【$BTC rebounds to 79,000, but two hidden ropes are pulling it back】
BTC has bounced from a low of 77,624 to 79,472, up 1.34%. It seems uplifting, but the upward momentum coexists with suppressive forces.
On one hand, US employment data exceeded expectations, which should be positive; however, it confirms inflationary pressure, with September rate hike bets surging to 58%, and UBS forecasting two more hikes this year. "Good data" is interpreted as "central bank tightening," becoming resistance for risk assets.
The other factor is oil prices. Brent crude surged to $99.68, a six-month high, driven by Middle East tensions. Rising oil prices will reignite inflation, providing more justification for rate hikes—seemingly unrelated, but actually part of the same macro chessboard.
Thursday and Friday's PPI and CPI data are the real key. Before their release, every rebound looks more like "waiting for news" volatility rather than trend confirmation.
DYOR, not investment advice.
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