#SeptHikeOddsHit90%
About SeptHikeOddsHit90%
US August PPI rose 5.4% YoY above expectations; CPI rose 0.4% MoM with core CPI up 0.3% MoM, even as the annual core rate eased to 2.4%. CME rate futures now price a Sept 25bps hike at nearly 90%. Goldman Sachs shifted from no-hike to a Sept hike; TD Securities flagged a possible new tightening cycle. Risk assets held up: US equities and BTC showed resilience post-data. Market debate has moved from 'will they hike' to 'will they keep going'. FOMC drops Sept 16.
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Viimeisin
SeptHikeOddsHit90% Suositut postaukset
#PPI #CPI
After PPI and CPI, rate-hike expectations strengthened, yet $BTC bounced to $79.8K and $ETH hit $2,666.
Now BTC is back near $77.5K and ETH around $2.5K—a classic pre-data pump followed by profit-taking.
With liquidity still tight, I’d stay patient and wait for clearer Fed signals before making a move.
#SeptHikeOddsHit90% #BTCSpotETF450MOutflow #OracleAICloudUp121%
LIQUIDITY IS THE REAL BATTLE
$BTC $77.34K and $ETH $2.53K are caught between two opposing forces. Stable CPI data has increased bets on a September Fed rate hike, limiting short-term upside. But the story isn’t over: if the Treasury continues struggling to control yields and the Fed is forced to intervene more aggressively, liquidity could become a new catalyst for BTC.
The Fed is the headwind — but could the Fed itself become the engine behind the next breakout?
#OKXOrbitTopics
#DailyOrbit
🚨 BTC vs ETH — Rotation or Risk-Off?
BTC ETFs bled ~$283M on Sept 10. ARKB –$164M, IBIT –$19.5M. ETH ETFs flipped positive: +$216M on Sept 11, led by ETHA +$149M.
2026 YTD: BTC ETFs ~–$1B; ETH ETFs ~+$863M. Since Aug 11: BTC +23%, ETH +33%.
Macro twist: hot CPI (0.4% MoM, core 0.3%) and PPI 5.4% pushed Sept Fed hike odds to ~85%. Higher rates = more crypto volatility.
Is institutional money rotating BTC → ETH? Or just cutting risk overall? Next ETF sessions + FOMC will tell.
$BTC $ETH
$BTC is sitting around $77K as markets digest another inflation warning.
August core CPI increased 0.3% MoM, reinforcing concerns that price pressures are proving harder to cool. Rising Treasury yields are also tightening financial conditions and weighing on speculative assets.
That puts Bitcoin at an important technical point.
If buyers protect $77K, momentum could build toward $78K and potentially $80K.
Lose it, and the setup becomes much less convincing.
aaminhajj
BITCOIN FACES A TOUGHER MACRO SETUP
$BTC is hovering around the $77K area as hotter-than-expected August core CPI adds fresh pressure to the market.
The 0.3% monthly increase is keeping inflation concerns alive and could make the Fed more cautious on its next rate decision.
At the same time, elevated Treasury yields are tightening financial conditions, creating another hurdle for risk assets like Bitcoin.
The key level now is $77K
Hold it, and BTC could attempt a move back toward $78K–$80K
BANKS RAISE CORE PCE FORECASTS AFTER CPI
Wall Street economists have raised their August core PCE estimates following the latest CPI data,forecasts now clustering high 0.20% range & several banks seeing 0.30% or higher.
*Barclays:0.25%|Pre-CPI:0.22%| Pre-PPI:0.23%
*Goldman Sachs:0.26%|Pre-CPI: 0.24%|Pre-PPI:0.22%
*Nomura:0.278%|Pre-CPI: 0.245%| Pre-PPI:0.205%
*BofA:0.30%|Pre-CPI:0.26%|Pre-PPI: 0.24%
*TD:0.32%|Pre-CPI:0.24%|Pre-PPI: 0.18%
*Mizuho:0.30% old methodology/ 0.40% new methodology
$W
#PPI #CPI
After the PPI and CPI releases, rate-hike expectations strengthened, but $BTC still rallied to $79.8K while $ETH reached $2,666.
Both have since pulled back, with BTC around $77.5K and ETH near $2.5K—classic pre-data positioning followed by profit-taking.
With liquidity still tight, I’d stay patient and wait for clearer signals from the Fed before making any moves.
#SeptHikeOddsHit90% #BTCSpotETF450MOutflow #OracleAICloudUp121%
CPI matched forecasts, pushing the Fed rate hike probability for Sep 17 to nearly 90%.
Gold, BTC, and stocks swept three moves: a sharp drop, a 5-minute wick to liquidate Shorts, and a gradual bleed back to baseline.
This was a liquidity sweep, not a new directional catalyst.
$BTC +0.2% Swept both sides, giving back all momentum.
$ETH -0.1% Moving sideways, mirroring BTC liquidity sweeps.
Lack of buying pressure.
Prioritize hedging positions.
#USCPIReignitesHikeOdds
#BTCSpotETFOutflows
$BTC is sitting around $77K as markets digest another inflation warning.
August core CPI increased 0.3% MoM, reinforcing concerns that price pressures are proving harder to cool. Rising Treasury yields are also tightening financial conditions and weighing on speculative assets.
That puts Bitcoin at an important technical point.
If buyers protect $77K, momentum could build toward $78K and potentially $80K.
Lose it, and the setup becomes much less convincing.
aaminhajj
BITCOIN FACES A TOUGHER MACRO SETUP
$BTC is hovering around the $77K area as hotter-than-expected August core CPI adds fresh pressure to the market.
The 0.3% monthly increase is keeping inflation concerns alive and could make the Fed more cautious on its next rate decision.
At the same time, elevated Treasury yields are tightening financial conditions, creating another hurdle for risk assets like Bitcoin.
The key level now is $77K
Hold it, and BTC could attempt a move back toward $78K–$80K
CPI matched forecasts, pushing the Fed rate hike probability for Sep 17 to nearly 90%.
Gold, BTC, and stocks swept three moves: a sharp drop, a 5-minute wick to liquidate Shorts, and a gradual bleed back to baseline.
This was a liquidity sweep, not a new directional catalyst.
$BTC +0.2% Swept both sides, giving back all momentum.
$ETH -0.1% Moving sideways, mirroring BTC liquidity sweeps.
Lack of buying pressure.
Prioritize hedging positions.
#SeptHikeOddsHit90%
$BTC and $ETH staged a classic V-shaped rebound last night, but ultimately couldn't sustain the strength.
After the CPI release, BTC quickly surged from around 76700 to 79827, and ETH shot up directly to 2647, showing strong momentum on the charts. Unfortunately, there was no buying support at the highs, and both fell back, with BTC returning to around 77300 and ETH dropping back to about 2510.
This indicates one thing: there is bottom-fishing capital in the market, but not enough funds