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$BTC $ETH $SOL Conclusion first We are currently near the end of the bear market. Even to be cautious, you should build a position of 30% Large funds prioritize BTC/ETH/SOL/OKB If you don't have much capital, you can lay in some quality altcoins like ENA/AAVE/PUMP Currently, I have opened a live contract trading on OK Planet, challenging to turn 10,000 into 100,000. Of course, I don't recommend everyone to trade contracts. My large positions are all spot. But without live trading, it's not as engaging. After all, talking is no match for actual operation I hope brothers can help by following me, I will definitely follow back Let's all get rich together

$BTC From the perspective of chip structure, the range with the most significant changes in the past week is $83,000 - $84,000. From 9/22 to 9/29, in just 7 days, nearly 400,000 BTC were accumulated. Such a large concentration of chip turnover in such a short time indicates that this is the area with the most severe market divergence in the short term. Interestingly, the chips accumulated at $62,000 - $63,000 initially barely participated in this long-short game, only decreasing by a mere 30,000. This shows that the main force that spent a full 6 months accumulating here is truly not playing short-term. In other words, out of the 400,000 newly added in the 83k-84k range, 370,000 came from other price ranges. This frames my two expectations for the future: 1. Don’t fantasize about the former 62-63 range; it’s very likely not coming back. 2. There is divergence at 83-84, but there is also support. Even if it eventually breaks through, as long as it doesn’t fall sharply, a large amount of liquidity is effectively locked here in the short term, creating a strong "gravity" that will "pull" the price back.

$BTC $ETH ETH is still leaning bullish at the moment. Since the start from 2380–2400, the price has been moving within an ascending channel. Although there was obvious selling pressure when it surged to 2760–2780, the pullback near 2640 was quickly supported, and the structure of higher lows remains intact. So, I tend to believe: This is a high-level digestion after the rise, not the end of the trend. Next, focus on two key levels. 2640–2660: Short-term defense This is close to the 4H ascending trendline. If it holds, we continue to watch 2720 and 2775–2800; if it breaks down effectively and fails to recover on a rebound, I will lower my short-term bullish expectations. 2775–2800: The real breakout zone Previous highs, the upper channel boundary, and the supply zone basically overlap here. If it doesn’t break through here, ETH will likely continue to oscillate within the channel; once it breaks out with volume and holds, it means the upside space is further opened. As for 2380–2400, it is the core support of this 4H upward structure and the level where I judge whether the trend is truly broken. My offensive strategy is simple: The trend is bullish, so I don’t chase in the middle. Look for confirmation on the pullback at 2640–2660, and take the right side on a breakout above 2800. As long as the lows keep rising, there’s no need to guess the top prematurely. If 2800 doesn’t break, continue to consolidate; If 2800 holds, then look for the next move.

$BTC Short on rebound resistance, long on pullback support BTC closed with an upper and lower shadow and a real bearish candle this morning, with bulls and bears battling back and forth BTC is suppressed by the trendline, rebound is weak, and it is in a descending triangle structure Effective support at 8.17 below; buying support is expected on pullback here, providing some support Resistance at 8.37 above resonates with the trendline at two points, strong selling pressure at resistance; rebound can be shorted Light position short ambush at 8.37 on the left side, stop loss at 8.52, targets near 8.22 and 8.17 Light position low leverage long ambush at 8.17 on the left side, stop loss at 8.05, targets near 8.29 and 8.37 So far, 136,115 people have been liquidated across the entire network in 24H, with a total amount as high as 547 million USD; long positions liquidated up to 444 million, short positions 103 million, mainly long positions liquidated BTC spot ETF has seen net outflows so far, Grayscale net outflow of 274.77 coins, Fidelity 129.1 coins $BTC

$BTC In terms of data, the scale of long liquidations far exceeds that of shorts. In the most recent drop, out of the $504 million liquidations across the network, longs accounted for $359 million, while shorts only made up $145 million. The imbalance ratio within one hour reached 3049%, meaning longs were liquidated at a speed 30 times that of shorts. This number looks scary, but essentially it’s because too many leveraged long positions were piled up near 87,000 previously, and when the price pulled back, it triggered a chain reaction. This is not a trend reversal; it’s just that the positions were too crowded.

$BTC Key watershed at 8W28 exactly. Currently, there are two scenarios and trading ideas: 1) The first is that the market maker will firmly defend this position, understood as a breakout range retest. If the 4H candle closes above 8W28, you can try going long. Set a hard stop loss at 82600; if it breaks below, you must exit. If it holds, continue to test 8W43, 8W54, 8W69 upwards. 2) The second is a direct breakthrough here; the recent rebounds have all been weak. Although funding rates have turned negative several times, the downtrend persists. If it breaks below 8W2, you can short on the rebound, stop loss at 8W4, and take profit at 8W exactly. Which trend do you think it is?

$ETH ETH Market Analysis Yesterday, the upper resistance for Ethereum was given at 2740. The market surged to a high of 2727 but failed to break through and hold above it, then turned downward. The previously identified 4-hour key support at 2652 was pierced with a low of 2641. The current price at 2657 is still hovering near the support level. Today is a very critical day. The price has been oscillating around the support level without standing firm; the 4-hour structure is very likely to break down further. The next target support is at 2582, and below that, the strong daily support is at 2400. Both of these support levels, if tested, present good buying opportunities. The long-term target of 3000 remains unchanged, but the short term needs to first digest this correction.

$BTC The weekly candle for BTC closed last week with a solid breakout above 83000. Several things need to be clarified (no more ambiguity): 1. The bear-to-bull transition has been clearly confirmed. 2. 57700 is the lowest point of this cycle. Going forward, it’s not that there won’t be any pullbacks, but pullbacks are opportunities to add positions. Every dip should be met with excitement, and risk management should be based on 57700. There are two references for adding positions during pullbacks: first, adding positions through chip concentration zones, with lower ranges at 81500-76700 / 73200-71500 / 70200-67900 / 66000-62500; second, adding positions based on the short-term holders’ profit and loss ratio, waiting for short-term holders to return to unrealized losses before adding positions. It is recommended to split into two parts for greater stability.

$BTC Reviewing the update near 22:00 last night: After Bitcoin rose above 85000, it fell back again, the market is weak, focus on support around 84400. Once broken, the 4-hour rebound is declared failed, and the correction is not over yet. Last night the market broke below 84400 as expected. Currently at 12:00 Asia session, the price is around 83480. The 4-hour MACD has entered the exhaustion zone. Today's core support has shifted down to 82575, this level is very critical❗ 👉Hold above: Likely to start a 6-hour level rebound 👉Effectively break below: 4-hour structure fails, correction space further expands Resistance above is seen at 84000, next focus on observing the support status.