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Billymkk
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This is the key distinction right now:
A bounce isn’t automatically a reversal.
BTC reclaiming $77K is constructive, but the $77.1K–$80.2K supply zone still needs to be cleared before the structure really changes.
With rate-hike pricing elevated and macro risk ahead, I’d rather see volume + confirmation than chase the first rebound.
$ETH showing relative strength is worth watching too.
Structure first. Macro second. No FOMO.
Rate hike pricing is about 88%, with the three coins simultaneously recovering from early session lows, limited slope, and average volume, representing short-covering before macro events.
9/15 Evening Session - Mainstream Sectors
$BTC Currently looks like a cover, not a trend.
Today 76390–77900. Retracing 77,000 = stopping the fall, not a breakout. The supply wall at 77100–80200 remains above. ETF outflows of about 463 million in the past 4 days; today spot large orders turned positive, slight on-chain outflows, indicating covering.
Support: 77100, 76400
Resistance: 77900–78300, 79200
View: Rebound below the wall edge; if 77100 cannot hold, it returns to the early session breakdown.
$ETH Buying is digesting supply, not lifting the trend.
Rallied from 2465 to early session resistance at 2530. ETF inflow last Friday, price can't break through, still digesting, not a trend continuation.
Support: 2465-2430
Resistance: 2530-2580, break below 2430 and bulls withdraw.
$SOL Large orders tend to flow out, retail investors are buying, a weak rebound structure.
101.6–102
Lost 100 in early session, stood above 100 in evening session.
Support: 100, 99
Resistance: 102.3, 105.8
If it can't hold 102, 100 remains a consolidation.
The three coins weakly recover in the same direction; the direction is left to Tuesday's CLARITY and Thursday's Federal Reserve. Tonight's rally is assumed to be profit-taking ahead of events, no new direction, defaulting to consolidation.
#本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地?
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