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Khalifabagan
Bitcoin Is Holding $78K. Friday’s Jobs Report Could Decide What Comes Next.
$BTC is entering September with the market caught between strong August momentum and a much tougher macro environment.
Bitcoin gained roughly 23% in August, but failed to hold the move above $80K.
Now the next major catalyst is already on the calendar.
The U.S. jobs report.
My radar:
🟠 $BTC — $77K support, $79.4K–$80.8K resistance
🔵 $ETH — watching relative strength
🟣 $SOL — sensitive to liquidity
🟢 $XRP — watching institutional demand
The jobs report matters because the Federal Reserve is facing a difficult decision.
Markets are currently pricing around a 60% probability of a September rate hike after hawkish comments from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.
But that expectation can change quickly if employment data comes in weaker than expected. 0
That is why Friday's number could become the next major trigger for risk assets.
A weak jobs report could reduce rate-hike expectations.
Lower rate expectations could support liquidity.
And that could give Bitcoin another opportunity to challenge $80K.
But a stronger-than-expected labor report could have the opposite effect.
Higher rate expectations.
Higher yields.
More pressure on risk assets.
That is the macro battle happening underneath the chart.
Technically, the structure is still clear.
Buyers defended the $77K area.
But sellers continue to appear around $80K.
Bitcoin is therefore sitting between important support and resistance while the market waits for a catalyst. 1
There is also an interesting institutional signal.
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted around $924M between August 24 and 28.
Yet price still failed to break $80K.
That suggests strong demand is being met by significant selling pressure.
This is where $ETH becomes interesting.
Ethereum ETFs also attracted around $824M during the same period, showing that institutional demand is not limited to Bitcoin.
#LaborMarketTestsWalsh #BTCGoldCorrelation #BTCGoldCorrelation
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