. When the whole network is shouting that rate hikes are bearish, it’s often when the main players are using the opportunity to shake out the market most aggressively.
But despite the tough talk, don’t open high-leverage longs recently, and don’t rush to catch falling knives. Prepare your ammunition, control your hands, and wait for this wave of macro sentiment to digest. The golden buying opportunity in spot markets will naturally emerge.
Where do you think BTC and ETH will fall to this week? Leave your target price in the comments.
$BTC $ETH #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #BTC加速拉升，资金还能继续接力吗？ #ETH强势拉升，空头清算超11亿美元 Brothers, BTC and ETH shrank in volume and recovered on the eve of the FOMC, but the real bomb is buried for tomorrow.
$BTC $78,000 | $ETH $2,517
Bitcoin rose about 1% in 24 hours, rebounding from a low of $76,768 back near $78,000, with a significant drop in trading volume as traders collectively waited before the September 16 FOMC. Ethereum simultaneously rose to $2,517, rebounding over 55% from the September low, with moving average structure continuously improving.
BTC ETF saw an outflow of $460 million, while ETH ETF has had inflows for four consecutive weeks.
The divergence in capital flow is intensifying. The Bitcoin spot ETF had a net outflow of about $463 million last week, ending three consecutive weeks of inflows, with ARKB and GBTC leading the sell-off. Meanwhile, the Ethereum ETF has had net inflows for four straight weeks, with BlackRock's ETHA contributing $140 million in a single week.
But the real variable is tomorrow—the CLARITY Act Senate procedural vote requires 60 votes, with Republicans holding only 53 seats, so at least 7 Democrats need to defect. Polymarket bets the probability of passage at about 20%. If it fails, there will be no more chances this session.
Discuss in the comments: Tomorrow's CLARITY vote and the FOMC, which will explode first? 👇
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近 📊 $BTC still controls the overall market direction, but what truly deserves attention is the follow-up strength of $ETH and $SOL. If BTC is responsible for setting the trend, ETH is more of a market breadth indicator, while SOL more directly reflects the sentiment of high-risk funds. 🔥 Currently, focus on watching: 🟠 $BTC holds above $75,800–$76,400, with short-term structure still having room for recovery. A rebound between $79,500–$81,200 will have a chance to challenge higher resistance again. 🔵 $ETH $2,380–$2,430 is a key defense zone in the near term. If it breaks above $2,550–$2,620 again, the signal of capital divergence in the market will become even more pronounced. 🟣 $SOL $96–$101 needs to be held, with the $108–$114 range serving as a short-term breakout zone. If SOL is the first to see volume increase, it usually means risk appetite is heating up. 🧠 What really matters is not a single coin rising, but whether the three can form a linkage: BTC stabilizes → ETH strengthens → SOL accelerates = market risk appetite spreads 🔥 Conversely: BTC is flat but ETH/SOL weakens = funds remain defensive ⚠️ 📅. On the macro front, the biggest variable this week remains the FOMC interest rate decision. The market is repricing the future interest rate path, and policy language may directly affect US dollar liquidity, bond yields, and crypto market winds05 Female College Evening Review 🌙
After a day, the account still shows the familiar polarization.
$BICO continues to weaken -2.36%, with the majority of whale shorts, 86% of the short whales are profitable.
My long position -1605.59U, the longer I hold, the more passive I become. Even though the data has already given signals, I still can't bear to admit defeat and exit, unwilling to let unrealized losses turn into realized losses.
On the other hand, $HYPE rises against the trend +2.61%, with whale long positions dominant, unrealized profits remain at +883.35U.
A beautiful profit still can't fill the hole of another deep loss.
Sometimes I feel the cruelest part of the market
is that it gives you hope on one side while reminding you of the cost of obsession on the other.
Holding a position is not persistence; many times it's just unwillingness to admit that your judgment was wrong.
On the path of trading, mindset cultivation always comes first.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#Anthropic拟赴纳斯达克IPO
#特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近 U.S. stock-listed mining companies are shifting computing power from mining to serving large models.
Riot Platforms signed about a 20-year lease with Anthropic for approximately 191 megawatts of critical IT capacity at the Rockdale, Texas campus: the base contract revenue is about $9.1 billion, with two five-year renewal options potentially reaching about $16.1 billion. The first batch of about 96 megawatts is targeted for delivery by December 2027, with full capacity by June 2028. On the day of the announcement, Riot's stock surged over 20% before giving back more than half — the market is pricing in the transformation and discounting delivery and financing risks.
Bigger picture: publicly listed mining companies have cumulatively signed AI/HPC hosting contracts worth about $70–90 billion; some predict AI revenue share will hit 70% by year-end. The total network computing power has dropped from a peak of about 1.14 ZH/s to around 868–900 EH/s. Hyperscale Data shut down its Michigan mining site in September to pursue an AI contract worth about $1.2 billion. VanEck estimates a short-term funding gap of about $50 billion for the AI transition, with only about a quarter of the leased capacity delivered so far.
Power grid connection points are the real assets. AI competes for electricity even more fiercely than ASIC mining. For BTC, the short-term narrative is diversion, but the mid-term focus on computing power will continue to concentrate. The original script was simple: watch for pullbacks → short → and other waterfalls. But reality was completely opposite 👇 🟠 $BTC Started bearish on August 29, and still haven't seen the expected deep decline. 🔵 $ETH Put in a short position on August 29, but the price not only didn't crash but repeatedly held key support. 🟢 $ZEC The reference price for short positions started around $868, but the price kept breaking upward, even hitting new highs. 🔴 $HYPE Started selling from around $86, but the strong structure remained intact. My judgment: 📉 "After all the rise, it's time for a pullback." Market response: 🚀 "I can keep rising." What I truly learned this time wasn't how to predict tops, but how to face mistakes. 1️⃣ Before the trend breaks, don't assume it must fall just because the rally is too large. 2️⃣ Trading views are always just assumptions; candlesticks are the final judge. 3️⃣ Don't treat your expectations as a script the market must follow. 4️⃣ If the market keeps proving you wrong, the most dangerous thing is not stop-losses, but to keep finding reasons to persist. 📅 Now, new variables have arrived. The FOMC rate decision has entered this week's core window, and the market is reassessing interest rates and liquidity paths; Meanwhile, BTC spot ETFs have seen hundreds of millions of dollars in outflows recently, and institutional investors' attitudes remain divided. So I'm not in a rush to guess the top. I'm just waiting for one thing: the real thingEveryone holding $BTC is waiting for tomorrow's vote, but honestly, can it really decide the big direction? BTC pulled back from 76,394 to 78,046, which seems like expectations improved, but essentially the market is just digesting in advance. I actually think that instead of focusing all attention on macro news, it's better to look back at the assets in hand. OKB didn't surge much today, but don't forget, its underlying X Layer doubled its TVL in a month. This kind of solid capital accumulation supports the baseline more than any legislation. BTC sets the stage, and next we see whose trump card is stronger. I'm betting on OKB.
$ETH $OKB
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #Anthropic拟赴纳斯达克IPO The most dangerous move on the chessboard is not the opponent sacrificing the queen, but when you calculate the opponent's queen sacrifice and realize that your own king's pawn chain has already been hollowed out by your own aggressive attack. This is exactly the case in Oracle's game.
OCI AI cloud revenue surged 121% year-over-year, RPO backlog piled up to 664 billion, and over 30 billion in new AI contracts signed in the first quarter. On paper, this is a beautiful mid-game strong attack, with all pieces deployed and momentum surging. But the person actually sitting at the chessboard doesn't just focus on the few pawns the opponent lost; they look to see if their own squares in the rear are leaking.
The leak is here—capital expenditure of 2.85 billion? No, it's an investment on the scale of 28.5 billion, turning free cash flow directly negative, and requiring a 20 billion capital raise through issuance. This is not an attack; it's like pushing all your rooks, knights, and cannons forward, only to turn back and find your home left with a naked king. A true master, before sacrificing a piece, first confirms whether the sacrifice leads to a checkmate or just a cold smirk at the opponent's lips.
On September 12, the co-founder canceled the originally planned 7.5 billion share reduction. This move is very telling. When a player suddenly retracts a piece in the tightest moment of the game, it's not out of mercy but because they see a deeper trap—making the move now would expose their intentions to the entire market. Defending requires more calculation than attacking.
Look at Adobe: earnings beat expectations, guidance raised, yet the stock was sold off after hours. What is this? This is a classic case of "good moves being countered." The market is no longer satisfied with the basic question of "are you growing?" Now it asks, "can you turn growth into profit, and sustain it?" The evaluation criteria have changed completely, like moving from mid-game piece exchanges to the precision of pawn structure and king positioning in the endgame. The era of rough aggressive attacks is over; now it's about whose pawns advance cleanly and whose bishops control the critical diagonals.
This token in the US stock market, linked to the entire AI narrative, is essentially a linkage on a chessboard. Every major resource investment by the leader inevitably drags and restrains other pieces. The real winners are not those who rush blindly at the start but those who calculate twenty moves ahead: when capital expenditure becomes a new threshold, when cash flow becomes the new referee, which pieces will remain on the board and which will be cleared out.
This game has entered the critical piece-exchange phase before the endgame. Whose pawn structure is more complete will be the one who laughs last. #oracleaicloudup121%I thought it was a major pullback, but the market taught me a lesson: 🟠 $BTC Short position August 26: Still underwater 🔵 $ETH Short position August 26: Still no turnaround 🟢 $ZEC Short position @845: Ended up constantly hitting new stage highs 🔴 $HYPE Short position @82: The strong structure completely didn't follow the script. My original plan: major ❌ peak ❌ level, funds retreating ❌, BTC facing a deep pullback ❌, high-level assets starting to catch up. But the reality is: 🚀 the trend continues upward 🚀, and strong coins keep hitting new highs 🚀 Bears are constantly forced to endure pressure 🚀. The market is not running according to my script at all. The biggest lesson this time is not "looking in the wrong direction," but rather: 1️⃣ Don't go against the trend lightly before it reverses. 2️⃣ Opinions are just opinions; price is the final answer. 3️⃣ A wrong trading logic doesn't mean the market must prove you right. 4️⃣ The less willing you are to admit mistakes, the more likely sunk costs become greater risks. 📊 And now the market is facing a new macro test. With this week's FOMC rate decision approaching, funds are repricing the future interest rate path. Recently, BTC spot ETF funds have also seen significant fluctuations, with single-day outflows reaching hundreds of millions of dollars, indicating institutional funds have not fully returned to offensive mode. So now, I don't want to guess the top. I'm focused on one thing: When will the price truly reverse and confirm? NoI am Yan Di, the inflammation reducer
$ETH surged and then pulled back.
I had already reminded everyone not to blindly chase the rise in the short term. After a brief spike to 2542 on the one-hour chart, the bulls lacked momentum and couldn't hold the high position. This rebound is decent, but don't overly fantasize about a continuous upward surge in the short term—after all, there are quite a few trapped positions accumulated previously, making a one-time breakthrough quite difficult.
What’s truly worth watching next is whether it can hold the short-term lifeline at 2480. If it holds, there’s a chance for a second surge; if it fails, it will most likely return to range-bound oscillation.
This is just market observation and does not constitute investment advice
$BTC $ETH
#OKXPlanet topic is here
#VolatilityRadar: Coin anomaly observationPushing one million US dollars in at once is like pouring the core tube directly into the mud—before the concrete has set, the settlement joints crack.
I've worked on towers over thirty-seven floors and have seen too many projects with stunning renderings but pile foundations that don't reach the bearing layer. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in September, to me, is not news but a geological survey report. When the groundwater level changes, the bearing capacity of all foundations must be recalculated; US dollar liquidity is the bearing layer of the whole site—if it loosens by one centimeter, all load distributions above must be re-reinforced.
Deploying million-level funds, the first step is structural selection, not choosing the unit type.
Spot trading is the pile foundation. Buried at the bottom, invisible, not part of any facade evaluation, but it determines how tall the building can be. You don't need it to be flashy; you need it not to collapse.
Dollar-cost averaging is continuous pouring. It avoids cold joints and hydration heat cracks caused by one-time pouring, using time to even out thermal stress. The construction period is long, but the structural integrity is best.
Grids are expansion joints plus dampers. Horizontal oscillation is equivalent to temperature cycling; the grid absorbs deformation to prevent the whole building from twisting. But remember, the grid is only effective within the set temperature zone; once a one-sided trend forms, it becomes a subordinate component and is the first to be damaged by shear.
Contracts are cantilevers. The farther the cantilever extends, the larger the scenic side, and the greater the overturning moment. Without counterweights or prestressing, cantilevers are suicidal designs.
Options are seismic bearings. They buy the "right to deform," an insurance premium, not a source of income.
$XPL-type stock tokenized assets are sky bridges between two towers. One end bears the gravity load of equity cash flow; the other end faces the 24/7 wind load on-chain. Making a rigid connection transmits displacement from either side; making sliding bearings increases cost but keeps both sides independent. Most people only see the scenic side of the sky bridge and never calculate its thermal stress.
Cross-market allocation is essentially the floor area ratio and traffic flow on the master plan. Fire separation distances must be left between buildings; evacuation routes must be left between business types; the core tube's position determines the floor's usable rate. Pressing all loads onto one column is not allocation; it's illegal construction.
Plans with insufficient structural redundancy, no matter how attractive the returns, are just curtain wall decorations; what truly supports this million are those hidden works you don't want to post on social media. #okx1millionstrategist76,400 This support level is really stubborn and solid. I originally planned to short it when it rebounds to 78,000, but looking at the market now, the rebound is very weak and far from expectations.
I initially wanted to short ETH in the 2530 - 2548 range, thinking that during the session or at the US market open, it would pull up just enough to trap me, but the market maker immediately pushed it down, not even giving a chance to place high orders. Also, oil prices keep soaring, and Middle East geopolitical turmoil continues. As long as the geopolitical situation doesn't calm down and macro liquidity tightens, a bull market is very hard to start.
Logically, it’s best to follow the fundamentals and short now, but every time I open the K-line chart, I hesitate. The daily K-line is clearly pressured hard around 82,800, but the weekly K-line is still quite strong, closing above 77,100, indicating the major trend hasn’t completely collapsed yet. In the past, I rushed to short out of fear of missing out, only to end up cutting losses.
But this level has tested support multiple times. If the market maker is playing tricks, there could be a fake breakdown, a wick down to 74,800 - 75,000 to shake out long stop losses and short chasing positions, then hold at 74,800 before violently rallying. This possibility is very high.
Plus, the market has mostly priced in the FOMC rate hike or hold decision, even betting on bad news. After this news wave passes, if the market maker releases some mild positive sentiment, it could trigger a strong rebound.
Current plan: still want to short near 78,000, and wait for a wick near 74,800 to try going long. Trump has accepted the new version of the ethics rules this time, and the CLARITY Act is also approaching a critical vote.
On the 15th, the Senate will first hold a procedural vote, needing to gather 60 votes to continue advancing. The market originally didn't have high hopes for its passage, so if it does pass, it would be an unexpected positive; if it doesn't, it won't cause a panic since everyone has been mentally prepared.
$BTC is currently around 77,500, stuck in the frustrating range of 77,000–80,000. If the bill advances smoothly, Bitcoin's most direct target is to test 80,000, and only a strong volume breakout above that would be truly bullish.
$ETH is currently around 2,520, with 2,500 still a key level I’m watching. Recently, Ethereum has clearly been stronger than Bitcoin; with improved regulatory expectations, its long-term logic is more straightforward. Once it firmly reclaims 2,600, the upside space will open up.
$OKB is now around $114. I actually want to say a bit more about this. The CLARITY Act doesn't directly benefit OKB, but the clearer the regulations, the easier it is for exchanges and on-chain ecosystems to get their valuations reset. The recent heat around X Layer is also worth keeping an eye on.
My view:
Trump accepting the new ethics restrictions sends a signal: the U.S. is not preparing to push the crypto industry out but is gradually filling in the regulatory framework.
Of course, it’s best if the bill passes, but don’t scare yourself if it doesn’t. What’s truly worth looking forward to is that once regulatory expectations fully improve, capital will start seeking assets that haven’t yet risen enough.📌Is the HYPE tail-end rally really coming? 77 supports the pullback to 80, but there's still no volume above 83.
Yesterday opened at 80.3, peaked at 80.9, bottomed at 76.6, and closed at 78.0. Today opened at 78.0, peaked at 80.4, bottomed at 77.0, current price around 79.7. Volume is 10.93 million, far from Friday's 46.99 million.
Resistance remains at 80.4–80.9, with heavier pressure at 82.6 and 83.8. On the downside, watch 77.0 first; if broken, 76.6 is likely.
In the short term, see if 79.7 can hold. Don't chase if it can't hold above 80.4. For those already holding, watch if 77.0 support holds; if not, reduce positions and wait for volume to return in the European and American sessions before attempting to challenge 83 again. $HYPE 📌 Mid-term Intelligence Bro | Today's Holdings Daily, Here Are a Few Key Points for Everyone
Today, what I'm focusing on is still the medium-term logic of $BTC.
The first thing is the CLARITY Act. The September 15 Senate procedural vote is a very important catalyst in the near term, but I want to remind you: a vote does not guarantee a final effect, and there are still many differences between the two parties, so I will treat it as an important event rather than a definite positive one.
Second, check whether institutional funds continue to enter the market.
Recently, some institutions and whales have been increasing their BTC holdings. What the market really needs to watch is not a day or two of rallying prices, but whether funds continue to flow in. If institutional buying hasn't clearly stopped, the underlying medium-term logic remains.
Third, the positioning of long-term funds for BTC is also gradually changing.
More and more institutions are now putting BTC into the framework of discussions alongside traditional assets like gold and bonds. For me, this makes more sense than simply discussing "how much BTC will rise next month"—if BTC gradually becomes part of macro asset allocation, then capital volume can truly open up.
So my mid-line approach hasn't changed much:
👉 Keep holding onto the bottom position
👉 Pullbacks during oscillations are not easily washed out
👉 Controlling positions and leverage before major events
👉 Regulatory, funding, and macroeconomic conditions will further provide direction
Of course, the market is not without pressure right now.
#DailyOrbit 📌OKB volume still hasn't picked up, no one dares to push above 116, but there's some support around 108.
Yesterday opened at 114.1, highest 114.8, lowest 112.1, closed at 112.7. Today opened at 112.7, highest 114.6, lowest 111.7, current price about 114.1. Volume is 3.94 million, far from Friday's 16.93 million.
Resistance remains between 114.6–116.0, and it's even stronger around 118. On the downside, watch 111.7 first, if it breaks easily, look towards 108.
In the short term, see if 114 can hold. If it doesn't hold, don't chase the current price. For those already holding, watch if the support at 111.7 holds; if not, reduce a bit and wait for volume to return during the European and American sessions before seeing if it can challenge 116 again. $OKB $BTC spot ETFs have actually been experiencing outflows these past few days.
On September 8, there was a net outflow of $46.6 million; on September 9, an outflow of $120.2 million; and on September 10, another outflow of $282.6 million.
The total outflow over three consecutive trading days amounts to $449.4 million.
The most notable is September 10, with nearly $283 million outflow in a single day, including $164.3 million from ARK's ARKB fund alone.
However, BTC has still held above around $76,000 during these days.
Despite nearly $450 million leaving ETFs in three days and CPI pushing the rate hike probability close to 90%, BTC has not experienced a corresponding level of decline.
So recently, I've been watching the $76,000 level closely; this level is more important than short-term price fluctuations.
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 🔥 $BTC / $ETH | TWO DIFFERENT WAYS TO BUILD RESILIENCE
$BTC builds resilience by staying narrow.
$ETH builds resilience by staying adaptable.
Bitcoin’s focused monetary design reduces reliance on constant feature expansion. Ethereum’s broader execution layer can evolve as developers, applications, and network demands change.
$BTC becomes stronger through simplicity.
$ETH becomes stronger through flexibility.
⚡🧠#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #AnthropicIPOOnNasdaq $FLOCK brothers, there's really no need to overthink this new coin, just go all in. It's exactly the same scheme as $LAB LAB and $BEAT BEAT. It all relies on hype to attract retail investors to chase the price up, and once the hype fades and there's no real buying support, all that's left is a slow decline until it eventually goes to zero.
I was once squeezed out and stopped out precisely by it, but after cooling down and reviewing, I found a good point to short it again, and now I've recovered all my previous losses. The pattern of this kind of coin is very obvious: the pump is controlled to harvest shorts, and once the shorts are cleared out and there's no fuel left, the manipulator starts distributing chips, and the price immediately crashes down.
When dealing with coins like this, never get emotional, don't chase longs, and definitely don't bet heavily on direction. Wait until the hype dies down and volume shrinks, then short in batches at rebound resistance levels with proper stop losses to steadily profit from the pullback. It's exactly the same as those old manipulator coins like LAB, which rise fast and fall even faster. Remember, not setting a stop loss is just giving away money. #波动雷达：币种异动观察 @OKX星球 $ETH
ETH is currently at 2520.3, with a 24-hour fluctuation of 1.50%, a low of 2460.0, and a high of 2534.0. There is significant resistance above 2523.0, and it hasn't broken through yet. I hold a long position in ETH with an average price of 2533.6, currently at a floating loss of 0.5%. 2477.5 is my bottom line; if it doesn't break, I'll hold steady. Those aligned with this direction can enter around 2477.5, with a stop loss if it breaks below 2460.0.
On the 4-hour chart, the trend is bullish, with the price above EMA20 (2504.6). Volume has shrunk to about 60% of usual, indicating insufficient market enthusiasm; the MACD green bars remain, and the pullback isn't finished yet. The 15-minute chart is already congested, and the direction will emerge soon. Key levels: support at 2477.5 and 2460.0, resistance at 2523.0 and 2533.3, with an average intraday volatility of about 91 points.
ETF fund flow (AMBCrypto, 2 hours ago); derivatives are quiet (fee rate 0.003%/8h, OI 1.6 billion U), recent changes: 15 minutes +0.08%, 1 hour +0.30%, with trading volume expanding to 2.4 times. Long positions are entering.🔥 $BTC / $ETH | TWO DIFFERENT WAYS TO CREATE SETTLEMENT CONFIDENCE
$BTC creates confidence through irreversible monetary settlement.
$ETH creates confidence through programmable settlement.
Bitcoin is designed around a simple question: who owns what, and has that transfer been confirmed? Ethereum adds another layer, allowing settlement to update balances, trigger contracts, and coordinate digital assets according to code.
⚡🧠#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #AnthropicIPOOnNasdaq 📌The ZEC short position won big over the weekend, but on Monday it was pulled back from 1042 to 1138, giving back more than half the profit.
Yesterday it opened at 1139, reached a high of 1157, a low of 1073, and closed at 1088. Today it opened at 1088, hit a high of 1160, a low of 1042, and the current price is about 1138. The volume is still around 30 million, missing the 104 million on Friday.
Resistance remains at 1157–1160, with heavier resistance further up at 1194, 1220, and 1298. On the downside, watch 1042 first; if it breaks, 1054 is likely next.
Don't chase 1160 in the short term. If you already hold, watch if 1042 support holds; if it doesn't, reduce your position. If volume doesn't return, treat it as a roller coaster digestion and wait for the European and American sessions to see if it can challenge 1220 again. $ZEC 🔥 $BTC / $ETH | TWO DIFFERENT WAYS TO PRICE RISK
$BTC prices risk through monetary scarcity.
$ETH prices risk through programmable opportunity.
Bitcoin gives markets a relatively simple asset thesis: limited supply, decentralized validation, and long-term monetary positioning. Ethereum exposes markets to a broader range of applications, contracts, assets, and execution demands—creating more variables, but also more potential use cases.
⚡🧠#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #AnthropicIPOOnNasdaq $BEAT I didn't even check the market, came back and looked, hmm? When did this happen?😅
Just after lunch when I checked the market, BEAT's rebound was still weak, selling pressure was strong, volume was low, and the resistance above was obvious. I judged that no one would catch the rise, it was a strong bull trap, directly signaling a high-level short. While everyone was still watching, the structure had already tilted to one side, but many were unwilling to admit it, and by the time they reacted, the price had already moved a good distance.
Later from 0.1223 down to 0.0825, +326.24%, the wait was worth it. Feeling good, brothers, this move was handled pretty solidly, those on board should be waking up smiling. The earlier part was really dragging, but the outcome is really sweet, time to enjoy a good meal.🙂
Position management was simple: close 80% of the short positions first, keep the remaining 20% at cost price as protection. If it continues to drop, let the profits run; if it rebounds, don't give back the profits. Take profits when you should, don't be greedy for the last bit, set the stop loss at cost price, stay calm.
Being out of position is not a sin, opening positions recklessly is the mistake.
Have a strategy before the market, discipline during, and reflection after.
For friends who haven't gotten in yet, listen to me, now is not the time to rush in, chasing shorts easily gets caught on the mountain top by a rebound. Wait for a new structure to form, I'll notify you immediately. The market is not short of opportunities, it lacks patience.
$LAB $BNB How can a major bull market be triggered by rate hikes? Recently, Bitcoin has been oscillating around 80,000, and before I knew it, it had been three whole weeks. As the excitement of the surge faded, I found that many people have been extremely anxious due to bad news: Federal Reserve rate hikes, inflation, oil prices soaring, no hope for clear legislation, and so on. People always think the crypto market will have one last drop, falling below 60,000. This kind of expected crash is even more painful than a real drop. In reality, these worries are unnecessary, because the publicly available bad news has already been priced in. This is why Bitcoin has been unable to rise during recent volatility. But there is one more thing. The more pessimistic the moment, the more likely a bull market will break out. Bull markets never arrive as expected; every time there are surprises. Let's look at the environment in 2023. Back then, ETFs were rejected, banks defaulted, US Treasury yields hit 5%, Coinbase and Binance were sued, and so on. There was more bad news than now. Even so, Bitcoin fluctuated between 25,000 and 30,000 for half a year and couldn't break down, because the chip structure was already solid in the early stages. However, it wasn't until October that the bull market actually started, rising from 25,000 to a high of 73,000 in March 2024—a full five months. Do you think bull markets are all good news? The real good news is always at the end of the bull. Although the bull market started in October, the Federal Reserve only confirmed a pause in rate hikes in December. A month later, the Bitcoin ETF was approved, and by then, Bitcoin had already risen 90% to 48,000. When you know the good news, the bull market had already ended$xSNDK this thing, from 1542 to 1587, my heart skipped a beat.
Last week's unrealized profit didn't escape, now it's down by more than 8 points, this feeling is even worse than a direct loss, the meat that was once within reach flew away again, sob sob 🥹
I glanced at the order book, 1542 is today's bottom, 1587 is the top, the price is grinding within these 40+ points. My cost is above 1600, now this position is neither up nor down, selling fears a rebound, holding fears further drop, purely a dull knife cutting flesh.
Key positions I mark: 1542 below is the last line of defense, if it breaks, I have to seriously consider reducing my position, no emotional attachment; 1587 above is resistance, if it breaks with volume, this trade still has a chance. In the middle position like this, not moving is the best solution, but stop loss must be set well, don’t let it nibble away my principal again.
$xSNDK this trade, my biggest lesson is not taking profits when I had them. Next time there’s profit, I’ll take half off the table first, don’t always try to sell at the highest point. Now I’m just enduring, if I can hold on, I will, if not, I’ll accept it.