Tonight, Trump's attitude expressed at the cabinet meeting was actually relatively soft, making his goal clear—to win (even if only on the surface), to make his stance (to keep negotiations possible), to clarify the conditions for facilitating negotiations (the nuclear issue), and to say that an agreement could be reached
Overall, in my view, the attitude is relatively mild, and there is no need to plan for strategic conflicts between the US and Iran. Next, the ball will pass to Iran, and it will depend on how Iran responds, which also tests the political understanding between both sides
Iran is taking advantage of the situation to give Trump a reason to win. Appropriate compromises on nuclear and strait issues can bring bilateral relations back to the negotiation framework, turning the U.S.-Iran situation optimistic
However, there is a key issue here: Iran has clearly been "betting on the past" recently. Moreover, a gambler talking rationally and talking about a step forward is clearly inappropriate. Will Iran follow Trump's lead? I really do have some doubts
For now, the ball has passed to Iran, but on the main strategic side, Trump remains pessimistic. With midterm elections scheduled for September, if the Iran issue remains unresolved, Trump will surely have a headache.
This weekend, let's see Iran's attitude. Iran is taking advantage of the situation, everything is improving, but Iran continues to insist on ignoring Trump's stance, and the situation is expected to escalate!
Looking at crude oil price trends, it seems the market doesn't believe Iran will soften—another torturous weekend! #美伊报复循环加速, oil prices have risen 20% this month
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