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SaniaETH
$AAOI option patterns currently represent a typical earnings trade with bets on both sides.
There is a large amount of short-term call speculation, call rolling, upward demand, and extreme downside protection all present simultaneously.
Earnings expected volatility is 14.66%, calculated at 128.56, implying a range of approximately 109.90—147.22.
Holding $AAOI through earnings today should be able to withstand at least about a 15% overnight gap.
There is positive delta demand on the options side, but the spot price is not holding, with selling pressure on the stock itself stronger than the hedging buy-side from option flows.
In summary, options are hedging and long volatility, without a very clear directional bias.
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