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太白居士🅥
太白居士🅥
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BTC三个关键问题 83,000美元反复易手,市场到底在等什么? 一、ETF狂买,为什么价格还在跌? 上周ETF净流入23.86亿美元,创近一年新高。但链上近30日总需求估算已降至-17.1万BTC,期货需求从16.4万BTC骤降至3000BTC。机构在买,链上需求在退。买盘撑住了底,却撑不起价格。 二、贪婪情绪下,谁在爆仓? 恐慌贪婪指数73,仍处贪婪区间。但24小时全网爆仓5.11亿美元,多头占比近八成。贪婪没退,杠杆先退了。83000关口的多头被反复清洗,市场正在用爆仓换筹码。 三、82500为什么是多空分水岭? 下方82500-83000是短期核心支撑,上方84000-85000构成压力。ETF投资者均价成本约86000,短期持有者成本78300。价格卡在两个成本区之间,多空都在等对方先动。叠加美伊局势推升油价和美债收益率,宏观压力正在压缩BTC的波动空间。 今日核心矛盾:机构吸筹与链上需求萎缩的结构性背离。 上方观察84000——突破才有重回上升通道的资格。下方观察82500——失守则81500进入清算视野。 #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 $BTC
太白居士🅥
太白居士🅥
When life is at its best, one must enjoy it to the fullest; do not let the granary stand empty opposite the table (I hope everyone will follow, and I'll be back to the comments!) ) Heaven gave me talents for a purpose; after spending a thousand gold coins, I returned home (I reply to every comment) Chasing gains and cutting down dips is for fun; you must be fully invested in 300 orders (I go to every interaction) When the big cake rises, it is too intoxicating; in the game of contracts, do not fear difficulty (Don't believe me, don't criticize) Ups and downs are commonplace; watch candlesticks sweep through the storm with a smile (Leave a comment so we can interact and learn from each other)

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