
Callistemon
7+ years in crypto | 10+ years trading stocks & traditional markets ๐ Technical analysis | Chart patterns | Strategic setups Sharing real trades, real analysis โ no hype. Follow for daily TA & market insights ๐
686Following
671followers
Feed
Feed
Pinned
Three Charts, One Pattern
Gold, Bitcoin, and Ethereum have almost nothing in common on paper. One's a metal humans have hoarded for 5,000 years. One's digital scarcity. One's a smart-contract platform. And yet, laid side by side, all three have spent 2026 tracing the exact same shape: a sharp drop from all-time highs (a), a partial bounce (b), a final retest (c), and now early signs of a turn. Gold peaked at $5,595 on Jan 29, cratered to $4,099 in February, bounced to $4,792 in April, and is right now retesting that Febr
Pinned
$ETH 1D Chart
Fibonacci Confluence at a Key Level
This is the 1D (daily) timeframe on ETH/USDT, not 4H , worth noting since it changes how much weight the levels below carry.
ETH is trading at $1,913.70 (+2.07%), and the Fibonacci retracement drawn from the June low ($1,510.30) to the recent high ($1,951.24) is lining up with something worth watching closely. Price is currently sitting between the 78.6% retracement ($1,856.38) and the 100% level, which is also the prior high ($1,951.01) acting as resistance right now.
That's a real confluence zone, not just a Fib level in isolation ,the 78.6% retracement, a defined resistance line, and a rising trendline are all converging in the same narrow band. Below, two support levels are marked at $1,600 and $1,571.06, and the ascending structure connecting the June low to now still holds.
Here's the part worth connecting to the bigger picture: this lines up with the ABC correction structure I mapped out on ETH a couple weeks back, where the (b) bounce level sat around $2,450. Clearing $1,951 as resistance would be the next real step toward that target not confirmation of it, but the gate it has to pass through first.
Nothing's confirmed yet. A daily close above $1,951 would be the signal that this isn't just a retest, it's a genuine continuation. Until then, this stays a level to watch, not a level to assume.
Not financial advice

Pinned
$ENA ๐Current: $0.08135 (+2.52%)
TP set at: $0.085
Support: $0.08088 (holding for now)
RSI: 47.66 (neutral)
The plan:
โ
Long from current levels
โ
TP at $0.085 โ that's the first major resistance
โ
Break above โ next targets $0.09 and $0.10
โ If $0.08088 support breaks, expect a flush to $0.077
Why $0.085?
- 20-day MA sits there (~0.08315 but sloping down)
- Previous consolidation zone
- Psychological round number
NFA. Watching this level closely.

Snapshot at Jul 05, 2026, 00:56
This exact thing came up for me today almost averaged down on a losing position, ran the math, skipped it. The real win is when your system beats the "this time is an exception" urge.
When people see my position card, their first reaction is oftenโwhy not add more to average down when it's all at a floating loss? Let me tell you why I firmly refuse to average down: a position that has already proven I was wrong on the direction, the more you add, the more you double down on the mistake. In poker, this is called "chasing losses," and it's the fastest way for retail traders to blow up their accounts. The truly professional approach has only two optionsโeither cut losses according to discipline and admit the mistake, or have already controlled the position size so that "even if it goes to zero, it won't hurt the principal," then shut up and wait. Averaging down is never bravery; it's an unwillingness to admit being wrong. Do you have a position in your hand that's only getting deeper the more you add?
$NEAR
TP1 $2.16 tagged, wicked $2.187.
Holding $2.12 like nothing happened. SL at $1.55 never even got tested. Thesis intact.โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
$NEAR at $1.981, back testing the $2.00 level after reclaiming it from the sub-$1.60 low in August.
SL still untouched at $1.55 this position never got close to invalidation. Now pushing back toward TP1 at $2.16.
Clean recovery off the range low. $2.00 is the level to watch reclaim and hold it, and TP1 comes into range fast.
$NEAR NFA, DYOR
$LDO
NFP shock pushed it lower, but the rising support still holds.
Resistance at 0.4056 (tested 3x) above, rising support below. Price is squeezed between the two.
Triangle remains valid. No clear direction until a break.
Daily close above 0.4056 = bullish resolution.
Break of the trendline = setup invalidated.
Wait for a high-volume break.โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ

August NFP came in at 162K vs 55K expected more than 3x consensus, right after last month's 23K print. Unemployment steady at 4.1%, wages +0.3%. This is the hawkish surprise that could unwind the 90% rate-cut pricing the whole market ran on this week. First reaction in crypto is likely risk-off. The dovish narrative just got its first real test, and it didn't pass clean. #NFPTestsSeptHikeOdds #HawkishSurprise $BTC $ONDO $ETH
One BTC now can buys about 18.1 oz of gold, the highest ratio since January.
The more interesting part is how they got there together.
On Bitwise's 90-day measure, BTC's correlation with gold rose above 0.5, its highest since 2020, after sitting near zero earlier this year. The latest convergence coincided with stress in the bond market: long-end Treasury yields surged, Treasury expanded liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated debt, BTC rose 22.4% over the following week, gold added about 5%, and stocks fell.
The ratio move is not only Bitcoin's doing. Gold is roughly 20% below its late-January high, while the BTC/gold ratio fell to around 12-13 in February after trading above 30 in 2025.
By one 90-day realized-volatility measure:
ยท BTC: 36.2%
ยท Gold: 25.3%
ยท BTC is now 1.43x as volatile as gold, down from 5.6x in 2021 and near a six-year low
Bitwise says BTC has recently behaved like an amplified version of gold. Glassnode is more cautious, noting that BTC's decoupling from equities during past bond selloffs was often short-lived.
Flows and sentiment remain split:
ยท August brought about $3.5B into US spot BTC ETFs, narrowing 2026 YTD outflows from $5.29B to $1.77B
ยท Five choppy sessions through Sep 2 netted only about $122M, before Sep 3 added $730.8M
ยท With US federal debt above $40T, Scaramucci has framed both assets as responses to fiscal and currency concerns
ยท Jiang Zhuoer has said publicly he closed his BTC position near $82,050
In 2020 and 2022, BTC's larger advances followed correlation spikes rather than coinciding neatly with them. But two episodes are too few to treat as a reliable signal.
Do you look at BTC in dollars, or in ounces of gold? Does the second measure change how the chart reads to you?
#BTCGoldRatioHigh
$XRP +9.4% today, broke the downtrend line it's been stuck under for weeks $1.33 to $1.46 in one session. Next test is $1.54, but the real wall is $1.50-$1.80, the zone that's capped every XRP rally for months. Sept 15 CLARITY Act vote adds a catalyst most other coins don't have this cycle. Lose $1.33-1.36 and $1.20 comes back into view this break isn't confirmed until that bigger zone actually falls.

The Week the Fed Flipped And Why My Longs Stay On
Taking a side here, not just reporting. A week ago hike odds were 68-72%. Today the market is pricing a 25bp cut at September's FOMC with close to 90% certainty. That's not a small drift that's a full reversal, and Waller's rate-pause comments today were the final push. BTC ripped 5.4% to $81,491, SOL +5.5%, ETH still fighting right at the $2,500 line after rejecting it twice. The next real test is today's NFP, still ahead as I write this. If it confirms the weak labor trend we've seen all week,

