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Three-tier active strategy, act according to your capability
Plan A (Conservative): Wait for $BTC to reach 78,400-78,500 before shorting. This level is just below the 9/13 closing price of 78,537, so confirm resistance before taking action. Stop loss at 79,700 (above the swing high of 79,569), target 76,000 (take profit after the first drop), 2x leverage. Risk-reward ratio about 2.0:1, prioritizing safety, small gains but no losses.
Plan B (Recommended): Short in batches at 78,000-78,200, stop loss at 79,700 (above the swing high, clear structural level), target one at 75,000 (psychological support at 9/16 low), target two at 74,500 (below the 9/15 swing low of 74,897), 3x leverage. Risk-reward ratio about 2.03:1 to T1, about 2.35:1 to T2, the most comfortable odds. The rebound with shrinking volume plus the Fed turning hawkish makes shorting here a high-probability trade.
Plan C (Aggressive): Short directly at current price 77,400-77,600 without waiting for a rebound to resistance, to avoid missing the opportunity. Stop loss at 78,700 (above the 9/17 high of 77,577, tight stop), target 74,900 (swing low), 5x leverage. Risk-reward ratio about 2.17:1, high leverage with tight stop loss, one wick and you must admit the mistake; not for the faint-hearted.
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