陈桂林谈交易
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Record, September 4, 2026.
Most of the time, as experienced traders, we can roughly judge the high-probability direction of a market trend, but the details of how it will move and the extent of its extremes cannot be precisely predicted;
BUT, what we can control is when and how we adjust our actions. Please check back on this post in a month.
陈桂林谈交易
Prepare for the contract cooldown period!
The mobile position can't be moved anymore!
The first spike, even if it doesn't mark the end of the trend, is a signal—it's a sign that we're entering difficulty mode;
What does difficulty mode mean? It means that in the previous easy mode, you could earn 12 cents with 80% effort, but in difficulty mode, you might lose 8 cents even with 120% effort.
Prepare for the contract cooldown period!
The mobile position can't be moved anymore!
The first spike, even if it doesn't mark the end of the trend, is a signal—it's a sign that we're entering difficulty mode;
What does difficulty mode mean? It means that in the previous easy mode, you could earn 12 cents with 80% effort, but in difficulty mode, you might lose 8 cents even with 120% effort.
In the AI era, it really feels like if you’re not paying attention, you’ll easily get left behind!
My daily routine now is still: checking X little bells, reviewing PR data, scanning geopolitical news, looking at K-lines. This whole process, including browsing and thinking, might take 1-2 hours, and I still might not cover all the information;
If this task is handed over to AI, it might only take 2 minutes? One minute to scan all the data you need, and the next minute, based on the data, it gives you different analyses and plans.
Tell me, how many traders like me, the old-school type, are still around?
Time to start learning, beginning with the #OKX Agent Trade Kit.
Mercy_okx
There is only one non-farm payroll result, but there is more than one trading approach.
Tonight, the market is almost evenly split. Agent Trade Kit helps you check events, perform backtesting, and confirm signals.
Spot trading, dollar-cost averaging, grid trading, dual currency wins, supporting different trading strategies.
My understanding of the #OKX Stock Toolbox is that it leaves the complexity of traditional finance in the background and delivers a simple trading experience to users 🫡
I remember in the last bull market, it seemed to be said by Lao Xu @star_okx, roughly meaning: OKX is not just going to be an exchange, that would be too shallow; OKX aims to be the infrastructure of the WEB3 industry;
From what I see now, it is being fulfilled step by step. You can play on whichever chain you like, but overall, the experience is best with me.
The crypto industry still needs companies that do real work like this to drive development.
OKX中文
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No need to withdraw or cross-chain, trade the hottest Meme coins with USDT/USDC inside the exchange with one click, supporting limit orders, take profit, and stop loss, making trading more relaxed.
Experience it now👉
The market has improved, and all the experts' posts have started to become passionate again.
What I want to say is, even though the bitcoin:native bear market has ended, the crypto space has already shifted from bear to bull market. We are just at the beginning of the bull market, and next comes the roaring big bull market!
However, please remember, the most casualties are not in the bear market, but in the bull market.
In every bull market cycle, Bitcoin will experience countless corrections: small ones around 10%-15%, medium ones about 20%, and large ones just over 30%. But that's not the main point. The key is that when Bitcoin undergoes corrections, especially large ones, altcoins really tend to die off!
The upcoming crypto battlefield will definitely test technical skills; those with good techniques can navigate the bull market smoothly, while those with weaker skills are very likely to drown.
In a bull market, you shouldn't relax and lie flat; instead, you need to work harder and be more cautious than in a bear market. After all, in a bear market, working hard might not yield much return, but in a bull market, working hard and doing it right often results in outsized rewards!
陈桂林谈交易
1. After thinking about it all day today, I’m going to temporarily avoid the mobile warehouse and hardware sectors. Right now, the position can only be considered average. The pattern looks to me like a bearish continuation no matter how I look at it. Considering its volatility, maybe I’ll wait for a chaotic asymmetric risk-reward opportunity (similar to the end of July) to take a spot position or try a low leverage trade; (see Figure 1)
2. Bitcoin continues to carve out 2023 (see Figure 2). If it performs well, after the next wave of rally, there will be a relatively deeper pullback, which will be a good entry point for those who missed out. Note the prerequisite: "If it performs well, there will be a small rally first, then a deeper pullback, followed by a big rally." As for what happens after that, it’s a more distant issue that needs to be observed as it unfolds.
The asymmetric opportunity in point 2 lies in Bitcoin leading the overall crypto market recovery. Adding some leverage safely to play some altcoins casually can easily outperform the combined gains of two Bitcoin rallies.
I love speaking the truth:
As a trader, what does a normal state look like? It’s about aggressively trading whichever market is doing well—when storage is good, focus on storage; when bulk commodities are good, focus on bulk; when crypto is good, focus on crypto. Not doing crypto, storage, bulk, A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, Korean stocks... all mixed together...
I only know two types of people who can handle trading so many things at once:
The first type is investors, who usually have large amounts of capital. Their sowing and harvesting cycles are measured in months or even years. They enter the market after careful consideration and exit when unexpected events occur or when it’s time to harvest. Most large funds operate and position themselves this way.
The second type is the talkative KOLs (Key Opinion Leaders), who also pay attention to a very wide range of areas. Wherever there’s a hot topic, they’re there. Even if there’s no hot topic, they might come out to show off a clever move. The only difference from the first type is that investors bet with real money, while the talkative KOLs bet with their words.
So, the information you see—does it come from investors or from the talkative KOLs?
To be honest, trading altcoins is way scarier than trading crypto stocks. Unfortunately, I have a damn heavy spot position in $CRCL, fully loaded and even leveraged a bit;
I just can't use my flexible position to trade $CRCL as well, that would concentrate the risk too much.
Holding ETH and altcoin contracts in my flexible position while envying the gains of my spot $CRCL position—does that count as fighting myself on both sides?
Just said it, it’s quite glaring.
So, the damage is all about comparison, storage and encryption have become the two ends of a seesaw 😂
I feel there must be some genius youngsters who got stuck in encryption, then ruthlessly cut losses and got stuck in storage instead.
陈桂林谈交易
1. After thinking about it all day today, I’m going to temporarily avoid the mobile warehouse and hardware sectors. Right now, the position can only be considered average. The pattern looks to me like a bearish continuation no matter how I look at it. Considering its volatility, maybe I’ll wait for a chaotic asymmetric risk-reward opportunity (similar to the end of July) to take a spot position or try a low leverage trade; (see Figure 1)
2. Bitcoin continues to carve out 2023 (see Figure 2). If it performs well, after the next wave of rally, there will be a relatively deeper pullback, which will be a good entry point for those who missed out. Note the prerequisite: "If it performs well, there will be a small rally first, then a deeper pullback, followed by a big rally." As for what happens after that, it’s a more distant issue that needs to be observed as it unfolds.
The asymmetric opportunity in point 2 lies in Bitcoin leading the overall crypto market recovery. Adding some leverage safely to play some altcoins casually can easily outperform the combined gains of two Bitcoin rallies.
1. After thinking about it all day today, I’m going to temporarily avoid the mobile warehouse and hardware sectors. Right now, the position can only be considered average. The pattern looks to me like a bearish continuation no matter how I look at it. Considering its volatility, maybe I’ll wait for a chaotic asymmetric risk-reward opportunity (similar to the end of July) to take a spot position or try a low leverage trade; (see Figure 1)
2. Bitcoin continues to carve out 2023 (see Figure 2). If it performs well, after the next wave of rally, there will be a relatively deeper pullback, which will be a good entry point for those who missed out. Note the prerequisite: "If it performs well, there will be a small rally first, then a deeper pullback, followed by a big rally." As for what happens after that, it’s a more distant issue that needs to be observed as it unfolds.
The asymmetric opportunity in point 2 lies in Bitcoin leading the overall crypto market recovery. Adding some leverage safely to play some altcoins casually can easily outperform the combined gains of two Bitcoin rallies.
陈桂林谈交易
Chen Guilin's Trading Notes:
September 3, 2026
I. Preface
1. It's 2026, and the get-rich-quick stories have become a bit tiresome. Whether it's General P's single MEME multiplying a hundred million times, or contract masters leveraging trillions for financial freedom, or some giant whale making flashy quick profits PLUS... it's all getting hard to watch. Times are advancing, and we retail traders are evolving too. Those who don't trade themselves every day and just chase traffic, please bring us something fresh to see.
2. Yesterday @shufen46250836 sang again. Seeing the line "Emotions can only be digested alone, with no one to confide in," I deeply empathized, haha. I envy Shufen for trading well, being beautiful, and singing nicely, while I only have good trading, good trading, good trading.
3. Actually, whether trading US stocks or crypto, essentially we all rely on our skills to make a living in this market. There's no fundamental difference. Markets rotate, the moon waxes and wanes. Just stick to your trading system and hold your ground.
II. Trading Records
1. BTC rose nearly 30% in 5 days, then entered a consolidation phase, which was basically predictable. As an old-timer in the native crypto circle, I'm very familiar with this rhythm. During this period, both secondary markets and on-chain gave many opportunities, so recently my timing has been pretty good.
2. After trading the bull run, I didn't participate in the subsequent Mars coin or Robinhood P. Since my market judgment hasn't changed, my trading plan remains the same: ① Spot holdings are long-term, so no changes; ② The tactical position switched from aggressive to defensive mode, no empty positions, relying on BTC and ETH for passive defense.
3. Looking ahead, the focus will still be on ETH contracts and altcoin contracts. Overall, if BTC and ETH can still gain 10-20%, then the secondary market can gain 30-40%. Tactical contract trades will be the main approach. The most important thing is the risk-reward ratio and whether there is room to expand after making the right moves. Only the secondary market meets my needs here.
4. As for MEME, it's just a passerby to me, not a familiar battlefield. If I play and make a profit, that's enough;
Gold, silver, and oil are hard to trade, no clear trend. I enter when there's an opportunity, post to show off when I profit, and stay silent when I lose.
5. Still keeping an eye on AI. I cautiously bought some Intel shares. Whether it's a speculative wave or holding to add slowly later, I haven't decided yet. I'll think about it after some movement.
OVER.