#BOJHikeOddsRise

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About BOJHikeOddsRise

Bloomberg reports BOJ officials favor a 25bp hike to 1.25% at the Sep 18 meeting, citing service-price inflation and a weak yen. It is not a decision. USD/JPY fell from 160.39 this week to around 155. JPMorgan warns a break below 155 could unwind ¥16T-¥17T ($102.6B) in yen shorts, accelerating appreciation. Is the yen rally driven by BOJ expectations or carry-trade exits? Further strength could affect the dollar, Treasury yields, global risk assets and BTC liquidity.

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