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赴星
赴星
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小米还在3.6晃,之前说的底部区域确实在磨。 四天前发帖子说小米3.5附近是底部区域,现在还在3.6,没跌也没涨。盘面确实在磨,耐心比什么都重要。 手机业务二季度出货量掉了26.5%,但ASP干到1351块历史新高,主动砍低端机型扛存储涨价。92亿研发砸在汽车上,澎程SUV 9月上市,短期看不到利润但账上现金够用。盘面来看,3.52-3.54附近的支撑反复确认过,短期上方压力在3.65-3.68。量能没放出来,说明大资金还没动手,等。 研报目标价还远,管理层说最困难的时候快过去了。这个位置割肉不划算,等手机毛利率企稳和澎程交付数据出来再说。底是磨出来的,不是喊出来的。不急。 #波动雷达:币种异动观察 ——$XIAOMI #美联储官员称应加息,9月概率升至58.6%
赴星
赴星
Is Xiaomi at the bottom yet? The market looks weak indeed, hovering around 3.5, corresponding to 27.6 HKD. It has dropped from 59.9, nearly halving—quite brutal. Smartphone shipments fell 26.5% in Q2, but ASP hit 1351 yuan, a record high. They actively cut low-end models because storage chip prices surged too much to bear. Volume is down but prices are up; this is a deliberate adjustment, not a crash. The car business is still burning cash; the Pengcheng SUV launches in September, and R&D spending keeps rising, with 9.2 billion yuan invested. No profits in the short term, but cash on hand is sufficient. Research reports still give high target prices; institutions like Dongwu are still recommending buy. Management says the toughest times are almost over, and flagship phones will launch in the second half. I think this level is the bottom area, but it will take time to bounce back. Let's wait for smartphone gross margin stabilization and Pengcheng delivery data before deciding. Cutting losses at this level isn't very cost-effective. #波动雷达:币种异动观察 ——$XIAOMI
XIAOMIUSDTperpetual5xBuyOpen position
Floating PnL+0.00%·Average sub-order price3.53·Mark price3.53

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