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星期天-77
星期天-77
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【今天PPI、明天CPI、下周FOMC——BTC卡在"三重考验"首关】 $BTC 从80,400回落至78,000附近,图面难看但逻辑清晰:接下来一周排着三个宏观关口,今天(9.10)PPI打头,明天CPI跟上,9.15-16日美联储给利率答案。 市场分歧微妙:一周前9月加息押注仅34.8%,现已跳至57%-58%——非因爆炸新闻,而是数据前预期反复调整,留下波动痕迹,致BTC近日"无故"起伏。 但颠簸不代表机构撤退:现货ETF净资产站上1012亿美元,贝莱德IBIT月内净流入35.75亿。大资金态度更像"按兵不动等数据",非恐慌撤离。 今日PPI非终点,仅是"三重考验"开局——真正定调未来1-2周方向的,是CPI与FOMC。此前每次波动,更像为最终答案反复下注,非趋势确认。 DYOR,不构成投资建议。 #BTC现货ETF大额流入后转负 #CPI与PPI同步降温,加息分歧扩大
星期天-77
星期天-77
【$BTC rebounds to 79,000, but two hidden ropes are pulling it back】 BTC has bounced from a low of 77,624 to 79,472, up 1.34%. It seems uplifting, but the upward momentum coexists with suppressive forces. On one hand, US employment data exceeded expectations, which should be positive; however, it confirms inflationary pressure, with September rate hike bets surging to 58%, and UBS forecasting two more hikes this year. "Good data" is interpreted as "central bank tightening," becoming resistance for risk assets. The other factor is oil prices. Brent crude surged to $99.68, a six-month high, driven by Middle East tensions. Rising oil prices will reignite inflation, providing more justification for rate hikes—seemingly unrelated, but actually part of the same macro chessboard. Thursday and Friday's PPI and CPI data are the real key. Before their release, every rebound looks more like "waiting for news" volatility rather than trend confirmation. DYOR, not investment advice. #BTC与黄金90日相关性升至+0.50 #加密财库分化:买币还是回购? #CLARITY法案9月15日闯关,60票成关键 $ETH $SOL

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