How to allocate positions well in the crypto space? How to allocate positions well in the crypto space? My answer is as follows: ① Those that can maintain their original ranking and not be replaced. ② Those with the potential to usurp and break into higher rankings. A better answer should be offense + defense (① + ②), so my choice is BNB + OKB, aiming for a 50/50 position. Of course, you can also choose BTC + OKB. On the defense side, Bitcoin’s ranking is rock solid. OKB has the potential to continuously usurp and enter the top 20 rankings, which can bring us huge returns, with potential gains far exceeding the overall market. In this bull market, whether it’s Bitcoin or BNB, treat them as defensive assets and don’t expect too much. Consciously halve the gains compared to the last bull market by 1 to 2 times. Don’t expect miracles, or you will be disappointed. Coins that can maintain their original ranking will also have smaller gains as their market cap grows larger. Only usurpation can create miracles. As for those that can’t even maintain their original ranking, investing in such coins makes it hard not to lose money, so try to avoid buying them. This is not limited to: ① Coins ranked too high without user support. ② Coins that didn’t break previous highs in the last bull market. －－－－－－－－－－－－－ Daily reflection: All flashy but impractical assets will exit the stage of history. Bull and bear cycles change daily and monthly; being in the top 20 by market cap this bull market doesn’t mean you’ll stay in the top 20 next year. Only a healthy user base can withstand the test of time. Total return is the most important; don’t pursue high returns from every asset but ensure the healthy development of the entire portfolio. A healthy asset allocation includes both offense and defense. If you want to outperform the public, your investment portfolio must be different from the public’s. Overly mainstream allocations won’t yield very high returns.

🔥Bitcoin has bounced back again, it feels so hard to drop and correct! ----- Who exactly is buying BTC, and who is selling BTC? Behind Bitcoin's rebound, four forces are acting simultaneously, but their nature is completely different. 🐋 First force: Whale systematic accumulation (the most solid support). Wallets holding over 100 BTC increased their holdings by about 60,000 BTC in August, mid-sized whales net bought 73,300 BTC over 60 days (a new high since April), and super whales increased holdings by 43,300 BTC in the same period. Institutional-level funds are continuously placing orders below 77,000 to catch the market, not short-term speculative behavior. 👨‍🔧 Second force: Retail investors are selling, whales are absorbing. Small holders (<1 BTC) net sold about 14,000 BTC, mid-sized holders (1-100 BTC) reduced positions by 33,000 BTC. The rebound to 77,800 is a passive recovery after whales caught retail sell-offs below 77,000, not an active push. 📚 Third force: ETF inflows but marginally weakening. Monday saw a net inflow of 217 million (BlackRock IBIT accounted for 206 million), Tuesday had a net outflow of 241 million (BlackRock IBIT outflowed 201 million). ETF funds are highly concentrated in one institution; in the past week, the marked entity sent about 3,700 BTC net to exchanges, accumulating potential selling pressure. 🏠 Fourth force: High exchange reserves. Binance's BTC reserves rose to 687,000 BTC, the highest since 2026, constituting potential selling pressure. 💎 Core judgment: Bitcoin's narrow fluctuations and rebound are due to whales absorbing retail sell-offs, causing a passive price recovery. The bull market is not yet fully confirmed, and spot demand still appears insufficient. In the short term, 77,400 is the dividing line, and 77,000 is the key support. Trend confirmation requires the synergy of continuous ETF net inflows + declining exchange reserves + continued whale accumulation. 💹 Currently, both bullish and bearish momentum are relatively weak, the price does not fall deeply, and fluctuations remain narrow! Let's first see how Bitcoin's price moves after Friday's non-farm payroll data is released.

Market hype only lasts a few days After a few days, RH's hype will die down 0.085 rose to 0.11, a 30% increase Dropping back to 0.09 after a week is not a big problem ARB's profit sharing was hyped up in July but then fell back to the starting point Profit sharing has always existed, and without any buybacks, it all went into the project's pocket, and there are also large monthly unlocks. It's impossible for the official Twitter to announce a rise every time, otherwise it would be infinite manipulation ARB's short positions definitely need some time The positive news causes a sharp rise, no time to get in, and by the time you know it, it's the peak to catch the bag When the hype is over and no one cares, it naturally declines slowly Let's see after a week

Holding onto SPCX short positions at high levels: the valuation is too expensive, and technically there is strong resistance above 145, so there will definitely be a major correction later. Storage is currently in a weak consolidation: still bottoming out. Referencing BTC's bottoming pattern around 60,000, buy a little each time it dips and just hold. BTC has risen too much recently: a shakeout is expected. To be clear, anything above 72,000 is normal; those who bought at the very bottom should definitely hold. $SPCX $SKHY $BTC #SPCX #Hynix #BTC

To be honest, yesterday the group was flooded with CA flying around, and short-term speedrun demons like JINQIAN and Rabbit brought back the familiar and terrifying atmosphere of the bull market's end cutting leeks. Many newcomers blindly rushing in also got on many zeroed-out trains. But actually, there’s no need to panic, the bull is still here: We are now in the first stage of the early bull market, where capital is quite hungry. Those greedy, irrational hot money will FOMO in, giving the conspiracy groups and meme coin issuing teams a large window to do mischief. After all, they are too familiar with the script of changing worldviews by pumping the market, so it feels very unpleasant, with the familiar mess of shit, piss, fart, and all kinds of random coins flying around. The worst part is, at this time, most people see legitimate DeFi protocols and innovative application tokens being drained and pressured, and even top coins like the first and second dragons inevitably get sucked dry overnight. But this does not mean these random coins can represent everything about this round of the RH chain Summer. Looking back at previous waves like inscriptions and AI Agent hype, it was almost always pure MEME coins like ORDI, Goat, and Act that performed first, and only later did projects like Runes, Virtuals, Arc, and PING emerge—these carry technical aesthetics, have stronger sustainability, and grander narratives to take responsibility for the hype. After all, serious money and serious developers are often moved by stories that at least look legitimate. Therefore, I advise my followers that during the fierce PVP phase of the early bull market, the wisest move is not to blindly rush or gamble, unless you are an invincible prodigy P player. For most inexperienced newcomers, it’s a better choice to lay ambush for assets with strong consensus, solid technical fundamentals, and explosive potential in the future. It’s very likely that "they" will remain dormant for a long time, and they will probably continue to be drained and decline stealthily. But, but, but, when the random coins can no longer fly and a large number of retail investors have been bruised and educated by the market, only these kinds of projects—those with stronger sustainability—will drive the real main upward wave of the bull market.

Bitcoin Pulled from 62,900 to 79,000, I originally thought it was just a normal short squeeze. Now I realize, it's not a bull market start, it's targeting shorts like us. The logic is actually very simple. For exchanges, the best outcome for retail investors is only one: losing everything. The moment money is deposited, it already belongs to the exchange owners; the rest is just a matter of time. And every dollar we make shorting is forcibly extracted from this time issue—money that should have gone into the exchange owners' pockets but didn't. There are roughly three types of shorts in the whole bear market: 1. At the bull market top and bear market start, going all-in and holding steady, safe; 2. As the bear market progresses, adding to positions with floating profits, risky; 3. As the bear market progresses, chasing shorts at lower levels, extremely risky, possibly already wiped out. So this wave is not the market correcting itself, nor the start of a bull market, but the house collecting debts.

2026.9.3 Early BTC/ETH/XAU/SNDK Trading Opportunity Analysis The market wiped out 280 million dollars overnight, with 104,869 people going bankrupt and losing everything; the total amount didn't increase much, but the number of people increased by thirty to forty thousand compared to before. The market is accelerating its reshuffle, concentrating chips more. The more thoroughly the chips are washed and concentrated, the more favorable it is for the market continuation! BTC support/resistance levels: 87550/85165/75475/78425/71500 Intraday has been consolidating with low volume; a deep dip below 76600 tonight is an opportunity to go long once more; ETH support/resistance levels: 2750/2400/2225/2100 Waiting at 2345 to see if an opportunity arises; XAU went long the night before last, got stuck during the day yesterday, and took profit directly last night. Now it surprisingly stands above 4400+, even the 1h/2h bulls still have fuel, so no shorting today; a pullback to yesterday's price is unlikely today; SNDK has been fluctuating around 1500 for the past few days. If it fails to stabilize above 1600+ after a spike tonight, it may test support around 1450 with another drop; this is worth close attention tonight; Operational advice does not constitute any investment basis: Last night’s small non-farm payroll was below expectations, another typical case of much noise but little effect. Tomorrow night’s big non-farm payroll expectations are also bearish. Beware of manipulative smokescreens by market makers; rely on indicator signals. News and policy factors are uncontrollable! #USStockGoldWeb3TradingOpportunities

ETH is being suppressed by a downtrend line, with both highs and lows decreasing, forming a consolidating downward structure The 2404 box support bottom has been broken, creating even lower lows, so the market is shorting for a rebound After a golden cross appeared below the MACD 0 axis, it followed immediately as a death cross. The rebound was weak and the signal was not obvious. It pulled back to support at 2365, oscillating upward with a small V-shaped rebound The first bearish candlestick in the 1H chart closed with a doji, followed by a tombstone candlestick, followed by two solid bearish candlesticks pulling back with volume, indicating strong bearish bodies The third bearish candlestick closing with a hammer rebounded from the bottom, which is also a bullish signal for the naked candlestick Before 2404, the support at the bottom of the box has turned into resistance. If it pulls back to above this level, go long on the right side of the trend Light positions lie in wait at 2365 to go long and catch the rebound, defend 2306, targets around 2422 and 2465 $ETH

$BTC #Bitcoin [Long Position Plan and Common Rising Range] 1. Position Update - Remaining 25% long position stopped out at $77,510 - No short position entered at $77,000. The alarm went off but I was too tired and just went to sleep. Because only when in good condition can one trade well - Currently no position - The current entry position is not looking good 2. Trading Plan and Common Rising Range - As shown in the chart below, if a wedge forms, plan to enter long during wave e - The common range is the first or second white box - At that time, partially take profits on the sides, set entry price stop loss for the rest - After the wedge, if the high point rises, short at the end of the main wave 5 - Or if wave e breaks down after the wedge, proceed with wave C-c. Then, after C-c ends, the main rising wave 5 will appear, so plan to go long (regard the wedge as wave C-a)

$BTC Last night, the Nasdaq dropped -1.03%, the S&P -0.71%; today the 10Y US Treasury yield briefly surged to 4.81%, and Brent crude oil rose to around $95. Oil prices → inflation → rate hike expectations, this chain is re-pressuring valuations. BTC is still fluctuating around 78,000, the key point is that the latest net inflow into the US spot ETF is about $217 million, indicating that institutional funds have not significantly withdrawn. Currently, BTC is more resilient than the Nasdaq, but the real breakthrough condition is not sentiment, but the 10Y US Treasury yield stopping its rise first. If US Treasuries peak, 80,000 is worth chasing; If US Treasuries hit 5%, all overvalued assets need to be recalculated.