Callistemon
7+ years in crypto | 10+ years trading stocks & traditional markets 📊 Technical analysis | Chart patterns | Strategic setups Sharing real trades, real analysis — no hype. Follow for daily TA & market insights 👇
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Épinglé
Trois graphiques, un seul schéma
L'or, Bitcoin et Ethereum n'ont presque rien en commun sur le papier. L'un est un métal que les humains ont accumulé pendant 5 000 ans. L'autre est une rareté numérique. Le dernier est une plateforme de contrats intelligents. Et pourtant, placés côte à côte, les trois ont passé 2026 à tracer exactement la même forme : une chute brutale depuis des sommets historiques (a), un rebond partiel (b), un dernier test (c), et maintenant les premiers signes d'un retournement. L'or a culminé à 5 595 $ le 29 janvier, s'est effondré à 4 099 $ en février, a rebondi à 4 792 $ en avril, et est en ce moment en train de retester ce niveau de février
Épinglé
$ETH 1D Chart
Fibonacci Confluence at a Key Level
This is the 1D (daily) timeframe on ETH/USDT, not 4H , worth noting since it changes how much weight the levels below carry.
ETH is trading at $1,913.70 (+2.07%), and the Fibonacci retracement drawn from the June low ($1,510.30) to the recent high ($1,951.24) is lining up with something worth watching closely. Price is currently sitting between the 78.6% retracement ($1,856.38) and the 100% level, which is also the prior high ($1,951.01) acting as resistance right now.
That's a real confluence zone, not just a Fib level in isolation ,the 78.6% retracement, a defined resistance line, and a rising trendline are all converging in the same narrow band. Below, two support levels are marked at $1,600 and $1,571.06, and the ascending structure connecting the June low to now still holds.
Here's the part worth connecting to the bigger picture: this lines up with the ABC correction structure I mapped out on ETH a couple weeks back, where the (b) bounce level sat around $2,450. Clearing $1,951 as resistance would be the next real step toward that target not confirmation of it, but the gate it has to pass through first.
Nothing's confirmed yet. A daily close above $1,951 would be the signal that this isn't just a retest, it's a genuine continuation. Until then, this stays a level to watch, not a level to assume.
Not financial advice
Épinglé
$ENA 📊Current: $0.08135 (+2.52%)
TP set at: $0.085
Support: $0.08088 (holding for now)
RSI: 47.66 (neutral)
The plan:
✅ Long from current levels
✅ TP at $0.085 — that's the first major resistance
✅ Break above → next targets $0.09 and $0.10
❌ If $0.08088 support breaks, expect a flush to $0.077
Why $0.085?
- 20-day MA sits there (~0.08315 but sloping down)
- Previous consolidation zone
- Psychological round number
NFA. Watching this level closely.
Instantané au 05 juil. 2026 à 00:56
$NEAR
TP1 $2.16 tagged, wicked $2.187.
Holding $2.12 like nothing happened. SL at $1.55 never even got tested. Thesis intact.
Callistemon
$NEAR at $1.981, back testing the $2.00 level after reclaiming it from the sub-$1.60 low in August.
SL still untouched at $1.55 this position never got close to invalidation. Now pushing back toward TP1 at $2.16.
Clean recovery off the range low. $2.00 is the level to watch reclaim and hold it, and TP1 comes into range fast.
$NEAR NFA, DYOR
$LDO
NFP shock pushed it lower, but the rising support still holds.
Resistance at 0.4056 (tested 3x) above, rising support below. Price is squeezed between the two.
Triangle remains valid. No clear direction until a break.
Daily close above 0.4056 = bullish resolution.
Break of the trendline = setup invalidated.
Wait for a high-volume break.
August NFP came in at 162K vs 55K expected more than 3x consensus, right after last month's 23K print. Unemployment steady at 4.1%, wages +0.3%. This is the hawkish surprise that could unwind the 90% rate-cut pricing the whole market ran on this week. First reaction in crypto is likely risk-off. The dovish narrative just got its first real test, and it didn't pass clean. #NFPTestsSeptHikeOdds #HawkishSurprise $BTC $ONDO $ETH
OKX Orbit
One BTC now can buys about 18.1 oz of gold, the highest ratio since January.
The more interesting part is how they got there together.
On Bitwise's 90-day measure, BTC's correlation with gold rose above 0.5, its highest since 2020, after sitting near zero earlier this year. The latest convergence coincided with stress in the bond market: long-end Treasury yields surged, Treasury expanded liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated debt, BTC rose 22.4% over the following week, gold added about 5%, and stocks fell.
The ratio move is not only Bitcoin's doing. Gold is roughly 20% below its late-January high, while the BTC/gold ratio fell to around 12-13 in February after trading above 30 in 2025.
By one 90-day realized-volatility measure:
· BTC: 36.2%
· Gold: 25.3%
· BTC is now 1.43x as volatile as gold, down from 5.6x in 2021 and near a six-year low
Bitwise says BTC has recently behaved like an amplified version of gold. Glassnode is more cautious, noting that BTC's decoupling from equities during past bond selloffs was often short-lived.
Flows and sentiment remain split:
· August brought about $3.5B into US spot BTC ETFs, narrowing 2026 YTD outflows from $5.29B to $1.77B
· Five choppy sessions through Sep 2 netted only about $122M, before Sep 3 added $730.8M
· With US federal debt above $40T, Scaramucci has framed both assets as responses to fiscal and currency concerns
· Jiang Zhuoer has said publicly he closed his BTC position near $82,050
In 2020 and 2022, BTC's larger advances followed correlation spikes rather than coinciding neatly with them. But two episodes are too few to treat as a reliable signal.
Do you look at BTC in dollars, or in ounces of gold? Does the second measure change how the chart reads to you?
#BTCGoldRatioHigh
$XRP +9.4% today, broke the downtrend line it's been stuck under for weeks $1.33 to $1.46 in one session. Next test is $1.54, but the real wall is $1.50-$1.80, the zone that's capped every XRP rally for months. Sept 15 CLARITY Act vote adds a catalyst most other coins don't have this cycle. Lose $1.33-1.36 and $1.20 comes back into view this break isn't confirmed until that bigger zone actually falls.
La semaine où la Fed a changé de cap et pourquoi mes positions longues restent ouvertes
Prendre parti ici, pas seulement rapporter. Il y a une semaine, les probabilités de hausse étaient de 68-72%. Aujourd'hui, le marché valorise une baisse de 25 points de base lors du FOMC de septembre avec près de 90% de certitude. Ce n'est pas un petit glissement, c'est un renversement complet, et les commentaires de Waller sur la pause des taux aujourd'hui ont été la dernière impulsion. BTC a bondi de 5,4% à 81 491 $, SOL +5,5%, ETH lutte toujours juste à la barre des 2 500 $ après l'avoir rejetée deux fois. Le prochain vrai test est le NFP d'aujourd'hui, encore à venir au moment où j'écris ceci. S'il confirme la tendance faible du marché du travail que nous avons vue toute la semaine,
$BTC ripped through $80K resistance to $81,107 on Waller's rate-pause comments , full circle back to the old resistance zone after a brutal year that took this from $88K down to $59K and back. $80,000 now flips to support; lose it and $77,700 (today's pivot) is first cushion, $75,238 and $70,695 the deeper layers below that. Momentum just did in an hour what the whole week's data was building toward.
