37度-流动性猎人
37度-流动性猎人
BTC holder since 2013 Building @SpiderPool_com 创业老兵|币圈踩雷达人|远洋捕捞体验者|2016交易所|2017挖矿|2022暴雷破产|2026AI机房/OKX最高排行第9交易员 首创流动性交易，擅长Liquidity Hunting
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This wave of altcoins, an excellent top escape 🫡
When Bitcoin first surged to 86k, I was probably the first on the entire network to warn about a potential 10,000-dollar pullback and to reduce or clear altcoin positions. Today, altcoins took another waterfall plunge, once again confirming my judgment.
The 3-day correction in altcoins is a real drop adjustment, which may escalate to a weekly adjustment. This is a very good opportunity to add positions in strong altcoins.
Also, my long position at 802 just got filled. I might still get trapped later, so I'll hold for now. If trapped, it might be around 78-79k, unless a black swan event occurs. The main force's next target is to break 90k; currently, it's still gathering strength.
Next steps for spot and futures plans
$BTC Let's talk about BTC market trends and the next steps for spot and futures plans: 1. BTC's resilience and strength: BTC has been oscillating around 82k for 10 days, with 6 bullish and 4 bearish days. During these 10 days, the Nasdaq almost always opened at lower lows, with 4 bullish and 6 bearish days. In crypto history, I don't recall seeing this phenomenon. Generally, BTC is a high-beta version of the Nasdaq and should theoretically fall harder. 2. BTC is showing gold-like characteristics; gold has also been consolidating during these 10 days. 3. BTC's long liquidity has mostly been swept away, but retail investors are very eager to chase longs at 80k and 81k, leaving some residual long liquidity. 4. The major gamma squeeze levels for options are at 84-85-86-88 and 90k, especially 90k, where there is massive open interest, making it the biggest resistance level in October. These levels are significant resistance points for BTC's upward movement. 5. ETFs and stablecoins have seen massive outflows in the past week, especially severe USDC outflows. Coinbase spot hasn't been actively buying, indicating Wall Street is either retreating or slowing down after entering. 6. BTC's daily chart has digested divergence and overbought conditions through a $7,000 pullback and over 20 days of consolidation, but the 3-day and weekly charts look very weak. If the weekly candle closes bearish tomorrow, the market will turn bearish, and the main bull run might face a tough wait before starting. 7. In the past 10 days of consolidation, BTC tested 80k five times and each time recovered above 80k. The main players have placed massive buy orders at 80k and below, clearly indicating the presence of large whales.
Duge, 60 of MSTR, 20 of CRCL, 20 of OKB, is this ratio okay?
Duge, 60% MSTR, 20% CRCL, 20% OKE, is this ratio okay... OKB, right? It's fine, relatively stable, more of an aggressive strategy. $OKB Say more, I've done it too, both long holding and long-short trading. OKB has very poor liquidity, feels like a single-machine coin. You see, it’s supported by few exchanges, so its K-line often breaks through or crashes through, with many upper and lower shadows. You have to endure this high volatility if you want. CEX centralized exchange platform tokens are all manipulated by the exchanges themselves. Previously, AnYin $GAT had 200-300x gains, I personally held 160x. At first, I thought it was mainly bought by major clients, but after the crash, I found it was mostly manipulated by Lao Huang. But in recent years, CEXs have been pursuing compliance, and platform tokens have been discarded like chamber pots. Platform tokens can be said to be completely unable to meet compliance requirements, and they are the dirty historical record keepers of exchanges. Not only do they act as both referee and player, but they also issue assets themselves, like Nasdaq listing its own companies every day. Ridiculous, right? Exchanges issuing and manipulating platform tokens in any way can lead to jail time. Therefore, pursuing compliance means platform tokens are like chamber pots, hot potatoes; platform tokens must be isolated, neutered, and cut off from benefits. No more burning or dividends, they must be "returned to the community." Those with conscience directly burn the tokens they hold; those without conscience dump their tokens before returning them to the community. OKX is a model of the former, and the latter is exemplified by some shady projects. Returning to the community is basically just hanging a...
$UNI OKX's short positions are still held tightly
Preview: After thinking for two days about the upcoming trend, Bitcoin and altcoins may be approaching another critical milestone. Tomorrow I will summarize and share my thoughts.
I originally wanted to find an opportunity to take profit and hedge, but I see that UNI balances on exchanges remain very high. During the 9-10 dollar range, excluding DEX, CEX alone saw an inflow of 12 million UNI, with only 2 million absorbed. Recently, a few million more UNI have been deposited. Now CEX still holds over 120 million UNI. Ultimately, the main force will definitely unload by driving the price up. Forced liquidations of spot and futures shorts are a good way to sell.
I am still cautiously closing short positions, and if altcoins rebound later, I will continue to add to my short positions. The main upward wave before it starts will be very grueling. I will not change my position-building plan, nor will I raise prices to buy in. I have patience
Holding the $UNI short position still in hand
$MSTR yesterday started from 140, placing orders in batches down to 120, then I went to sleep. When I woke up, I found only trades executed down to 135. After the market closed, the system automatically canceled the remaining orders. I then re-placed orders, setting them to be valid until canceled, placing them down to 120. After hours, another trade executed at 136. I'm not greedy; 120-13x is my plan and target for building my position.
Currently, the average executed price is over 137, which is like buying BTC at a 10% discount. Although I know MSTR hasn't bottomed yet, I'm quite satisfied with this price. Before the main upward wave starts, being able to buy below the 200-day weekly moving average and all long-term daily moving averages is good. My price is higher than predecessors, but I saved a lot of waiting time, and it's more cost-effective than buying BTC spot directly—at a 10% discount.
$BTC price is basically around 815, not moving much, but last night $MSTR dropped over 10% due to panic from excluding the index, with rumors that passive funds would sell 2 billion. For a 60 billion market cap, 2 billion isn't that panic-inducing; sellers can issue 2 billion anytime. I think the market is overreacting, and this is a very good buying opportunity, but it will take time to verify my judgment.
Building positions in batches from September to November, my investment work in October has made significant progress ✅
Currently, MSTR is at an 11% discount, October is the discount month, I'm not lying to you
Duge, buying MSTR is even riskier than buying Meme 😂😂🤣 This thing's cash flow is super easy to break; once something goes wrong, it can just issue more shares to let retail investors take the hit 😂😂
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$MSTR I definitely dug through its cash flow and financial statements before getting in. If you study its balance sheet carefully, it's extremely safe, with a very low debt ratio. Coupled with the early bull cycle, cash reserves are sufficient. However, you're right, if it needs money, it can issue more shares. Cash flow isn't a problem; it can cover 3 years of interest and convertible bond buybacks. But the shareholder issue means everyone shares the burden. STRC will soon return to 100, financing channels are opening, and the flywheel is about to start again. But I don't want it to increase BTC holdings anymore.
Simply put, MicroStrategy borrowed money, some with interest-first-then-principal, some with principal and interest/no interest due at maturity. It reserved 3 years of money for monthly payments and living expenses, and that 3 years of money is also borrowed.
This is exactly the same play as the off-exchange leverage I did in 2017, borrowing to pay off loans. The only difference is MicroStrategy uses stock as credit, while I used personal credit. Both methods are legal.
Took profits on 20% of the overall US stock AI position, switched to $MSTR mainly because MSTR dropped to a cost-effective level. October is an opportunity to build positions in BTC and strong altcoins, discount month, seize it!
$MSTR 140 first batch has been traded
$BTC 814 still got hit, the 129th time✅
I canceled my order this afternoon, 814 got hit, but the rebound was weaker than expected. Indicators show strong retail bullish sentiment, but the liquidity from the bulls has mostly been drained in this wave. US Treasury yields are also falling, gold is rising, so theoretically the rebound should be more than this. It seems the 3-day moving average adjustment is still ongoing, BTC is following its own trend.
US stocks plunged and bled again, BTC holding this price, I think it's still quite strong, but if it continues to fall, I believe BTC's sideways movement won't last long; prolonged sideways means a drop is inevitable.
Half of October is left, so let's patiently wait to add positions!
$MSTR is at a 5% discount again. This time it was removed from the index, and the foundation sold off early. Which stock guru can analyze how much of a discount is a good entry point?
