#WalshInflationRisk

🌃 Avance de Jackson Hole | ¿Will Wash Hawk o Dove? Esta noche a las 20:30 se publicarán primero los datos del PCE de julio de EE. UU.; El viernes, Wash subió al escenario. Las señales de inflación y política podrían volver a afectar a las acciones, el oro y los mercados cripto de EE. UU. #杰克逊霍尔临近, ¿puede Wash aclarar su camino político? Haz clic en el tema para ver más noticias relacionadas. Hablemos: ¿Juzgas si Wash enviará una señal beligerante o pacifista? 📊 ¿Quieres seguir el ritmo del mercado bursátil estadounidense? OKX cotiza ahora en $SPY y $QQQ, siguiendo el ritmo de las fluctuaciones del mercado estadounidense y aprovechando oportunidades de negociación que traen los discursos de los bancos centrales.

ETFs ARE SAVING PRICE — BUT THE FED COULD BREAK THE RECOVERY ETFs support $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL, but macro risks remain. $BTC ETFs recently posted a nine-session inflow streak before reversing, while $ETH and $SOL continued attracting capital. The real threat is WalshInflationRisk. Kevin Warsh warned inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, If yields rise, ETFs may be supporting price, not confirming an uptrend. $BTC , $ETH , and $SOL #WalshInflationRisk #BTCGoldCorrelation

ETFs ARE SAVING PRICE — BUT THE FED COULD BREAK THE RECOVERY ETFs support $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL, but macro risks remain. $BTC ETFs recently posted a nine-session inflow streak before reversing, while $ETH and $SOL continued attracting capital. The real threat is WalshInflationRisk. Kevin Warsh warned inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, If yields rise, ETFs may be supporting price, not confirming an uptrend. $BTC , $ETH , and $SOL #WalshInflationRisk #WalshInflationRisk

⚠️ #WALSHINFLATIONRISK IS NOW A CRYPTO VARIABLE Warsh's hawkish inflation message pushed markets back toward the rate-and-liquidity debate, while $BTC fell below $78K. The equation traders are watching: Inflation risk → rates → liquidity → crypto Until macro pressure eases, every $BTC bounce may need stronger confirmation. $BTC $ETH #BTCGoldCorrelation #WalshInflationRisk #SchwabExpandsCrypto

🚨 BITCOIN JUST GOT SLAMMED — AND ALMOST NO ONE SAW IT COMING. BTC briefly touched $81K, then suddenly dropped below $77K. And no, this wasn’t a hack or some massive whale dump. The trigger? A hawkish Fed speech at Jackson Hole, which sent September rate-hike expectations sharply higher — from roughly 35% to nearly 60%. The result? Almost $488M in crypto positions were liquidated.#WalshInflationRisk #BTCGoldCorrelation #SchwabExpandsCrypto

Honestly, I’m speechless. Warsh’s speech was hawkish, pretty much exactly as expected. The irony is that while he talks about reducing “forward guidance,” his own comments are effectively providing the same kind of forward guidance he claims to oppose. After the speech, the probability of a September rate hike once again moved above the odds of rates remaining unchanged. #WalshInflationRisk #BTCGoldCorrelation #SpaceXRevenueBy2033

MACRO HAS CHANGED THE SHORT TERM GAME The Jackson Hole message was a clear reminder that the market may have priced in easier monetary policy too quickly. The Fed didn't promise rate cuts. Instead, the focus remains firmly on inflation, employment and financial conditions, leaving the door open to tighter policy if the data demands it. Markets reacted immediately. September rate-hike expectations moved sharply higher, while Treasury yields and the dollar strengthened. That combination creates a difficult environment for crypto. Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding risk assets. A stronger dollar can also reduce global liquidity available for speculative markets. And when liquidity becomes tighter, the assets with the highest beta usually feel the pressure first. That's why I'm more cautious on altcoins, meme coins and heavily leveraged positions in the short term. But I wouldn't jump from "hawkish Fed" straight to "new bear market." The Fed hasn't actually delivered a rate hike. The next major data points still matter. If inflation remains stubborn and employment stays strong, markets could continue pricing a higher-for-longer environment. If inflation cools and labor-market conditions weaken, rate-hike expectations could reverse just as quickly. For BTC, the immediate priority is defending support and rebuilding momentum rather than chasing another breakout. For ETH, the same principle applies. A bounce from support is encouraging, but it needs follow through before calling the correction finished. So my current view is simple: Short-term: cautious and bearish. Medium-term: waiting for the data. The biggest mistake right now would be treating one macro event as the final verdict. Let the price confirm what the macro is telling us. If buyers can absorb the pressure and reclaim key resistance, the bullish structure can recover. If support keeps breaking while yields and the dollar continue rising, the market may need a deeper reset. For now, bulls need to prove they still have control. #WalshPolicyFramework

🚨 BITCOIN JUST GOT SLAMMED — AND ALMOST NO ONE SAW IT COMING. $BTC briefly touched $81K, then suddenly dropped below $77K. And no, this wasn’t a hack or some massive whale dump. The trigger? A hawkish Fed speech at Jackson Hole, which sent September rate-hike expectations sharply higher — from roughly 35% to nearly 60%. The result? Almost $488M in crypto positions were liquidated.#WalshInflationRisk #BTCGoldCorrelation #SchwabExpandsCrypto

THE BULL MARKET DREAM HAS TAKEN A HIT 📉 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized that U.S. inflation remains too elevated and that controlling prices remains a major priority for the Fed. The hawkish tone triggered a sharp reaction across risk assets. Expectations for a September rate hike reportedly jumped from around 36% to 60%, adding further pressure to global markets. #WalshInflationRisk #BTCGoldCorrelation #SchwabExpandsCrypto

PCE delivered numbers, not direction. Core inflation held at 3.3% YoY and rose 0.2% MoM, while headline PCE came in slightly hotter at 3.7%. Q2 GDP stayed at 1.5% annualized. Sticky inflation, resilient underlying demand, and no clean signal for the Fed. Rate pricing moved, then came back. September hike odds jumped from about 36% to 44% after the release before easing to 36-37%. Odds of at least one hike by year-end remain near 73%. The broader path barely changed. That shifts attention to Warsh's first Jackson Hole keynote as Fed Chair, Friday at 10AM. The symposium's theme is "Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy." A $300B stablecoin market and the GENIUS Act sit in the backdrop, though the keynote's contents are not yet public. Treasury's decision to at least double the cap on long-end liquidity-support buybacks coincided with renewed demand for inflation and dollar-risk hedges. Through Aug 26, BTC was on track for its best August since 2017. The hedge trade is broadening: · August BTC ETF inflows have topped $3B, on track for the strongest month since October 2025 · Cumulative net inflows are near $54.4B, with net assets around $99B · GLD took in $3.4B in the week ended Aug 21, while GLD and IBIT re-entered the top 10 US ETFs by value traded This is not gold versus bitcoin. Both perceived hedges are being bid as investors reassess inflation, the fiscal outlook and dollar risk. Friday also brings a major BTC options expiry: · About 81,700 BTC options worth $6.44B expire at 08:00 UTC · 44,639 calls versus 37,061 puts; put/call ratio 0.83 · Max pain is near $68K · $75K holds about $236M in call OI, with another $157M at $80K Max pain is not a forecast. It misses hedging, entry costs, off-exchange positions and spot demand. But the expiry and Warsh's speech land six hours apart, with BTC near $79K after being rejected around its 50-week average near $81.1K. PCE is done. Friday is the real test. Which matters more for BTC: Warsh's policy tone or the options expiry? #PCEToJacksonHole #BTCOptionsExpiryTest #GoldVsBTCETFFlows

$BTC sprinted from the low $60Ks to $81K in roughly nine days. Then Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole remarks dragged it back near $76,845, with rate-hike odds for September climbing fast. Momentum indicators are curling upward regardless. Not collapse, not certainty — just genuine tension at a real crossroads. #WalshInflationRisk #BTCGoldCorrelation #SchwabExpandsCrypto