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58.6% does NOT mean a September rate hike is guaranteed. It’s a market probability, not a Fed decision. Strong NFP pushed hike expectations higher, but the real test is still August CPI. For crypto, the chain is simple: Strong data → higher yields → stronger dollar → pressure on risk assets. $BTC has already struggled to hold $82K, so I’m watching $78K–$80K closely. I’m not trading the headline. I’m trading the reaction. #FOMC #BTC #ETH #OKB